Crude Oil Price Prediction for Tomorrow 25 Aug 2026

The crude oil's Tuesday session for 25 August 2026 emerges after MCX Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,141 per bbl on Monday, 24 August, -2.61 percent from the previous session's close of Rs 8,359. The day's range was Rs 8,125 to Rs 8,226. The tomorrow's crude oil outlook is shaped by global commodity markets, the rupee-dollar dynamic, and domestic MCX open interest positioning ahead of Tuesday's session. India VIX at 11.54 and the double Nifty and Bank Nifty F&O expiry on 25 August adds a layer of equity market volatility that can influence commodity flows.

Ankit Jaiswal, equity research analyst at Univest, notes that the MCX crude forecast for Tuesday for Tuesday will be watched closely by traders holding commodity-linked equity positions. The expiry of Nifty weekly options and Bank Nifty monthly options on 25 August could generate cross-asset volatility that spills into MCX commodities.

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MCX Crude Oil Performance on 24 August 2026

Metric	Value
MCX Close (Rs)	Rs 8,141 per bbl
Change	Rs -218.00 (-2.61%)
Day High	Rs 8,226
Day Low	Rs 8,125
Previous Close	Rs 8,359

Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow: Technical Analysis

The crude oil's Tuesday session for 25 August 2026 is anchored to the intraday range of Rs 8,125 to Rs 8,226 established on Monday. A hold above Rs 8,050 keeps the tomorrow's crude oil outlook constructive. Technical oscillators suggest the commodity is trading near a neutral zone, with RSI in the 45-55 range for most MCX crude oil contracts. The tomorrow's crude oil outlook for tomorrow becomes bullish on a sustained move above Rs 8,220 on a 15-minute MCX candle close.

Why Did Crude Oil Fall and What Does It Mean for Tomorrow?

The MCX crude forecast for Tuesday is cautious after MCX Crude Oil fell Rs 218, or 2.61 percent, on Monday to Rs 8,141 per barrel. The decline was driven by concerns about global demand slowdown and OPEC supply normalization signals. Brent crude breaking below USD 79 per barrel in global markets was the primary trigger. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow will hinge on overnight US API crude inventory data and any OPEC member commentary before MCX opens Tuesday evening. A recovery in Brent toward USD 80 per barrel would lift the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow back toward Rs 8,200-8,220.

Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow: Support and Resistance

• Support 1: Rs 8,050 , Monday's session low zone. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow stays constructive above this level.
• Support 2: Rs 7,950 , Stronger base. A breach here would materially weaken the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday.
• Resistance 1: Rs 8,220 , Monday's high zone. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow turns positive above this level.
• Resistance 2: Rs 8,350 , Upper resistance. A close above here upgrades the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow to strongly bullish.

Stocks Linked to Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow

Stock	24 Aug Close (Rs)	Change	Sector Link
Reliance Industries	Live	NSE	Commodity linked
ONGC	Live	NSE	Commodity linked
GAIL India	Live	NSE	Commodity linked
Bharat Petroleum	Live	NSE	Commodity linked
HDFC Bank	Live	NSE	Commodity linked

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Global Cues Affecting Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow

The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday is shaped by three key global variables. First, overnight LME and COMEX crude oil prices will set the opening direction for MCX when the evening session begins. Second, the US Dollar Index performance against a basket of currencies directly impacts rupee-denominated MCX commodity prices, making it a critical input for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow. Third, crude oil price moves affect India's trade balance and rupee stability, which indirectly influences the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for non-energy commodities as well.

FII flows in Indian equity markets on 24 August were mildly negative, and any continuation could weigh on the rupee, potentially providing a cushion for MCX commodity prices denominated in rupees. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for 25 August 2026 must therefore be tracked alongside USD-INR movement through the trading session.

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Risks to the Crude Oil Prediction for Tomorrow

• A sharp overnight move in global crude oil prices on COMEX or LME that reverses the current trend and invalidates the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow support/resistance levels.
• Rupee depreciation beyond key USD-INR levels inflating MCX prices beyond the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow resistance range, or rupee appreciation capping upside.
• Double F&O expiry on 25 August (Nifty weekly and Bank Nifty monthly) creating cross-asset volatility that distorts commodity flows.
• Unexpected geopolitical developments or crude oil supply disruptions that reset broader commodity sentiment ahead of the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow session.

Conclusion

The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for 25 August 2026 is cautious based on Monday's close of Rs 8,141. The immediate support for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow at Rs 8,050 is the critical level to watch at Tuesday's MCX open. A hold above this level could target Rs 8,220. Global commodity markets closing overnight and the USD-INR rate will be the primary determinants of the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow direction for Tuesday. Ankit Jaiswal at Univest recommends commodity traders align with COMEX and LME trends before placing MCX positions based on the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for 25 August 2026.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow on 25 August 2026?

Ans. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow places MCX Crude Oil support at Rs 8,050 and resistance at Rs 8,220. The commodity closed at Rs 8,141 on 24 August, -2.61% from the previous close. Tuesday's global cues from LME and COMEX will set the directional tone.

What are the key support levels in the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow places immediate support at Rs 8,050 and secondary support at Rs 7,950. A hold above Rs 8,050 keeps the near-term outlook constructive. A breach would shift the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow to bearish for the session.

What is the resistance level for the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. For the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow, the first resistance is at Rs 8,220 and upper resistance at Rs 8,350. A sustained move above Rs 8,220 would upgrade the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow to bullish for Tuesday's MCX session.

How does the Dollar Index affect the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. A stronger Dollar Index typically pressures MCX commodity prices as they are dollar-denominated. A weaker dollar supports commodities. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday will partly depend on USD-INR movement and overnight US market performance before MCX opens.

Which stocks are linked to the crude oil price prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Stocks like Reliance Industries, ONGC, GAIL India are influenced by crude oil price movements. The crude oil price prediction for tomorrow for 25 August 2026 is relevant for investors holding these commodity-linked equities.