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Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, Thursday 9 July 2026: Index Sheds 1,677 Points as Crude Oil Spike Sparks Broad Selloff

Sensex prediction for tomorrow, 9 July: cautious. Index closed 76,503.60 (-2.15%), down 1,677 points. VIX spiked 24.81%. Support 76,250. Resistance 76,900. Crude oil and global tech selloff.


8 Jul 20263:55 pm

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, Thursday 9 July 2026: Index Sheds 1,677 Points as Crude Oil Spike Sparks Broad Selloff

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Thursday 9 July 2026, is cautious after one of the sharpest single day falls in recent weeks. The Sensex closed at 76,503.60 on Wednesday 8 July 2026, down 1,677.12 points or 2.15 percent, sliding from an early high of 77,851.18 to a low of 76,259.03 as selling intensified through the afternoon. The index has now given back the milestone close above 78,000 recorded just two sessions earlier.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, have shared their Sensex prediction for tomorrow based on today’s closing data, heavyweight stock moves and two global triggers behind the selloff. Ankit Jaiswal notes that today’s fall was broad based across nearly all 30 constituents, while Kunal Singla flags the sharp jump in India VIX as confirmation of genuine risk aversion rather than routine profit booking.

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Today’s Market Recap Behind the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Today’s session, Wednesday 8 July 2026, sets the base for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow:

  • Benchmark closes: The Sensex settled at 76,503.60 (-2.15 percent), the Nifty 50 closed at 23,882.05 (-2.12 percent) and the Bank Nifty fell to 56,742.60 (-2.51 percent).
  • Sector picture: Nifty Metal (-0.91 percent) and Nifty Pharma (-0.97 percent) were the most resilient sectors, while Nifty PSU Bank fell 2.72 percent and Nifty FMCG dropped 2.49 percent.
  • Volatility spike: India VIX jumped 24.81 percent to 14.54 from an opening level of 11.65, and FIIs bought Rs 1,355.33 crore in Friday’s cash session against DII selling of Rs 1,953.89 crore; Monday, Tuesday and today’s figures are awaited.

Global Triggers Behind Today’s Sensex Fall and the Prediction for Tomorrow

Two global developments drove today’s selloff and remain central to the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Crude oil prices spiked over 5 percent after the United States revoked a waiver permitting Iranian oil sales, and reports emerged of Iranian attacks on commercial tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, with the threat level raised to severe. Brent crude rose above 76 dollars a barrel, directly pressuring India’s import bill and inflation outlook, a broad negative that explains why nearly every Sensex constituent closed lower today.

Separately, Wall Street closed lower on Tuesday night as a renewed selloff in semiconductor and technology stocks dragged the Nasdaq down 1.16 percent, on reports that China’s DeepSeek is developing its own AI chip, even as Samsung posted strong results. This overnight weakness added to today’s pressure on Indian markets, with TCS falling 1.84 percent just a day ahead of its Q1 FY27 results.

Key Levels in the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Trend: Cautious. Support levels: 76,250 and 76,000. Resistance levels: 76,900 and 77,300.

According to Ankit Jaiswal, today’s close just above 76,500, well off the session low of 76,259.03, shows some late buying interest, but the Sensex prediction for tomorrow stays cautious until the index reclaims 76,900. A break below 76,250 would open 76,000, while a recovery past 76,900 would be the first sign of stabilisation ahead of Thursday’s TCS results.

Heavyweight Stocks Driving the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

The 30 stock index fell almost entirely on the back of broad based selling. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla have flagged the following names for monitoring tomorrow, with levels shared strictly as educational reference:

Stock Close (8 July) Today’s Move Entry Zone Target Stop Loss
Infosys Rs 1,069.30 -0.23% Rs 1,055 – 1,075 Rs 1,095 Rs 1,040
Tata Steel Rs 188.20 -0.84% Rs 185 – 190 Rs 195 Rs 182
HDFC Bank Rs 810.30 -2.29% Rs 800 – 815 Rs 830 Rs 792
ICICI Bank Rs 1,380.60 -2.41% Rs 1,365 – 1,385 Rs 1,410 Rs 1,350
Reliance Industries Rs 1,275.90 -2.48% Rs 1,260 – 1,280 Rs 1,305 Rs 1,245
Larsen and Toubro Rs 3,892.10 -2.50% Rs 3,850 – 3,920 Rs 3,990 Rs 3,800

Infosys and Tata Steel were the relative outperformers today, while Reliance Industries and Larsen and Toubro were among the heavier drags. All entry, target and stop loss levels above are observational reference points, not buy recommendations.

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Global Cues Affecting the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • Strait of Hormuz tensions: Any further escalation around Iranian tanker attacks could push crude oil higher still, the single biggest overnight risk for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.
  • Crude oil trajectory: Brent crude above 76 dollars a barrel keeps import cost and inflation pressure elevated; a retreat would ease the macro headwind.
  • Global tech follow through: Whether US technology stocks stabilise overnight will shape sentiment into tomorrow’s session.

Key Events and Triggers in the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • TCS Q1 FY27 results: TCS reports results on Thursday 9 July after market hours, with an interim dividend on the agenda, arriving right after today’s sharp market wide selloff.
  • Fresh derivatives positioning: Nifty futures open interest jumped 8.58 percent on a falling price today, a sharp short buildup that reflects the bearish tone across index heavyweights.

Sensex Prediction Strategy for Traders Tomorrow

  • Avoid catching the falling knife: With fresh short buildup confirmed in Nifty futures, wait for signs of stabilisation before entering fresh longs.
  • Watch Infosys and Tata Steel for relative strength: Both held up notably better today and are worth tracking for early signs of a broader recovery.
  • Track crude oil overnight: Further moves in Brent crude are the single biggest external input for tomorrow’s opening gap.
  • Invalidation: A close below 76,000 would deepen the corrective move in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

What Does Market Sentiment Indicate for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow?

Sentiment has turned sharply cautious for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. India VIX surged 24.81 percent to 14.54, one of the sharpest single day spikes in recent months, confirming genuine fear rather than routine profit booking. Ankit Jaiswal notes that breadth was overwhelmingly negative today, with almost all 30 constituents falling, a pattern distinctly different from the narrow, IT led gains seen just two sessions earlier.

Kunal Singla observes that FIIs were net buyers of Rs 1,355.33 crore in Friday’s cash session, and how foreign investors respond to today’s global risk off cues, expected in tomorrow morning’s provisional data, will be an important signal. Until confirmed by fresh flow data and tomorrow’s opening price action, the Sensex prediction for tomorrow stays cautious, with 76,250 the level to watch most closely.

Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • Further crude oil escalation: Any additional disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could push Brent crude even higher, extending pressure on the index.
  • Global tech weakness continuing: Further selling in US semiconductor and technology names would weigh on sentiment ahead of TCS results.
  • TCS results disappointment: A weak Q1 FY27 print on Thursday, arriving right after today’s selloff, could trigger additional downside.
  • Elevated volatility persisting: A VIX that stays above 14 would keep the index vulnerable to further sharp swings.

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live Sensex levels and get daily index predictions with research backed ideas.

Conclusion: Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Thursday 9 July 2026, from Univest analysts Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla is cautious after today’s sharp, broad based selloff. The index closed at 76,503.60, down 2.15 percent, giving back its recent milestone close above 78,000, and is expected to trade in a 76,000 to 77,300 band with support at 76,250 and 76,000 and resistance at 76,900 and 77,300. A spike in crude oil prices on Strait of Hormuz tensions, overnight weakness in US technology stocks and a sharp VIX surge are the key factors behind today’s decline. TCS Q1 FY27 results on Thursday and further crude oil moves are the triggers to watch. Check back after tomorrow’s close for the next Sensex prediction update from Univest analysts.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

FAQs on the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

What is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Thursday 9 July 2026?

Ans. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Thursday 9 July 2026, is cautious after a sharp fall. The index closed at 76,503.60 on Wednesday, down 1,677.12 points or 2.15 percent, sliding from an early high of 77,851.18 to a low of 76,259.03. The expected range for tomorrow is 76,000 to 77,300, with support at 76,250 and 76,000 and resistance at 76,900 and 77,300.

Why did the Sensex crash over 1,600 points today?

Ans. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow follows a broad based selloff driven by a spike in crude oil prices above 76 dollars a barrel after the US revoked a waiver on Iranian oil sales amid attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, combined with overnight weakness on Wall Street after a technology stock selloff. Nearly all 30 index constituents closed lower.

Which stocks drove today’s fall in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Maruti Suzuki fell over 4 percent, the sharpest heavyweight decline, while HDFC Bank dropped 2.29 percent, ICICI Bank fell 2.41 percent, Reliance Industries declined 2.48 percent and Larsen and Toubro slipped 2.50 percent. Infosys was the notable exception, down just 0.23 percent.

What are the key support and resistance levels in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. For the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, immediate support is at 76,250, near today’s low, followed by 76,000. Resistance sits at 76,900 and then 77,300. A close below 76,000 would signal a deeper corrective move.

How did India VIX behave during today’s selloff?

Ans. India VIX spiked 24.81 percent to 14.54 on Wednesday, its sharpest single day jump in recent months, after closing near multi month lows of 11.65 a day earlier. This surge confirms genuine risk aversion, a central factor in the cautious Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Does today’s Nifty expiry cycle affect the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Indirectly. Today’s selloff was driven by global macro triggers rather than expiry dynamics, but Nifty futures showed a sharp fresh short buildup, open interest up 8.58 percent on a falling price, which reflects broader bearish positioning that also weighs on Sensex constituents.

How do FII and DII flows affect the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. FIIs bought Rs 1,355.33 crore in the cash market on Friday 3 July 2026, while DIIs sold Rs 1,953.89 crore. Monday, Tuesday and today’s figures are still awaited; how foreign investors respond to today’s global risk off cues will be important for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow investment advice?

Ans. No. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow is educational content only. All levels are analyst observations, not recommendations. Univest is a SEBI registered research analyst (INH000013776) and readers should consult a SEBI registered advisor before acting on any market view.

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