Crude Oil Price Prediction for Tomorrow | MCX Crude 25 June 2026

The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for 25 June 2026 shows MCX Crude Oil Jul Futures at Rs 6,851 per barrel (-143.00, -2.04%) after another session of commodity weakness on 24 June 2026. Crude fell -2.04% on second consecutive session of Iran deal optimism signalling potential Iranian oil supply increase. The Nifty 50 surged +0.83% to 24,021.65 on Bank Nifty expiry-day short-covering, while India VIX fell to 13.33. A critical context for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow: 25 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex weekly options expiry (Thursday), which adds Indian equity market volatility that can spill into MCX commodity prices via rupee and risk sentiment channels.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, has analysed today’s MCX Crude Oil close, global cues, and the Sensex expiry context to present the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Wednesday. Kunal Singla provides the broader market backdrop including Sensex expiry dynamics for 25 June 2026.

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Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow: Today’s MCX Close

• MCX Close: MCX Crude Oil Jul Futures settled at Rs 6,851 per barrel (-143.00, -2.04%) on 24 June 2026 from Rs 6,994. Crude fell -2.04% on second consecutive session of Iran deal optimism signalling potential Iranian oil supply increase. The trend in today’s crude oil price prediction for tomorrow reflects the cumulative Iran deal optimism that has now driven MCX Crude Oil lower for the second consecutive session.
• International Cue: Brent Crude at ~$71.00/bbl (-1.8%) is the primary overnight reference for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow. Any material move in Brent Crude after Indian market hours will directly gap the MCX opening for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow on Thursday.
• Sensex Expiry Impact: Thursday 25 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex weekly expiry. For the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow, Sensex expiry creates volatility in the rupee and equity risk sentiment between 2:00 PM and 3:15 PM that can amplify MCX intraday swings for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow in the afternoon session.

Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow: MCX Key Levels

Trend: Cautiously Bearish on Iran Deal Optimism | Range: Rs 6,780 to Rs 6,994 per barrel

Level	Crude Oil (MCX Crude Oil Jul Futures)
Support 1	6,780
Support 2	6,650
Resistance 1	6,994
Resistance 2	7,100

The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow from Ankit Jaiswal places Rs 6,780 per barrel as the MCX support for Thursday. If Brent Crude stabilises or reverses overnight, the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow could see a technical bounce from 6,780 toward 6,994. A sustained move above Rs 6,994 would signal the end of the current downtrend in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow driven by Iran deal optimism. Jaiswal notes that MCX Crude Oil expiry on 20 July 2026 means pre-expiry positioning will also influence the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow alongside the broader Sensex expiry context for Thursday.

Crude Oil F&O and Sensex Expiry for 25 June 2026

• MCX Contract Expiry: Active MCX Crude Oil contract (Crude Oil Jul Futures) expires on 20 July 2026. Pre-expiry OI positioning adds intraday direction to the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow on Thursday alongside the Sensex expiry influence.
• Sensex Expiry Thursday: BSE Sensex weekly expiry on 25 June 2026 creates equity market volatility between 2:00 PM and 3:15 PM. For the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow, this Sensex expiry impact is felt via rupee movements and risk sentiment — a sharp Sensex expiry move above 77,200 would weaken the rupee-bullish trade and create upward pressure on the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow.
• Iran-US Talks Day 4: The primary driver of the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow trend continues to be Iran-US talk progress. A confirmed deal overnight would push the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow further down; a breakdown would sharply reverse the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow above 6,994.

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MCX Trading Strategy: crude oil price prediction for tomorrow

1. Watch Brent Crude Overnight: The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow is primarily driven by Brent Crude movement after Indian market hours. Check COMEX/NYMEX before placing any MCX positions in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Thursday.
2. Buy Setup: The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow favours a buy near Rs 6,780 per barrel with stop at Rs 6,650 targeting Rs 6,994 if Iran deal news reverses overnight.
3. Sell Setup: On a confirmed Iran deal overnight, the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow turns aggressively bearish — sell rallies to Rs 6,994 targeting Rs 6,650 in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Thursday.
4. Avoid Sensex Expiry Window: For the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow, avoid placing new MCX positions between 2:00 PM and 3:15 PM on Thursday when Sensex expiry can spike rupee and equity volatility, creating MCX spread widening and slippage risk.

What Global Data Says for crude oil price prediction for tomorrow

The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow is caught between two forces: Iran deal optimism continuing to put downward pressure on safe-haven and energy-linked commodities, and the technical oversold condition after two consecutive days of MCX declines. Ankit Jaiswal notes that at Rs 6,851 per barrel, MCX Crude Oil has fallen significantly from recent levels, creating conditions for a technical bounce in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow if the Iran deal is delayed or denied overnight.

Kunal Singla observes that Thursday’s Sensex expiry at 77,000 max pain creates an additional overnight uncertainty factor for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow. If Sensex opens above 77,200 on Thursday (gap-up on Iran deal), the rupee strengthens, which is typically negative for rupee-denominated MCX commodity prices, adding to the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow’s downward bias.

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Risks to crude oil price prediction for tomorrow

• Iran Deal Reversal: If Switzerland talks collapse overnight, the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow sees a sharp recovery above Rs 6,994 as safe-haven and supply-concern premium returns to MCX Crude Oil.
• OPEC Response Risk: Any OPEC production cut announcement in response to Iran deal supply increase could sharply reverse the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow above Rs 6,994 resistance.
• Sensex Expiry Rupee Impact: A sharp Sensex expiry-day move on Thursday affecting the rupee could create unexpected intraday swings in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow beyond the current technical framework.
• Dollar Index Spike: Any sharp DXY surge overnight would add to the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow downward pressure on already-weak MCX Crude Oil prices.

Stocks to Watch Tomorrow, 25 June 2026

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Thursday’s session. Note that 25 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex weekly options expiry (Thursday), adding volatility to Sensex heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Infosys, and TCS in the 2:00 to 3:15 PM expiry window.

Stock	CMP (24 June 2026)	Entry Zone	Target	Stop Loss
ICICI Bank	Rs 1,373.60	Rs 1,368 to Rs 1,378	Rs 1,400 to Rs 1,410	Rs 1,350
Infosys	Rs 1,056.60	Rs 1,050 to Rs 1,060	Rs 1,082 to Rs 1,090	Rs 1,032
HDFC Bank	Rs 793.20	Rs 790 to Rs 796	Rs 810 to Rs 815	Rs 778

ICICI Bank closed at Rs 1,373.60 (+2.64%) today as the standout banking performer on Bank Nifty expiry day. Jaiswal flags entry at Rs 1,368 to Rs 1,378 targeting Rs 1,400 — noting that ICICI Bank is also a key Sensex constituent, making it sensitive to Thursday’s Sensex expiry max pain near 77,000. Infosys at Rs 1,056.60 (+2.65%) continues the IT recovery; Singla sees Rs 1,050 to Rs 1,060 as a dip-buying zone targeting Rs 1,082 to Rs 1,090. HDFC Bank at Rs 793.20 (+2.39%) is the primary Sensex heavyweight — Jaiswal flags Sensex expiry positioning on Thursday as a specific driver for HDFC Bank’s intraday action, with entry at Rs 790 to Rs 796 targeting Rs 810 to Rs 815.

Conclusion

The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for 25 June 2026 is cautiously bearish given continued Iran deal optimism, with MCX support at Rs 6,780 and resistance at Rs 6,994 per barrel. Ankit Jaiswal notes the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow carries a binary risk: an Iran deal confirmation pushes toward Rs 6,650, while a breakdown reverses above Rs 6,994. Thursday’s Sensex expiry at 77,000 max pain adds Indian market volatility to the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow in the 2:00 to 3:15 PM window.

This crude oil price prediction for tomorrow is based on MCX data as of close of trade on 24 June 2026. Monitor Brent Crude overnight and check MCX opening cues before placing positions in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Thursday’s Sensex expiry day session.

FAQs

What is the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow, 25 June 2026?

Ans. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow shows MCX Crude Oil at Rs 6,851 per barrel (-2.04%) on 24 June 2026. Support is Rs 6,780 and resistance Rs 6,994 per barrel. Iran-US deal talks and Thursday’s Sensex expiry are the two key swing factors for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow on Thursday.

How does Sensex expiry affect the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook?

Ans. BSE Sensex weekly expiry on Thursday 25 June 2026 creates Indian equity market volatility between 2:00 and 3:15 PM that affects the rupee and risk sentiment. This Sensex expiry impact on the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook is most acute in the MCX afternoon session. Avoid placing new MCX Crude Oil positions during the Sensex expiry window for the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook.

What is MCX Crude Oil support for 25 June 2026?

Ans. The crude tomorrow Thursday outlook places MCX Crude Oil support at Rs 6,780 and Rs 6,650 per barrel for Thursday. Resistance is Rs 6,994 and Rs 7,100. A confirmed Iran deal overnight pushes the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook toward Rs 6,650; a breakdown reverses the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook above Rs 6,994.

What stocks should traders watch alongside the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook?

Ans. Alongside the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook on Thursday’s Sensex expiry day, ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,368 to Rs 1,378, target Rs 1,400), Infosys (entry Rs 1,050 to Rs 1,060, target Rs 1,082), and HDFC Bank (entry Rs 790 to Rs 796, target Rs 810) are the key Sensex-aligned equity picks.

When is MCX Crude Oil expiry?

Ans. The active MCX Crude Oil contract (Crude Oil Jul Futures) expires on 20 July 2026. Pre-expiry OI positioning will add intraday direction to the crude tomorrow Thursday outlook on Thursday alongside the Sensex expiry influence.