Cosmo First Share Price Target 2027: Rs 990 Base, Rs 1,185 Bull and the Risks to Watch

Investors weighing a Cosmo First target price for 2027 should start with where the stock sits today. At Rs 825.60 on 10 November 2026, it is 17.1% below its 52-week high of Rs 996.00 and 47.2% above its 52-week low of Rs 560.80. That range spans 78% from low to high, so the entry point matters as much as the Cosmo First price forecast itself.

This article builds the Cosmo First share price target from reported numbers only: five years of annual results, the last five quarters, the latest shareholding pattern and current valuation ratios from company filings and exchange data. Each scenario states its assumptions, so you can trace how the base case, the bull case and the downside risk level were reached and test them against your own view.

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Cosmo First Stock Analysis: Company Overview and Key Stats

Cosmo First (NSE: COSMOFIRST) has a market capitalisation of Rs 2,166 crore. In FY26 it reported revenue of Rs 3,741 crore and net profit of Rs 155.98 crore. The table collects the figures the Cosmo First share price target is built on.

Metric	Value
Company	Cosmo First
NSE Ticker	COSMOFIRST
CMP (10 November 2026)	Rs 825.60
52-Week High	Rs 996.00
52-Week Low	Rs 560.80
Market Cap	Rs 2,166 crore
PE Ratio (TTM)	9.90
Industry PE	21.60
Price to Book	1.23
Return on Equity	12.38%
Debt to Equity	0.91
EPS (TTM)	Rs 83.33
Dividend Yield	0.48%
12-Month Base Target	Rs 990
Bull Case	Rs 1,185
Downside Risk Level (not a target)	Rs 660

Why Is Cosmo First Share Price Target Set at Rs 990 for 2027?

The arithmetic is short. Trailing EPS of Rs 83.33 grown for one year gives a forward EPS estimate of Rs 100.00, and multiplying it by the unchanged PE of 9.90 gives the Rs 990 base-case Cosmo First stock target. The bull case adds faster earnings growth and a higher multiple, while the downside risk level assumes flat earnings and a lower multiple.

Earnings Growth Behind the Cosmo First Target Price: Five Years of Results

Cosmo First grew revenue from Rs 3,087 crore in FY22 to Rs 3,741 crore in FY26, a compound annual growth rate of 4.9%. Net profit grew more slowly, from Rs 396.61 crore to Rs 155.98 crore (-20.8% a year), which points to margin pressure alongside the sales growth.

Financial Year	Revenue (Rs Cr)	Net Profit (Rs Cr)	EPS (Rs)	Dividend per Share (Rs)
FY22	3,086.71	396.61	144.66	35.00
FY23	3,117.24	243.99	89.46	5.00
FY24	2,655.30	62.19	23.64	3.00
FY25	2,969.57	133.37	50.79	4.00
FY26	3,741.00	155.98	59.68	4.00

FY26 revenue growth was 26.0%, faster than the four-year average of 4.9%, and net profit moved up 17.0%. EPS rose from Rs 23.64 in FY24 to Rs 59.68 in FY26. The FY27 outlook for the Cosmo First price target depends on whether that EPS estimate keeps compounding.

Margins and the Latest Quarter

Cosmo First converted 4.2% of FY26 revenue into net profit, against 4.5% in FY25, within a five-year range of 2.3% to 12.8%. EBITDA margin was 12.8% in FY26 versus 12.2% in FY25.

In the September 2026 quarter, revenue was Rs 1,422 crore, up 50.5% from the same quarter a year earlier, while net profit of Rs 98.58 crore was up 111.1%. EBITDA came in at Rs 177.22 crore, up 38.0% year on year. The next quarterly result is the first test of whether the earnings assumption behind the Cosmo First stock target holds.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

Debt to equity stands at 0.91, and shareholders' equity grew from Rs 1,191 crore in FY22 to Rs 1,617 crore in FY26. Operating cash flow in FY26 was Rs 396.73 crore against capital expenditure of Rs 412.08 crore, leaving negative free cash flow of Rs 15.35 crore. In FY25 free cash flow was negative at Rs 335.66 crore.

Valuation Check for the Cosmo First Stock Target: PE, Price to Book and ROE

At a PE of 9.90 against an industry PE of 21.60, Cosmo First trades at a discount to its industry. Price to book is 1.23 on a book value of Rs 673.34 per share, and return on equity is 12.38%. A PE of 9.90 equals an earnings yield of 10.1%, and the FY26 dividend of Rs 4.00 per share gives a yield of 0.48%.

Shareholding Pattern and Institutional Holding

Promoters held 40.78% of Cosmo First in September 2026, and promoter holding has stayed near 40.78% since September 2025. Foreign institutional investors (FII) held 3.00% and domestic institutions (DII) held 2.19%, which puts total institutional holding at 5.19%. FII holding fell from 3.24% in September 2025 to 3.00% in September 2026. Public shareholders own the remaining 54.03%.

Cosmo First Share Price Targets for the Short Term and 12 Months

Short Term Cosmo First Stock Target Levels: Technical Setup

At Rs 825.60 on 10 November 2026, Cosmo First trades below its 50-day simple moving average of Rs 836.05 and above its 200-day exponential moving average of Rs 808.96. The 14-day RSI reads 63.4, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line sits above its signal line. The nearest resistance level is Rs 836.05 (50-day simple moving average) and the nearest support is Rs 808.96 (200-day exponential moving average). A sustained move above Rs 836.05 would improve the short-term setup, while a close below Rs 808.96 would shift attention to the next support.

12 Month Cosmo First Target Price for 2027

The 12-month target of Rs 990 means a move of 19.9% up from Rs 825.60 over the next 12 months. It would still leave the stock 0.6% below its 52-week high of Rs 996.00. Anyone checking the Cosmo First share price target against their own view should focus on two inputs: the EPS estimate and the PE multiple.

How EPS Growth and PE Multiple Change the Cosmo First Target Price

EPS Growth	PE 7.92	PE 9.90	PE 11.38
0.0% (EPS Rs 83.33)	Rs 660	Rs 825	Rs 948
20.0% (EPS Rs 100.00)	Rs 792	Rs 990	Rs 1,138
25.0% (EPS Rs 104.16)	Rs 825	Rs 1,031	Rs 1,185

Each cell multiplies the forward EPS estimate by the PE shown. Reading across a row shows what a de-rating or re-rating does to the Cosmo First price forecast, and reading down a column shows what earnings growth is worth at a fixed multiple.

Bull Case and Downside Risk for Cosmo First Stock Target in 2027

Bull Case Rs 1,185

The bull case Cosmo First price target needs EPS growth of 25.0%, which lifts forward EPS to Rs 104.16, and a PE multiple that rises 15% to 11.38. That gives Rs 1,185, 43.5% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 996.00, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high.

Downside Risk Level Rs 660

The downside risk level is not a target. It assumes EPS stays flat at Rs 83.33 and the PE falls 20% to 7.92. That gives Rs 660, 20.1% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 560.80.

Scenario	EPS Growth	PE Multiple	Price (Rs)	Change vs CMP
Bull Case	25.0%	11.38	Rs 1,185	+43.5%
Base Case	20.0%	9.90	Rs 990	+19.9%
Downside Risk	0.0%	7.92	Rs 660	-20.1%

Key Risks to the Cosmo First Target Price for 2027

Growth Slowdown Risk for the Cosmo First Price Target

Revenue in the September 2026 quarter was up 50.5% year on year, and FY26 revenue growth was 26.0%. If growth slows from here, the EPS estimate behind the Cosmo First stock target will need revising.

Liquidity and Size Risk

Cosmo First has a market capitalisation of Rs 2,166 crore. Institutional holding is 5.19%, and promoters hold 40.78%. Stocks of this size can move sharply on small volumes, and exits can take longer than entries.

Valuation and Margin Risk

Net margin was 4.2% in FY26, so a small slip in costs moves profit noticeably. At a PE of 9.90 versus an industry PE of 21.60, a de-rating toward the downside-risk PE of 7.92 would cut the price even if earnings hold.

Market and Technical Risk

Technical indicators add short-term risk: the 14-day RSI is 63.4 and the MACD sits above its signal line. A broad fall in the Nifty 50 or the Sensex can override company fundamentals for weeks at a time. Treat every Cosmo First share price target as a range of outcomes rather than a single point.

How to Invest in Cosmo First

Start with the live price and volume. Any Cosmo First share price target is only as current as the data behind it, and the data here is as of 10 November 2026, so refresh the Rs 825.60 price before acting on any level.

Next, review the fundamentals yourself. The Univest Screener lets you check Cosmo First's PE, ROE, debt and shareholding in one place.

Check Cosmo First fundamentals on the Univest Screener

Then compare the three Cosmo First target price scenarios with your own view. If you expect EPS growth below 20.0%, the base case is too optimistic for you; if you expect more, the bull case deserves weight.

Decide your position size and exit levels before you buy. The support and resistance levels above can serve as reference points, but they are not recommendations.

Finally, place the order through a SEBI-registered broker or the Univest app, and review the position after each quarterly result. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor if you are unsure.

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Cosmo First live price and get daily stock recommendations.

Conclusion

The Cosmo First share price target for 2027 is Rs 990 in the base case, with Rs 1,185 as the bull case. The support for that view is arithmetic you can check: EPS grew 58.9% a year over FY24 to FY26, and the stock trades at a PE of 9.90. The risks are equally concrete, including a net margin of just 4.2% that leaves profit sensitive to costs and a downside scenario that cuts the price 20% if earnings stall. Use these numbers as a framework for judging the Cosmo First price target, check them against the latest filings, and size any position to your own risk appetite.

FAQs on Cosmo First Share Price Target 2027

What is the Cosmo First share price target for 2027?

Ans. The base-case Cosmo First share price target for 2027 is Rs 990, which is 19.9% above the price of Rs 825.60 on 10 November 2026. The bull case is Rs 1,185 and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 660. All three come from one method: forward EPS multiplied by a PE multiple, using only reported results. They are model estimates and not guaranteed outcomes, and the next quarterly result is the first check on the EPS assumption.

What is the Cosmo First share price today?

Ans. As of 10 November 2026, 9:32 AM IST, Cosmo First (NSE: COSMOFIRST) trades at Rs 825.60, up 0.22% on the day. That is 17.1% below the 52-week high of Rs 996.00 and 47.2% above the 52-week low of Rs 560.80. The market capitalisation of Rs 2,166 crore places it among small-cap stocks. Prices change through the trading session, so check the live quote before acting on any level in this article.

Is Cosmo First a buy or sell at the current price?

Ans. The data points both ways. On the positive side, EPS has grown 58.9% a year over FY24 to FY26 and the base case implies 19.9% upside; on the cautious side, the net margin is a thin 4.2%, and the downside risk level of Rs 660 is 20% below the current price. Whether Cosmo First fits your portfolio depends on your time horizon, position size and risk appetite. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing, as this article is not investment advice.

What are the bull case target and downside risk level for Cosmo First shares?

Ans. The bull case in the Cosmo First share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,185, which assumes 25.0% EPS growth and a PE of 11.38, a 15% re-rating from today's multiple. That is 43.5% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 996.00, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high. The downside risk level is Rs 660, which assumes flat EPS and a PE of 7.92, 20% lower than today. It sits 20.1% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 560.80, and it marks a risk to watch, not a target.

What are the main risks to the Cosmo First price target?

Ans. Four risks matter most for the Cosmo First share price target: slower revenue or profit growth, a PE de-rating, thin liquidity or size risk, and weakness in the broader market. With a market capitalisation of Rs 2,166 crore, the stock can move sharply on small volumes, and exits can take longer than entries. A fall to the downside-risk PE of 7.92 would cut the price even if earnings hold.

What is the PE ratio of Cosmo First and how does it compare with the industry?

Ans. The PE ratio of Cosmo First is 9.90, against an industry PE of 21.60, which is a discount to the industry. Price to book is 1.23 and return on equity is 12.38%, and the PE equals an earnings yield of 10.1%. The base case holds the PE unchanged, so the Cosmo First share price target moves only with earnings, while the bull and downside scenarios change the multiple by +15% and -20%.

Who owns Cosmo First, and what is the promoter holding?

Ans. Promoters held 40.78% of Cosmo First in September 2026. FII held 3.00%, DII held 2.19% and the public held 54.03%. Together the two institutional groups hold 5.19%. Shareholding is filed every quarter, so it is worth rechecking after each result.

What were Cosmo First's latest quarterly results?

Ans. In the September 2026 quarter, Cosmo First reported revenue of Rs 1,422 crore (up 50.5% year on year) and net profit of Rs 98.58 crore (up 111.1%). For comparison, FY26 full-year revenue growth was 26.0% and net profit moved up 17.0%. Each new quarter either supports or weakens the EPS growth of 20.0% assumed in the base case.