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Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, 17 July 2026: Support at 77,086 After Today’s Faded Rally

Sensex closed 77,186.87, flat versus yesterday. Day range 77,086.42 to 77,579.69. Support 77,086, 76,096. Resistance 77,580, 79,072. Today was Sensex weekly expiry.


16 Jul 20264:10 pm

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, 17 July 2026: Support at 77,086 After Today’s Faded Rally
 

The sensex prediction for tomorrow, 17 July 2026, points to a cautious session after the index gave back a promising early rally on its own weekly expiry day. The Sensex closed at 77,186.87, effectively unchanged from yesterday’s close, after touching an intraday high of 77,579.69 during the morning’s IT led rally. The Nifty 50 mirrored the move, closing down a marginal 0.02 percent at 24,072.75.

This sensex prediction for tomorrow is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest. Both analysts track Sensex heavyweights, daily technicals, institutional flows, and global cues to build this sensex prediction for tomorrow.

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Confirmed: No Sensex Expiry Tomorrow

This sensex prediction for tomorrow confirms that today, 16 July, was the Sensex weekly options expiry day on the BSE, and with that event now concluded, tomorrow’s session carries no expiry driven volatility of its own. The next Sensex weekly expiry falls on Thursday, 23 July 2026. Ankit Jaiswal notes that some of today’s late session volatility, including the fade from the day’s highs, may have been amplified by expiry related options unwinding on top of the Iran-US escalation.

Today’s Market Recap Before the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Any accurate sensex prediction for tomorrow starts with what happened today:

  • Sensex fades from a strong open on expiry day: The index rallied as much as 0.5 percent in early trade before closing effectively flat at 77,186.87, after Iran struck a US military base in Jordan with attack drones and CENTCOM responded with fresh strikes on Iranian targets.
  • IT leads, but momentum cools: IT stocks were the strongest sector for most of the day, though gains moderated sharply into the close, a pattern central to the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
  • Earnings season stays active: HDFC Life, Angel One, and ABB India posted strong Q1 FY27 results today, while ITC Hotels disappointed, keeping stock specific action alive alongside the macro headlines.

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Trend and Key Levels

Trend: Cautious after a failed breakout on expiry day. Support levels: 77,086, 76,096. Resistance levels: 77,580, 78,894, 79,072.

Level Type Level Why It Matters in the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
Immediate Support 77,086 Today’s intraday low, the first cushion for a pullback
Support 2 76,096 50 day moving average and SuperTrend level; the broader floor
Immediate Resistance 77,580 Today’s intraday high that sellers defended on expiry day
Resistance 2 78,894 SuperTrend upper band; a close above confirms fresh strength
Major Resistance 79,072 200 day EMA; the level needed for a full trend reversal higher

The sensex prediction for tomorrow stays cautious after today’s rejection near the highs. The index trades above its 50 day moving average of 76,096 and SuperTrend support of 76,085, with the daily RSI at 51.3 showing momentum has cooled from earlier in the week. Ankit Jaiswal notes that a decisive close above 77,580 in the sensex prediction for tomorrow would signal renewed strength, while failure to hold 77,086 could see a retest of the 50 day average.

Global Cues Shaping the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • Iran strikes a US base directly: Today’s attack on Jordan’s Azraq Air Base is a notable escalation beyond earlier tanker strikes, and the dominant risk factor in the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
  • CENTCOM responds with fresh strikes: US forces completed another wave of strikes on Iranian military assets, keeping the conflict trajectory uncertain heading into tomorrow.
  • Crude oil volatility risk stays wide: Goldman Sachs has flagged Brent crude could range anywhere from the 60s to over 110 dollars a barrel depending on how the situation evolves.

Key Triggers for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • Iran-US conflict trajectory: Whether today’s direct strike on a US base leads to further escalation or a pause will likely be the single biggest swing factor for the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
  • Q1 FY27 earnings season: With results flowing in from HDFC Life, Angel One, ABB India, and others, management commentary will continue to drive stock specific moves within the Sensex.
  • Semiconductor manufacturing push: The Union Cabinet’s approval of close to Rs 1.9 lakh crore for electronics manufacturing is a structural positive worth tracking in future sensex prediction for tomorrow updates.

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Top Sensex Stocks to Watch Tomorrow

These three Sensex heavyweights showed resilience through today’s volatile expiry session. These are observational setups for research, not buy recommendations.

Stock CMP (Rs) Entry Zone (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss (Rs)
HCL Technologies 1,187.40 1,170 – 1,190 1,220 / 1,250 1,145
TCS 2,201.00 2,175 – 2,205 2,240 / 2,270 2,130
Sun Pharma 1,950.10 1,935 – 1,955 1,985 / 2,015 1,905

HCL Technologies: The Sharpest Recovery Story

HCL Technologies closed up 1.66 percent today at Rs 1,187.40, holding the bulk of its midday surge and comfortably above its 50 day average of Rs 1,151. Ankit Jaiswal notes RSI at 61.4 and a positive MACD histogram of 10.8, keeping it the standout name in the sensex prediction for tomorrow. Targets sit at Rs 1,220 and Rs 1,250, with a stop loss at Rs 1,145.

TCS: Consistent Through the Expiry Volatility

TCS closed up 0.54 percent at Rs 2,201.00, staying positive even as broader IT gains moderated into the close. Kunal Singla notes the MACD histogram remains strongly positive at 24.6, keeping TCS a core pillar of the sensex prediction for tomorrow, with targets of Rs 2,240 and Rs 2,270 and a stop loss at Rs 2,130.

Sun Pharma: The Defensive Anchor

Sun Pharma closed nearly flat today at Rs 1,950.10, consolidating after its strong multi-day defensive run. Kunal Singla notes the stock remains a key defensive pillar in the sensex prediction for tomorrow should Iran-US tensions escalate further, with targets of Rs 1,985 and Rs 2,015 and a stop loss at Rs 1,905.

Sensex Trading Strategy for Tomorrow

  • Respect today’s rejection at highs: Sensex failing to hold above 77,580 for a third session this week is a signal for caution in the sensex prediction for tomorrow rather than chasing strength.
  • No expiry cushion tomorrow: With today’s expiry now behind the market, tomorrow’s moves should more purely reflect Iran-US headlines and earnings reactions rather than options positioning.
  • Track relative strength: HCL Technologies, TCS, and Sun Pharma held up best today, a pattern this sensex prediction for tomorrow favours over banking names.
  • Watch crude oil overnight: Any further spike toward the higher end of Goldman Sachs’s flagged range would be a strong negative signal for the Sensex at tomorrow’s open.

What Market Sentiment Indicates for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Sentiment today reflected a market caught between earnings optimism and escalating geopolitical risk. The early rally on IT strength gave way to caution once Iran’s direct strike on a US base broke, though Ankit Jaiswal notes that India VIX still easing to 12.87 suggests investors are not yet pricing in a severe escalation. Kunal Singla flags that today’s expiry session likely amplified the afternoon volatility, making it harder to read the market’s genuine directional conviction, a nuance carried into the sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

  • Further Iran-US escalation: Additional retaliation following today’s direct strike on a US base could trigger a sharp risk-off move in the sensex prediction for tomorrow.
  • Crude oil spike: A renewed surge in Brent crude toward the higher end of the flagged range could quickly sour sentiment.
  • Banking sector spillover: Continued weakness in Bank Nifty could offset strength in IT and pharma within the index.
  • IT rally proving temporary: If today’s fade extends into outright weakness tomorrow, the Sensex could lose its main source of recent support.

Conclusion

The sensex prediction for tomorrow, 17 July 2026, favours a cautious session between 77,086 support and 77,580 resistance, after today’s IT led rally faded on Iran’s direct strike on a US base in Jordan. Ankit Jaiswal expects HCL Technologies and TCS to stay relatively favoured if IT retains its edge, while Kunal Singla flags Sun Pharma as the defensive anchor if tensions escalate further. HCL Technologies, TCS, and Sun Pharma are the Sensex constituents best placed to lead. Trade the range, respect stop losses, and stay alert through tomorrow’s headline driven session.

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live Sensex levels and get the sensex prediction for tomorrow from SEBI registered research analysts.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

FAQs on Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

What is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, 17 July 2026?

Ans. The sensex prediction for tomorrow points to a cautious session after today’s IT led rally faded into an almost flat close. This sensex prediction for tomorrow sees support at 77,086 and resistance at 77,580, after Sensex closed at 77,186.87, effectively unchanged from yesterday.

Is tomorrow, 17 July 2026, a Sensex expiry day?

Ans. No. This sensex prediction for tomorrow confirms that today, 16 July, was the Sensex weekly expiry on the BSE. The next Sensex weekly expiry falls on Thursday, 23 July 2026, so tomorrow’s session carries no expiry driven volatility of its own.

Why did Sensex’s rally fade today, and what does it mean for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Sensex rallied as much as 0.5 percent in early trade on IT sector strength, before fading after Iran struck a US military base in Jordan with attack drones. This escalation is central to the sensex prediction for tomorrow, especially after today’s expiry session added its own volatility.

What are the key support and resistance levels in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The sensex prediction for tomorrow places support at 77,086, today’s intraday low, then 76,096, the 50 day moving average. Resistance sits at 77,580, today’s high, followed by the 200 day EMA near 79,072, the bigger target once cleared.

Which analysts have shared this Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. This sensex prediction for tomorrow is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, who track Sensex heavyweights, institutional flows, and global cues daily.

Which stocks support the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. HCL Technologies, TCS, and Sun Pharma are the Sensex heavyweights best placed to support the sensex prediction for tomorrow. HCL Technologies and TCS held onto gains from today’s IT rally, while Sun Pharma offers defensive stability if Iran-US tensions escalate further.

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