Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: BSE Outlook After Expiry Selloff for 24 June 2026

The sensex prediction for tomorrow, 24 June 2026, is cautiously bearish to range-bound after the Sensex fell 893 points (-1.16%) to 76,200.68 on 23 June 2026 — a sharp expiry-driven selloff that brought the 30-stock benchmark to its lowest level in several sessions. The Nifty 50 similarly fell -1.16% to 23,824.10. India VIX rose to 14.23 (++10.83%), adding to the elevated near-term uncertainty for the sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Associate Director Kunal Singla have reviewed today’s Sensex price action and tomorrow’s Bank Nifty expiry context to present the sensex prediction for tomorrow. The sensex prediction for tomorrow is shaped by an oversold market, a Wednesday Bank Nifty expiry, and Iran-US talks in Switzerland.

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Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Today’s Close Summary

• Expiry Day Selloff: The Sensex fell -893.39 pts (-1.16%) to 76,200.68 on 23 June 2026, ranging from 76,082.51 (session low) to 77,194.83. IT heavyweights Infosys, TCS, and HCLTech led the Sensex decline. The sensex prediction for tomorrow starts from this oversold position below 76,500.
• Sector Contribution: Nifty IT falling -2.23% was the largest drag on Sensex-weighted IT stocks. Nifty Metal -3.23% added pressure. Sun Pharma (+0.27% to Rs 1,868.00) was the only Sensex heavyweight to close in the green, supporting the sensex prediction for tomorrow for pharma names.
• VIX Signal: India VIX at 14.23 (+1.39, ++10.83%) is the highest since the current expiry cycle began. For the sensex prediction for tomorrow, elevated VIX suggests an expected wide intraday range of 400 to 600 points in the Sensex session.

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Key Technical Levels

Trend: Cautiously Bearish | Range 76,000 to 76,600

Level	Sensex
Support 1	76,000
Support 2	75,700
Resistance 1	76,600
Resistance 2	77,000

The sensex prediction for tomorrow from Ankit Jaiswal places 76,000 as the critical floor — aligned with today’s session low of 76,082.51. A hold above 76,000 on Wednesday keeps the sensex prediction for tomorrow in a range-bound mode with a potential bounce target of 76,600. Jaiswal notes that the Sensex weekly expiry falls on Thursday (25 June), not Wednesday, which means the sensex prediction for tomorrow carries less direct pin-risk than Bank Nifty but will be influenced by Bank Nifty expiry volatility on Wednesday.

Sensex F&O Outlook for 24 June 2026

• Sensex Expiry on Thursday: Sensex weekly options expire on Thursday, 25 June (moved to Thursdays from September 2025). The sensex prediction for tomorrow for Wednesday is therefore not directly pin-risk-driven but will see sympathetic volatility from Bank Nifty expiry.
• Futures at Discount: Sensex futures trading at a slight discount to spot today signals bearish carry. The sensex prediction for tomorrow is cautious given this negative futures premium heading into Wednesday.
• IT Heavyweight Risk: Infosys, TCS, and HCLTech collectively carry ~20% weight in Sensex. A second day of IT sector selling would materially worsen the sensex prediction for tomorrow below 76,000 support.

Global Cues for Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

• GIFT Nifty: Estimated near 23,810 after today’s selloff. A GIFT Nifty above 23,850 overnight would provide a positive pre-open signal that supports the sensex prediction for tomorrow above 76,000 with a bounce attempt toward 76,600.
• Iran-US Talks Day 3: Switzerland negotiations on Day 3. A breakthrough would sharply reverse the sensex prediction for tomorrow from bearish to positive via lower crude, stronger rupee, and improved FII sentiment.
• US Markets: S&P 500 (+1.09%), Nasdaq (+1.91%) from Friday provide a positive backdrop. The sensex prediction for tomorrow relies on this global tailwind holding overnight to prevent a fresh gap-down.

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Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Trading Strategy

1. 76,000 as Make-or-Break: The sensex prediction for tomorrow uses 76,000 as the critical level. Above it: range-bound with bounce setup. Below it: bearish momentum toward 75,700.
2. Long on Dip: The sensex prediction for tomorrow favours a buy-on-dip approach between 76,050 and 76,200 with stop at 75,850 and target 76,600 for Wednesday. This plays the oversold bounce setup.
3. Avoid IT Longs Early: The sensex prediction for tomorrow advises against buying IT-heavy positions until Nifty IT reclaims 27,200. A second day of IT weakness would directly drag the Sensex below 76,000.
4. Bank Nifty Expiry Watch: The sensex prediction for tomorrow is subject to Bank Nifty expiry spillover between 2:00 and 3:15 PM. Reduce Sensex derivative positions in this window to avoid being caught in expiry-driven swings.

What Market Data Indicates for Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

The sensex prediction for tomorrow is shaped by a market that has reset downward after the Nifty 50 expiry day selloff. Three key signals define the sensex prediction for tomorrow: VIX at 14.23 reflecting elevated uncertainty, DII structural buying of Rs 66,215 crore MTD (the backstop preventing panic selling), and the Sensex’s proximity to 76,000 — a level that has acted as meaningful support in the recent correction.

Ankit Jaiswal notes that the sensex prediction for tomorrow is not outright bearish; the oversold RSI on Sensex below 76,200 and the positive global backdrop from Friday’s US market gains create conditions for a technical bounce on Wednesday if Bank Nifty expiry resolves without triggering cascading selling.

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Risks to Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

• Iran Talks Breakdown: Overnight collapse in Switzerland would gap down Sensex below 76,000 support, invalidating the sensex prediction for tomorrow’s bounce scenario.
• IT Sector Second-Day Fall: Nifty IT falling another 2% tomorrow would drag Sensex toward 75,700, overriding the sensex prediction for tomorrow’s base case bounce attempt.
• Bank Nifty Expiry Cascade: A sharp Bank Nifty expiry-day move below 56,700 would create sympathy selling in Sensex heavyweights and push the sensex prediction for tomorrow below 75,700 support.
• FII Selling Surge: If today’s provisional FII data shows outflows above Rs 3,000 crore, it deepens the bearish sensex prediction for tomorrow and challenges the 76,000 level at opening.

Stocks to Watch Tomorrow, 24 June 2026

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest have identified three stocks for Thursday’s session based on today’s price action, sector trends, and technical setups. Tomorrow is Bank Nifty weekly expiry (Wednesday 24 June), adding volatility to banking names.

Stock	CMP (23 Jun)	Entry Zone	Target	Stop Loss
Sun Pharma	Rs 1,868.00	Rs 1,862 to Rs 1,872	Rs 1,900 to Rs 1,910	Rs 1,845
HDFC Bank	Rs 774.65	Rs 772 to Rs 778	Rs 790 to Rs 795	Rs 763
Reliance Industries	Rs 1,309.50	Rs 1,305 to Rs 1,312	Rs 1,330 to Rs 1,338	Rs 1,292

Sun Pharma closed at Rs 1,868.00 (+0.27%) today, the standout performer as Nifty Pharma (+0.92%) was the only positive sector on 23 June. Jaiswal flags the Rs 1,862 to Rs 1,872 entry zone with target Rs 1,900 given the sector outperformance in a down market. HDFC Bank fell to Rs 774.65 today ahead of Bank Nifty’s Wednesday expiry. Singla notes the Rs 772 to Rs 778 zone offers a short-covering bounce setup targeting Rs 790 to Rs 795 on pre-expiry positioning. Reliance Industries closed at Rs 1,309.50 (-1.28%), testing its low of Rs 1,304; Jaiswal sees the Rs 1,305 to Rs 1,312 zone as a potential bounce entry targeting Rs 1,330 on any market-level recovery.

Conclusion

The sensex prediction for tomorrow on 24 June 2026 is cautiously bearish to range-bound with 76,000 as the critical support and 76,600 as the first bounce target. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the sensex prediction for tomorrow turns constructive only on a sustained reclaim of 76,600, which would signal the beginning of an oversold recovery. Bank Nifty expiry on Wednesday is the primary intraday risk that could temporarily breach the 76,000 floor.

This sensex prediction for tomorrow is based on market data as of the close of trade on 23 June 2026. Monitor GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM, Iran-US news flow overnight, and Bank Nifty expiry dynamics to refine the Sensex outlook for Wednesday direction as the Wednesday session unfolds.

FAQs

What is the Sensex outlook for Wednesday, 24 June 2026?

Ans. The Sensex outlook for Wednesday is cautiously bearish to range-bound after today’s 893-point expiry selloff to 76,200.68. Support is at 76,000 and resistance at 76,600. A hold above 76,000 is the base case; a break below targets 75,700.

What is the Sensex support for 24 June 2026?

Ans. The Sensex outlook for Wednesday places immediate support at 76,000 (aligned with today’s session low of 76,082.51) and stronger support at 75,700. Resistance levels are 76,600 and 77,000. A close above 76,600 would signal the start of an oversold recovery in the Sensex outlook for Wednesday.

Why did Sensex fall 893 points on 23 June 2026?

Ans. 23 June 2026 was the Nifty 50 weekly expiry day which triggered broad-based selling. IT heavyweights (Infosys, TCS, HCLTech) dragged Sensex most. Only Sun Pharma (+0.27%) closed positive. The Sensex outlook for Wednesday reflects this post-expiry oversold structure heading into Wednesday.

How does Bank Nifty expiry on 24 June 2026 affect the Sensex?

Ans. Bank Nifty weekly expiry on Wednesday 24 June 2026 creates sympathy volatility in Sensex between 2:00 PM and 3:15 PM. The Sensex outlook for Wednesday expects the widest intraday swings in this window. Reduce Sensex derivative positions before 2:00 PM to avoid expiry-driven whipsaw.

What stocks should Sensex traders watch for 24 June 2026?

Ans. The Sensex outlook for Wednesday highlights Sun Pharma (defensive outperformer, entry Rs 1,862 to Rs 1,872, target Rs 1,900), HDFC Bank (largest Sensex constituent, pre-expiry bounce entry Rs 772 to Rs 778, target Rs 790), and Reliance Industries (key Sensex heavyweight at oversold Rs 1,309.50, entry Rs 1,305 to Rs 1,312, target Rs 1,330).