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Nifty Cement Prediction for Tomorrow, Wednesday 5 August 2026: Index at 9,813 Dips as Crude Recovery Raises Energy Costs Pre-RBI

Nifty Cement Tue: 9,813 (-0.5%). Day range: 9,758-9,875. Support 9,750-9,780. Resistance 9,900-9,950. RBI 5 Aug 10 AM IST.


4 Aug 20265:02 pm

Nifty Cement Prediction for Tomorrow, Wednesday 5 August 2026: Index at 9,813 Dips as Crude Recovery Raises Energy Costs Pre-RBI

The Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow for Wednesday 5 August 2026 comes after Tuesday's cautious session where the Nifty 50 fell 159 points or 0.64 percent to 24,614.90 as Tehran denied US-Iran peace talks, sending Brent crude recovering from 82 US dollars to approximately 84 US dollars. Bank Nifty fell approximately 1.3 percent as banks led the decline with HDFC Bank and Axis Bank among top losers. India VIX rose to approximately 13.15, reflecting pre-RBI anxiety. The dominant event for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow is the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee rate decision at 10 AM IST Wednesday, with a unanimous hold at 5.25 percent widely expected. Nifty Cement fell 0.5 percent Tuesday as crude oil's recovery from 82 to approximately 84 US dollars partially reversed Monday's energy cost improvement for cement kiln operations. Pet coke and coal prices, the primary cement manufacturing fuels, track crude oil directionally. The Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow balances the partial crude recovery headwind against strong infrastructure demand and the RBI rate decision that will influence real estate and construction spending sentiment. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, present the complete Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow outlook covering technical levels, global cues and three stocks to watch.

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Tuesday's Session Data

Indicator Tuesday 4 Aug Close Change
Nifty Cement 9,813 -0.5%
Day Range 9,758-9,875 Session high/low
Nifty 50 24,614.90 -159 pts (-0.64%)
Bank Nifty ~57,485 ~-762 pts (-1.3%)
India VIX ~13.15 +10.4% (pre-RBI anxiety)
Brent Crude ~$84/bbl +$2 (Tehran denied Iran talks)
Bharti Airtel Q1 FY27 ARPU Rs 261 (+2%) After-hours positive

Ankit Jaiswal notes that the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow is informed by Tuesday's macro reversal: Tehran's denial of US-Iran peace talks partially unwound Monday's sharp crude oil crash, with Brent recovering from 82 US dollars to approximately 84 US dollars. The Nifty Cement is the sectoral benchmark tracked for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow. Oil-linked stocks gained while FMCG and auto stocks gave back some of Monday's crude-driven gains, setting the base for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

Technical Levels for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow

Level Type Zone
Immediate Support 9,750-9,780
Support 2 9,620-9,650
Strong Support 9,450-9,500 (50 DMA)
Immediate Resistance 9,900-9,950
Key Resistance 10,050-10,150

Kunal Singla notes that the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow rests on immediate support 9,750-9,780 holding through Wednesday's pre-RBI window from 9:15 AM to 10:00 AM IST. On RBI decision days, markets range-trade for the first 45 minutes before the announcement triggers a directional move of 1 to 2 percent. Ankit Jaiswal places 9,900-9,950 as the key resistance for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow that must be cleared post-10 AM for the bullish case to be confirmed. Bharti Airtel's strong Q1 FY27 results with ARPU Rs 261 and PAT growth of approximately 35 percent provide a positive pre-market bias for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

RBI MPC Impact on the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow

The RBI Monetary Policy Committee announces its rate decision at 10 AM IST on Wednesday 5 August. All six MPC members are expected to vote for a hold at 5.25 percent. The Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow is binary: a hold with neutral guidance would produce a relief bounce; a dovish signal would be a strongly positive catalyst for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow; a hawkish surprise would revise the outlook bearishly within minutes. Ankit Jaiswal recommends treating the 10 AM announcement as the reset point for all intraday positions in the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

Key Factors Shaping the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow

  • Crude oil recovering from 82 to 84 US dollars Tuesday partially reversed the pet coke and coal cost improvement that drove Monday's Nifty Cement rally. Ankit Jaiswal estimates each 5 US dollar crude recovery reduces Nifty Cement EBITDA per tonne by approximately 2-3 percent in the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow context.
  • India's government infrastructure spending remains at record levels in FY2027 under PM Awas Yojana and the National Infrastructure Pipeline. This structural demand floor provides resilience for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow below which institutional buyers typically accumulate.
  • RBI holding rates at 5.25 percent Wednesday maintains housing loan affordability and keeps residential construction demand steady, which is the most important end-use demand segment for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

Stocks to Watch Wednesday

Univest analysts flag these three stocks for educational observation in the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow. These are not buy recommendations.

UltraTech Cement: CMP Rs 11,222. Ankit Jaiswal flags entry Rs 11,120-11,205, target Rs 11,520, SL Rs 10,970. UltraTech is India's largest cement company with the highest sensitivity to energy costs in the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

DLF: CMP Rs 742. Kunal Singla flags entry Rs 734-740, target Rs 768, SL Rs 722. DLF's residential launches are a key demand-side driver for cement, making it a leading indicator for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

Tata Steel: CMP Rs 172. Ankit Jaiswal flags entry Rs 169-171, target Rs 180, SL Rs 165. Tata Steel supplies TMT bars used in construction, linking it to the same demand dynamics that drive the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

Use the Univest Screener to Find Opportunities Aligned With the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow

Strategy for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow

  1. 9,750-9,780 is the primary support for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow. Ankit Jaiswal recommends long positions above this level.
  2. 9,900-9,950 is the first resistance for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow. Kunal Singla advises booking positions here.
  3. Monitor UltraTech Cement open price for the first intraday signal on the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.
  4. Watch crude oil overnight. Brent retreating below 82 US dollars would be strongly bullish for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow through energy cost improvement.

Risks to Monitor

  • Crude spike above 88 US dollars further compressing cement EBITDA and revising the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow lower.
  • Monsoon seasonal slowdown reducing cement dispatches and capping the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.
  • RBI hawkish surprise delaying infrastructure approvals and reducing the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow construction demand outlook.

Conclusion

The Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow for Wednesday 5 August 2026 reflects -0.5% to 9,813 on Tuesday, as Tehran denied Iran peace talks and crude recovered to approximately 84 US dollars, raising pre-RBI caution. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest places support for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow at 9,750-9,780 and resistance at 9,900-9,950. The RBI MPC decision at 10 AM IST Wednesday is the single most important catalyst for the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow. Check GIFT Nifty and Airtel pre-market at 9 AM to set the opening scenario.

Kunal Singla of Univest notes that with India VIX at approximately 13.15, the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow carries wider intraday volatility than a typical session. A neutral RBI hold would produce a contained 150-200 point Nifty swing consistent with the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow base case. Traders should honour stop losses and avoid large positions before 10 AM RBI clarity in the Nifty Cement prediction for tomorrow.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com), BSE (bseindia.com) and MCX (mcxindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities and commodities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live levels and RBI day alerts for the this prediction.

FAQs on this prediction

What is the this prediction, Wednesday 5 August 2026?

Ans. The this prediction is neutral. Nifty Cement closed Tuesday at 9,813, down 0.5 percent, as crude recovered to 84 US dollars from Monday's 82, raising pet coke and coal costs. The this prediction places support at 9,750-9,780 and resistance at 9,900-9,950, with a neutral RBI rate hold providing EMI stability for the housing demand component of the this prediction.

Which analysts prepared the this prediction?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the this prediction covering crude energy cost impact and infrastructure demand analysis.

How does crude affect the this prediction?

Ans. Pet coke and coal prices track crude directionally. Each 5 US dollar crude recovery reduces cement EBITDA per tonne by 2-3 percent. The crude recovery from 82 to 84 US dollars on Tuesday is the primary headwind in the this prediction.

What is Nifty Cement support and resistance for the prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Support is 9,750-9,780 and 9,620-9,650. The 50 DMA at 9,450-9,500 is the medium-term floor. Resistance is 9,900-9,950 and 10,050-10,150 in the this prediction.

What stocks are watched in the this prediction?

Ans. UltraTech Cement (largest, most energy-sensitive), DLF (residential demand driver) and Tata Steel (TMT bar supplier to construction) are the three stocks in the this prediction.

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