Sensex Prediction for Monday: Weekly Recovery Holds Ahead of 24 August 2026 Open

The Sensex prediction for Monday follows a week that illustrated how quickly India's benchmark index can recover from a correction. BSE Sensex fell 906 points from 77,728 to 76,822 (Tuesday intraday low) in three sessions, then rebounded 718 points to close at 77,540.83 on Friday in two sessions. Ankit Jaiswal, Research Analyst at Univest, notes that the pace of recovery — 718 points in two sessions after a 906-point three-session fall — suggests that institutional buyers absorbed supply quickly, a constructive signal for the Sensex prediction for Monday.

Kunal Singla, Research Analyst at Univest, observes that the Sensex prediction for Monday is shaped by the same positive elements as the Nifty: constructive weekly close, VIX well below distress levels at 11.20, and continued private banking strength. However, the Sensex prediction for Monday carries a two-day global cue gap that is the key unknown. The Monday opening gap, visible through Gift Nifty futures from the early hours, will determine whether the Sensex prediction for Monday turns from sideways to decisively bullish or requires a wait-and-watch approach.

Click Here – Get Free Investment Predictions

Friday Session Recap: 21 August 2026

• BSE Sensex: Closed at 77,540.83 (+0.00%). Flat consolidation after Thursday's 0.82% gain. Session range 77,445.86 to 77,725.67. The 77,725 high was tested and held without breaking, which is the primary technical input for the Sensex prediction for Monday.
• Sectoral Leadership: Banking stocks led Friday's positive contribution: Kotak Mahindra Bank +1.37%, ICICI Bank +0.57%, HDFC Bank +0.26%. IT stocks saw mild profit-taking (Infosys -0.80%). This mixed sector picture is normal for a consolidation day in the Sensex prediction for Monday context.
• Weekly Recovery: From the 76,822 Tuesday low to 77,540.83 Friday close, Sensex recovered 718 points (0.93%). This is the constructive weekly backdrop for the Sensex prediction for Monday.

Sensex Prediction for Monday: Technical Analysis

Ankit Jaiswal's Sensex prediction for Monday identifies 77,440 to 77,450 as the immediate support, near Friday's session low of 77,445.86. This zone has absorbed intraday selling consistently over the past two sessions, making it a well-established demand level for the Sensex prediction for Monday. A hold above 77,440 on Monday morning confirms buyer conviction at the current level. A break below 77,440 would shift the Sensex prediction for Monday to cautious, with 77,200 as the next support.

On the upside, the Sensex prediction for Monday places resistance at 77,725, the Friday intraday high. Kunal Singla notes that this level has capped two consecutive sessions and represents the zone where sellers become active. A decisive close above 77,725 in the Sensex prediction for Monday would signal a full trend reversal, targeting 77,900 to 78,000 — the pre-correction range that Sensex was approaching before the week's sell-off began.

Trend for 24 August 2026 (Monday): Sideways to Mildly Bullish
Support: 77,440 to 77,450 | 77,200
Resistance: 77,725 | 77,900 to 78,000

Global Cues for Sensex Prediction for Monday

• Weekend Global Cues: With markets closed Saturday and Sunday, the Monday opening on 24 August will be shaped by: US Friday session performance (post-India close), Asian market openings on Monday, and any geopolitical or macro developments over the weekend.
• US Markets (latest available): Dow Jones at 53,732 (-0.20%), Nasdaq at 26,729 (-0.30%). Weak US retail sales (-0.6% in July) and soft consumer sentiment remain macro headwinds. Any US data or Fed commentary over the weekend will directly influence the Monday opening.
• FII and DII: FII net buyers Rs 508 Cr and DII Rs 356 Cr on 14 August (last confirmed). Weekly FII trend has been supportive of the recovery seen from Tuesday to Friday. Monday's opening will reflect weekend flows.

Key Events for 24 August 2026 (Monday)

• US Friday session (post-India close): primary global cue for the Sensex prediction for Monday
• Asian Monday openings: Japan Nikkei and Hang Seng early readings confirm global risk appetite for the Sensex prediction for Monday
• Gift Nifty Monday morning: the pre-market gap indicator for the Sensex prediction for Monday
• FII Friday provisional data (Monday release): institutional net position on 21 August shapes the Sensex prediction for Monday opening sentiment

Sensex Stocks to Watch on Monday

Stock	Close (Rs)	21 Aug Change	Key Level for Monday
Kotak Mahindra Bank	402.80	+1.37%	Support: 398 | Resistance: 406
ICICI Bank	1,420.00	+0.57%	Support: 1,411 | Resistance: 1,425
Larsen and Toubro	4,093.00	+0.29%	Support: 4,061 | Resistance: 4,100
HDFC Bank	726.95	+0.26%	Support: 726 | Resistance: 732
Reliance Industries	1,316.00	+0.21%	Support: 1,308 | Resistance: 1,316

Analyse Sensex Stocks on Univest Screener

Sensex Prediction Strategy for Monday 24 August 2026

• Buy Sensex dips toward 77,440 with stop below 77,200 for the Sensex prediction for Monday, provided Gift Nifty is flat to positive
• A break above 77,725 in the Sensex prediction for Monday targets 77,900 to 78,000; trail stop at 77,450
• Watch HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank as primary Sensex barometers for the Sensex prediction for Monday
• Avoid aggressive pre-market positions before Gift Nifty Monday morning confirms direction in the Sensex prediction for Monday

What Does Sentiment Indicate for Sensex Prediction for Monday?

Sentiment for the Sensex prediction for Monday is cautiously optimistic. The weekly recovery pattern — sharp intra-week correction followed by a two-session recovery that held all gains on Friday — is the strongest bullish weekly signal in over two weeks. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the Sensex prediction for Monday benefits from the same VIX and banking sector signals that supported Thursday's strong session. The key difference is the two-day global cue gap that makes the Sensex prediction for Monday inherently less certain than a typical "next-day" forecast.

Kunal Singla observes that the the Sensex's Monday outlook is supported by institutional behaviour: the pace of Thursday and Friday's recovery (combined gain of 0.82% + 0.00%, net 0.82% over two sessions) was orderly, not panic-buying. This measured institutional recovery is more durable for the Monday's BSE Sensex forecast than sharp, volume-spike recoveries that often reverse quickly.

Risks to the BSE benchmark's 24 August outlook

• A sharp US market decline on Friday 22 August (post-India close) would gap the the index's Monday prediction below 77,440 support
• Weekend geopolitical developments would reverse the constructive weekly setup and turn the Monday's Sensex forecast bearish
• Profit-taking by FII on Friday 21 August (data released Monday) would add selling pressure to the the Sensex's Monday outlook
• A Sensex gap-down below 77,200 on Monday morning would signal a deeper correction in the Monday's BSE Sensex forecast

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live Sensex levels and get daily expert predictions.

Conclusion

The the BSE benchmark's 24 August outlook, 24 August 2026, is sideways to mildly bullish. BSE Sensex closed the week at 77,540.83 (+0.00%) on 21 August. Ankit Jaiswal's the index's Monday prediction places support at 77,440 and resistance at 77,725. Kunal Singla notes the 718-point weekly recovery from 76,822 and private banking leadership make the Monday's Sensex forecast constructive subject to positive weekend global cues.

Download the Univest app for live Sensex updates and expert research on the the Sensex's Monday outlook as 24 August 2026 opens.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest Research Analyst Registration No. INH000013776.

Frequently Asked Questions on Monday's BSE Sensex forecast

What is the the BSE benchmark's 24 August outlook, 24 August 2026?

Ans. The the index's Monday prediction is sideways to mildly bullish. BSE Sensex closed essentially flat at 77,540.83 (+0.00%) on Friday 21 August, consolidating the strong Thursday recovery. Ankit Jaiswal's Monday's Sensex forecast places support at 77,440 to 77,450 and resistance at 77,725 to 77,750. The weekend global cue is the primary variable shaping the the Sensex's Monday outlook.

Why did Sensex close flat on 21 August 2026?

Ans. BSE Sensex moved just +0.00% on Friday 21 August as the index consolidated Thursday's 0.82% gain. This is a normal technical pause at resistance: the Sensex touched a high of 77,725.67 but gave back gains to close at 77,540.83. Kunal Singla notes this flat close is constructive for the Monday's BSE Sensex forecast because it shows sellers could not push the index lower despite testing the high.

What are Sensex support and resistance levels for Monday 24 August 2026?

Ans. The the BSE benchmark's 24 August outlook places immediate support at 77,440 to 77,450 (near Friday's low of 77,445.86) and strong support at 77,200. Resistance stands at 77,725 (Friday's high of 77,725.67) and stronger resistance at 77,900 to 78,000. A break above 77,725 in the the index's Monday prediction would be the first signal of a full trend reversal.

What was the weekly performance of Sensex before the prediction for Monday?

Ans. BSE Sensex fell from 77,728 (Monday 18 Aug open) to 76,822 (Tuesday intraday low), then recovered to 77,540.83 (Friday close). The net weekly recovery of approximately 718 points from the low is a strong signal for the Monday's Sensex forecast. Ankit Jaiswal notes this recovery speed is consistent with institutional buying rather than short-covering.

What is the Sensex trading strategy for Monday 24 August 2026?

Ans. For the the Sensex's Monday outlook, Ankit Jaiswal recommends buying dips toward 77,440 with stop below 77,200. A break above 77,725 confirms the Monday's BSE Sensex forecast as bullish and targets 77,900. Kunal Singla advises monitoring Gift Nifty Monday morning: a flat-to-positive reading supports entering at the dip in the the BSE benchmark's 24 August outlook.