Stock Market Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

This stock market prediction for Monday follows a Friday, 25 September 2026 session in which Indian equity benchmarks extended their recovery from Thursday's sharp sell-off. Nifty 50 closed at 23,140.50, up 0.34 percent, while Sensex added 315.20 points to 73,895.74. Nifty Auto led sectoral gains, up 0.89 percent, and HDFC Bank rebounded strongly, up 0.92 percent, though Infosys lagged, down 1.41 percent. India VIX eased 4.18 percent to 12.16, its second straight session of calming after Thursday's spike to 12.71.

Ankit Jaiswal, equity research analyst at Univest, observes that Friday's session confirms the worst of Thursday's risk-off move may be behind the market, though confirmation will need to come from Monday's opening trade. Kunal Singla, market analyst at Univest, notes that the divergence between HDFC Bank's rebound and ICICI Bank's 0.58 percent decline is worth tracking, since it reverses the pattern seen earlier in the week.

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This stock market prediction for monday should be read alongside the support and resistance levels detailed above.

Friday's Market Recap

• Index closes: Nifty 50 at 23,140.50 (+77.40 pts, +0.34%). Sensex at 73,895.74 (+315.20 pts, +0.43%). Bank Nifty at 55,580.40 (+141.90 pts, +0.26%). Friday's range: Nifty 23,021-23,163, Sensex 73,478-73,968, Bank Nifty 55,374-55,763.
• Sectoral performance: Nifty Auto led gains, up 0.89 percent. Nifty Metal and Nifty FMCG both gained around 0.35 to 0.40 percent. Nifty IT and Nifty Pharma were both roughly flat.
• VIX and flows: India VIX eased to 12.16 (-4.18%), its second straight session of calming after Thursday's sharp spike to 12.71.

Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday

Trend: Cautiously constructive | Support: 23,000-23,050 and 22,850-22,900 | Resistance: 23,250-23,300 and 23,400-23,450

According to Ankit Jaiswal, the stock market prediction for Monday shows Nifty 50 needing to hold above 23,000 to confirm Friday's recovery is extending rather than fading. A confirmed move past 23,250 would be the clearer signal that Thursday's sell-off is fully behind the market.

Bank Nifty Prediction for Monday

Trend: Cautiously constructive | Support: 55,100-55,200 and 54,700-54,800 | Resistance: 55,900-56,000 and 56,300-56,500

Univest's desk will revisit this stock market prediction for monday once Monday's opening trade confirms direction.

Kunal Singla observes that Bank Nifty closed at 55,580.40, with HDFC Bank rebounding 0.92 percent while ICICI Bank eased 0.58 percent, a reversal of the pattern seen on Thursday. Singla places 55,100-55,200 as the level to hold for the stock market prediction for Monday in the banking space.

Why This Is Written for Monday

Indian markets do not trade Saturday or Sunday, so Friday's closing prices remain the last available data until trading resumes Monday, 28 September 2026. This stock market prediction for Monday should be read as a weekend briefing to prepare for the open, not a live call that updates through the weekend.

Global Cues for the Stock Market Prediction for Monday

• US bond yields: Whether the sharp move higher earlier this week holds or eases over the weekend will shape Monday's opening tone for the stock market prediction for Monday.
• Crude oil: Continued firmness in crude oil prices would keep pressure on oil-importing sectors into next week.
• GIFT Nifty: Futures will offer the first live signal for Monday's open before the cash market begins trading.

Sectors to Watch for Monday

• Auto: Friday's best-performing sector, up 0.89 percent, worth tracking for whether the strength extends into next week.
• Banking: The divergence between HDFC Bank's rebound and ICICI Bank's decline is the key thing to watch for whether banking broadens its recovery.
• IT: Tata Consultancy Services held roughly flat while Infosys fell 1.41 percent, a split worth monitoring into Monday.

Traders relying on this stock market prediction for monday should still size positions to their own risk appetite.

Stocks to Watch for Monday's Session

Stock	CMP (Rs)	25 Sep Change	Key Level Monday
HDFC Bank	735.60	+0.92%	Support 725 | Res 742
Reliance Industries	1,226.00	+0.56%	Support 1,210 | Res 1,235
Tata Consultancy Services	2,082.00	-0.24%	Support 2,055 | Res 2,100
ICICI Bank	1,326.80	-0.58%	Support 1,310 | Res 1,345
Infosys	1,000.20	-1.41%	Support 985 | Res 1,015

Screen all Nifty 50 stocks on Univest Screener before Monday's session

Stock Market Prediction Strategy for Traders

Four tactical approaches align with the current stock market prediction for Monday. First, check GIFT Nifty futures first thing Monday morning, since a weekend gap in either direction is common after a volatile week like this one. Second, watch whether HDFC Bank's rebound broadens to ICICI Bank and other private banks, or stays a single-stock story. Third, use the 23,000 Nifty 50 support as a reference for stop-loss placement on long positions. Fourth, avoid over-leveraging into Monday given that India VIX, though easing, remains above levels seen earlier this month.

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As with any stock market prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday's trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

What Does Market Sentiment Indicate for the Stock Market Prediction for Monday?

India VIX easing to 12.16, down 4.18 percent for a second straight session, is the clearest signal embedded in Friday's stock market prediction for Monday. Two consecutive sessions of calming volatility suggests the market has meaningfully worked through Thursday's shock, though it does not guarantee Monday will be smooth.

Ankit Jaiswal notes that Friday's recovery was led by autos and banking rather than IT, a rotation pattern worth watching into next week. Kunal Singla points out that Infosys's sharp 1.41 percent fall, even as the broader market recovered, suggests some stock-specific factors are at play beyond the general risk-off unwind.

FII flow data from Friday's close will offer an early read on whether institutional buying supported the recovery or whether it was driven mainly by short covering. The data collectively supports a cautiously constructive bias for Monday, with confirmation needed from GIFT Nifty and the first 15 minutes of trade.

Risks to Monday's Market Prediction

• Any weekend escalation in US bond yields or crude oil prices could unsettle Monday's open before it even starts.
• If HDFC Bank's rebound proves to be a single-session event, Friday's banking strength could unwind quickly.
• Continued weakness in Infosys, if it spreads to other IT names, could weigh on the broader index.
• A reversal in India VIX back toward Thursday's spike level would argue against reading too much into the recent calm.

This stock market prediction for monday is built from Friday's verified closing data, since markets are shut over the weekend.

Conclusion

This stock market prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026, reflects a market extending its recovery from Thursday's sharp sell-off. Nifty 50 must hold 23,000 to keep the recovery intact, while Bank Nifty needs to stay above 55,100 as the divergence between HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank plays out. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla both stress that GIFT Nifty on Monday morning will offer the clearest early signal, since Friday's close is now two full days old by the time trading resumes.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the stock market prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026?

Ans. The stock market prediction for Monday leans cautiously constructive. Nifty 50 support is at 23,000-23,050 and resistance at 23,250-23,300. Bank Nifty support is at 55,100-55,200 and resistance at 55,900-56,000, based on Friday's close.

Why is this a stock market prediction for Monday and not tomorrow?

Ans. Because Indian markets don't trade Saturday or Sunday, Friday, 25 September 2026, is the last trading session before markets reopen Monday, 28 September 2026, which is why this uses Monday phrasing rather than tomorrow.

Why did the market recover on Friday after Thursday's sharp fall?

Ans. The market recovered as India VIX eased 4.18 percent to 12.16, its second straight session of calming, with Nifty Auto leading sectoral gains and HDFC Bank rebounding strongly from Thursday's sell-off.

Which stocks does Univest flag for Monday's session?

Ans. HDFC Bank, Reliance Industries, TCS, ICICI Bank and Infosys are flagged for monitoring, with HDFC Bank's rebound and Infosys's continued weakness the two clearest divergences from Friday's session.

What are the key risks to the stock market prediction for Monday?

Ans. Key risks include a weekend escalation in US bond yields or crude oil prices, HDFC Bank's rebound proving to be a single-session event, and a reversal in India VIX back toward Thursday's spike level.