Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 11 August 2026: Iran Deal Stall Drives Energy Surge as Crude Tops Rs 7,520 and Natural Gas Jumps 3.33 Percent

MCX Mon: Crude +1.29% Rs 7,520; Gas +3.33% Rs 264.10; Gold +0.51% Rs 1,51,310; Silver +0.96%; Copper +0.75%; Zinc +0.78%.

Updated: 10 Aug 2026 • 4:38 pm

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Commodity Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 11 August 2026: Iran Deal Stall Drives Energy Surge as Crude Tops Rs 7,520 and Natural Gas Jumps 3.33 Percent

The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday 11 August 2026 is built on Monday's confirmed market close. Nifty 50 settled at 24,583.80 (+0.05%), Sensex at 78,542.44 (+0.06%) and Bank Nifty at 57,686.95 (-0.10%). The session's defining story: Bajaj Finance recovered 2.24% to Rs 1,102.20 (resolving Friday's NBFC fear), SBI fell 2.39% on post-Q1 result profit booking and ICICI Bank bounced 0.76% confirming the Day 3 PSU-private rotation reversal. On the commodity side, MCX Crude surged 1.29% to Rs 7,520 and MCX Natural Gas jumped 3.33% to Rs 264.10, signalling Iran deal talks stalled. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, present the complete commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

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Table of Contents

Today's Confirmed Data for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

Indicator	Today's Close (Mon 10 Aug)	Change
Nifty 50	24,583.80	+0.05% (H: 24,620.55 / L: 24,511.30)
Sensex	78,542.44	+0.06% (H: 78,672.08 / L: 78,305.94)
Bank Nifty	57,686.95	-0.10% (H: 58,012.60 / L: 57,527.75)
Nifty IT	31,631.45	+0.27%; Infosys +0.67%, TCS -1.10%
Nifty Auto	29,620.05	-0.09%; crude +1.29% is input cost headwind
Nifty Private Bank	27,534.30	+0.52%; ICICI Bank +0.76% Day 3 reversal
Nifty PSU Bank	8,639.80	-1.67%; SBI -2.39% post-Q1 booking
Nifty Metal	13,226.70	+0.28%; Hindustan Zinc positive
Bajaj Finance	Rs 1,102.20 (+2.24%)	Recovered from Friday crash; NBFC fear resolved
MCX Crude Oil (Aug)	Rs 7,520/bbl (+1.29%)	Iran deal stalled; biggest commodity move today
MCX Natural Gas (Aug)	Rs 264.10/MMBTU (+3.33%)	Biggest single-day surge this week; supply tightness
MCX Gold (10g)	Rs 1,51,310/10g (+0.51%)	Second positive session; range Rs 1,50,001-1,51,999
MCX Silver (Mini Aug)	Rs 2,34,933/kg (+0.96%)	Range Rs 2,32,299-2,36,300; precious metals bull intact
MCX Copper (Aug)	Rs 1,375.70/kg (+0.75%)	Range Rs 1,365.75-1,380.50; industrial demand positive
MCX Zinc (Aug)	Rs 392.15/kg (+0.78%)	Range Rs 388.20-393.80; supply deficit intact
India VIX	12.19 (+0.25%)	Stable; range 10.82-12.92; no panic in market

Energy Surge: The commodity market prediction for tomorrow's Key Variable for Tomorrow

Monday's biggest market-moving development was not in equities but in energy commodities. MCX Crude Oil surged 1.29% to Rs 7,520 and MCX Natural Gas jumped 3.33% to Rs 264.10, both confirming that Iran-US deal negotiations stalled over the weekend. Ankit Jaiswal notes that this energy surge has direct sector implications for tomorrow: it is a headwind for Auto, FMCG and Cement (higher input costs) and a tailwind for ONGC and the broader energy sector. for tomorrow, monitoring Brent crude direction Tuesday morning is as important as watching domestic banking recovery.

Kunal Singla observes that Natural Gas at Rs 264.10 is the highest level in over two months, reversing all of the Iran-deal-hope-driven decline from Rs 280+ levels in June. for tomorrow, if crude and gas continue higher Tuesday, defensive sectors (IT, healthcare, FMCG) would outperform cyclicals (auto, cement) in the prediction for tomorrow session.

Key Factors for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

Monday's commodity market prediction for tomorrow is defined by a clear energy-led surge. Crude oil gaining 1.29% to Rs 7,520 and Natural Gas surging 3.33% to Rs 264.10 simultaneously confirms that Iran-US deal talks stalled over the weekend and Strait of Hormuz risk premiums are returning to energy prices. for tomorrow, this energy surge has sector implications: headwind for Auto and FMCG (input costs), tailwind for ONGC (upstream realization).
All six tracked MCX commodities gained on Monday: Crude +1.29%, Gas +3.33%, Gold +0.51%, Silver +0.96%, Copper +0.75%, Zinc +0.78%. for tomorrow, broad participation across energy, precious metals and base metals is the strongest multi-session momentum signal in this batch.
Gold at Rs 1,51,310 (+0.51%) and Silver at Rs 2,34,933 (+0.96%) sustaining their gains alongside energy's surge confirms the commodity market prediction for tomorrow has a dual inflation-hedge and safe-haven foundation. The precious metals are not just following energy; they are independently supported by Iran deal stall uncertainty.
Natural Gas at Rs 264.10 (+3.33%) is tomorrow's most important single reading. This 3.33% jump is the clearest confirmation that Iran deal stalled. Watch NYMEX Natural Gas and Brent Crude pre-market to calibrate the commodity market prediction for tomorrow energy continuation or reversal.

Technical Levels for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

Level	Zone
Key Support	Crude Rs 7,420-7,470; Gold Rs 1,49,800; Gas Rs 258
Secondary Support	Crude Rs 7,280; Gold Rs 1,48,200
Immediate Resistance	Crude Rs 7,580-7,650; Gold Rs 1,52,000; Gas Rs 268
Key Resistance	Crude Rs 7,800; Gold Rs 1,54,000

Stocks to Watch for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

ONGC: CMP Rs 242 est.. Ankit Jaiswal flags entry Rs 238-241, target Rs 252, SL Rs 230. ONGC benefits from both crude +1.29% and gas +3.33% through Q2 FY27 upstream realization improvement. It is tomorrow's primary energy equity beneficiary.

Hindustan Zinc: CMP Rs 603 approx. Kunal Singla flags entry Rs 596-601, target Rs 622, SL Rs 584. Hindustan Zinc expresses both silver (+0.96%) and zinc (+0.78%) in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow through its integrated production model.

Hindalco: CMP Rs 760 est.. Ankit Jaiswal flags entry Rs 752-758, target Rs 782, SL Rs 736. Hindalco provides broad base metals coverage through copper and aluminium in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

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Strategy for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

for tomorrow, Natural Gas is the highest-momentum continuation trade. Buy MCX Natural Gas at Rs 258-262 on any Tuesday morning dip with Rs 268-274 as first target.
for tomorrow, Gold remains the safest precious metals long. Accumulate MCX Gold at Rs 1,49,800-1,50,400 on Tuesday morning dips.
for tomorrow, crude is the binary Iran watch: no deal sustained overnight = crude holds Rs 7,420+ and targets Rs 7,580-7,650; Iran deal revived = crude gap-down risk.
Copper and Zinc are tomorrow's base case longs: China August demand and supply deficit dynamics are independent of Iran, providing structural support at any Tuesday dip.

Risks to the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

Iran deal formally confirmed overnight creating broad commodity gap-down in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow: energy (crude and gas) would fall sharply; precious metals would moderate.
US macro data strengthening global risk-on flows compressing gold and silver while supporting dollar in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
Energy complex giving back Monday's gains on technical profit-taking creating a mixed commodity market prediction for tomorrow opening.

Conclusion

The commodity market prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday 11 August 2026 is shaped by three resolved positives from Monday: Bajaj Finance +2.24% (NBFC fear gone), ICICI Bank +0.76% (private bank Day 3 reversal confirmed) and SBI post-Q1 booking potentially exhausted at Rs 1,071. The primary new risk is energy: crude +1.29% to Rs 7,520 and Natural Gas +3.33% to Rs 264.10 signal Iran deal stalled, creating input cost headwinds for auto and FMCG in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest identifies Crude Rs 7,420-7,470; Gold Rs 1,49,800; Gas Rs 258 as the primary support and Crude Rs 7,580-7,650; Gold Rs 1,52,000; Gas Rs 268 as the resistance for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow on Tuesday.

Kunal Singla of Univest recommends the three-check approach for tomorrow: Brent crude direction pre-market (key for sector rotation in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow), Bajaj Finance opening above Rs 1,100 (NBFC recovery sustaining) and ICICI Bank above Rs 1,435 (Day 4 private bank recovery continuing). VIX at 12.19 confirms stable volatility for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow on Tuesday.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Verify all data with NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) before investing. Investments are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

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FAQs on Commodity Market Prediction For Tomorrow, 11 August 2026

What is the commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 11 August 2026?

Ans. The commodity market prediction for tomorrow is broadly bullish. All six MCX commodities gained on Monday: Crude +1.29% (Rs 7,520), Natural Gas +3.33% (Rs 264.10), Gold +0.51% (Rs 1,51,310), Silver +0.96% (Rs 2,34,933), Copper +0.75% and Zinc +0.78%. Iran deal stall is the primary driver of the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

Which commodity leads the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Natural Gas at +3.33% to Rs 264.10 leads the commodity market prediction for tomorrow as the clearest Iran deal stall indicator. Its 3.33% single-session surge is the strongest commodity market prediction for tomorrow signal for continued energy complex strength on Tuesday.

Which analysts prepared the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the commodity market prediction for tomorrow using Groww-confirmed Monday data across all MCX segments.

What is Crude Oil support and resistance for the commodity market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Crude support is Rs 7,420-7,470 and Rs 7,280. Resistance is Rs 7,580-7,650 and Rs 7,800 in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

How does the energy surge affect the equity market in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow context?

Ans. Crude +1.29% and Gas +3.33% on Monday create input cost headwinds for Auto (tyre and fuel costs), FMCG (packaging) and Cement (pet coke energy). They create tailwinds for ONGC (realization), IGL (volume growth) and Reliance (O2C and KG-D6) in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.