Stock Market Predictions for Monday: Sensex Monthly Expiry Outlook for 29 June 2026

Stock market predictions for Monday, 29 June 2026, lean cautiously positive as the Sensex closed at 77,100.47 (++0.14%) on 25 June 2026 after settling its weekly options above the 77,000 max pain zone. The Nifty 50 ended at 24,056.00 (++0.14%) and India VIX fell further to 13.05 (-2.54%), reaching a multi-week low. A critical context for the stock market predictions for Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day, which creates significant pin-risk around the 77,000 to 77,200 zone and will dominate Monday’s intraday action. Additionally, the Monday share price prediction environment is shaped by the Iran-US Switzerland talks weekend outcome and Friday’s market direction.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Associate Director Kunal Singla have reviewed this week’s expiry cycle, Sensex monthly expiry setup, and global cues to present their stock market predictions for Monday. The stock market predictions for Monday are additionally shaped by a full three-day gap from Friday close to Monday open, which gives Iran-US talks and weekend global developments maximum impact on the Monday share price prediction direction.

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Stock Market Predictions for Monday: This Week’s Recap

• Expiry-Heavy Week: This week saw three consecutive index expiries: Nifty 50 (Tuesday 24 June), Bank Nifty (Wednesday 25 June), and Sensex weekly (Thursday 25 June). Despite this volatility, Nifty 50 closed the week near 24,056. The stock market predictions for Monday benefit from a clean post-expiry slate for Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty heading into next week.
• VIX Signal: India VIX falling to 13.05 is the most constructive signal for stock market predictions for Monday. Multi-week low VIX signals that institutional hedgers are not pricing in significant near-term downside risk, supporting a stable to positive Monday share price prediction for Nifty 50 above 24,000.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry: 29 June 2026 is the Sensex monthly options expiry. This is a more significant event than the weekly Sensex expiry (Thursdays) and will create wider intraday swings in Sensex heavyweights throughout Monday’s session, especially between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM.

Nifty 50: Stock Market Predictions for Monday

Trend: Cautiously Positive | Watch 23,950 Support on Monday

Level	Nifty 50
Support 1	23,950
Support 2	23,800
Resistance 1	24,200
Resistance 2	24,350

Ankit Jaiswal places 23,950 as the immediate Nifty 50 support for the stock market predictions for Monday. A positive weekend global cue and Iran-US deal resolution would support Nifty 50 holding above 24,000 on Monday opening, targeting 24,200 as the first resistance. Jaiswal notes that Sensex monthly expiry on Monday will create cross-index volatility, particularly in the afternoon session, that can temporarily push Nifty 50 below 24,000 even if the broader stock market predictions for Monday are positive.

Bank Nifty: Stock Market Predictions for Monday

Trend: Consolidation | No Bank Nifty Expiry Monday

Level	Bank Nifty
Support 1	57,900
Support 2	57,600
Resistance 1	58,500
Resistance 2	58,700

Kunal Singla notes that Bank Nifty closed the week at 58,177.05 after last week’s +1.68% Wednesday expiry surge and this week’s steady consolidation. For the stock market predictions for Monday, Bank Nifty has no direct expiry event. However, Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 directly impacts HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank (key Bank Nifty and Sensex constituents), creating indirect Bank Nifty volatility on Monday afternoon. Support is at 57,900 with upside target of 58,500 in the stock market predictions for Monday if global cues improve over the weekend.

Global Cues for Stock Market Predictions for Monday

• Iran-US Talks Weekend Outcome: Talks entered Day 5 on Friday. A confirmed deal over the weekend would open markets with a positive gap on Monday, materially improving the stock market predictions for Monday above 24,200. A collapse would revive risk-off and create a gap-down start that challenges the Monday share price prediction support at 23,950.
• GIFT Nifty Pre-Open: Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM on Monday. Estimated near 24,080 based on Thursday’s close. A GIFT Nifty above 24,100 Monday morning confirms the stock market predictions for Monday positive bias; below 23,900 signals caution.
• US and Asian Weekend Developments: US Friday close, weekend Fed commentary, and Monday Asian market opens (Japan, Hong Kong) are key inputs for the stock market predictions for Monday before the 9:15 AM NSE open.

Key Events for Monday 29 June 2026

• Sensex Monthly Expiry: The BSE Sensex monthly options expiry on 29 June 2026 is the dominant domestic F&O event for the stock market predictions for Monday. Monthly expiry creates wider and more sustained intraday swings than weekly expiry. Max pain is estimated near 77,000 to 77,200 for the monthly series, directly shaping the Monday share price prediction for Sensex heavyweights throughout the session.
• FII Monthly Repositioning: June end triggers institutional rebalancing as fund managers close June books and position for July. FII and DII flows on Monday will be monitored closely for the stock market predictions for Monday direction signal.
• Monthly Rollover: July series F&O positions begin building on Monday. The stock market predictions for Monday will reflect initial July series OI as a forward-looking indicator of institutional sentiment for the month ahead.

Sectors to Watch: Monday Share Price Prediction

• Banking (Sensex Monthly Expiry Driver): HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank will see direct Sensex monthly expiry positioning on Monday. The Monday share price prediction for banking is constructive above 58,000 Bank Nifty support given this week’s strong expiry performance.
• Nifty IT (Key Watch): Infosys fell -1.46% on Thursday despite the broader market’s stability. The Monday share price prediction for IT will depend on whether this pullback extends or reverses given the sector’s recent two-day recovery momentum.
• Crude Oil Sensitive Sectors: If Iran-US deal is confirmed over the weekend, crude oil could gap down sharply Monday. The Monday share price prediction for Oil and Gas, Paints, and Aviation would be positive on lower crude; upstream E&P names would face pressure.

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Strategy: Stock Market Predictions for Monday

1. Check GIFT Nifty Before 9:15 AM: The stock market predictions for Monday start with GIFT Nifty. A positive GIFT Nifty above 24,100 at 9:00 AM Monday confirms the bullish scenario. Below 23,900 signals opening caution for the Monday share price prediction.
2. 23,950 as Monday Go/No-Go: The stock market predictions for Monday use 23,950 as the critical Nifty 50 level. Above it: buy dips with target 24,200. Below it on volume: reduce longs and wait for stabilisation before re-entering.
3. Sensex Monthly Expiry Caution: Between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM on Monday, Sensex monthly expiry will dominate. The stock market predictions for Monday advise booking 50% of open positions before 2:00 PM and reducing leverage significantly in the expiry window.
4. July Rollover Opportunity: The stock market predictions for Monday include watching July series OI build. High Put OI near 23,800 in July series from Monday open would confirm institutional support for the Monday share price prediction positive thesis.

What Market Data Says for Stock Market Predictions for Monday

India VIX at 13.05 entering the weekend is the single most positive signal for stock market predictions for Monday. Historically, when VIX enters a weekend below 13.5 with the index above 24,000, Monday openings tend to be range-bound to positive unless a major macro shock occurs overnight. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the stock market predictions for Monday therefore carry a structural positive bias, with the Sensex monthly expiry as the primary intraday complication rather than a trend reversal catalyst.

Kunal Singla observes that DII buying of Rs 66,215 crore MTD in June provides strong structural support for the Monday share price prediction. Even if FIIs remain net sellers on Monday, DII institutional demand has consistently absorbed selling pressure, preventing sharp corrections. The stock market predictions for Monday therefore expect a floor near 23,800 even in a negative scenario.

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live Nifty 50 and Sensex data for Monday’s session.

Risks to Stock Market Predictions for Monday

• Iran Talks Weekend Collapse: A definitive breakdown in Switzerland over the weekend would gap down the stock market predictions for Monday below 23,950, testing 23,800 on Monday opening.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Volatility: Monthly expiry creates wider intraday swings than weekly. The stock market predictions for Monday could see a 300 to 400 point Sensex move in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM window that temporarily disrupts Nifty 50 levels.
• FII June-End Selling: Month-end FII redemptions and portfolio rebalancing on June 29 could create additional selling pressure that weighs on the Monday share price prediction below 24,000.
• Weekend Global Risk Events: Any major geopolitical development, US economic data release, or central bank commentary over the weekend could sharply alter the stock market predictions for Monday from the current positive baseline.

Stocks to Watch on Monday, 29 June 2026

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Monday 29 June 2026. Note that 29 June 2026 is the Sensex monthly expiry, adding specific volatility to Sensex heavyweight names like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance, and Infosys in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM window.

Stock	CMP (25 June 2026)	Entry Zone	Target	Stop Loss
ICICI Bank	Rs 1,387.50	Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392	Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420	Rs 1,368
HDFC Bank	Rs 796.30	Rs 793 to Rs 799	Rs 812 to Rs 818	Rs 783
Reliance Industries	Rs 1,318.10	Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320	Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345	Rs 1,300

ICICI Bank at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01% on 25 June 2026) is the standout banking momentum stock heading into Monday. Jaiswal flags the Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 entry zone targeting Rs 1,412 with stop at Rs 1,368. As a top Sensex constituent, ICICI Bank will see specific Monday Sensex monthly expiry positioning during the 2:00 to 3:30 PM window. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 is the largest Sensex component and Singla flags it as the primary Sensex monthly expiry anchor stock for Monday. Entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, stop Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 benefits from continued crude oil weakness reducing downstream input costs. Jaiswal sees Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 as the entry zone targeting Rs 1,338, with stop at Rs 1,300.

Conclusion

The stock market predictions for Monday, 29 June 2026, are cautiously positive with Nifty 50 support at 23,950 and resistance at 24,200. Ankit Jaiswal places VIX at 13.05 and the clean post-weekly-expiry backdrop as the primary supports for the Monday share price prediction. The Sensex monthly options expiry on 29 June 2026 is the dominant intraday risk, requiring position reductions before the 2:00 PM expiry window. These stock market predictions for Monday will be refined based on Friday’s close, weekend Iran-US developments, and Monday pre-market GIFT Nifty levels.

This stock market predictions for Monday analysis is based on data as of close of trade on 25 June 2026 (Thursday). Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026 for the latest Monday share price prediction direction before the NSE opening bell.

FAQs

What are the stock market predictions for Monday, 29 June 2026?

Ans. Stock market predictions for Monday point to a cautiously positive session with Nifty 50 support at 23,950 and resistance at 24,200. The Sensex monthly options expiry on 29 June 2026 is the key intraday event, creating volatility between 2:00 and 3:30 PM. VIX at 13.05 and Iran-US talk weekend outcome are the primary macro inputs for the Monday share price prediction.

Why is the Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 important?

Ans. The BSE Sensex monthly options expiry on 29 June 2026 is more significant than the weekly Sensex expiry (Thursdays) as it carries larger open interest and wider pin-risk near 77,000 to 77,200. The stock market predictions for Monday are directly shaped by this monthly expiry, which will create intraday swings in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance, and other Sensex heavyweights throughout Monday’s session.

What is the Nifty 50 support for Monday 29 June 2026?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal places Nifty 50 support at 23,950 and 23,800 for the stock market predictions for Monday. Resistance is at 24,200 and 24,350. A hold above 23,950 confirms the Monday share price prediction positive bias. The stock market predictions for Monday turn decisively bullish on a sustained break above 24,200 with volume.

How does the weekend affect the Monday share price prediction?

Ans. The Monday share price prediction is uniquely shaped by three days of weekend developments. Iran-US talk outcome, US Friday close, and Asian Monday market opens all feed into the GIFT Nifty pre-market signal between 7:00 and 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026. A resolved Iran deal over the weekend materially boosts the Monday share price prediction; a collapse creates a gap-down risk to 23,800.

What stocks are good for the Monday 29 June 2026 session?

Ans. For the stock market predictions for Monday session, ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412, SL Rs 1,368), HDFC Bank (Sensex monthly expiry anchor, entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, SL Rs 783), and Reliance Industries (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338, SL Rs 1,300) are the primary Monday picks.