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Nifty Media Prediction for Monday: Sensex Monthly Expiry Outlook for 29 June 2026

Nifty Media closed 1,516 on 25 June 2026 (-3.30, -0.22%). Prev 1,519.30. Nifty 24,056.00. VIX 13.05. Sensex monthly expiry 29 June 2026. S1:1,500. R1:1,535.


25 Jun 20264:43 pm

Nifty Media Prediction for Monday: Sensex Monthly Expiry Outlook for 29 June 2026
 

The nifty media prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is shaped by today’s close at 1,516 (-3.30, -0.22%) as the Nifty 50 settled at 24,056.00 (+0.14%) and the Sensex closed its weekly options expiry at 77,100.47, above 77,000 max pain. India VIX fell to 13.05, a multi-week low. Nifty Media edged lower in a mixed market dominated by Auto sector strength, with media stocks showing limited directional conviction on Thursday. A critical context for the nifty media prediction for Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day, which creates wider-than-normal intraday volatility in Sensex-linked names between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM. Additionally, Monday is June month-end, adding institutional rebalancing flows to the nifty media prediction for Monday complexity.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Associate Director Kunal Singla have reviewed today’s Nifty Media price action, Sensex monthly expiry setup, and global cues to present the nifty media prediction for Monday. The nifty media prediction for Monday for Monday is also shaped by the Iran-US weekend outcome from Switzerland talks.

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Nifty Media Prediction for Monday: Today’s Close Summary

  • Close and Change: Nifty Media settled at 1,516 (-3.30, -0.22%) on 25 June 2026 from 1,519.30. Nifty Media edged lower as the sector saw mild selling in a session dominated by Auto and FMCG. Media stocks were largely in line with the broader mixed market.
  • Weekly Context: This week saw three index expiries: Nifty 50 (Tuesday), Bank Nifty (Wednesday), and Sensex weekly (today). The nifty media prediction for Monday starts Monday from a post-expiry-cycle clean slate with VIX at 13.05.
  • Monday Events: 29 June 2026 is the Sensex monthly expiry AND June month-end. Both events create institutional flows that will influence the nifty media prediction for Monday throughout Monday. No direct Nifty Media F&O expiry on Monday. Media sector has lower Sensex correlation, making the nifty media prediction for Monday less affected by Monday’s Sensex monthly expiry.

Nifty Media Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Trend: Cautiously Bearish | Support 1,500 | Resistance 1,535

Level Nifty Media
Support 1 1,500
Support 2 1,490
Resistance 1 1,535
Resistance 2 1,550

The nifty media prediction for Monday from Ankit Jaiswal places 1,500 as the immediate floor for Monday. A sustained move below 1,500 extends the nifty media prediction for Monday bearish trend toward 1,490. Jaiswal emphasises that the nifty media prediction for Monday for Monday carries weekend gap risk: the Iran-US Switzerland talks outcome over the weekend will determine the Monday opening direction and may gap the nifty media prediction for Monday beyond these pre-weekend technical levels.

Nifty Media F&O and Sensex Monthly Expiry for 29 June 2026

  • Sensex Monthly Expiry Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry. This adds cross-index volatility between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM that influences the nifty media prediction for Monday through shared Sensex constituents and broad market sentiment. Reduce Nifty Media positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.
  • July Series Opening: The Nifty Media F&O July series begins building fresh OI from Monday. Initial July Put OI concentration near 1,490 in the new series would confirm the nifty media prediction for Monday bullish floor for the coming weeks.
  • June Month-End Institutional Flows: Monday is the last trading day of June for most institutional portfolios. June-end rebalancing creates additional sector-specific flows in the nifty media prediction for Monday that may not reflect the underlying technical trend.

Global and Macro Cues for Nifty Media Prediction for Monday

  • Iran-US Weekend Outcome: Switzerland negotiations (Day 5 on Friday) may produce a confirmed deal or breakdown over the weekend. This is the primary macro swing factor for the nifty media prediction for Monday on Monday. Check Saturday-Sunday news before placing Nifty Media positions at the Monday open.
  • GIFT Nifty Monday Morning: Check GIFT Nifty between 7:00 and 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026. GIFT Nifty above 24,100 supports the nifty media prediction for Monday positive opening; below 23,900 signals weekend risk-off that challenges the nifty media prediction for Monday support levels.
  • VIX at 13.05: Multi-week low VIX entering the weekend provides a stable baseline for the nifty media prediction for Monday assuming no major weekend macro shock. Low VIX limits the probability of extreme Nifty Media intraday moves on Monday.

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Trading Strategy: Nifty Media Prediction for Monday

  1. Check GIFT Nifty 7:00 to 9:15 AM: The nifty media prediction for Monday Monday direction starts with GIFT Nifty. Confirm the opening bias before entering Nifty Media positions at the Monday 9:15 AM open.
  2. 1,500 as Monday Pivot: The nifty media prediction for Monday is constructive above 1,500 and cautious below. Use this as the entry confirmation level for Monday directional trades in Nifty Media after the opening range settles at 9:30 AM.
  3. Reduce Before Sensex Monthly Expiry: Between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM, Sensex monthly expiry creates cross-index volatility. Reduce Nifty Media leveraged positions before 2:00 PM on Monday for the nifty media prediction for Monday.
  4. July Series Signal Watch: Monitor July Nifty Media F&O Put OI build on Monday. Strong Put OI at 1,490 or below in the new series confirms the nifty media prediction for Monday bullish floor for the coming month.

What Data Indicates for nifty media prediction for Monday

The nifty media prediction for Monday is supported by VIX at 13.05 entering the week and Sensex weekly expiry settling at 77,100.47 above 77,000 max pain. Ankit Jaiswal notes that low VIX and clean expiry resolution historically support range-bound to positive outcomes for the nifty media prediction for Monday in the following session. The primary risk factor for the nifty media prediction for Monday on Monday is the Iran-US weekend binary event.

Kunal Singla observes that DII buying of Rs 66,215 crore MTD in June provides structural support for all sector indices including Nifty Media. June month-end DII portfolio positioning on the last Monday may add buying pressure that supports the nifty media prediction for Monday above 1,500 even if FIIs sell on month-end redemptions.

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Risks to Nifty Media Prediction for Monday

  • Iran Weekend Collapse: A breakdown in Switzerland would create a Monday gap-down risk that challenges the nifty media prediction for Monday’s 1,500 support on open.
  • Advertising Spend Risk: Any negative macro data over the weekend signalling corporate ad spend cuts would pressure the nifty media prediction for Monday below 1,500 support.
  • Sensex Monthly Expiry Cascade: A sharp Sensex monthly expiry move on Monday afternoon could create sympathy volatility in Nifty Media that temporarily breaks the nifty media prediction for Monday support level between 2:00 and 3:30 PM.
  • FII June-End Redemptions: Month-end FII selling on the last Monday of June could pressure the nifty media prediction for Monday below 1,500 even if global cues are positive.

Stocks to Watch on Monday, 29 June 2026

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Monday 29 June 2026. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day and June month-end, adding specific volatility to Sensex heavyweights in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM expiry window.

Stock CMP (25 June 2026) Entry Zone Target Stop Loss
ICICI Bank Rs 1,387.50 Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420 Rs 1,368
HDFC Bank Rs 796.30 Rs 793 to Rs 799 Rs 812 to Rs 818 Rs 783
Reliance Industries Rs 1,318.10 Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345 Rs 1,300

ICICI Bank at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01% on 25 June 2026) leads momentum into Monday. Jaiswal flags entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 targeting Rs 1,412. As a top Sensex constituent, ICICI Bank will see direct Sensex monthly expiry positioning on Monday. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 is the largest Sensex weight and the primary Sensex monthly expiry anchor for Monday. Singla flags entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, stop Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 benefits from continued crude weakness reducing downstream costs. Entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338, stop Rs 1,300.

Conclusion

The nifty media prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is cautiously bearish with support at 1,500 and resistance at 1,535. Ankit Jaiswal notes that VIX at 13.05 and the clean Sensex weekly expiry at 77,100.47 provide a stable base for the nifty Monday Monday view. Sensex monthly expiry and June month-end on Monday are the primary intraday complexities. Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM and Iran-US weekend news before placing Nifty Media positions on Monday.

Disclaimer: Data and figures are sourced from publicly available information. Please verify with NSE (nseindia.com), BSE (bseindia.com) and MCX (mcxindia.com) before investing. Investments are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

FAQs

What is the nifty Monday Monday view, 29 June 2026?

Ans. The nifty Monday Monday view is cautiously bearish for 29 June 2026 with support at 1,500 and resistance at 1,535. Nifty Media closed at 1,516 (-0.22%) on 25 June 2026. Sensex monthly expiry on Monday and Iran-US weekend outcome are the primary swing factors.

How does Sensex monthly expiry affect nifty Monday Monday view on Monday?

Ans. BSE Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 creates cross-index volatility between 2:00 and 3:30 PM that can temporarily breach the nifty Monday Monday view support and resistance levels. Reduce Nifty Media positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.

What is Nifty Media support for Monday 29 June 2026?

Ans. Support at 1,500 and 1,490 for the nifty Monday Monday view on Monday. Resistance at 1,535 and 1,550. Iran-US weekend outcome may gap the nifty Monday Monday view opening beyond these pre-weekend technical levels.

Is 29 June 2026 a special expiry day?

Ans. Yes. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry AND June month-end, making it one of the more complex sessions for the nifty Monday Monday view. Expect wider intraday swings in all indices including Nifty Media on Monday.

What stocks to watch alongside nifty Monday Monday view on Monday?

Ans. ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412), HDFC Bank (Sensex monthly expiry anchor, entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812), and Reliance (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338) are the Monday stock picks.

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Note: This blog is for information purpose only. Investments and trading are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

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