Schaeffler India Share Price Target 2026: Stock Analysis, Share Price Today, Bull Case and Bear Case After Q2 CY2026

Schaeffler India Rs 3,818.10 (6 Oct 2026 close). 52-week range Rs 3,518.40 to Rs 4,467.70. Q2 CY2026 revenue Rs 2,681 cr, up 17.5%; profit Rs 336.7 cr.

The Schaeffler India share price target for 2026 is Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116 in the Univest base case, with the stock at Rs 3,818.10 at the 6 October 2026 close. That is 14.5 percent below its 52-week high of Rs 4,467.70 and 8.5 percent above its 52-week low of Rs 3,518.40, and the stock moved down 7.2 percent over the past year. Schaeffler India is part of the Schaeffler group and makes bearings, clutches and motion technology for automotive, industrial and aftermarket customers. Debt to equity is 0.01 and the dividend yield is 0.92 percent.

Three things changed since the last update: Q2 CY2026 results on 22 July showed revenue up 17.5 percent, a new COO was appointed, and management flagged working capital, input cost and capacity pressure that weighed on the stock. This Schaeffler India stock analysis covers the Schaeffler India share price today, the Schaeffler India share price target for 2026, 2027 and 2030, the Q2 CY2026 numbers, catalysts and risks, key price levels and a Schaeffler India buy or sell view.

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What Is the Schaeffler India Share Price Target for 2026?

The 2026 target for Schaeffler India shares is Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116 in the Univest base case, which is -7.6% to +7.8% against the last close. The bull case is Rs 4,704 to Rs 5,152 and the bear case is Rs 2,496 to Rs 2,964. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 6 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario. Analyst consensus is used as a cross-check, not as the base.

Schaeffler India Share Price Target Scenarios: Bull Case, Base Case and Bear Case

Scenario	FY28E EPS	Target Multiple	Price Target (Rs)	Move vs Rs 3,818.10
Bull Case	Rs 112	42x to 46x	4,704 to 5,152	+23.2% to +34.9%
Base Case	Rs 98	36x to 42x	3,528 to 4,116	-7.6% to +7.8%
Bear Case	Rs 78	32x to 38x	2,496 to 2,964	-34.6% to -22.4%

FY28 EPS of Rs 98 in the base case compares with trailing EPS of Rs 80.19 and assumes revenue growth near 15 percent with the PBT margin near 17 percent. Schaeffler reports on a calendar year, so FY28 here is the 12 months to March 2028, a blend of calendar 2027 and 2028. Premium auto component names trade at 36 to 42 times earnings, and the stock trades at about 39 times the base estimate. The PE multiple used for each case is shown in the table, and the EPS estimate is a Univest assumption, not company guidance. Those assumptions set the Schaeffler India share price target range around the current price.

Schaeffler India Company Overview and Share Price Today as of 6 October 2026

Schaeffler India share price today is Rs 3,818.10 on the NSE at the 6 October 2026 close, before the market opens on 7 October. The market capitalisation is Rs 59,571 crore, and the stock trades at 47.5 times earnings against an industry average of 46.4 times. The Univest base case Schaeffler India share price target of Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116 is -7.6% to +7.8% from here. The table below sets out the key numbers behind the Schaeffler India share price target.

Parameter	Value	Context
NSE Ticker	SCHAEFFLER	BSE code 505790
Sector	Auto components (bearings and motion technology)	Per Univest sector classification
Last Close (NSE)	Rs 3,818.10	6 Oct 2026 close
52-Week High	Rs 4,467.70	CMP is 14.5% below
52-Week Low	Rs 3,518.40	CMP is 8.5% above
1-Year Return	About -7%	Weekly close Rs 4115.6 on 10 Oct 2025 to Rs 3818.1
Market Capitalisation	Rs 59,571 crore	Large cap auto component company
Trailing P/E	About 47.5x	Industry P/E about 46.40x
P/B Ratio	About 9.69x	Book value Rs 393.29 per share
EPS (TTM)	Rs 80.19	Trailing twelve months
Return on Equity	About 20.4%	Debt to equity 0.01
Dividend Yield	About 0.92%	Dividend paid yearly
12-Month Target (Base Case)	Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116	Univest base case
Bull Case	Rs 4,704 to Rs 5,152	+23.2% to +34.9%
Bear Case	Rs 2,496 to Rs 2,964	-34.6% to -22.4%

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How Did Schaeffler India Perform in Q2 CY2026?

Schaeffler India reported Q2 CY2026 revenue from operations of Rs 2,681.4 crore, up 17.5 percent from a year ago and up 7 percent from the previous quarter. Net profit was Rs 336.7 crore and PBT before exceptional items was Rs 452.5 crore, up 13.7 percent. Together these Q2 CY2026 numbers anchor the Schaeffler India share price target.

Metric	Q2 CY2026	Context
Revenue from Operations	Rs 2,681.4 crore	Up 17.5% YoY; up 7% QoQ
PBT Before Exceptional Items	Rs 452.5 crore	Up 13.7%; margin 16.9%
Net Profit	Rs 336.7 crore	Margin 12.6%
EBITDA	Rs 513 crore	Up 19% YoY
Consolidated Revenue	Rs 2,760 crore	Including subsidiary KRSV
H1 CY2026 Revenue	Rs 5,188.4 crore	Up 18.1%; profit Rs 656.4 crore

Growth came from Automotive Technologies, Vehicle Lifetime Solutions and intercompany exports. On the call, management pointed to higher input costs, freight pressure, working capital and capacity bottlenecks, and investors focused on cash flow, which weighed on the stock. The CY2026 and FY27 outlook from management is the main input for these estimates. These numbers sit behind every range in the scenario table above, so they anchor the Schaeffler India share price target.

Why Is Schaeffler India Share Price Down 15 Percent From Its High?

Schaeffler India shares are about 15 percent below the Rs 4,467.70 high of the week of 2 March 2026 and down about 7 percent in a year. The stock jumped 12 percent in the week of 23 February on 21 lakh shares, then fell 11 percent in the week of 9 March to Rs 3,830.

It touched a 52-week low of Rs 3,518.40 in the week of 19 January, rose 6.8 percent in the week of 14 September to Rs 4,217.60 and then gave it all back, falling to Rs 3,787. Cost and cash flow concerns have capped the stock despite 17 percent revenue growth. The Schaeffler India share price target scenarios below account for that move.

Key Catalysts for the Schaeffler India Share Price Target in 2026

4 catalysts matter most for the Schaeffler India share price target, and sector tailwinds in Auto components (bearings and motion technology) are part of the case. Together they decide whether the base case is reached.

1. Revenue Growth

Revenue grew 17.5 percent in Q2 and 18.1 percent in H1. Double-digit growth has run for many quarters. If it plays out, the Schaeffler India share price target moves toward the top of the base range.

2. Vehicle Lifetime Solutions

The aftermarket arm grew along with Automotive Technologies and exports. A bigger aftermarket share supports margin. Strength here would support the upper end of the Schaeffler India share price target.

3. Capacity Additions

Capacity bottlenecks were flagged on the call. New lines would let volume catch up with demand. Delivery on this point keeps the Schaeffler India share price target on track.

4. Debt-Free Balance Sheet

Debt to equity is 0.01 and return on equity is about 20 percent. Strong cash generation funds growth. Better news here would lift the Schaeffler India share price target toward the bull case.

What Are the Key Risks to the Schaeffler India Share Price Target?

The main risks are margin pressure, working capital, a premium valuation and global supply issues. Each can pull the Schaeffler India share price target lower.

Margin Pressure

The PBT margin fell to 16.9 percent from 17.4 percent. Higher input and freight costs could push it lower. If it materialises, the Schaeffler India share price target would slip toward the bear case.

Working Capital

Higher working capital drew investor concern after Q2. Slow collections would hit cash flow. This is the main downside risk to the Schaeffler India share price target.

Premium Valuation

The stock trades at 47.5 times earnings and 9.7 times book. A bear case EPS of Rs 78 at 32 times would put the price near Rs 2,496. A worsening here would cut the Schaeffler India share price target toward the low end of the range.

Geopolitical Uncertainty

Management cited geopolitical uncertainty and freight pressure. Supply disruption would delay shipments. Watch it closely, because it can pull the Schaeffler India share price target lower quickly.

Schaeffler India Stock Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels for the Share Price Target

Schaeffler India stock analysis on weekly charts shows a range of Rs 3,763 to Rs 4,260 since mid-September, with the stock near the lower end.

The first support level is Rs 3,763.50 to Rs 3,765.50, the lows of the weeks of 5 and 28 September. Below that, Rs 3,518.40 is the 52-week low of the week of 19 January.

The first resistance level is Rs 3,908.60 to Rs 4,009.90, the highs of the weeks of 5 and 28 September. Above that, Rs 4,203 to Rs 4,260 marks the highs of the weeks of 21 and 14 September. These levels come from weekly price action, are not trade recommendations, and frame the near-term Schaeffler India share price target.

Schaeffler India Share Price Target 2026, 2027 and 2030: Short, Medium and Long Term

Short-Term Schaeffler India Share Price Target (3 to 6 Months)

In the near term the stock is likely to trade between Rs 3,763 and Rs 4,010. A close above Rs 4,010 would put Rs 4,200 in play, while a weekly close under Rs 3,763 would open a slide toward Rs 3,520. The Q3 CY2026 results are the main trigger. This range anchors the near-term Schaeffler India share price target.

12-Month and 2027 Schaeffler India Share Price Target

The 12-month target price is Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116, valued on 36 to 42 times FY28 EPS of Rs 98. The range across scenarios runs from Rs 2,496 in the bear case to Rs 5,152 in the bull case.

Long-Term Schaeffler India Share Price Target for FY29 to 2030

For FY29 to 2030 the Univest scenario range is Rs 3,808 to Rs 5,200. This assumes EPS of Rs 112 in FY29 and Rs 130 in FY30 and a multiple of 34 to 40 times. It needs revenue growth near 15 percent, margin to hold near 17 percent and capacity bottlenecks to ease. This is the long-term Schaeffler India share price target in the Univest scenarios.

Bull Case and Bear Case for Schaeffler India Share Price Target

Bull Case Rs 4,704 to Rs 5,152

The bull case of Rs 4,704 to Rs 5,152 for the Schaeffler India share price target needs EPS of Rs 112 and the market to pay 42 to 46 times for it. It is +23.2% to +34.9% from the last close.

Bear Case Rs 2,496 to Rs 2,964

The bear case of Rs 2,496 to Rs 2,964 for the Schaeffler India share price target equals 32 to 38 times FY28 EPS of Rs 78 and sits below the Rs 3518.4 low. It is -34.6% to -22.4% from the last close.

Is Schaeffler India a Good Buy at Rs 3,818? Schaeffler India Buy or Sell View

Whether Schaeffler India is a buy at Rs 3,818.10 depends on horizon and risk appetite. The base case sits between 8 percent below and 8 percent above the current price, the stock is 15 percent below its high, and the open question is margin. The Schaeffler India share price target range is the starting point for that decision.

Long-term holders may focus on revenue growth, margin and capacity, and treat Rs 3,518 as the level to watch. Short-term traders may prefer to wait for a close above Rs 4,010. Check institutional holding in the September quarter filing for signs of accumulation or selling. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting, since this Schaeffler India buy or sell view is educational.

How to Invest in Schaeffler India Shares

Step 1: Check the live price, valuation and the latest Schaeffler India share price target range on the Univest Screener.

Step 2: Open a demat and trading account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest before acting on any Schaeffler India share price target.

Step 3: Search for SCHAEFFLER on the NSE or 505790 on the BSE in your trading app.

Step 4: Place a limit order near your planned entry and size the position so a fall to Rs 2,496 is bearable.

Step 5: Track margin, working capital and Q3 CY2026 results and set price alerts on the Univest App to follow any change in the Schaeffler India share price target.

Conclusion

Schaeffler India closed at Rs 3,818.10 against a Univest base case share price target of Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116, a bull case of Rs 4,704 to Rs 5,152 and a bear case of Rs 2,496 to Rs 2,964. Q2 CY2026 delivered revenue growth of 17.5 percent and profit of Rs 336.7 crore. The main risks are margin pressure, working capital and a premium valuation.

The stock is 14.5 percent below its 52-week high, so the base case sits between 8 percent below and 8 percent above the current price. The triggers to watch are margin, working capital and Q3 CY2026 results and the Rs 3,763 and Rs 4,010 levels. Re-check the Schaeffler India share price target after each quarterly result. Investors with a long horizon and tolerance for volatility can track these triggers, while others may prefer to size positions carefully.

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Schaeffler India live price and get daily stock recommendations.

FAQs on Schaeffler India Share Price Target 2026

What is the Schaeffler India share price target for 2026?

Ans. The Schaeffler India share price target for 2026 is Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116 in the Univest base case, with a bull case of Rs 4,704 to Rs 5,152 and a bear case of Rs 2,496 to Rs 2,964. No brokerage target was available on the sources we track as of 6 October 2026, so these are Univest research scenarios. These are estimates and can change after the Q3 CY2026 results.

What is the Schaeffler India share price target for 2027?

Ans. The Schaeffler India share price target for 2027 is Rs 3,528 to Rs 4,116 in the base case, valued on 36 to 42 times FY28 EPS of Rs 98. The scenario range runs from Rs 2,496 to Rs 5,152.

Is Schaeffler India a good buy at Rs 3,818.10?

Ans. Whether Schaeffler India is a good buy at Rs 3,818.10 depends on your horizon, risk appetite and how you read the Schaeffler India share price target. Revenue is growing 17.5 percent with no debt, but the stock trades at 47.5 times earnings and margin is slipping. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.

What are the key risks to the Schaeffler India share price target?

Ans. The key risks to the Schaeffler India share price target are margin pressure, working capital, premium valuation and geopolitical uncertainty. The PBT margin fell to 16.9 percent from 17.4 percent. Higher input and freight costs could push it lower.

What are the key catalysts for the Schaeffler India share price target?

Ans. The key catalysts for the Schaeffler India share price target are revenue growth, vehicle lifetime solutions, capacity additions and debt-free balance sheet. Revenue grew 17.5 percent in Q2 and 18.1 percent in H1. Double-digit growth has run for many quarters.

Where can I track Schaeffler India share price today and Schaeffler India share price target updates?

Ans. You can track the live Schaeffler India share price, results and any change to the Schaeffler India share price target on the Univest Screener and the Univest App. Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App for research from SEBI-registered analysts.

What are Schaeffler India's 52-week high and low?

Ans. Schaeffler India's 52-week high is Rs 4,467.70 and its 52-week low is Rs 3,518.40, based on weekly NSE data. At Rs 3,818.10 the stock is 14.5 percent below the high and 8.5 percent above the low. Both levels frame the Schaeffler India share price target.

How to buy Schaeffler India shares?

Ans. Open a demat account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest, search for SCHAEFFLER on the NSE or 505790 on the BSE, and place a limit order near your entry price, using the Schaeffler India share price target range as a guide. Size the position so a fall to Rs 2,496 is bearable, and check the live price on the Univest Screener first.