Sensex Prediction for Monday, 15 June 2026: 1,695 Point Rally to 75,527 and the F&O Signals

The sensex prediction for Monday, 15 June 2026, is bullish, with the index expected to trade in a 75,000 to 76,500 range after Friday’s 1,695.40 point surge to a close of 75,527.95, a gain of 2.30 percent that outpaced the Nifty 50. Sensex June futures settled at 75,721.65 with open interest at its day high, a long buildup, while heavy put writing at the 75,000 strike anchors the downside for Thursday’s weekly expiry.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, breaks down the sensex prediction for Monday with closing data, futures and options analysis, the heavyweight scoreboard and the levels that matter for Monday 15 June 2026.

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Sensex Friday Recap Behind the Sensex Prediction for Monday

The Sensex closed at 75,527.95 on Friday 12 June 2026, up 1,695.40 points or 2.30 percent, its biggest single-day gain of the month, and that closing strength is the foundation of the sensex prediction for Monday. The index opened at 74,709.27, dipped to 74,453.39 in early trade and then climbed all session to a high of 75,608.02 before settling just 80 points off the peak. The rally was powered by a 1.75 percent overnight surge in the S&P 500 after the US cancelled planned strikes on Iran, Brent crude slipping toward 89 dollars, and US core CPI cooling to 0.2 percent month on month ahead of next week’s Fed meeting.

Heavyweight Scoreboard: The Stocks Powering the Sensex Prediction for Monday

Stock	Close (Rs)	Change	Why It Matters
Bajaj Finance	918.30	+5.49%	Top Sensex gainer, NBFC momentum as volatility cools
Larsen and Toubro	4,049.30	+4.85%	First close above Rs 4,000 on capex momentum
HDFC Bank	772.45	+3.74%	Heaviest index weight, fresh high on big volumes
Axis Bank	1,356.30	+2.96%	Banking breadth, closed near the day high
Reliance Industries	1,293.00	+2.38%	Energy heavyweight joined the rally late
Bharti Airtel	1,822.50	+2.24%	Defensive growth pressing toward its record zone

These heavyweights are the engine of the sensex prediction for Monday. Financials, capital goods and energy all fired together, the broadest participation of the month, and HDFC Bank’s fresh high on 3.6 crore shares gives the move volume confirmation. Ankit Jaiswal notes that when the three largest weight blocks of the index rally in the same session, follow-through into the next trading day is the historical norm rather than the exception.

Sensex Futures Data for Monday

The futures data leans firmly bullish in the sensex prediction for Monday.

Futures Metric	Reading (12 June 2026)
Sensex June Futures Close	75,721.65
Spot Close	75,527.95
Futures Premium	~194 points
Futures Day Range	74,465 to 75,796.70
Open Interest	~1.23 lakh contracts, closing at the day high
Signal	Long buildup, bullish carry into Monday

Sensex June futures closed at 75,721.65 with a premium of roughly 194 points and open interest finishing at its day high of about 1.23 lakh contracts. Fresh positions entering at rising prices is a long buildup, the most supportive futures signature the sensex prediction for Monday can ask for going into a Monday open.

Sensex Option Data for the 18 June Weekly Expiry

Option writers reset their lines on Friday, and the new positioning shapes the sensex prediction for Monday ahead of Thursday’s expiry.

Strike	Open Interest	Premium Move (Friday)	What It Signals
75,000 PE	5.4 lakh	Collapsed from 1,315 to 321.75	Heavy put writing, option support at 75,000
76,000 CE	3.0 lakh	Jumped from 63.50 to 480.25	Strong demand at the next round figure

The 75,000 put is the statement trade, open interest multiplied to roughly 5.4 lakh contracts as the premium collapsed from 1,315 to 321.75, writers committing below the market. Above, the 76,000 call premium jumped over seven times to 480.25, aggressive demand at the round figure that now acts as the magnet and the wall in the sensex prediction for Monday.

Support and Resistance in the Sensex Prediction for Monday

• Trend: Bullish, buy-on-dips while the index holds 75,000
• Support levels: 75,000, then 74,450 (Friday low zone) and 73,830 (Thursday close)
• Resistance levels: 75,600 (Friday high zone), then 76,000 and 76,500
• Monday range: 75,000 to 76,500 under normal news flow

According to Ankit Jaiswal, the sensex prediction for Monday stays bullish as long as dips hold above 75,000, with a close above 75,600 opening a quick test of the 76,000 option wall. Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, adds that the Monday Sensex prediction draws extra conviction from banking, where the Bank Nifty surged 2.97 percent in the same session, since the Sensex carries an even heavier financials weight than the Nifty 50.

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Key Triggers for Monday 15 June 2026

Four triggers will test the sensex prediction for Monday at the open.

• India May CPI reaction: The print landed after Friday’s close with the street expecting around 4.0 percent versus 3.48 percent in April, the first domestic cue for Monday
• US-Iran weekend headlines: The rally is built on de-escalation, and Iran has clarified no final deal is signed, so weekend news can swing the open
• Advance tax outflows: The first FY27 installment is due Monday 15 June, which can add intraday choppiness
• Pre-Fed positioning: The FOMC meets 16-17 June under new Chair Kevin Warsh, with the decision landing Wednesday morning India time

Sensex Trading Strategy for Monday

A defined plan converts the sensex prediction for Monday into managed-risk trades.

• Futures: Hold longs with a stop below 75,000 on spot, add on dips toward 75,000-75,150 if the open is flat
• Options: Bull put spreads anchored at 75,000 ride the writers’ support into Thursday’s expiry, while 76,000-76,500 call spreads cap cost against the wall
• Intraday: Respect the first hour range, a gap-up beyond 76,000 that stalls is a fade signal back to 75,600
• Invalidation: A 15-minute close below 75,000 flips the sensex prediction for Monday to neutral and shifts focus to 74,450

Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Monday

• Geopolitical reversal: Renewed US-Iran tension over the weekend would spike crude and unwind the risk-on move
• Hot CPI print: May inflation well above 4 percent would dent rate cut hopes and hit the financial heavyweights first
• Profit booking: A 1,695-point single-day surge invites profit taking ahead of the Fed decision
• FII supply: Foreign investors sold Rs 2,249.03 Cr on 11 June, and renewed selling can cap the index near 75,600

Sensex Prediction for Monday: Quick Answers to What Traders Search

Monday Sensex prediction: Bullish for Monday 15 June 2026, range 75,000 to 76,500, buy-on-dips above 75,000.

Sensex Monday prediction with levels: Support 75,000, 74,450 and 73,830, resistance 75,600, 76,000 and 76,500, the backbone of the sensex prediction for Monday.

Sensex Monday F&O view: Futures long buildup at 75,721.65 plus put writing at 75,000 keep the sensex prediction for Monday bullish unless 75,000 breaks.

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Conclusion

The sensex prediction for Monday, 15 June 2026, is bullish on every major input. The index closed at 75,527.95 with a 1,695-point surge, its biggest gain of the month, June futures carry a 194-point premium with open interest at the day high, and put writers planted fresh support at 75,000 for Thursday’s weekly expiry. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla expect a 75,000 to 76,500 range with dips toward 75,000-75,150 likely to find buyers and a close above 75,600 opening the 76,000 wall. The India CPI reaction, advance tax outflows and the 16-17 June US Fed meeting are the events that will test the sensex prediction for Monday through the session. Check back after Monday’s close for the next daily Sensex prediction update from Univest analysts.

FAQs on the Sensex Prediction for Monday

What is the Sensex prediction for Monday, 15 June 2026?

Ans. The Sensex prediction for Monday, 15 June 2026, is bullish. The index closed at 75,527.95 on Friday, up 1,695.40 points or 2.30 percent, and is expected to trade in a 75,000 to 76,500 range with support at 75,000 and 74,450 and resistance at 75,600, 76,000 and 76,500.

What do Sensex futures indicate for Monday?

Ans. Sensex June futures closed at 75,721.65 on Friday, a premium of around 194 points over the spot close of 75,527.95, with open interest at about 1.23 lakh contracts at its day high. A rising premium with growing open interest into a 2.30 percent rally is a long buildup, which supports a bullish Sensex prediction for Monday.

What does Sensex option data show for the 18 June weekly expiry?

Ans. For the 18 June weekly expiry, the 75,000 put added open interest to about 5.4 lakh contracts as its premium collapsed 76 percent, heavy put writing that marks 75,000 as the option support, while the 76,000 call premium jumped from 63.50 to 480.25 with 3 lakh contracts of open interest. The data frames a 75,000 to 76,000 zone in the Sensex prediction for Monday.

Which stocks drove the Sensex rally on Friday 12 June 2026?

Ans. Bajaj Finance led the Sensex with a 5.49 percent gain, followed by Larsen and Toubro up 4.85 percent, HDFC Bank up 3.74 percent, Axis Bank up 2.96 percent, Kotak Mahindra Bank up 2.53 percent and Reliance Industries up 2.38 percent. Heavyweight participation across financials, capital goods and energy powered the 1,695-point surge.

What are the key levels in the Sensex prediction for Monday?

Ans. Support for Monday 15 June 2026 sits at 75,000, then 74,450 and 73,830, while resistance is placed at 75,600, then 76,000 and 76,500. A close above 75,600 extends the rally in the Sensex prediction for Monday toward 76,000, while a break below 75,000 signals consolidation.

How do Monday’s events affect the Sensex prediction for Monday?

Ans. Three events shape the Sensex prediction for Monday: the market reaction to India’s May CPI print released after Friday’s close, the first FY27 advance tax installment due on 15 June, and positioning before the 16-17 June US Fed meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. The Sensex weekly options expiry on Thursday 18 June then becomes the next derivatives focal point.