Nifty FMCG Prediction for Monday, 10 August 2026: Index Gains 0.13 Percent to 49,435 as HUL Rises 0.79 Percent and Crude Maintains Input Cost Benefit
- August 7, 2026
- Posted by: Lakshit Sharma
- Category: News
Nifty FMCG Fri: 49,435.20 (+0.13% (+65.35 pts)). Range: 49,217.55-49,628.85. Nifty IT +1.42%. SBI Q1 NIM 3%. Bajaj Fin -5.84%. VIX 12.16.
The Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday on Monday 10 August 2026 is shaped by Friday’s session where Nifty 50 closed at 24,570.65 (down 65 points, -0.27%), Sensex fell 455 points to 78,499.17 and Bank Nifty lost 317 points to 57,746.45. The session’s defining paradox: SBI Q1 FY27 beat strongly (PAT +10.23%, NIM recovered to exactly 3 percent, GNPA at a two-decade low of 1.47 percent) but Bajaj Finance crashed 5.84 percent and ICICI Bank fell 2.5 percent, dragging the financial sector. The top performers were Nifty Auto (+1.83 percent), Nifty IT (+1.42 percent led by TCS +3.36 percent) and MCX Gold (+1.40 percent) and MCX Silver (+3.19 percent). The Nifty FMCG is the sectoral index for this prediction for Monday. The primary catalyst for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday is the US Non-Farm Payrolls for July 2026, released at 6 PM IST today after Indian market close, which will determine Monday’s opening gap direction. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, present the complete Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday.
Click Here – Get Free Investment Predictions
Friday’s Data Behind the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
| Indicator | Friday 7 Aug Close (Groww Confirmed) | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,570.65 | -65.35 pts (-0.27%) |
| Sensex | 78,499.17 | -455.59 pts (-0.58%) |
| Bank Nifty | 57,746.45 | -317.20 pts (-0.55%) |
| Nifty Auto | 29,646.95 | +1.83%; top sectoral gainer |
| Nifty IT | 31,547.70 | +1.42%; TCS +3.36%, HCL +1.62%, Infosys +0.87% |
| Nifty PSU Bank | 8,786.20 | +0.65%; SBI +1.12% on Q1 FY27 beat |
| Nifty Metal | 13,189.85 | +0.50%; Hindustan Zinc +2.20% |
| Nifty Private Bank | 27,392.35 | -1.04%; ICICI -2.50%, Axis -1.43% |
| SBI Q1 FY27 | Rs 1,097.20 (+1.12%) | PAT Rs 21,121 cr (+10.23%); NIM 3.0%; GNPA 1.47% (2-decade low). High: Rs 1,124.5 |
| Bajaj Finance | Rs 1,078 (-5.84%) | Biggest Nifty 50 loser; dragged Fin Services sector |
| MCX Gold (Aug Fut) | Rs 1,49,703/10g (+1.40%) | Strong surge; safe-haven demand |
| MCX Silver (Mini Aug) | Rs 2,34,741/kg (+3.19%) | Outperformed gold; industrial + safe-haven combined |
| MCX Crude Oil (Aug) | Rs 7,356/bbl (-0.28%) | Slight dip; Iran deal uncertainty continues |
| India VIX | 12.16 | Unchanged from previous close |
| US NFP (July 2026) | Released 6 PM IST today | Primary weekend catalyst for Monday gap direction |
SBI Q1 FY27 and Bajaj Finance: Two Opposite Forces Behind the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
Friday’s session presented two contradictory catalysts for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday. SBI delivered its strongest quarterly result in recent memory: PAT up 10.23 percent to Rs 21,121 crore, NIM recovered to exactly 3 percent from Q4 FY26’s 2.93 percent and GNPA fell to 1.47 percent, a two-decade low. SBI surged to Rs 1,124.5 intraday before closing at Rs 1,097.20 (+1.12 percent). Simultaneously, Bajaj Finance crashed 5.84 percent to Rs 1,078, the biggest Nifty 50 loser, dragging the financial services sector. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday is shaped by which of these two forces dominates on Monday: SBI’s confirmed earnings strength or Bajaj Finance’s Q1 result-related concerns spilling into the broader NBFC sector.
Technical Levels for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
| Level Type | Zone |
|---|---|
| Immediate Support | 49,200-49,280 |
| Key Support | 48,850-48,950 |
| Immediate Resistance | 49,700-49,800 |
| Key Resistance | 50,100-50,300 |
Kunal Singla observes that India VIX closed Friday at 12.16, unchanged from Thursday’s close. Stable VIX at 12-13 despite the broader market fall is structurally positive for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday: it means option sellers are not panicking and the August monthly series maintains a defined range. The Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday’s support at 49,200-49,280 is the immediate floor heading into Monday.
US NFP: The Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday Primary Weekend Variable
US Non-Farm Payrolls for July 2026 releases at 6 PM IST today. A healthy NFP (175,000-230,000 range) supports a Monday gap-up in this outlook as Dow Jones rises and FII risk-on flows return to India on Monday morning. A weak NFP below 130,000 raises US recession concerns and creates a Monday gap-down in this outlook. Ankit Jaiswal recommends checking GIFT Nifty at 9 AM Monday before making any Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday position decisions.
Key Factors for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
- MCX Crude at Rs 7,356 (-0.28 percent Friday) maintains the packaging and surfactant raw material cost improvement. HUL at Rs 2,096 (+0.79 percent) and ITC at Rs 286.10 (+0.07 percent) both benefit directly from lower crude derivative inputs, supporting the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday.
- Nifty FMCG gaining 0.13 percent while broader Nifty fell 0.27 percent confirms defensive rotation into FMCG on a weak equity market day. This defensive characteristic will continue on Monday if the broader market remains cautious in this outlook.
- Rural demand growing 11 percent year-on-year in Q1 FY27 versus urban 8 percent provides FMCG volume growth visibility that is independent of daily market events, supporting the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday structural positive.
- US NFP at 6 PM IST today: if NFP is weak and broader markets fall on Monday, FMCG would outperform again through defensive rotation, making the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday a relative outperformer even in a down market.
Stocks to Watch for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
Univest analysts flag the following stocks for educational observation in this outlook on Monday. These are not buy or sell recommendations.
HUL: CMP Rs 2,096 (+0.79% Fri). Ankit Jaiswal flags entry Rs 2,078-2,092, target Rs 2,148, SL Rs 2,042. HUL gained 0.79 percent Friday versus a down broader market, confirming Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday defensive strength. Crude input cost improvement directly improves HUL margins.
ITC: CMP Rs 286.10 (+0.07% Fri). Kunal Singla flags entry Rs 283-285, target Rs 296, SL Rs 276. ITC stabilised at Rs 286 after recent selling pressure. For the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday, ITC above Rs 286 confirms the FMCG recovery is broad-based.
BPCL: CMP Rs 321 (-0.83% Fri). Ankit Jaiswal flags entry Rs 315-320, target Rs 335, SL Rs 306. BPCL’s crude direction is the inverse signal for FMCG input costs in this outlook.
Screen All Stocks for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday on Univest
Trading Strategy for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
- 49,200-49,280 is the support for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday.
- 49,700-49,800 is the first resistance in this outlook. Ankit Jaiswal recommends booking here.
- HUL above Rs 2,100 on Monday open confirms the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday bull case.
- Iran deal overnight pushing crude sharply lower would be the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday’s strongest catalyst through packaging cost improvement.
Risks to the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday
- Crude surge from Iran talks collapse reversing input cost tailwinds in this outlook.
- ITC regulatory headwinds continuing to create sector-specific drag in this outlook.
- Sector rotation from defensive FMCG back to growth sectors on strong NFP reducing Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday relative outperformance.
Conclusion
The Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday on Monday 10 August 2026 is built on Friday’s close of 49,435.20 (+0.13% (+65.35 pts)), from a session where Nifty Auto (+1.83 percent), Nifty IT (+1.42 percent) and MCX precious metals (Gold +1.40 percent, Silver +3.19 percent) were the week’s bright spots while Bajaj Finance (-5.84 percent) and ICICI Bank (-2.5 percent) created financial sector drag. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest identifies 49,700-49,800 as the primary resistance and 49,200-49,280 as the critical support for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday. The US NFP at 6 PM IST today is the primary variable: monitor GIFT Nifty Sunday evening and at 9 AM Monday before positioning for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday.
Kunal Singla of Univest notes that the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday has a dual structure for Monday: the recovery case (IT and Auto momentum continues, SBI Q1 beat sustains, NFP healthy) and the continuation decline case (Bajaj Finance concerns spread to NBFCs, private banks extend selling, weak NFP). The Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday’s support zone at 49,200-49,280 is the line between these two scenarios on Monday.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live levels and receive NFP-driven alerts for the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday on Monday.
FAQs on Nifty Fmcg Prediction For Monday, 10 August 2026
What is the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday, 10 August 2026?
Ans. The Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday is positive. Nifty FMCG gained 0.13 percent to 49,435.20 on Friday, outperforming the broader Nifty (-0.27 percent) through defensive rotation. MCX Crude at Rs 7,356 maintains input cost improvement. Support is 49,200-49,280 and resistance is 49,700-49,800 in this outlook.
Which analysts prepared the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday?
Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday using Groww-confirmed data: Nifty FMCG 49,435.20 (+0.13%), HUL Rs 2,096 (+0.79%), ITC Rs 286.10 (+0.07%).
How does crude affect the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday?
Ans. MCX Crude at Rs 7,356 reduces packaging, surfactant and fragrance raw material costs 16-24 basis points per 5 US dollar decline. HUL at +0.79 percent Friday confirms this margin improvement is already being priced in this outlook.
What is Nifty FMCG support and resistance for the prediction for Monday?
Ans. Support is 49,200-49,280 and 48,850-48,950. Resistance is 49,700-49,800 and 50,100-50,300 in this outlook.
What stocks are watched in the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday?
Ans. HUL (+0.79% Friday, defensive outperformer), ITC (stabilising above Rs 286) and BPCL (crude inverse reference) are the three stocks in the Nifty FMCG prediction for Monday.