When Will Gold Price Decrease? Major Highlights With Gold Prices in India

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According to some analysts’ October 2025 forecasts, gold prices will stabilise after reaching a record high. The gold piece fell on MCX, dropping 0.44% to ₹123,552 per 10 grams due to selling pressure. Traders are closely watching some key support and resistance levels around $4000 and $4192.86 to determine whether the current prevailing signals are moving towards a bullish or a pullback zone. The gold price forecast also reflects broader global influences, including geopolitical tensions, U.S. inflation data, and the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decisions. These factors are slightly dependent on the central bank demand and investor sentiment, which continue to guide you on the gold price analyses and short-term trading strategies in the XAU/USD market.

Gold (XAU/USD) Expert Technical Analysis 

As per the 4-hour chart, several indicators highlight the gold price forecast:

• Bullish hammer and morning star pattern at $4005.79 indicate a possible reversal.
• MACD reflects decreasing bearish momentum as it approaches the signal line.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index)  is neutral at 41, while MFI suggests increasing liquidity.
• The volume weighted Average Price (VWAP) and SMA (Simple Moving Average) are still above the market, which is suggestive of short-term pressure.  

Gold Price Today:

Gold rates fell on the MCX on Friday (October 24) morning, as the key US inflation report has not yet been published.MCX Gold December futures traded 0.44% lower at ₹123,552 per 10 grams. MCX Silver December contracts were 0.98% down at ₹147,052 per kg at that time. 

Gold Price fell on Friday, ending its nine-week increasing streak, pressured by heavy selling after repeatedly hitting record highs in recent sessions. The yellow metal dropped more than 5% early in the week, marking its largest intraday loss in five years. The decline also coincided with withdrawals from gold-backed ETFs, and holdings saw a single-day drop over five months.

Gold Price Forecast: Factors that affect Gold Rates

• Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical events continue to influence the gold price forecast. The U.S. has imposed new policies on Russian oil firms Lukoil and Rosneft. At the same time, trade tensions with China have been influenced by Washington’s plan to restrict software-related exports.
• Fed Rate Cuts and Inflation Market Expectations: The Gold price forecast also depends on upcoming macroeconomic data. Traders are waiting for a delay in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could guide the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision.  
• Technical Correction: The fall in the gold price is more a technical correction than a shift in long-term fundamentals, and according to MRB Partners, momentum indicators suggest gold was significantly overbought for several reasons.
• Lower Central Bank Buying: Some reports (like those by the World Gold Council) suggest central bank demand has slowed, which leads to a reduction of a key source of gold buying.   

Historical Gold Rate Trend in India

Here is the gold rate year-wise chart, summarising key price points:

India’s relationship with gold is both emotional and economic. The country’s gold price history highlights changing financial outcomes, inflation trends, and global uncertainties. Evaluating the gold price history in India helps investors understand long-term trends and make informed decisions. 

• The history of the gold price rise in India shows a steady increase over time, with a notable surge during economic crises.
• In the 1990s, the rate was around ₹3,200 per 10 grams, gradually increasing to ₹4,400 by the early 2000s.
• The 2008 global financial crisis drove gold prices to nearly ₹20,000 per 10 grams.
• In 2020, due to pandemic-related uncertainties, gold crossed ₹50,000 per 10 grams.
• Throughout history, gold has been considered a safe and reliable long-term investment.
• Today, gold remains a preferred investment choice for Indian households, offering long-term returns.

Weekly Gold Rate Predictions Based on Market Trends

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Gold prices often shift weekly due to global market trends, currency values, and economic events. By tracking these patterns, you can make informed decisions about buying, selling, or securing a loan against your gold assets. Weekly gold rate predictions take into account both international and local factors, including inflation rates, geopolitical tensions, and changing demand from major markets such as China and the United States. Monitoring these weekly updates is especially helpful for those looking to invest or take advantage of favourable gold prices. Regular predictions provide valuable insight for financial planning, whether you are interested in investment or simply tracking value fluctuations.

Gold Prices in the last 10 days

How Diwali Affected Gold Price Trends

After Diwali 2025, gold prices are likely to change as festive demand wanes. Here is some important things you need to know: 

• Festive demand peak: During Diwali, buying gold is considered auspicious, which leads to a surge in purchasing and a rise in gold rate in Diwali 2025. 
• Post-Diwali trends: Once the festival ends, demand slows down, and some experts wonder if the gold price decreases after Diwali, leading to potential stabilisation or a slight decrease in the gold prices.
• Market influences: Some global factors, currency fluctuations, and the central bank policies continue to impact gold rates, so prices may not always fall significantly. 
• Investment perspective: Despite the post-festival impact, gold remains the safest investment, which leads to makes it worth watching even after Diwali.

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How Gold Price Predictions Impact Gold Loan Values?

A gold rate prediction of a decrease can significantly impact the value of gold loans. Now, here is a look at the impact of gold loans:

• Loan-to-value (LTV) ratio: The LTV ratio determines the amount of loan that investors can obtain against the value of their gold. As gold prices rise, lenders may be more willing to offer higher LTV ratios.
• Higher loan amounts: Rising gold prices increase the value of collateral, enabling larger loans.
• Interest rates: If gold loan interest rates rise, it affects the gold price, as the gold price may also increase with higher interest rates.
• Margin Call: If the value of pledged gold reduces, investors may need to top up the loan amount to maintain the LTV ratio. An increase in the price may allow investors to repay the loan early or even access a higher loan amount. 

Calculation of Gold Prices

A gold rate calculator, also known as a gold price calculator, is an online tool that helps you determine the current value of your gold based on the current market gold rates. It helps to calculate the value of all gold items, such as jewellery, quickly and many others. A gold rate calculator lets you determine the exact value of your gold jewellery, showing how the gold rate is increasing and by what percentage. So, it is considered the most effective tool for calculating the gold rate in India.

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Formula for Gold Value Calculation 

Jewellers may calculate the gold rate using this effective formula for determining the value of the gold rate rise.

Final Jewellery Price =  Gold Price per Gram (22 or 18 Carat)* Weight in Grams + Making Charges per Gram + Goods and Services Tax (GST) on (Jewellery Price + Making Charges)

What Should Gold Investors Do?

Currently, gold is trading at $4126.53, with prices expected to stabilise within $4059.90–$4114.01 range before testing higher resistance levels. The gold price forecast is based on the analysis of key economic and political developments, technical chart studies across multiple time frames, and other market sentiment from social media discussions and trader data. If global economic conditions improve significantly, investors may shift their safest assets, such as gold, into riskier assets. Investors may evaluate volatility and liquidity risks before investing in gold because its price may change rapidly, either rising or falling. 

Conclusion

Gold’s recent decline is primarily a technical correction, not a sign of weakness in fundamentals. With geopolitical risks, inflation, and changes in central bank demand also influencing gold demand, it may continue to be a strategic long-term asset. However, short-term investors should be aware of volatility and closely assess global data. A gold rate calculator, also known as a gold price calculator, is an online tool that helps you determine the current value of your gold based on the current market gold rates. It helps to calculate the value of all gold items, such as jewellery, quickly and many others. Gold prices often shift weekly due to global market trends, currency values, and economic events. By tracking these patterns, you can make informed decisions about buying, selling, or securing a loan against your gold assets.

FAQs

What are the factors influencing Gold Rates in India?

Ans. It is considered one of the crucial factors which influences the online gold rate. When inflation rises, gold prices tend to increase as well. An increase in the gold price indicates strong demand for the metal. Like all central banks, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) holds gold reserves for future use, which significantly affects gold prices. If the RBI decides to preserve its gold reserves, the gold price will rise due to reduced market supply.

How is Gold Price Determined Worldwide?

Ans. The dynamics of demand and supply drive gold trading prices. Factors such as inflation, the strength of the US dollar, geopolitical uncertainties, interest rates, and asset market movements also impact global gold prices. Gold trades 24/7 across global exchanges.

What is the trend of gold in future in India?

Ans. Gold prices are rising and extending their position, primarily breaching the $3,900 mark for the first time, supported by robust safe-haven demand and geopolitical factors. The gold price forecast for next week should be used only as a guide, not as a basis for investment decisions. The gold price forecast for next week should be used only as a guide, not as a basis for investment decisions. 

What are the popular gold investment options in India?

Ans. In India, popular gold investment options include physical gold (jewellery, coins, and bars). There are several ways for you to invest in gold. Some investors prefer investing in Gold Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which allow them to invest in gold without owning the physical commodity (and thereby avoiding the risk of theft or burglary). 

How to calculate the gold loan values in India?

Ans. A gold rate calculator, also known as a gold price calculator, is an online tool that helps you determine the current value of your gold based on the current market gold rates. It helps to calculate the value of all gold items, such as jewellery, quickly and many others. Formula for Jewellery Price =  Gold Price per Gram (22 or 18 Carat)* Weight in Grams + Making Charges per Gram + Goods and Services Tax (GST) on (Jewellery Price + Making Charges)    

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