Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, 21 July 2026: Support at 77,368 After a Partial Recovery
- July 20, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: News
Sensex closed 77,708.52, down 0.57%. Day range 77,368.29 to 78,151.45. Support 77,368, 76,096. Resistance 78,151, 79,012. HDFC Bank, Axis Bank fell over 5%. Crude above $90.
The sensex prediction for tomorrow, 21 July 2026, points to a cautious session after the index clawed back a large part of a sharp morning fall. The Sensex closed at 77,708.52, down 0.57 percent, well above its intraday low of 77,368.29 after falling as much as 706 points earlier in the session. The Nifty 50 mirrored the move, closing down 0.38 percent at 24,241.35.
This sensex prediction for tomorrow is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest. Both analysts track Sensex heavyweights, daily technicals, institutional flows, and global cues to build this sensex prediction for tomorrow.
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Confirmed: No Sensex Expiry Tomorrow, But Nifty Expiry Spillover Is Real
This sensex prediction for tomorrow confirms that Sensex’s next weekly options expiry falls on Thursday, 23 July 2026, not tomorrow. However, tomorrow is Nifty’s own weekly expiry day, and Ankit Jaiswal notes that heavy options settlement activity on the Nifty side can still spill into overall market volatility that affects the Sensex, even without a dedicated expiry event of its own.
Today’s Market Recap Before the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
Any accurate sensex prediction for tomorrow starts with what happened today:
- Sensex recovers a large part of its morning fall: The index dropped as much as 706 points intraday before recovering to close 0.57 percent lower at 77,708.52, after HDFC Bank and Axis Bank both fell more than 5 percent on weak Q1 FY27 margins.
- Crude oil crosses 90 dollars a barrel: Brent’s jump on escalating Iran-US tensions added to today’s pressure, a factor central to the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
- A sharp banking divergence: ICICI Bank and PSU banks rallied hard even as HDFC Bank and Axis Bank stayed under heavy pressure, while pharma stocks held firm as a defensive hedge.
Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Trend and Key Levels
Trend: Cautious but stabilising. Support levels: 77,368, 76,096. Resistance levels: 78,151, 79,012.
| Level Type | Level | Why It Matters in the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate Support | 77,368 | Today’s intraday low, defended into the close |
| Support 2 | 76,096 | 50 day moving average and SuperTrend level; the broader floor |
| Immediate Resistance | 78,151 | Today’s opening level and yesterday’s close |
| Major Resistance | 79,012 | 200 day EMA; the level needed for a full trend reversal higher |
The sensex prediction for tomorrow looks somewhat steadier after today’s bounce off the lows. The index closed above its 50 day moving average of 76,096 and SuperTrend support, with the daily RSI improving to 59.1 by the close despite the negative session. Ankit Jaiswal notes that a reclaim of 78,151 in the sensex prediction for tomorrow would signal the recovery has real follow through, while a retest of 77,368 would suggest today’s stabilisation was fragile.
Global Cues Shaping the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
- Crude oil above 90 dollars a barrel: Today’s spike on escalating Iran-US tensions remains the dominant risk in the sensex prediction for tomorrow, even as India VIX eased slightly to 12.90 by the close.
- Bank results still being digested: HDFC Bank’s record low net interest margin and Axis Bank’s weaker numbers continue to weigh on sentiment within the index.
- FII and DII flows: FIIs sold Rs 739 crore on 14 July while DIIs bought Rs 2,927 crore, a pattern this sensex prediction for tomorrow will watch into the new week.
Key Triggers for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
- Nifty expiry spillover: Although Sensex has no expiry of its own tomorrow, heavy Nifty options settlement can still add volatility to the broader market this sensex prediction for tomorrow is tracking.
- More Q1 FY27 results: The earnings season continues this week, and further results could add to today’s stock specific volatility within the Sensex.
- Iran-US developments overnight: Any escalation or de-escalation could move crude oil sharply before tomorrow’s open.
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Top Sensex Stocks to Watch Tomorrow
These three Sensex heavyweights best represent today’s results driven divergence. These are observational setups for research, not buy recommendations.
| Stock | CMP (Rs) | Entry Zone (Rs) | Target (Rs) | Stop Loss (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICI Bank | 1,460.20 | 1,440 – 1,462 | 1,490 / 1,515 | 1,420 |
| Sun Pharma | 1,956.40 | 1,940 – 1,960 | 1,990 / 2,020 | 1,910 |
| State Bank of India | 1,060.00 | 1,045 – 1,062 | 1,085 / 1,110 | 1,020 |
ICICI Bank: Today’s Standout Sensex Performer
ICICI Bank closed up 1.1 percent at Rs 1,460.20, extending its gains after posting 13.9 percent year on year profit growth with improving margins. Ankit Jaiswal notes RSI has pushed into overbought territory, keeping it the cleanest setup in the sensex prediction for tomorrow. Targets sit at Rs 1,490 and Rs 1,515, with a stop loss at Rs 1,420.
Sun Pharma: The Defensive Anchor
Sun Pharma closed up 1.23 percent at Rs 1,956.40, holding its gains from today’s rotation into pharma. Kunal Singla notes the stock remains a key defensive pillar in the sensex prediction for tomorrow should crude oil driven volatility persist, with targets of Rs 1,990 and Rs 2,020 and a stop loss at Rs 1,910.
State Bank of India: Leading the PSU Bank Rally
SBI surged 1.5 percent today to Rs 1,060.00, the standout name as Nifty PSU Bank jumped 2.74 percent. Kunal Singla notes RSI at 61.5 and the stock well above its 50 day average of Rs 1,004, with a positive MACD histogram confirming the strength. This makes SBI a strong supporting pillar in the sensex prediction for tomorrow, with targets of Rs 1,085 and Rs 1,110 and a stop loss at Rs 1,020.
Sensex Trading Strategy for Tomorrow
- Respect today’s recovery off the lows: Sensex’s bounce from 77,368.29 is an encouraging sign in the sensex prediction for tomorrow, though it still needs confirmation above 78,151.
- Track PSU bank strength: SBI and other PSU names outperformed sharply today, a pattern this sensex prediction for tomorrow favours over the still-weak HDFC Bank and Axis Bank.
- Watch for Nifty expiry spillover: Even without its own expiry, the Sensex can see added volatility tomorrow from Nifty’s weekly settlement.
- Keep stop losses disciplined: With Brent above 90 dollars a barrel, every sensex prediction based trade for tomorrow should carry a defined stop loss.
What Market Sentiment Indicates for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
Sentiment stabilised somewhat as today’s session progressed. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the recovery off the morning lows, aided by PSU bank buying and continued defensive demand, suggests today’s fall was more of a stock specific and event driven reaction than a broad loss of confidence, a nuance this sensex prediction for tomorrow keeps front and centre. Kunal Singla flags that tomorrow’s Nifty expiry, even without a Sensex expiry of its own, adds a layer of unpredictability that traders should not underestimate.
Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
- Further crude oil escalation: A move well beyond 90 dollars a barrel would deepen inflation and import bill concerns for the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
- Continued banking sector weakness: If more banks reveal margin pressure in coming results, today’s selloff could extend into other private lenders.
- Nifty expiry spillover volatility: Heavy options unwinding on the Nifty side tomorrow can still add unexpected swings to the Sensex.
- A retest of today’s low: A slip back below 77,368 would call today’s recovery into question.
Conclusion
The sensex prediction for tomorrow, 21 July 2026, favours a cautious session between 77,368 support and 78,151 resistance, after today’s partial recovery from a sharp fall driven by disappointing bank results and crude oil crossing 90 dollars a barrel. Ankit Jaiswal expects ICICI Bank and Sun Pharma to stay favoured while HDFC Bank and Axis Bank work through their results reaction, while Kunal Singla flags SBI’s PSU bank leadership and Nifty’s expiry spillover as key factors. ICICI Bank, Sun Pharma, and SBI are the Sensex constituents best placed to lead. Trade the range, respect stop losses, and stay alert to crude oil headlines.
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Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
What is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, 21 July 2026?
Ans. The sensex prediction for tomorrow points to a cautious session after Sensex closed 0.57 percent lower at 77,708.52 today, recovering from a much steeper morning fall. This sensex prediction for tomorrow sees support at 77,368 and resistance at 78,151, with tomorrow driven mainly by Nifty’s own expiry and lingering bank results fallout.
Is tomorrow, 21 July 2026, a Sensex expiry day?
Ans. No. This sensex prediction for tomorrow confirms that Sensex’s next weekly options expiry falls on Thursday, 23 July 2026, not tomorrow. However, tomorrow is Nifty’s weekly expiry, and spillover volatility from that settlement can still affect the Sensex.
Why did Sensex fall today, and what does it mean for the sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Sensex fell as much as 706 points today after HDFC Bank and Axis Bank both dropped over 5 percent on disappointing Q1 FY27 margins, while Brent crude crossed 90 dollars a barrel. The index recovered through the day, a partial stabilisation that shapes the more measured tone of the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
What are the key support and resistance levels in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. The sensex prediction for tomorrow places support at 77,368, today’s intraday low, then 76,096, the 50 day moving average. Resistance sits at 78,151, today’s opening level, followed by the 200 day EMA near 79,012, the bigger target once cleared.
Which analysts have shared this Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. This sensex prediction for tomorrow is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, who track Sensex heavyweights, institutional flows, and global cues daily.
Which stocks support the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. ICICI Bank, Sun Pharma, and State Bank of India are the Sensex heavyweights best placed to support the sensex prediction for tomorrow. ICICI Bank posted a strong results beat, Sun Pharma benefited from a defensive rotation, and SBI led a broad PSU banking rally.
