Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday: Post-Expiry Week Levels for 29 June 2026

The nifty 50 prediction for Monday, 29 June 2026, is cautiously positive after the index closed at 24,056.00 (++0.14%) on 25 June 2026 as the Sensex settled its weekly options above 77,000 max pain. India VIX fell to 13.05 (-2.54%), its lowest level in several weeks. An important context for the nifty 50 prediction for Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry, which adds cross-index volatility that will influence the nifty 50 prediction for Monday throughout the session, particularly in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM window.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, has reviewed this week’s expiry cycle and global cues to present the nifty 50 prediction for Monday. Associate Director Kunal Singla provides Sensex monthly expiry context and the broader F&O reset for the July series that begins on Monday.

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Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday: This Week’s Close Summary

• Weekly Performance: Nifty 50 ended the expiry-heavy week at 24,056.00, recovering from Tuesday’s -1.16% expiry selloff to 24,824 and closing the week almost flat. The nifty 50 prediction for Monday starts from a stable base above 24,000.
• VIX at 13.05: VIX falling to 13.05 is a strong positive for the nifty 50 prediction for Monday. Low VIX entering a new trading week signals that option markets are not pricing in significant near-term downside risk for Nifty 50.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry. This cross-index event creates Monday afternoon volatility that the nifty 50 prediction for Monday must account for, especially as Sensex heavyweights influence Nifty 50’s index composition.

Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Trend: Cautiously Positive | Support 23,950 | Resistance 24,200

Level	Nifty 50
Support 1	23,950
Support 2	23,800
Resistance 1	24,200
Resistance 2	24,350

The nifty 50 prediction for Monday from Ankit Jaiswal places 23,950 as the immediate floor. This level corresponds to the midpoint of this week’s trading range and is well-supported by Put OI in the new July series. A positive GIFT Nifty and Iran-US deal resolution over the weekend would support the nifty 50 prediction for Monday above 24,000 through the opening session. Jaiswal places 24,200 as the first meaningful resistance the index must clear for the nifty 50 prediction for Monday to turn decisively bullish heading into July.

F&O Context for Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday

• July Series Opens Monday: The Nifty 50 July monthly series begins building OI from Monday. The nifty 50 prediction for Monday will be influenced by where large Put and Call OI concentrates in the July series, which sets the market’s forward expectations for the next four weeks.
• No Nifty 50 Expiry Monday: Nifty 50 weekly expiry is on Tuesdays. Monday therefore has no direct Nifty 50 F&O pin-risk, making the nifty 50 prediction for Monday more purely macro and technical driven compared to expiry-day sessions.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Cross-Effect: While Nifty 50 does not expire Monday, the Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 creates sympathy volatility in Nifty 50 through shared heavyweights like Reliance, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank. The nifty 50 prediction for Monday expects this influence between 2:00 and 3:30 PM.

Global Cues for Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday

• Iran-US Weekend Outcome: Talks were on Day 5 heading into the weekend. A confirmed deal would open the nifty 50 prediction for Monday above 24,200 with a gap-up start; a collapse would test 23,800 support.
• GIFT Nifty Monday Morning: Check GIFT Nifty between 7:00 and 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026. The nifty 50 prediction for Monday turns positive above 24,100 GIFT Nifty and cautious below 23,900.
• US Friday Close: US market performance on Friday June 27 will be incorporated into the nifty 50 prediction for Monday via GIFT Nifty. A strong US close supports the nifty 50 prediction for Monday above 24,000 at open.

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Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday: Trading Strategy

1. Buy on Opening Dip: If Nifty 50 opens near 23,950 to 24,000 on Monday, the nifty 50 prediction for Monday favours a long entry targeting 24,150 with stop at 23,850.
2. 23,950 as Go/No-Go: The nifty 50 prediction for Monday is bullish above 23,950 and cautious below. Do not hold longs below this level without confirmation from GIFT Nifty and Iran-US news.
3. Reduce Before Sensex Expiry: The nifty 50 prediction for Monday advises reducing Nifty 50 derivative positions before 2:00 PM. Sensex monthly expiry will create cross-index volatility that can spike Nifty 50 intraday ranges on Monday afternoon.
4. July Series Positioning: Watch initial July Nifty 50 Put OI build on Monday. High Put OI at 23,800 or below confirms the nifty 50 prediction for Monday bullish thesis from a fresh series perspective.

What VIX Indicates for Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday

India VIX at 13.05 entering the weekend is the cornerstone of the nifty 50 prediction for Monday. Ankit Jaiswal notes that VIX below 13.5 on a Thursday ahead of Monday’s new series has historically supported a range-bound to positive nifty 50 prediction for Monday in the following session. The primary risk to this nifty 50 prediction for Monday positive bias is a sharp weekend macro event that spikes VIX above 15 on the Monday open.

Kunal Singla adds that the Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 is the key domestic event that could temporarily elevate VIX on Monday morning before the expiry resolves. The nifty 50 prediction for Monday expects VIX to remain below 14 through most of Monday’s session, supporting the range-bound to positive technical setup.

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Risks to Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday

• Iran Deal Weekend Collapse: A breakdown in Switzerland would gap down the nifty 50 prediction for Monday below 23,800, reversing the current positive bias.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Cascade: A sharp Sensex monthly expiry move on Monday afternoon could create sympathy selling in Nifty 50 that temporarily breaks 23,950 support before recovering.
• FII June-End Redemptions: Institutional month-end selling on the last Monday of June could pressure the nifty 50 prediction for Monday below 23,950 despite positive global cues.

Stocks to Watch on Monday, 29 June 2026

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Monday 29 June 2026. Note that 29 June 2026 is the Sensex monthly expiry, adding specific volatility to Sensex heavyweight names like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance, and Infosys in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM window.

Stock	CMP (25 June 2026)	Entry Zone	Target	Stop Loss
ICICI Bank	Rs 1,387.50	Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392	Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420	Rs 1,368
HDFC Bank	Rs 796.30	Rs 793 to Rs 799	Rs 812 to Rs 818	Rs 783
Reliance Industries	Rs 1,318.10	Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320	Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345	Rs 1,300

ICICI Bank at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01% on 25 June 2026) is the standout banking momentum stock heading into Monday. Jaiswal flags the Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 entry zone targeting Rs 1,412 with stop at Rs 1,368. As a top Sensex constituent, ICICI Bank will see specific Monday Sensex monthly expiry positioning during the 2:00 to 3:30 PM window. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 is the largest Sensex component and Singla flags it as the primary Sensex monthly expiry anchor stock for Monday. Entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, stop Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 benefits from continued crude oil weakness reducing downstream input costs. Jaiswal sees Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 as the entry zone targeting Rs 1,338, with stop at Rs 1,300.

Conclusion

The nifty 50 prediction for Monday on 29 June 2026 is cautiously positive with support at 23,950 and resistance at 24,200. Ankit Jaiswal notes that VIX at 13.05 and a constructive post-expiry backdrop support the nifty 50 prediction for Monday above 24,000. The Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 is the primary intraday complication. This nifty 50 prediction for Monday is based on data as of 25 June 2026. Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026 for the latest pre-open confirmation.

FAQs

What is the Nifty 50 Monday outlook, 29 June 2026?

Ans. The Nifty 50 Monday outlook is cautiously positive after Nifty 50 closed at 24,056.00 with VIX at 13.05. Support is 23,950 and resistance is 24,200. Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 adds afternoon volatility. Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM for the opening direction.

How does the Sensex monthly expiry affect Nifty 50 Monday outlook?

Ans. Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 creates cross-index volatility via shared heavyweights (Reliance, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank). The Nifty 50 Monday outlook expects this influence to peak between 2:00 and 3:30 PM. Reduce Nifty 50 positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.

What is Nifty 50 support for Monday 29 June 2026?

Ans. Nifty 50 support is at 23,950 and 23,800 for the Nifty 50 Monday outlook. Resistance is at 24,200 and 24,350. A GIFT Nifty above 24,100 confirms the bullish Nifty 50 Monday outlook; below 23,900 signals caution.

Is there a Nifty 50 expiry on Monday 29 June 2026?

Ans. No. Nifty 50 weekly options expire on Tuesdays. Monday 29 June 2026 has the Sensex monthly expiry instead. The Nifty 50 Monday outlook is therefore driven by macro cues and Sensex monthly expiry cross-effects rather than direct Nifty 50 pin-risk.

What stocks align with Nifty 50 Monday outlook?

Ans. For the Nifty 50 Monday outlook session, ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412), HDFC Bank (Sensex monthly expiry anchor, entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812), and Reliance (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338) are the key aligned picks.