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Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Index Ends at 81,911 After Giving Up 415 Points From Its High on Expiry Day (13 November 2026, Friday)

Sensex 81,911.01 (+0.04%). Range 81,576.15 to 82,325.61. RSI about 96. PCR 0.83. 200-day average 77,057. Next weekly expiry Thursday 19 Nov.


12 Nov 2026 • 4:00 pm

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Index Ends at 81,911 After Giving Up 415 Points From Its High on Expiry Day (13 November 2026, Friday)

Quick Answer

The Sensex closed at 81,911.01 (+0.04%) on Thursday after a range of 81,576.15 to 82,325.61, finishing about 415 points under its high on expiry day. Analysts Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla expect an 81,500 to 82,300 range on Friday, with 81,900 as the first support and 82,000 as the first hurdle. Call open interest at 82,000 and 82,500 is heavier than put open interest on the new weekly series. A close above 82,000 would extend the rally, while a close below 81,500 would weaken it.

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow starts with an expiry-day session that faded from the high. The index opened at 81,762.27, touched 82,325.61 and then dropped to 81,576.15 before closing at 81,911.01, which keeps it above its 200-day average by about 6.3%.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, flags that 82,000 is a dense call strike, holding about 2.57 lakh calls on the 19 November series against 2.04 lakh puts. Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, suggests reading the first hour for direction, because India's inflation print and Wall Street's Thursday session both land after the Indian close.

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Sensex Tomorrow: How the Index Traded on Thursday

  • The Sensex closed at 81,911.01, up 31.61 points (+0.04%), against a previous close of 81,879.40.
  • The day range was 81,576.15 to 82,325.61, a 749-point band, and the index closed approximately 415 points under its high.
  • India VIX fell 5.52% to 16.59.
  • Nifty Midcap 50 gained 0.74% and Nifty 500 gained 0.36%, while Nifty Next 50 was flat at -0.01%.
  • The latest provisional data reported is for Monday, when foreign institutions recorded net inflows of approximately Rs 7,212 crore and domestic institutions net sold approximately Rs 7,173 crore. Figures for the last two sessions are not yet out.
  • Among the heavyweights tracked, the highest volumes came from HDFC Bank (about 3.83 crore shares), Kotak Mahindra Bank (about 2.72 crore) and SBI (about 2.70 crore).

SBI (+2.38%), ICICI Bank (+1.17%) and HDFC Bank (+0.71%) led the large-cap gains in the stocks tracked, while Hindustan Unilever (-1.47%), TCS (-1.20%) and HCL Technologies (-1.02%) were among the drags on the index. These moves set the base for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Support, Resistance and Trend

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow is positive but stretched. The index sits well above its 20-day, 50-day and 200-day averages, but the daily RSI is near 96 and the call open interest above the close is heavier than the put open interest.

Index Close Bias Support Resistance
Sensex 81,911.01 Positive but stretched 81,900, 81,576 and 81,500 82,000, 82,326 and 82,500

The first support at 81,900 is only 11 points under the close and carries about 1.07 lakh puts. The second support at 81,500 holds about 0.70 lakh puts, and 81,000 holds the heaviest put base in the range at about 1.48 lakh. A close below 81,000 would open a path toward 80,500, and the supertrend floor near 78,483 would be the next technical line.

What the Daily Indicators Say About the Sensex Tomorrow

Indicator Reading Meaning
RSI (14) about 96 Far above 70, so a pause or consolidation is likely
20-day EMA 77,469 Price is about 5.7% above it
50-day SMA 74,975 Price is about 9.3% above it
200-day SMA 77,057 Price is about 6.3% above it
MACD vs signal +2,047.0 vs +1,240.5 Above zero and above its signal line
Supertrend (10, 3) Bullish, floor 78,483 Trend direction is up while price holds above it

The readings behind the Sensex outlook for tomorrow favour a positive trend that is short-term stretched. Analysts at Univest suggest that holding above 81,000 keeps the structure intact, while a slide toward the 200-day average near 77,057 would signal that the rally is fading.

What the Weekly Option Chain Shows for the Sensex Tomorrow

Strike Open Interest (lakh) Reading
82,500 1.34 calls and 0.29 puts Outer call hurdle
82,200 1.06 calls and 0.36 puts Minor hurdle below the day high
82,000 2.57 calls and 2.04 puts Heaviest strike, a round-number hurdle 89 points above the close
81,900 0.92 calls and 1.07 puts Just under the close, puts slightly heavier
81,500 0.43 calls and 0.70 puts Second support
81,000 0.52 calls and 1.48 puts Heaviest put base in the range

The series expires on Thursday, 19 November, and total open interest is about 27 lakh puts against 33 lakh calls. For the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, the 82,000, 81,900 and 81,000 strikes matter most.

Sensex Tomorrow: Heavyweights to Watch

Index moves usually follow the largest weights, so the Sensex tomorrow depends on them. These names are not buy calls, and each should be checked against your own risk plan before acting.

Stock Thursday's Move What to Watch on Friday
HDFC Bank +0.71% to Rs 812.30 The most traded heavyweight. Watch Rs 815.00, the day high, and Rs 798.65, the day low.
ICICI Bank +1.17% to Rs 1,590.00 Closed near its high of Rs 1,592.50. Watch Rs 1,572.30, the day low, as support.
SBI +2.38% to Rs 1,086.50 Led the public sector bank move. Watch Rs 1,059.20, the day low, as support.
Reliance Industries +0.32% to Rs 1,339.70 Traded between Rs 1,330.90 and Rs 1,342.50. Watch Rs 1,330.90 as support.
TCS -1.20% to Rs 2,442.40 Closed near its low of Rs 2,422.50. Watch whether that low holds as support.
Hindustan Unilever -1.47% to Rs 1,974.00 Fell toward its low of Rs 1,969.00. Watch that low as support.

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Global Cues for the Sensex Tomorrow

  • Wall Street rebounded on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 up 1.31%, the Nasdaq Composite up 1.60% and the Dow Jones up 0.49%, according to market reports.
  • Reports said Nvidia shares fell sharply in after-hours trading on a media report about its leadership, which kept Asian markets fragile on Thursday morning.
  • US consumer prices rose 0.4% in October against 0.3% expected, and reports said traders see a December US rate increase as highly likely.
  • Wall Street's Thursday session opens after the Indian close. Check the GIFT Nifty reading before the open.

Events That Can Move the Sensex Tomorrow

  • The weekly Sensex contract expired on Thursday, 12 November. The next weekly expiry is Thursday, 19 November.
  • India's October consumer price inflation was released at 4:00 PM on Thursday, after the market close, with economists in reports expecting a reading near 6%. Check the official release for the actual print.
  • Eicher Motors and Vodafone Idea are expected to report September-quarter results on Friday, according to reports.
  • The next Nifty weekly expiry falls on Tuesday, 17 November.

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Scenarios and Strategy

Scenario Trigger What It Would Suggest
Positive Close above 82,000 with rising volume A move toward 82,326 and 82,500, near the day high and the outer call strike
Base case Trade between 81,600 and 82,100 Consolidation around the 82,000 strike, the usual pattern for the Sensex tomorrow
Cautious Close below 81,500 A test of 81,000, with the supertrend floor far lower near 78,483
  • For the Sensex tomorrow, allow the first 30 minutes to pass before judging direction, since the open will reflect the inflation print and Wall Street's Thursday session.
  • Treat 81,500 as the line that decides whether the rally holds.
  • Do not chase the index above 82,000 without a close above it, and set exit levels before entering.
  • Treat the Sensex prediction for tomorrow as a range, not a promise.

Check live Sensex levels and sector trends on the Univest Screener

What Does Sentiment Indicate for the Sensex Tomorrow?

Sentiment for the Sensex tomorrow is constructive but crowded. Foreign institutions have recorded steady inflows this month, crude has eased and India VIX fell to 16.59, but the RSI is near 96 and the put-call ratio of 0.83 shows heavier call writing above the close.

Ankit Jaiswal suggests watching whether the index can hold above 81,500 during the first hour, since that would keep the rally intact. Kunal Singla flags that the early high of 82,326 was not held and that the new weekly series is still building, so a repeat of that fade may change the picture for the Sensex tomorrow.

Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • A hawkish shift in US rate expectations or weakness in global technology stocks could change risk appetite before the open.
  • An Indian inflation print at or above 6% could revive worries about the rate path and weigh on bank stocks, which led Thursday.
  • Profit-taking after the steep rise could pull the index below 81,500 without any change in the wider trend.
  • On the upside, steady foreign inflows and lower crude could carry the index through 82,000 faster than expected.

Conclusion

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow is positive but stretched, with 81,900 and 81,500 as support and 82,000 and 82,500 as resistance. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla suggest that a close above 82,000 would extend the rally, while a break below 81,500 would weaken it. The Sensex outlook for tomorrow is a view, not a guarantee. These are educational views, so size every decision to your own risk plan.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, 13 November 2026?

Ans. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow starts from Thursday's close of 81,911.01 (+0.04%), after a range of 81,576.15 to 82,325.61. Analysts at Univest expect a range of 81,500 to 82,300 on Friday, with a close above 82,000 needed to extend the rally and a close below 81,500 likely to weaken it. India's October inflation print, released after the close, may add volatility.

What are the Sensex support and resistance levels for tomorrow?

Ans. For the Sensex tomorrow, support sits at 81,900 and 81,500, with the Thursday low of 81,576 between them. Put open interest is about 1.07 lakh at 81,900, 0.70 lakh at 81,500 and 1.48 lakh at 81,000. Resistance sits at 82,000 and 82,500, where call open interest is about 2.57 lakh and 1.34 lakh. The 82,326 day high is the first marker above 82,000.

Why did the Sensex rise only 0.04% on Thursday?

Ans. The Sensex touched 82,325.61 but gave up about 415 points to close at 81,911.01, on its weekly expiry day. Banks gained, with Nifty PSU Bank up 1.51% and Nifty Private Bank up 0.87%, but Nifty Auto fell 1.02%, Nifty FMCG fell 0.74% and Nifty IT fell 0.41%. TCS fell 1.20% and Hindustan Unilever fell 1.47%, which offset the gains in SBI and ICICI Bank.

Is the Sensex overbought?

Ans. The daily 14-period RSI is about 96, which sits far above the 70 mark that traders call overbought. The index is about 5.7% above its 20-day average of 77,469 and about 6.3% above its 200-day average of 77,057. Analysts at Univest read this as a sign that the Sensex may consolidate before trying to extend the rally.

What does the Sensex put-call ratio of 0.83 mean?

Ans. A ratio of 0.83 on the weekly series that expires on Thursday, 19 November, means call open interest is about 21% larger than put open interest, which points to more resistance than support above the close. Total open interest stands at about 33 lakh calls and 27 lakh puts. The series is new, so the totals can shift quickly in the coming sessions.

How does the Sensex expiry date affect tomorrow?

Ans. The weekly Sensex contract expired on Thursday, 12 November, so Friday is the first session of the new series that expires on 19 November. Open interest is still building, which means the strikes at 81,500, 82,000 and 82,500 can change. Analysts at Univest suggest checking the open interest again each morning before relying on a level.

Which Sensex stocks are on the watchlist for tomorrow?

Ans. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, Reliance Industries, TCS and Hindustan Unilever are the heavyweights flagged for Friday. These are watchlist ideas, not buy calls, and each should be checked against your own risk plan before acting.

Is this Sensex prediction for tomorrow investment advice?

Ans. No. These are educational views from SEBI-registered research analysts at Univest, built on closing data, technical readings and options positioning. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor and check every level against your own risk plan before acting.

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Note: This blog is for information purpose only. Investments and trading are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

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