Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, 11 August 2026: Index at 78,542 as ICICI Bank Bounce and Bajaj Finance Recovery Offset SBI’s Post-Q1 Profit Booking
- August 10, 2026
- Posted by: Lakshit Sharma
- Category: News
Sensex Mon close: 78,542.44 (+0.06%). Range: 78,305.94-78,672.08. ICICI +0.76% Rs 1,431.80. SBI -2.39% Rs 1,071. Bajaj Fin +2.24% Rs 1,102.20. VIX 12.19. Tomorrow: Tue 11 Aug.
The Sensex prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday 11 August 2026 is built on today’s Sensex close of 78,542.44 (+0.06%), where three stocks told the day’s story. ICICI Bank at approximately 7% Sensex weight recovered 0.76% to Rs 1,431.80, adding 50-55 Sensex points from the banking recovery. Bajaj Finance surged 2.24% to Rs 1,102.20, resolving Friday’s NBFC crash entirely. Against these positives, SBI fell 2.39% to Rs 1,071 as post-Q1 result profit booking arrived from pre-result buyers, removing approximately 60-65 Sensex points. The net result was a barely positive Sensex (+43 points), but the underlying composition is healthier than it appears: the market absorbed a 2.39% SBI decline and still closed green. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow for tomorrow is a function of two things: whether SBI’s profit booking is complete and whether ICICI Bank continues its Day 4 rotation reversal. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, present the complete Sensex prediction for tomorrow.
Click Here – Get Free Investment Predictions
Today’s Confirmed Data for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
| Index / Stock | Today’s Close (10 Aug) | Change | High / Low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,583.80 | +13.15 pts (+0.05%) | H: 24,620.55 / L: 24,511.30 |
| Sensex | 78,542.44 | +43.27 pts (+0.06%) | H: 78,672.08 / L: 78,305.94 |
| Bank Nifty | 57,686.95 | -59.50 pts (-0.10%) | H: 58,012.60 / L: 57,527.75 |
| Nifty IT | 31,631.45 | +0.27% (+83.75 pts) | Second positive session |
| Nifty Private Bank | 27,534.30 | +0.52% (+141.95 pts) | ICICI Bank +0.76% led reversal |
| Nifty PSU Bank | 8,639.80 | -1.67% (-146.40 pts) | SBI -2.39% on post-Q1 profit booking |
| Bajaj Finance | Rs 1,102.20 (+2.24%) | Recovered from Friday’s -5.84% crash | High Rs 1,106.10 / Low Rs 1,070.80 |
| SBI | Rs 1,071.00 (-2.39%) | Post-Q1 profit booking; opened Rs 1,108 | High Rs 1,113.30 / Low Rs 1,068.60 |
| ICICI Bank | Rs 1,431.80 (+0.76%) | Day 3 rotation reversal confirmed | High Rs 1,441.90 / Low Rs 1,415.50 |
| HDFC Bank | Rs 731.00 (0.00%) | Unchanged; holding support | High Rs 737.55 / Low Rs 728.50 |
| TCS | Rs 2,425.70 (-1.10%) | Profit booking from Friday’s +3.36% | High Rs 2,472.90 / Low Rs 2,423.50 |
| Infosys | Rs 1,183.00 (+0.67%) | IT sector holding Monday gains | High Rs 1,195.00 / Low Rs 1,175.20 |
| India VIX | 12.19 (+0.25%) | Stable; range 10.82-12.92 intraday | Marginally higher but controlled |
The Composition Arithmetic Behind the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow
Today’s Sensex session was a composition story. Ankit Jaiswal breaks down the approximate point contribution from today’s key movers for tomorrow:
| Stock | Today’s Move | Sensex Weight | Approx. Contribution | Sensex prediction for tomorrow Reversal Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICI Bank | +0.76% to Rs 1,431.80 | ~7% | +50-55 pts positive | +50-55 pts if another +0.7% Tuesday |
| Bajaj Finance | +2.24% to Rs 1,102.20 | ~3.5% | +55-60 pts positive | +25-30 pts if recovery continues |
| SBI | -2.39% to Rs 1,071 | ~3% | -60-65 pts drag | Neutral if SBI stabilises tomorrow |
| TCS | -1.10% to Rs 2,425.70 | ~4% | -30-35 pts drag | Neutral to positive if IT holds |
| Infosys | +0.67% to Rs 1,183 | ~3% | +14-16 pts positive | Modest positive carry |
Kunal Singla uses this arithmetic for tomorrow: if SBI stops falling tomorrow (profit booking exhausted in Day 1) and ICICI Bank extends its recovery by another 0.5-0.7%, the net swing from these two stocks alone is approximately 110-120 Sensex points positive versus today’s mix. That is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow recovery path to 78,700-78,800.
The Sensex Low of 78,305 Is the Line for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow
Today’s session low of 78,305.94 is the critical level for tomorrow. Sensex tested this during the morning’s SBI-led selling and then recovered sharply to close at 78,542.44 ; a recovery of 236 Sensex points from the day’s low. Ankit Jaiswal identifies this as a strong intraday demand signal: when Sensex recovers 236 points from its low on a day with heavy SBI selling, it confirms that buyers absorbed the selling aggressively.
for tomorrow, Sensex opening above 78,500 tomorrow indicates overnight support is intact. Below 78,280 would signal that the 78,305 low is being retested, and the Sensex prediction for tomorrow support at 78,100-78,200 would become the reference.
Sensex Technical Levels for the Prediction for Tomorrow
| Level | Zone | Significance for Sensex prediction for tomorrow |
|---|---|---|
| Key weekly support | 78,100-78,200 | Only on SBI continued selling plus ICICI reversal failure |
| Monday’s low | 78,305.94 | Confirmed buyer zone; break below = Sensex prediction for tomorrow bear case |
| Support | 78,280-78,380 | Primary Sensex prediction for tomorrow floor for tomorrow |
| Monday close | 78,542.44 | Sensex prediction for tomorrow base; above 78,550 = opening positive |
| Monday high | 78,672.08 | Above this = Sensex prediction for tomorrow intraday breakout |
| First resistance | 78,700-78,800 | Base case Sensex prediction for tomorrow target on ICICI continuation |
| Bull case | 79,000-79,200 | Requires SBI stabilise + ICICI above Rs 1,450 + Bajaj above Rs 1,120 |
Track Live Sensex Levels and Screen Stocks for tomorrow
Conclusion
The Sensex prediction for tomorrow for Tuesday 11 August 2026 rests on a simple thesis: Monday absorbed the worst of the post-Q1 SBI profit booking (-2.39%) while simultaneously confirming that Bajaj Finance’s crash was a one-day event (+2.24% recovery) and ICICI Bank’s reversal is underway (+0.76%). Ankit Jaiswal of Univest places the Sensex prediction for tomorrow support at 78,280-78,380 (confirmed buyer zone from today’s 78,305 low) and first resistance at 78,700-78,800.
Kunal Singla of Univest identifies tomorrow’s two-stock test for Tuesday: ICICI Bank above Rs 1,440 (extending Day 4 rotation recovery) and SBI above Rs 1,075 (post-Q1 booking exhausted). Both conditions met simultaneously would push the Sensex prediction for tomorrow toward 78,800 and signal that the index is ready to attempt the 79,000 level later this week.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information and may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live Sensex levels and ICICI Bank updates on Tuesday morning.
FAQs on Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, 11 August 2026
What is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, 11 August 2026?
Ans. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow is cautiously positive. Sensex closed at 78,542.44 today (+0.06%), marginally positive despite heavy cross-currents. Bajaj Finance +2.24% and ICICI Bank +0.76% contributed positive Sensex weight while SBI -2.39% was a drag. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow places support at 78,280-78,380 and resistance at 78,700-78,800. A clean SBI stabilisation tomorrow would unlock the bull case.
How does ICICI Bank affect the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. ICICI Bank carries approximately 7% Sensex weight. Today’s +0.76% recovery to Rs 1,431.80 added approximately 50-55 Sensex points, contributing the most of any single stock to the Sensex prediction for tomorrow positive carry. For Tuesday, ICICI Bank above Rs 1,440 would add another 50-60 Sensex points in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, making it the single most important stock for the index.
Which analysts prepared the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the Sensex prediction for tomorrow using Groww-confirmed Monday 10 August data: Sensex 78,542.44 (+0.06%), intraday range 78,305.94-78,672.08, ICICI Bank Rs 1,431.80 (+0.76%), SBI Rs 1,071 (-2.39%) and Bajaj Finance Rs 1,102.20 (+2.24%).
What is Sensex support and resistance for the prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. Sensex support is at 78,280-78,380 (today’s low was 78,305.94, a confirmed buyer zone) and 78,100-78,200 (key weekly support). Resistance is 78,700-78,800 (first recovery target, near today’s high of 78,672) and 79,000-79,200 (bull case) in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.
Will Sensex cross 79,000 tomorrow in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow assigns 20% probability to touching 79,000 on Tuesday. This requires ICICI Bank extending its recovery above Rs 1,450, SBI stabilising above Rs 1,080, Bajaj Finance above Rs 1,115 and positive global cues overnight. The base Sensex prediction for tomorrow is 78,700-78,800.
How does SBI’s -2.39% today affect the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?
Ans. SBI fell 2.39% today on post-Q1 profit booking from pre-result buyers. At approximately 3% Sensex weight, SBI’s -2.39% removed about 63 Sensex points today. for tomorrow, if SBI’s profit booking exhausts today (Day 1 post-result is typically the heaviest), Tuesday should see SBI stabilise, removing a key drag and improving the Sensex prediction for tomorrow balance.