Natural Gas Prediction for Monday | MCX Levels 29 June 2026

The natural gas prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is shaped by MCX Natural Gas Jul Futures closing at Rs 315.50 per MMBtu (+2.44%) on 25 June 2026, as the Nifty 50 closed at 24,056.00 and the Sensex settled its weekly options above 77,000 max pain at 77,100.47. India VIX fell to 13.05, a multi-week low. Natural gas surged +2.44% to Rs 315.50 per MMBtu on US weather data showing continued above-normal temperatures boosting cooling demand. Two critical events shape the natural gas prediction for Monday: the Iran-US Switzerland talks weekend outcome (Day 5 was Friday) and Monday 29 June 2026 being the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, has analysed today’s MCX Natural Gas close and the Monday market setup to present the natural gas prediction for Monday. The natural gas prediction for Monday is a weekend-gap article – actual Monday opening will depend on Iran-US developments, US Friday close, and GIFT Nifty pre-market signal.

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Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Today’s MCX Close

• MCX Close: MCX Natural Gas Jul Futures settled Rs 315.50 per MMBtu (+2.44%) on 25 June 2026 from Rs 308.00. Natural gas rallied for the second time this week on US summer heat wave signals extending through late June, strengthening storage withdrawal expectations
• International Cue: NYMEX Henry Hub at ~$3.02/MMBtu (+2.2%) is the primary reference for the natural gas prediction for Monday. US Friday close and weekend NYMEX Henry Hub direction will gap the MCX opening for the natural gas prediction for Monday on Monday morning.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Monday: 29 June 2026 is BSE Sensex monthly options expiry. This creates Indian equity market volatility between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM that affects rupee and risk sentiment, influencing MCX afternoon prices for the natural gas prediction for Monday.

Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Key MCX Levels

Trend: Cautiously Bullish | Range: Rs 308 to Rs 320 per MMBtu

Level	Natural Gas (MCX Natural Gas Jul Futures)
Support 1	308
Support 2	303
Resistance 1	320
Resistance 2	328

The natural gas prediction for Monday from Ankit Jaiswal places Rs 308 as the MCX support for Monday. A hold above this level targets Rs 320 as the first upside objective. Jaiswal notes that the natural gas prediction for Monday carries elevated weekend gap risk: any Iran-US deal confirmation or collapse that occurs after Friday MCX close will gap the natural gas prediction for Monday opening on Monday morning, potentially breaching these technical levels immediately at open.

Natural Gas F&O and Monday Expiry Context

• MCX Contract Expiry: The active MCX Natural Gas contract (Natural Gas Jul Futures) expires on 28 July 2026. Pre-expiry OI positioning adds intraday direction to the natural gas prediction for Monday on Monday alongside the Sensex monthly expiry influence.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Impact: Monday 29 June 2026 BSE Sensex monthly expiry creates equity market volatility between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM. For the natural gas prediction for Monday, this affects rupee via institutional equity flows and risk sentiment, creating MCX intraday amplification in the afternoon session on Monday.
• June Month-End: 29 June 2026 is the last Monday of June. June month-end institutional portfolio rebalancing creates additional flows in both equity and commodity markets that add to the natural gas prediction for Monday Monday intraday complexity beyond the standard Sensex monthly expiry dynamics.

Global Cues for Natural Gas Prediction for Monday

• Iran-US Talk Weekend Outcome: This is the primary binary event for the natural gas prediction for Monday. A confirmed deal over the weekend would sharply alter MCX Natural Gas pricing; a breakdown would reverse recent trends. Check news Saturday and Sunday for updates before the natural gas prediction for Monday on Monday morning.
• NYMEX Henry Hub: NYMEX Henry Hub overnight direction and US Friday close feed into the natural gas prediction for Monday via GIFT Nifty and MCX opening gap. Set price alerts on NYMEX Henry Hub for the natural gas prediction for Monday over the weekend.
• Dollar Index (DXY): DXY direction over the weekend affects rupee-denominated MCX prices. A weaker dollar supports the natural gas prediction for Monday upside for precious metals and base metals heading into Monday.

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MCX Strategy: Natural Gas Prediction for Monday

1. Check NYMEX Henry Hub Sunday Evening: The most important input for the natural gas prediction for Monday is NYMEX Henry Hub direction before MCX opens Monday. Check at 9:00 AM Monday before placing any natural gas prediction for Monday positions.
2. Buy Setup: The {kw} favours buying near Rs 308 {unit} with stop at Rs 303 targeting Rs 320.
3. Reduce Before 2:00 PM: Sensex monthly expiry between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM on Monday creates rupee and risk volatility. The natural gas prediction for Monday advises reducing MCX positions before 2:00 PM to avoid Sensex expiry-driven MCX spread widening.
4. Weekend Gap Management: Any Iran-US development that occurs between Friday MCX close and Monday 9:00 AM will create a gap in the natural gas prediction for Monday. Use limit orders on Monday morning opening and avoid immediate market orders.

What Data Indicates for natural gas prediction for Monday

The natural gas prediction for Monday is at a critical juncture as markets close for the weekend with Iran-US talks in their final stages. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the natural gas prediction for Monday is one of the most binary setups of the month: a confirmed Iran deal would create a sharp Monday morning gap down for the natural gas prediction for Monday, while a breakdown reverses the trend up sharply.

Kunal Singla observes that India VIX at 13.05 (multi-week low) and the Sensex weekly expiry settling cleanly at 77,100.47 provide a stable equity backdrop for the natural gas prediction for Monday. Low equity VIX reduces the probability of extreme MCX intraday swings for the natural gas prediction for Monday on Monday outside of the Sensex monthly expiry window and any Iran-US binary event.

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Risks to Natural Gas Prediction for Monday

• Iran-US Weekend Outcome: A confirmed deal or definitive breakdown over the weekend will gap the natural gas prediction for Monday opening sharply on Monday, potentially invalidating the pre-weekend technical levels entirely.
• US Weather Forecast Reversal: If US weather models cool over the weekend, natural gas could give back the +2.44% gain, reversing the natural gas prediction for Monday below Rs 308 support quickly.
• Sensex Monthly Expiry Volatility: Monday Sensex monthly expiry between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM creates wider MCX spread risk for the natural gas prediction for Monday in the afternoon session. Avoid placing new MCX positions during this window.
• June Month-End Flows: Last Monday of June brings institutional portfolio rebalancing that can create unusual intraday flows affecting the natural gas prediction for Monday beyond normal technical patterns.

Stocks to Watch on Monday, 29 June 2026

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Monday 29 June 2026. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day and June month-end, adding specific volatility to Sensex heavyweights in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM expiry window.

Stock	CMP (25 June 2026)	Entry Zone	Target	Stop Loss
ICICI Bank	Rs 1,387.50	Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392	Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420	Rs 1,368
HDFC Bank	Rs 796.30	Rs 793 to Rs 799	Rs 812 to Rs 818	Rs 783
Reliance Industries	Rs 1,318.10	Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320	Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345	Rs 1,300

ICICI Bank at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01% on 25 June 2026) leads momentum into Monday. Jaiswal flags entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 targeting Rs 1,412. As a top Sensex constituent, ICICI Bank will see direct Sensex monthly expiry positioning on Monday. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 is the largest Sensex weight and the primary Sensex monthly expiry anchor for Monday. Singla flags entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, stop Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 benefits from continued crude weakness reducing downstream costs. Entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338, stop Rs 1,300.

Conclusion

The natural gas prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is cautiously bullish with MCX support at Rs 308 and resistance at Rs 320 per MMBtu. Ankit Jaiswal notes the natural gas prediction for Monday carries the highest binary risk of the month given the unresolved Iran-US situation and Monday’s Sensex monthly expiry on the same day. Check NYMEX Henry Hub before 9:00 AM on Monday and use limit orders for the natural Monday Monday view opening positions.

FAQs

What is the natural Monday Monday view, 29 June 2026?

Ans. The natural Monday Monday view shows MCX Natural Gas at Rs 315.50 per MMBtu (+2.44%) on 25 June 2026. Support is Rs 308 and resistance Rs 320 per MMBtu. Iran-US weekend outcome and Sensex monthly expiry on Monday are the two key swing factors for the natural Monday Monday view.

How does Sensex monthly expiry affect natural Monday Monday view?

Ans. Sensex monthly expiry on Monday 29 June 2026 creates equity market volatility 2:00 to 3:30 PM affecting rupee and risk sentiment, which amplifies MCX intraday swings for the natural Monday Monday view in the afternoon. Reduce MCX Natural Gas positions before 2:00 PM on Monday.

What is MCX Natural Gas support for Monday 29 June 2026?

Ans. The natural Monday Monday view places support at Rs 308 and Rs 303 per MMBtu. Resistance is Rs 320 and Rs 328. Weekend Iran-US outcome is the primary factor that could gap the natural Monday Monday view opening above or below these technical levels on Monday.

What stocks to watch alongside natural Monday Monday view on Monday?

Ans. For Monday’s Sensex monthly expiry session alongside the natural Monday Monday view: ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412), HDFC Bank (Sensex monthly expiry anchor, entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812), and Reliance Industries (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338).

When is MCX Natural Gas expiry?

Ans. MCX Natural Gas active contract (Natural Gas Jul Futures) expires on 28 July 2026. Pre-expiry OI positioning adds intraday direction to the natural Monday Monday view on Monday alongside the Sensex monthly expiry influence.