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Gold Price Prediction for Tomorrow, 14 August 2026: MCX Gold Slips 0.37 Percent to Rs 1,53,178 as Crude Oil Crash Reduces Inflation-Hedge Premium

MCX Gold Thu: Rs 1,53,178/10g (-0.37%). L: Rs 1,52,250. Crude Rs 7,779 (-1.88%). Silver -0.80%. Nifty -0.16%. Sensex +0.15%. Bank Nifty -0.43%.


13 Aug 20265:21 pm

Gold Price Prediction for Tomorrow, 14 August 2026: MCX Gold Slips 0.37 Percent to Rs 1,53,178 as Crude Oil Crash Reduces Inflation-Hedge Premium

Quick Answer

MCX Gold slipped -0.37% to Rs 1,53,178 on Thursday as crude oil's -1.88% crash to Rs 7,779 reduced the inflation-hedge argument that had supported gold's Wednesday +0.83% rally. The Rs 1,52,250 intraday floor held through Thursday's session, keeping the medium-term uptrend intact. For Friday, the gold price prediction for tomorrow is cautiously stable ; support at Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 and resistance at Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500.

The gold price prediction for tomorrow for Friday 14 August 2026 is shaped by Thursday's twin macro developments: MCX Crude Oil crashing -1.88% to Rs 7,779 ; its sharpest single-day fall this week and lowest level since before Tuesday's Iran-deal-stall surge ; and TCS bouncing +1.08% to Rs 2,375, confirming IT sector recovery after Wednesday's -3.93% crash. Nifty 50 closed at 24,395.85 (-0.16%) in its fourth consecutive opening-high distribution session, while the Sensex defied the trend at 78,079.96 (+0.15%). Bank Nifty slipped -0.43% to 57,635.25 after ICICI Bank fell -1.74%, blocking the Day 6 banking rotation for a second consecutive day.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, frame the gold price prediction for tomorrow around crude oil's -1.88% Thursday fall as the dominant macro shift heading into Friday. At Rs 7,779 ; down from Rs 8,024 on Tuesday in just two sessions ; crude's 3% retreat provides substantial input cost relief to auto, FMCG, cement and chemicals sectors. Simultaneously, IT sector recovery (TCS +1.08%, HCL Tech +0.34%) provides a second positive catalyst. Together, these two themes make the gold price prediction for tomorrow the most opportunity-rich of the week, even as banking consolidates after Thursday's ICICI Bank -1.74%.

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Thursday's Market Recap for the gold price prediction for tomorrow

Indicator Thu 13 Aug Close (Groww) Change Signal for Friday
Nifty 50 24,395.85 -0.16% 4th Open=High distribution; L:24,311; floor at 24,265 intact
Sensex 78,079.96 +0.15% Only index green; TCS +1.08% drove this; L:77,399
Bank Nifty 57,635.25 -0.43% Open=High session; ICICI -1.74% primary drag; L:57,548
MCX Crude Oil Rs 7,779/bbl -1.88% Largest single-day fall this week; below Rs 7,800; Iran deal signals
MCX Gold Rs 1,53,178/10g -0.37% Mild pullback from Wed high; L:1,52,250; support intact
MCX Silver Rs 2,36,750/kg -0.80% Correcting from Wed bounce; L:2,34,700
MCX Copper Rs 1,371.15/kg -0.29% Mild dip; L:1,357.55; industrial demand intact
MCX Zinc Rs 393.50/kg -0.51% L:390.45; supply deficit still alive
MCX Nat Gas Rs 266.50/MMBTU -0.60% L:265.80; consolidating above Rs 265
TCS Rs 2,375 +1.08% IT Day 1 recovery; NASDAQ bounce confirmed; H:2,375
ICICI Bank Rs 1,406.80 -1.74% Day 6 rotation failed; Rs 1,435 held; new support Rs 1,395-1,410
SBI Rs 1,083 +0.09% PSU banking stable; H:1,086.80; floor at Rs 1,073
Reliance Rs 1,317 -0.90% Worst session this week; L:1,307.20; crude fall helps O2C Fri

gold price prediction for tomorrow: Key Factors for Friday

  • MCX Gold fell -0.37% to Rs 1,53,178 on Thursday after crude oil collapsed -1.88% to Rs 7,779 ; its steepest single-session fall this week. The connection is arithmetic: when crude falls sharply on Iran deal signals, the inflation-hedge component of gold demand softens. Thursday's gold price prediction for tomorrow context is that Rs 1,52,250 intraday low held, meaning safe-haven demand (independent of crude) is still present at lower levels.
  • COMEX Gold direction pre-market Friday is Friday's primary overnight signal. Thursday's MCX Gold session high of Rs 1,53,903 (near Wednesday's Rs 1,53,879 high) shows gold tried to extend Wednesday's rally but couldn't sustain above Rs 1,53,900. For Friday's gold price prediction for tomorrow, COMEX Gold above USD 2,830/oz overnight = mild positive; below USD 2,800/oz = further pressure toward Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 support.
  • MCX Silver fell -0.80% to Rs 2,36,750 Thursday ; a larger correction than gold's -0.37%. for Friday's session, when silver corrects more than gold (silver-gold ratio widening), it typically signals risk-off positioning rather than structural precious metals selling. Ankit Jaiswal reads this as short-term profit booking from Wednesday's strong silver +1.64% bounce rather than a change in the precious metals trend for Friday's session.
  • TCS bouncing +1.08% Thursday and equity markets partially recovering (Sensex +0.15%) reduced the equity-market-fear component of gold demand for Friday's session. Safe-haven gold demand typically softens when IT sector recovery signals that the broader correction is technical rather than structural. For Friday, the gold price prediction for tomorrow sits at the intersection of reduced inflation fear (crude -1.88%) and reduced equity fear (TCS recovery).

Technical Levels for the gold price prediction for tomorrow

Level Zone Why It Matters
Primary Support Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 Confirmed buyer zone from Thursday's session; DII accumulation visible
Secondary Support Rs 1,50,500-1,51,200 Deeper correction floor ; only matters if primary breaks on Friday
Immediate Resistance Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 First recovery target for Friday; partial booking zone
Extended Resistance Rs 1,56,000-1,57,000 Breakout target if Friday session builds on Thursday momentum

Stocks Flagged for the gold price prediction for tomorrow

Stock Thu Close Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Analyst Why Now
Hindustan Zinc Rs 590 est. (Thu) Rs 585-595 Rs 618 Rs 570 Ankit Jaiswal Hindustan Zinc covers both zinc and silver realizations. Gold price prediction for tomorrow soft gold is partially offset by structural zinc supply deficit premium.
Titan Company Rs 4,920 est. Rs 4,888-4,925 Rs 5,055 Rs 4,820 Kunal Singla Titan jewellery revenue tracks gold prices per gram. Gold above Rs 1,52,000 keeps jewellery segment economics positive for Friday's session.
Muthoot Finance Rs 1,910 est. Rs 1,892-1,912 Rs 1,952 Rs 1,858 Ankit Jaiswal Muthoot gold loan collateral value at Rs 1,53,178 remains elevated. Gold price prediction for tomorrow floor at Rs 1,52,000+ keeps Muthoot AUM healthy.

Screen All Stocks for Friday's session on Univest Screener

Strategy for the gold price prediction for tomorrow Session

  1. Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 is Friday's buy-on-dip zone for Friday's session. Ankit Jaiswal recommends entering gold on any Thursday night/Friday morning COMEX weakness that brings MCX Gold toward this level, targeting Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 with Rs 1,50,500 stop-loss.
  2. If COMEX Gold is above USD 2,835/oz pre-market Friday, the gold price prediction for tomorrow is stable-to-positive ; hold existing positions and add on any morning dip to Rs 1,52,500-1,53,000.
  3. MCX Crude sustaining below Rs 7,750 on Friday removes inflation-hedge demand for gold further. In this scenario, the gold price prediction for tomorrow targets Rs 1,51,500-1,52,000 as the correction floor before the next recovery.
  4. Kunal Singla monitors Iran deal news as the binary overnight catalyst for Friday's session ; deal confirmed overnight = crude collapses further = gold inflation-hedge demand reduces sharply; deal collapses = crude spikes back = gold premiums return Friday.

Key Risks to the gold price prediction for tomorrow

  • Crude oil collapsing further below Rs 7,600-7,650 Friday if Iran deal confirms, reducing gold inflation-hedge demand sharply on Friday.
  • COMEX Gold breaking below USD 2,790/oz overnight, dragging MCX Gold toward Rs 1,51,000-1,51,500 and testing the secondary gold price prediction for tomorrow support.
  • Equity markets (TCS, Sensex) recovering strongly Friday, further reducing safe-haven gold demand in Friday's session.

Conclusion

The gold price prediction for tomorrow for Friday 14 August 2026 has crude oil's -1.88% Thursday fall to Rs 7,779 as its most important macro input. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest identifies primary support at Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 and immediate resistance at Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 for Friday's session, with the crude relief trade (auto, FMCG, cement) and IT recovery (TCS, HCL Tech) as Friday's two highest-conviction positive themes.

Kunal Singla of Univest adds that ICICI Bank's Thursday -1.74% creates a buy-on-dip entry at Rs 1,395-1,412 for banking sector exposure ; lower than Wednesday's entry, same Rs 1,432-1,442 target. Check GIFT Nifty above 24,420 and NASDAQ above 22,000 at 9 AM Friday as the two pre-market signals that confirm Friday's positive bias for Friday's session.

Disclaimer: Data in this article is sourced from publicly available information and may not be accurate. Verify all data with NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) before making investment decisions. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

FAQs on Gold Price Prediction For Tomorrow, 14 August 2026

What is the gold price prediction for tomorrow, 14 August 2026?

Ans. The gold price prediction for tomorrow is cautiously stable. MCX Gold fell -0.37% to Rs 1,53,178 on Thursday as crude oil's -1.88% crash reduced inflation-hedge demand. The Rs 1,52,250 intraday floor held. Support for Friday is Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 and resistance is Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 on Friday.

Why did gold fall on Thursday despite equity markets being mixed in the gold price prediction for tomorrow context?

Ans. Crude oil's -1.88% crash to Rs 7,779 reduced the inflation component of gold demand ; when crude falls sharply on Iran deal signals, gold's inflation-hedge premium contracts. Simultaneously, TCS bouncing +1.08% reduced equity-fear demand for gold. Both inflation fear and equity fear eased Thursday, explaining gold's -0.37% in Friday's context.

What is MCX Gold support and resistance for the gold price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Support is Rs 1,52,000-1,52,500 and Rs 1,50,500-1,51,200. Resistance is Rs 1,54,000-1,54,500 and Rs 1,56,000-1,57,000 on Friday.

Which analysts prepared the gold price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the gold price prediction for tomorrow using Groww-confirmed Thursday 13 August data: MCX Gold Rs 1,53,178 (-0.37%), H: Rs 1,53,903, L: Rs 1,52,250.

What stocks benefit in the gold price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Titan Company (jewellery revenue at Rs 1,52,000+ gold floor), Muthoot Finance (gold loan AUM) and Hindustan Zinc (combined zinc-silver realization) are the three equity plays on Friday.

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