Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 10 August 2026: Two Weekends of Data Resolve SBI Q1 as Bajaj Finance Crash Creates the Key Overnight Question

The stock market prediction for tomorrow on Monday 10 August 2026 is the week's most information-rich prediction. This article is published on Sunday, August 9, meaning the US Non-Farm Payrolls data released at 6 PM IST on Friday August 7 is now a known variable. US markets Friday close is also known. The stock market prediction for tomorrow for Monday therefore starts from a position of complete information: readers know whether the Dow Jones rose or fell post-NFP, giving the stock market prediction for tomorrow a precision that no Friday evening article could match. The foundation is Friday's Nifty 50 close of 24,570.65 (-0.27 percent), which was shaped by a paradox: SBI Q1 FY27 beat all estimates (PAT +10.23 percent, NIM exactly 3 percent, GNPA 1.47 percent, a two-decade low) while Bajaj Finance crashed 5.84 percent and ICICI Bank fell 2.5 percent, making financial sector selling the dominant theme. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, deliver the complete stock market prediction for tomorrow.

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Last Trading Session Data Behind the stock market prediction for tomorrow

Index/Stock	Last Trading Day (Fri 7 Aug)	Change
Nifty 50	24,570.65	-65.35 pts (-0.27%)
Sensex	78,499.17	-455.59 pts (-0.58%)
Bank Nifty	57,746.45	-317.20 pts (-0.55%)
Nifty Auto	29,646.95	+1.83%; top sectoral performer
Nifty IT	31,547.70	+1.42%; TCS +3.36%, HCL +1.62%
Nifty PSU Bank	8,786.20	+0.65%; SBI Q1 FY27 beat
Nifty Private Bank	27,392.35	-1.04%; ICICI -2.50%, Axis -1.43%
SBI Q1 FY27	Rs 1,097.20 (+1.12%)	PAT Rs 21,121 cr (+10.23%); NIM 3.0%; GNPA 1.47% (2-decade low)
Bajaj Finance	Rs 1,078 (-5.84%)	Biggest Nifty 50 loser; NBFC sector concern heading into Monday
MCX Gold	Rs 1,49,703/10g (+1.40%)	Safe-haven demand on equity weakness
MCX Silver	Rs 2,34,741/kg (+3.19%)	Outperformed gold; GSR compression continues
India VIX	12.16	Unchanged; stable volatility heading into the weekend

The Five Things That Define the stock market prediction for tomorrow for Monday

1. SBI Q1 FY27 is confirmed positive. PAT up 10.23 percent, NIM at exactly 3 percent (met guidance), GNPA 1.47 percent (two-decade low). This is not a future variable for tomorrow: it is a confirmed fact. Institutional analyst reports have been arriving since Friday evening and will continue Monday morning. The SBI Q1 result improves every bank's credit quality narrative in this outlook, reducing systemic risk perception.

2. Bajaj Finance's crash requires clarity. Bajaj Finance at Rs 1,078 (-5.84 percent) is the stock market prediction for tomorrow's primary unresolved concern. If Bajaj Finance finds support Monday morning and announces Q1 FY27 results that clarify Friday's selling, the stock market prediction for tomorrow recovery case is intact. If Bajaj Finance continues declining, NBFC sector contagion would weigh on the stock market prediction for tomorrow.

3. IT and Auto momentum is the clean positive. TCS at Rs 2,452.70 (+3.36 percent Friday) and Nifty Auto at 29,646.95 (+1.83 percent) both gained on a down market day, confirming institutional conviction. For the stock market prediction for tomorrow, these two sectors provide the carry-forward positive momentum that does not depend on financial sector resolution.

4. US NFP result is now known. As this article is being read on Sunday August 9, the NFP data is already available. Check whether the Dow Jones Friday close was above 54,000 (positive for the stock market prediction for tomorrow) or below 53,000 (negative for the stock market prediction for tomorrow). This single data point determines Monday's gap-up or gap-down direction in this outlook.

5. PSU-private bank rotation is at Day 3. The rotation that drove SBI up and ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank down has been running for three sessions. Historically, PSU-private rotations reverse between Day 2 and Day 5. Monday is Day 3. Ankit Jaiswal flags that each passing session without reversal slightly increases the probability of a sharp snap-back on Monday in this outlook.

The stock market prediction for tomorrow Three Scenarios for Monday

Scenario	Probability	Trigger	Nifty Range
Recovery	45%	Bajaj Finance stabilises, healthy NFP, private banks bounce	24,620-24,720
Range-bound	40%	Bajaj Finance still under pressure, NFP mixed, IT holds	24,420-24,580
Extended decline	15%	Bajaj Finance continues falling, weak NFP, Dow below 53,000	24,200-24,380

Nifty 50 Technical Setup for the stock market prediction for tomorrow

Level	Zone	Role in stock market prediction for tomorrow
Bear case floor	24,200-24,280	Only tested if Dow fell sharply and Bajaj Finance extends decline
Immediate support	24,380-24,420	Primary floor for the base case
Friday close	24,570.65	The stock market prediction for tomorrow base reference from last trading session
Friday open	24,538.90	Reclaiming this on Monday morning = recovery confirmed
First resistance	24,620-24,680	Recovery target for the stock market prediction for tomorrow on Bajaj Finance stabilisation
Bull case	24,780-24,850	Requires healthy NFP plus private bank rotation reversal

What the Weekend Did to the stock market prediction for tomorrow

The weekend between Friday August 7 and Monday August 10 was not a blank. US NFP for July 2026 (the primary pre-weekend catalyst) arrived Friday evening. SBI Q1 analyst reports from all major brokerages were published Friday night and Saturday morning. These reports uniformly process SBI's two-decade-low GNPA as a structural positive for India's banking sector.

Ankit Jaiswal notes that Sunday is the day when India-dedicated FII portfolio managers review their India allocations after a full week of data. A week where SBI Q1 beat consensus while Bajaj Finance crashed creates a clear rebalancing signal: add PSU banks, review NBFC weightings. This Sunday rebalancing, executed as Monday morning orders, is the stock market prediction for tomorrow's primary FII flow driver.

Kunal Singla tracks GIFT Nifty at 9:00 AM Monday as the final stock market prediction for tomorrow pre-open indicator. GIFT Nifty above 24,580 signals positive pre-market; below 24,480 signals gap-down risk in this outlook.

Sector-by-Sector View for the stock market prediction for tomorrow

IT (most positive): TCS at Rs 2,452.70 (+3.36 percent Friday), Infosys at Rs 1,175.10 (+0.87 percent), HCL Technologies at Rs 1,356.60 (+1.62 percent) all gained on a down market day. The stock market prediction for tomorrow's most reliable buy signal is IT above Friday's levels at Monday open.

Auto (second most positive): Nifty Auto's 1.83 percent Friday gain from crude staying below Rs 7,500 per barrel makes Maruti Suzuki (Rs 14,037, +0.70 percent Friday) the stock market prediction for tomorrow's defensive stock momentum play for Monday.

PSU Banks (fundamentally positive, watch for profit-booking): SBI at Rs 1,097.20 (+1.12 percent, intraday high Rs 1,124.5) confirmed its Q1 FY27 result. Profit-booking from pre-result buyers is the stock market prediction for tomorrow's PSU banking risk on Monday.

Private Banks (key recovery watch): ICICI Bank at Rs 1,421 (-2.5 percent) and HDFC Bank at Rs 731 (-0.45 percent) are the stock market prediction for tomorrow's most watched recovery stocks. The rotation reversal trade (Day 3) makes these the highest-beta stocks for the stock market prediction for tomorrow.

NBFCs (Bajaj Finance): The stock market prediction for tomorrow's primary risk is Bajaj Finance's next move. Any bounce from Rs 1,078 with volume is a recovery signal for the stock market prediction for tomorrow; continuation below Rs 1,040 is a sector concern signal.

Track All Nifty 50 Stocks Live on Univest for the stock market prediction for tomorrow

How to Use This stock market prediction for tomorrow on Monday Morning

1. Check GIFT Nifty at 9 AM: Above 24,580 = positive open. Below 24,480 = gap-down risk. The stock market prediction for tomorrow direction is decided in the first 15 minutes of pre-market.
2. Watch Bajaj Finance at 9:16 AM: The stock market prediction for tomorrow's most important first-minute signal is whether Bajaj Finance opens above or below Rs 1,078 (Friday close). Above Rs 1,090 = NBFC concerns easing. Below Rs 1,050 = extended selling.
3. TCS above Rs 2,440 = IT momentum confirmed: Ankit Jaiswal recommends using TCS's Monday open relative to Rs 2,440 as the IT sector confirmation in this outlook.
4. Nifty above 24,580 at 9:30 AM = base case active: If Nifty sustains above 24,580 for 15 minutes post-open, Kunal Singla recommends entering the stock market prediction for tomorrow recovery trade with 24,380 as the stop-loss.

Conclusion

The stock market prediction for tomorrow on Monday 10 August 2026 is published on Sunday with the full benefit of knowing Friday's NFP result and US market close, making it more precise than any pre-weekend prediction. The foundation is Nifty at 24,570.65 from Friday's contradictory session: SBI Q1 FY27 beat (NIM 3%, GNPA two-decade low) while Bajaj Finance crashed 5.84 percent. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest places the stock market prediction for tomorrow in three scenarios: recovery (45 percent, Bajaj Finance stabilises), range-bound (40 percent, mixed NFP and IT-led partial recovery) and extended decline (15 percent, Bajaj Finance continues and weak NFP).

Kunal Singla of Univest identifies 24,380-24,420 as the absolute stock market prediction for tomorrow floor for tomorrow and 24,620-24,680 as the first recovery target. The IT sector's Friday outperformance (TCS +3.36 percent, Nifty IT +1.42 percent on a down market day) is the stock market prediction for tomorrow's most reliable carry-forward positive.

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FAQs on Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 10 August 2026

What is the stock market prediction for tomorrow, Monday 10 August 2026?

Ans. The stock market prediction for tomorrow is cautiously neutral with recovery potential. Nifty 50 closed Friday at 24,570.65, falling 65 points despite SBI Q1 FY27 beating all estimates. The stock market prediction for tomorrow places support at 24,380-24,420 and resistance at 24,680-24,720. By Sunday, the US Non-Farm Payrolls result is known and the US market Friday close is visible, making the stock market prediction for tomorrow the most data-rich Monday prediction in weeks.

Why did the market fall on Friday despite SBI Q1 FY27 beating estimates?

Ans. The stock market prediction for tomorrow requires understanding Friday's paradox: SBI Q1 FY27 beat consensus with PAT up 10.23 percent, NIM at exactly 3 percent and GNPA at a two-decade low of 1.47 percent. Despite this, Bajaj Finance crashed 5.84 percent and ICICI Bank fell 2.5 percent. Financial sector selling from the Bajaj Finance crash and the PSU-private rotation trade outweighed SBI's positive result in this outlook context.

What is the Bajaj Finance impact on the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Bajaj Finance's 5.84 percent crash to Rs 1,078 was Friday's biggest Nifty 50 decline. For the stock market prediction for tomorrow, the key question is whether this was a one-day event from Q1 FY27 result concerns or a structural NBFC sector re-rating. If Bajaj Finance stabilises on Monday, the stock market prediction for tomorrow is positive. If selling continues, financial sector weight would drag the stock market prediction for tomorrow toward 24,280-24,320.

What are Nifty support and resistance levels in the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. in this outlook, Nifty 50 support is at 24,380-24,420 (immediate) and 24,200-24,280 (key). Resistance is 24,620-24,680 (first recovery target, reclaiming Friday's open) and 24,780-24,850 (bull case). The 25,000 level remains the major monthly call OI wall in this outlook.

Which sectors lead the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. in this outlook, IT sector is the strongest momentum carry: TCS surged 3.36 percent and Nifty IT gained 1.42 percent on Friday while the broader market fell. Auto sector (Nifty Auto +1.83 percent, Maruti +0.70 percent) is the second carry-forward positive. Gold (+1.40 percent) and Silver (+3.19 percent) signal safe-haven demand that adds to the stock market prediction for tomorrow's defensive tilt.

Which analysts prepared the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the stock market prediction for tomorrow using Groww-confirmed Friday closing data for Nifty 50 (24,570.65), Sensex (78,499.17), Bank Nifty (57,746.45), TCS (Rs 2,452.70 +3.36%), ICICI Bank (Rs 1,421 -2.5%) and Bajaj Finance (Rs 1,078 -5.84%).