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3 Capital Goods Stocks in India Riding the Infrastructure Supercycle in 2026

L&T at Rs 4,074.80. Thermax at Rs 4,006.80. Cummins India at Rs 5,123.50. Infra capex at Rs 11.11 lakh crore FY26-27.


21 Aug 202612:31 pm

3 Capital Goods Stocks in India Riding the Infrastructure Supercycle in 2026

Quick Answer

Capital goods stocks in India are direct beneficiaries of the government's record Rs 11.11 lakh crore capital expenditure in FY26-27. L&T, Thermax, and Cummins India represent three distinct angles within capital goods: large-scale EPC and project engineering, industrial energy solutions, and diesel and gas engine power systems. Each benefits from the manufacturing and infrastructure investment supercycle but carries a different risk profile.

Capital goods stocks in India have outperformed the broader market over the past three years as government infrastructure spending has surged and private capex has followed. L&T is the bellwether, Thermax is the midcap quality compounder, and Cummins India is the technology-driven engine specialist. All three have confirmed order books that provide near-term revenue visibility.

For investors in capital goods stocks in India, the key is order inflow quality and execution capability. The sector rewards companies that can translate large order books into timely revenue and margin expansion.

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Top 3 Capital Goods Stocks Stocks in India (August 2026)

Company CMP (Rs) Market Cap (Rs Cr) PE Ratio ROE (%) D/E Div Yield (%)
L&T 4,074.80 5,60,253 28.55 14.72 1.15 0.93
Thermax 4,006.80 48,103 81.44 12.98 0.42 0.05
Cummins India 5,123.50 1,44,241 60.93 27.87 0.00 1.27

Data as of 21 August 2026. Sourced from publicly available NSE and BSE filings.

L&T: The Benchmark Capital Goods Stock in India

Larsen & Toubro is India's largest engineering and construction conglomerate, with operations spanning infrastructure, hydrocarbons, defence, power, and IT services. Market cap Rs 5,60,253 crore, PE 28.55 (above the industry PE of 24.59), ROE 14.72%, D/E 1.15, EPS Rs 142.63. L&T's order book exceeds Rs 6 lakh crore, providing multi-year revenue visibility across its project businesses.

Among capital goods stocks in India, L&T is the most diversified and largest. The PE of 28.55 represents a modest premium over the sector average, reflecting L&T's scale, diversified revenue streams across projects and IT, and its dominant position in government infrastructure contracting. The financial services and IT subsidiaries add significant conglomerate value beyond the core engineering business.

Thermax: The Quality Midcap Capital Goods Stock

Thermax, headquartered in Pune, is a diversified energy and environment company manufacturing boilers, heaters, cooling systems, and waste heat recovery equipment for industrial customers. Market cap Rs 48,103 crore, PE 81.44, ROE 12.98%, D/E 0.42, EPS Rs 49.57. Thermax's PE premium over the sector average reflects its niche market positioning and consistent earnings quality.

Among capital goods stocks in India, Thermax is the quality midcap play with exposure to industrial energy transition. As Indian manufacturers invest in energy efficiency and green energy infrastructure, Thermax's product range benefits directly. The company's international business in Southeast Asia and the Middle East adds geographic diversification.

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Cummins India: Technology Capital Goods Stock with High ROE

Cummins India, subsidiary of Cummins Inc USA, manufactures diesel and gas engines for power generation, industrial, and on-highway applications. Market cap Rs 1,44,241 crore, PE 60.93, ROE 27.87% (highest of the three capital goods stocks), D/E 0.00 (zero debt), EPS Rs 85.40, dividend yield 1.27%. Cummins India benefits from the parent's technology in cleaner, more fuel-efficient engines.

Cummins India is the highest-quality capital goods stock among the three on ROE and balance sheet metrics. Its zero debt, 27.87% ROE, and access to Cummins Inc's global engine technology make it a premium holding. The company's data centre genset business is growing rapidly as India's data infrastructure expands.

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Why India's Infrastructure Supercycle Benefits Capital Goods Stocks

India's government has committed Rs 11.11 lakh crore in capital expenditure in FY26-27, covering railways, roads, ports, airports, defence, and urban infrastructure. This creates a sustained project pipeline for capital goods companies. Adding to this is private capex driven by PLI scheme manufacturing investments in electronics, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals. Capital goods stocks in India that serve both government and private sector customers benefit from this dual demand.

Key Factors Driving Capital Goods Stocks Stocks

  • Government capex programme: Rs 11.11 lakh crore in infrastructure capex creates a multi-year order pipeline for capital goods stocks.
  • PLI-driven private capex: Manufacturing investments in electronics, chemicals, and EVs increase demand for industrial equipment.
  • Energy transition: Thermax and Cummins benefit from industrial demand for energy-efficient and cleaner power systems.
  • Data centre buildout: Cummins India's genset business benefits from hyperscaler data centre power backup requirements.
  • Export opportunities: Indian capital goods companies are expanding exports to Southeast Asia, Middle East, and Africa.

Risks of Investing in Capital Goods Stocks Stocks

  • Project execution risk: Large infrastructure projects face delays from regulatory clearances, land acquisition, and financing issues.
  • Valuation premium: Thermax at PE 81.44 leaves very limited margin of safety if earnings disappoint.
  • Commodity input costs: Steel, copper, and aluminium are key inputs; price spikes affect project margins.
  • Order lumpiness: Large project orders create lumpy revenue recognition across quarters.
  • L&T leverage: D/E of 1.15 is elevated relative to peers and reflects the financial services subsidiary's borrowings.

How to Choose the Right Capital Goods Stocks Stock

  • Choose L&T for the broadest capital goods exposure in India with the largest order book and diversified revenue streams.
  • Choose Thermax for quality midcap capital goods exposure with energy transition positioning and consistent earnings quality.
  • Choose Cummins India for the highest ROE among capital goods stocks, zero debt, and technology advantage from US parent.
  • Monitor quarterly order inflow announcements as the primary leading indicator for all capital goods stocks in India.
  • Track PLI scheme disbursements and government infrastructure project tendering as macro demand signals.

Conclusion

Capital goods stocks in India are positioned on one of the strongest infrastructure investment cycles in the country's history. L&T, Thermax, and Cummins India offer three different risk-return profiles within this theme. L&T provides the safest and most diversified large-cap exposure; Thermax delivers quality midcap earnings; and Cummins India combines the highest ROE with zero debt. All three benefit from both government infrastructure spending and private manufacturing investment that together form the foundation of India's economic expansion.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

FAQs

Which are the top capital goods stocks in India?

Ans. The three leading capital goods stocks in India are L&T (diversified EPC giant), Thermax (industrial energy solutions midcap), and Cummins India (technology engine manufacturer with highest ROE of 27.87% and zero debt). All three have confirmed order books benefiting from India's Rs 11.11 lakh crore capex programme.

Is L&T a good long-term capital goods investment?

Ans. L&T is India's largest engineering company with an order book exceeding Rs 6 lakh crore across infrastructure, defence, and hydrocarbons. PE of 28.55 is just above the sector average of 24.59, ROE 14.72%. Its diversified revenue streams across projects, IT, and financial services make it the safest capital goods stock in India for large-cap investors.

Why is Cummins India valued at a premium PE?

Ans. Cummins India trades at PE 60.93 with ROE of 27.87% and zero debt, the best balance sheet among the three capital goods stocks. Its access to Cummins Inc's global engine technology, including cleaner diesel and gas engines, commands a premium. The rapidly growing data centre genset business adds a new high-growth revenue vector.

What is Thermax's positioning in the capital goods sector?

Ans. Thermax is the quality midcap within Indian capital goods stocks, focused on industrial energy efficiency and environment solutions including boilers, heaters, and waste heat recovery systems. As Indian industries invest in energy transition and sustainability, Thermax's product portfolio is increasingly relevant. Despite its PE of 81.44, consistent earnings quality justifies investor interest.

How does government capex affect capital goods stocks?

Ans. India's Rs 11.11 lakh crore government capex in FY26-27 creates direct demand for engineering, construction, and equipment from capital goods companies. L&T benefits most directly through large infrastructure EPC contracts. Thermax benefits from industrial energy systems in new manufacturing facilities. Cummins benefits from power backup systems for new data centres and industrial facilities.

What is the PLI scheme's impact on capital goods stocks?

Ans. PLI scheme-linked manufacturing investments in electronics, chemicals, EVs, and pharmaceuticals require significant capital equipment for new plants. Capital goods companies that supply industrial equipment, boilers, and power systems benefit from this private capex wave. This diversifies their revenue base beyond purely government infrastructure contracts.

How do I track capital goods stocks in India?

Ans. Key metrics are quarterly order inflow announcements, order book-to-revenue ratios, and execution timelines. The Ministry of Finance's capital expenditure disbursement data is a useful macro indicator. PLI scheme progress and new manufacturing facility announcements from OEMs are also leading indicators for capital goods demand from the private sector.

Are capital goods stocks cyclical?

Ans. Capital goods stocks are partially cyclical, correlated with government infrastructure spending cycles and private investment sentiment. However, India's current infrastructure deficit and the government's sustained commitment to high capex makes this cycle more structural than typical business cycles. L&T and Cummins India, with diversified customer bases, are less cyclical than pure play infrastructure stocks.

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Note: This blog is for information purpose only. Investments and trading are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

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