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This Refinery Stock Rises 241% in 5 Years: Two Margin Booms and a Sharp FY26 Comeback

CMP approx Rs 181.32 (10 Sep 2026). 5-year return 240.54%. 52W range Rs 125.00 to Rs 212.31. Market cap approx Rs 32,000 Cr. FY26 GRM USD 9.22/bbl.


11 Sept 20268:52 am

This Refinery Stock Rises 241% in 5 Years: Two Margin Booms and a Sharp FY26 Comeback

Quick Answer

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals (MRPL) is the refinery stock that returned approximately 240.54% in five years, rising from about Rs 53 to around Rs 181. The rally came from refining margin booms in 2022 and FY24, followed by a strong recovery in FY26 after a weak FY25. It trades near 10 times trailing earnings, but profits remain highly sensitive to margins and crude prices.

This refinery stock has turned Rs 1 lakh into roughly Rs 3.41 lakh in five years. A coastal Karnataka refiner delivered a 5-year return of 240.54% as of 10 September 2026, ranking 30th in a screen of 101 large-cap and mid-cap NSE shares.

The company is Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (NSE: MRPL), a subsidiary of ONGC that runs a 15 million tonne per annum refinery with an integrated petrochemical unit. The MRPL share price has moved from about Rs 53 in September 2021 to approximately Rs 181.32 at the close on 10 September 2026. The path was anything but smooth.

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How Much Has This Refinery Stock Returned in 5 Years?

This refinery stock has returned approximately 240.54% over five years, placing it 30th out of 101 screened NSE stocks. This refinery stock closed near Rs 181.32 on 10 September 2026, down about 1.7% on the day against a previous close of around Rs 184.45.

The longer windows look far stronger. This refinery stock sits in the top half on the 1-year and 3-year tables, but it ranks 95th on the 6-month table, which shows the rally has paused in 2026.

Period Return (%) Rank (out of 101)
1 Month 1.93% 71
6 Months 0.39% 95
1 Year 38.34% 40
3 Years 91.38% 48
5 Years 240.54% 30

Returns are simple price changes and are not annualised. MRPL has not issued a bonus or split in the last five years, so the 240% gain reflects real price appreciation on the same Rs 10 face value share. The 1-year return of 38.34% is healthy, while the flat 6-month figure of 0.39% shows this refinery stock moves in bursts.

The 52-week range on NSE is Rs 125.00 to Rs 212.31. That means this refinery stock is about 45% above its 52-week low but still roughly 15% below its 52-week peak, which it set earlier in 2026. The market capitalisation stands at approximately Rs 32,000 crore.

Why Did This Refinery Stock Rise 240% in 5 Years?

This refinery stock rose 240% because refining margins swung sharply in its favour twice in five years, and each time profits jumped far faster than the market expected. The move came in four phases, with a painful correction in between.

1. The 2022 Margin Boom After the Russia-Ukraine War

In 2021, this refinery stock traded near Rs 53 as the pandemic hurt fuel demand and margins stayed thin. The Russia-Ukraine war in early 2022 changed that. Global refining capacity was disrupted, and gross refining margins (GRMs) climbed to multi-year highs.

MRPL posted a standalone net profit of approximately Rs 3,008 crore in the March 2022 quarter, against Rs 268 crore a year earlier. Capacity utilisation rose to about 117%. The stock more than doubled in roughly two months and touched Rs 118.55 in June 2022, its highest level since October 2018.

2. The FY24 Rally to Rs 240

The second leg came in late 2023 and early 2024. Nine-month GRMs for FY24 improved to about USD 10.6 per barrel, and the company swung to a December 2023 quarter profit of around Rs 387 crore from a loss a year earlier.

This refinery stock rose over 100% in three months and hit Rs 240 in February 2024. Consolidated net profit for FY24 reached approximately Rs 3,597 crore, the best year in this five-year window.

3. The FY25 Slump and the FY26 Recovery

The gains did not last for this refinery stock. GRMs fell to about USD 4.45 per barrel in FY25 and full-year profit collapsed to roughly Rs 51 crore. The June 2025 quarter added a loss of about Rs 272 crore, hit by a 45-day shutdown of one refinery unit during heavy rains and a GRM of only USD 3.88 per barrel.

From there, this refinery stock staged a recovery. FY26 GRM more than doubled to USD 9.22 per barrel, standalone profit rose to Rs 1,931 crore and the board declared a Rs 4 per share dividend after a nil payout the year before. The December 2025 quarter alone delivered a net profit of approximately Rs 1,451 crore.

4. Crude Tensions and a Strong Q1 FY27

In 2026, Middle East tensions and concerns over the Strait of Hormuz kept crude and product prices elevated, which supported refining spreads. This refinery stock crossed Rs 198 in February 2026 and later set its 52-week high of Rs 212.31.

On 11 August 2026, this refinery stock jumped nearly 11% in a single session to close at Rs 181.15 as crude rallied on fading hopes of a US-Iran deal.

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Refinery Stock Financials: Quarterly Results at a Glance

The quarterly numbers explain why this refinery stock swings so much. Operating margins moved between 1% and 11% in just five quarters, and net profit ranged from a loss to more than Rs 1,400 crore.

Quarter Revenue (Rs Cr) Operating Profit (Rs Cr) OPM (%) Net Profit (Rs Cr)
Jun 2026 (Q1 FY27) 38,254 1,318 3.4% 946
Mar 2026 (Q4 FY26) 23,950 1,781 7.4% 117
Dec 2025 (Q3 FY26) 24,712 2,785 11.3% 1,451
Sep 2025 (Q2 FY26) 22,649 1,489 6.6% 627
Jun 2025 (Q1 FY26) 17,356 180 1.0% -271

Figures are consolidated, with revenue net of excise duty. For this refinery stock in Q1 FY27, revenue jumped about 120% year on year to Rs 38,254 crore, helped by throughput rising to 4.43 million tonnes from 3.52 million tonnes. Consolidated net profit came in at approximately Rs 946 crore against a loss of Rs 271 crore a year earlier.

A part of that profit was one-off. The quarter included exceptional income of about Rs 472 crore from retrospective price revisions. Investors tracking this refinery stock should adjust for that before extrapolating the quarter.

The March 2026 quarter also needs context. Profit before tax was a solid Rs 1,233 crore, but an unusual tax charge of about Rs 1,116 crore cut net profit to only Rs 117 crore.

Full-Year Picture and Balance Sheet

For this refinery stock in FY26, standalone revenue from operations was approximately Rs 1,05,155 crore, slightly lower than FY25 as throughput dipped to about 17 million tonnes. Yet profit before tax jumped to Rs 4,022 crore from Rs 113 crore, and return on net worth improved to 14.25% from 0.39%.

Borrowings stood at around Rs 15,341 crore at the end of March 2026, and the debt-to-equity ratio was about 1.01 times. That is manageable, but it means this refinery stock carries more balance sheet risk than a debt-free business.

Valuation and Shareholding of This Refinery Stock

At the 10 September close, this refinery stock trades at a trailing PE of around 10.4 and a price-to-book of about 2.2 times. That is below the sector PE of roughly 16. The Rs 4 dividend for FY26 implies a yield of about 2.2% at the current MRPL share price.

Holder Jun 2025 Sep 2025 Dec 2025 Mar 2026 Jun 2026
Promoters (ONGC and HPCL) 88.58% 88.58% 88.58% 88.58% 88.58%
FIIs 1.30% 1.22% 2.05% 3.41% 2.17%
DIIs 1.38% 1.45% 1.05% 0.34% 0.39%
Public 8.75% 8.76% 8.32% 7.67% 8.86%

Promoter holding is unchanged at 88.58%, with ONGC holding about 71.63% directly and HPCL holding the rest. That leaves a free float of only around 11%, one reason this refinery stock can move 10% in a day on news.

Foreign investors raised their stake from 1.22% to 3.41% between September 2025 and March 2026, then trimmed it to 2.17% in the June 2026 quarter. Domestic institutions have steadily reduced exposure to this refinery stock.

What Are the Key Risks for This Refinery Stock?

The biggest risk for this refinery stock is that its earnings depend on GRMs, which the company does not control. FY25 showed how fast profits can vanish when margins fall.

Margin cyclicality: GRMs fell from over USD 10 per barrel in FY24 to USD 4.45 in FY25 and then recovered to USD 9.22 in FY26. Any easing of Middle East tensions or a global demand slowdown could compress spreads quickly.

Crude and inventory swings: Sharp crude moves create inventory gains or losses for any refinery stock. The June 2025 quarter loss was partly due to inventory losses.

One-off items in earnings: The latest quarter included Rs 472 crore of exceptional income, and the March quarter carried an unusual tax charge. Headline profits for this refinery stock may not reflect recurring earnings.

Operational shutdowns: A 45-day unit shutdown in 2025 shows that a single outage can dent a quarter. This refinery stock depends on a single refinery complex.

Debt and low float: A debt-to-equity near 1 times and a free float near 11% can amplify price swings. The flat 6-month return shows this refinery stock can also stall for long periods.

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MRPL Share: Analyst View

Market analysts see this refinery stock as a direct play on refining margins and crude prices. After the Q1 FY27 numbers, commentators said refiners would benefit if crude stays elevated, and technical analysts flagged resistance near Rs 185 and support near Rs 165 in August 2026.

The valuation case rests on a low PE and a return to dividends. The bear case rests on the volatility of GRMs and the one-off items in recent quarters. For this refinery stock, the next few quarters of margin data will matter more than any single target.

MRPL Share Price Target

The most recent verified MRPL share price target in public reports came from a domestic brokerage in July 2025, which set a Buy rating with a target of Rs 180 when the stock traded near Rs 142. It argued the worst was behind the company, valuing this refinery stock at about 1.9 times FY27 book value.

That MRPL share price target has already been reached, and no verified updated brokerage target is available for 2026. In the absence of a fresh MRPL share price target, the 52-week high of Rs 212.31 acts as the key upside reference, while Rs 165 and the 52-week low of Rs 125 are the downside levels traders watch.

Conclusion

This refinery stock has delivered a 240.54% return in five years, driven by two margin booms in 2022 and FY24, a sharp slump in FY25, and a strong recovery in FY26 and Q1 FY27. It now trades near Rs 181, about 10 times trailing earnings, with a restored dividend.

The flip side is equally clear. This refinery stock is tied to GRMs, crude and geopolitics, and recent profits include one-off items. Anyone tracking this refinery stock should size positions for volatility and follow quarterly margins closely.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information and may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data independently before making any investment decision. Past returns do not guarantee future returns. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Frequently Asked Questions

Which refinery stock rose 240% in 5 years?

Ans. Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL) returned approximately 240.54% over five years as of 10 September 2026. The stock rose from about Rs 53 to around Rs 181.32, ranking 30th in a screen of 101 NSE stocks.

What is the MRPL share price today?

Ans. The MRPL share price closed near Rs 181.32 on NSE on 10 September 2026, down about 1.7% on the day. The 52-week range is Rs 125.00 to Rs 212.31.

Why did MRPL shares rise so much?

Ans. MRPL rose on two refining margin booms, first in 2022 after the Russia-Ukraine war and again in FY24. A recovery in FY26 GRMs to USD 9.22 per barrel and a strong Q1 FY27 profit supported the latest leg.

What were MRPL Q1 FY27 results?

Ans. Consolidated net profit was approximately Rs 946 crore against a loss of Rs 271 crore a year earlier. Revenue net of excise rose about 120% to Rs 38,254 crore, though the quarter included about Rs 472 crore of exceptional income.

Is there a verified MRPL share price target?

Ans. A domestic brokerage set a target of Rs 180 in July 2025, which the stock has already crossed. No verified updated target is available for 2026, so the 52-week high of Rs 212.31 serves as the main reference level.

Who owns MRPL?

Ans. ONGC and HPCL together hold 88.58% as promoters, with ONGC holding about 71.63%. FIIs held 2.17% and public shareholders held 8.86% as of June 2026.

Does MRPL pay a dividend?

Ans. Yes. MRPL declared a dividend of Rs 4 per share for FY26 after paying nothing for FY25. At the current price, that works out to a yield of around 2.2%.

What are the main risks for MRPL shares?

Ans. The key risks are volatile refining margins, crude price swings, one-off items in earnings, unit shutdowns and a debt-to-equity near 1 times. The 6-month return of only 0.39% shows the stock can also stall for long stretches.

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Note: This blog is for information purpose only. Investments and trading are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

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