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Univest's desk will revisit this crude oil price prediction for monday once Monday's opening hour confirms which way things are actually breaking.

Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: 21 September 2026 Price Outlook

Crude Oil at Rs 9,710.00 per barrel on MCX, down 0.49%. 21 September 2026 futures. Crude oil and global cues in focus for Monday.

Quick Answer: The crude oil price prediction for monday points to a soft start on 18 September 2026. Crude Oil settled at Rs 9,710.00 per barrel on the 21 September 2026 contract on the MCX, down 0.49 percent, as crude oil eased modestly, down about half a percent on MCX, a third straight session of softer prices as the earlier risk premium continues to unwind.

The crude oil price prediction for monday is in focus after Crude Oil settled at Rs 9,710.00 per barrel on MCX on 18 September 2026, down 0.49 percent on the 21 September 2026 futures. Crude oil eased modestly, down about half a percent on mcx, a third straight session of softer prices as the earlier risk premium continues to unwind.

The crude oil price prediction for monday here is built from Friday's closing prices, not speculation about what Monday will bring.

Univest's research desk, led by Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla, is tracking global cues closely here, since commodity prices on MCX often move in step with international benchmarks and the US dollar index.

Also read – Stock Market Prediction for Monday, 21 September 2026

Today's Recap

• Crude Oil closed at Rs 9,710.00 per barrel, down 0.49 percent on the 21 September 2026 futures.
• Crude oil eased modestly, down about half a percent on mcx, a third straight session of softer prices as the earlier risk premium continues to unwind, a theme relevant across the commodity complex.
• India VIX rose to 11.42, a mild pickup in broader market volatility that often spills over into commodity sentiment.

Anyone acting on this crude oil price prediction for monday should still size positions around their own comfort with risk, not just the levels above.

Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Univest's desk is watching whether crude oil can extend its soft tone into 18 September 2026. A sustained move in crude oil prices and the US dollar index overnight will be the main swing factor, since both influence MCX pricing directly.

Key Drivers for Monday

• Crude oil eased modestly, down about half a percent on mcx, a third straight session of softer prices as the earlier risk premium continues to unwind.
• India vix fell sharply for a second straight session, down 7.08 percent on top of thursday's 7.82 percent drop, while hdfc bank's 2.52 percent rally offset a sharp 3.88 percent fall in tcs that extended it's difficult week.
• Movement in the US Dollar Index, which typically has an inverse relationship with metal and bullion prices on MCX.

Stocks to Watch Alongside This Commodity

Reliance Industries, given its refining and petrochemicals exposure, and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, as an upstream producer, are the two stocks most directly linked to this crude oil price prediction for Monday, with both moving only modestly today as the commodity itself steadied.

This crude oil price prediction for monday leans on Friday's numbers because that's the last real data available before trading resumes after the weekend.

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Risks to This Prediction

• A sharp reversal in crude oil prices could change the direction implied here.
• Any unexpected US Federal Reserve commentary could move the US Dollar Index and, in turn, MCX prices.
• Thin volumes in early trade can exaggerate short-term moves.

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None of this crude oil price prediction for monday is a guarantee. Markets that calm down quickly can turn just as quickly.

Conclusion

The crude oil price prediction for monday leans soft into 21 September 2026, with crude oil prices and global cues as the key variables to track. Traders should size positions carefully given the current volatility backdrop.

Also read – Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday, 21 September 2026

Disclaimer: Investments and trades in securities and commodities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Treat this crude oil price prediction for monday as a working view. It will get revisited fast if Monday's opening trade says otherwise.

FAQs

What is the crude oil price prediction for monday?

Ans. It points to a soft tone on 18 September 2026, after Crude Oil closed at Rs 9,710.00 per barrel on 18 September 2026, down 0.49 percent.

Why did Crude Oil move lower today?

Ans. Crude Oil moved lower today mainly because crude oil eased modestly, down about half a percent on MCX, a third straight session of softer prices as the earlier risk premium continues to unwind.

What is the crude oil price on MCX right now?

Ans. Crude Oil was trading at Rs 9,710.00 per barrel on the 21 September 2026 futures as of 18 September 2026.

That's the core of this crude oil price prediction for monday: a session with real cross-currents, not a one-way move.

Why did crude oil ease again today?

Ans. Crude oil eased again today because crude oil eased modestly, down about half a percent on MCX, a third straight session of softer prices as the earlier risk premium continues to unwind

How does the crude oil price prediction for Monday affect Indian stocks?

Ans. A steadier crude oil price prediction for Monday typically eases pressure on oil-importing sectors and the rupee, and today's modest pullback coincided with India VIX's continued decline.

Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?

Ans. Whether to trade on this outlook depends on individual risk appetite. Univest's analysts suggest tracking crude oil prices and the US Dollar Index before taking a position for Monday's session.