Crude Oil Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

September 25, 2026
Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
Category: Uncategorized

Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,911.00 per barrel on Friday, down 2.79 percent. Nifty 50 rose 0.34% to 23,140.50. Markets shut Saturday and Sunday.

Quick Answer

This crude oil price prediction for monday leans soft into Monday’s session, as crude oil fell sharply, down 2.79 percent on MCX, reversing Thursday’s spike as the risk premium tied to earlier geopolitical tensions unwound. Since Indian markets are shut Saturday and Sunday, Friday’s close carries through to Monday. Traders should treat the levels below as a working framework rather than a fixed call.

This crude oil price prediction for monday is built from Friday’s verified closing data, since markets are shut over the weekend.

This crude oil price prediction for monday follows a Friday, 25 September 2026 session in which broader equity markets extended their recovery, with Nifty 50 gaining 0.34 percent to 23,140.50 as India VIX eased 4.18 percent to a calmer 12.16, its second straight session of easing after Thursday’s sharp spike, with Nifty Auto leading equity gains even as crude oil and natural gas both reversed sharply lower.

Univest’s research desk, led by Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla, is tracking global cues closely here, since commodity prices on MCX often move in step with international benchmarks and the US Dollar Index.

Nothing in this crude oil price prediction for monday should be treated as a guarantee, only a working framework for Monday’s session.

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Also read – Stock Market Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

Table of Contents

Friday’s Recap

Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,911.00 per barrel, down 2.79 percent on the 19 October 2026 futures.
Nifty 50 gained 0.34 percent, extending its recovery from Thursday’s sharp sell-off.
India VIX eased to a calmer level, its second straight session of easing.

This crude oil price prediction for monday should be read alongside the support and resistance levels detailed above.

Crude Oil Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Univest’s desk is watching whether crude oil can extend its soft tone into 28 September 2026. A sustained move in crude oil prices and the US Dollar Index over the weekend will be the main swing factor, since both influence MCX pricing directly.

Key Drivers for Monday

Crude oil fell sharply, down 2.79 percent on mcx, reversing thursday’s spike as the risk premium tied to earlier geopolitical tensions unwound.
India vix eased 4.18 percent to a calmer 12.16, its second straight session of easing after thursday’s sharp spike, with nifty auto leading equity gains even as crude oil and natural gas both reversed sharply lower.
Movement in the US Dollar Index, which typically has an inverse relationship with metal and bullion prices on MCX.

Stocks to Watch Alongside This Commodity

Reliance Industries, given its refining and petrochemicals exposure, and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, as an upstream producer, are the two stocks most directly linked to this crude oil price prediction for Monday, with Reliance Industries gaining 0.56 percent today as easing crude reduced input-cost pressure.

Univest’s desk will revisit this crude oil price prediction for monday once Monday’s opening trade confirms direction.

Why This Uses Friday’s Data

Indian markets are closed Saturday and Sunday, so Friday’s closing prices remain the last available data until trading resumes on Monday, 28 September 2026. Treat this prediction as a weekend briefing rather than a live call.

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Risks to This Prediction

A sharp reversal in crude oil prices over the weekend could change the direction implied here.
Any unexpected US Federal Reserve commentary could move the US Dollar Index and, in turn, MCX prices.
Thin volumes early Monday can exaggerate short-term moves.

Traders relying on this crude oil price prediction for monday should still size positions to their own risk appetite.

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Conclusion

This crude oil price prediction for monday leans soft into 28 September 2026, with crude oil prices and global cues as the key variables to track. Traders should size positions carefully given the current volatility backdrop.

Also read – Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

As with any crude oil price prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday’s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the crude oil price prediction for monday?

Ans. It points to a soft tone on 28 September 2026, after Crude Oil closed at Rs 8,911.00 per barrel on Friday, down 2.79 percent.

Why is this a prediction for Monday and not tomorrow?

Ans. Because Indian markets don’t trade Saturday or Sunday, Friday’s close is the last available data until trading resumes Monday, 28 September 2026.

This crude oil price prediction for monday is built from Friday’s verified closing data, since markets are shut over the weekend.

Why did Crude Oil move lower today?

Ans. Crude Oil moved lower today mainly because crude oil fell sharply, down 2.79 percent on MCX, reversing Thursday’s spike as the risk premium tied to earlier geopolitical tensions unwound.

What is the crude oil price on MCX right now?

Ans. Crude Oil was trading at Rs 8,911.00 per barrel on the 19 October 2026 futures as of Friday’s close.

Why did crude oil fall sharply today?

Ans. Crude oil fell sharply today because crude oil fell sharply, down 2.79 percent on MCX, reversing Thursday’s spike as the risk premium tied to earlier geopolitical tensions unwound

How does the crude oil price prediction for Monday affect Indian stocks?

Ans. A falling crude oil price prediction for Monday typically eases pressure on oil-importing sectors and the rupee, and today’s sharp pullback coincided with a broader equity market recovery.

Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?

Ans. Whether to trade on this outlook depends on individual risk appetite. Univest’s analysts suggest tracking crude oil prices and the US Dollar Index before taking a position for Monday’s session.

Crude Oil MCX

Author: Ankit Jaiswal

Ankit Jaiswal is the Senior Research Analyst at Univest, leading the platform's in-house equity research desk and serving as the editorial reviewer for all research and blog content published at univest.in. With 11+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he oversees stock recommendations, earnings analysis, sector coverage, and ensures every published article meets SEBI Research Analyst Regulations. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce (B.Com) from St. Xavier's College, Kolkata — one of India's most prestigious commerce institutions — and has cleared CMT Level 2 from the CMT Association, a globally recognised certification in technical analysis and market research. His research methodology combines fundamental analysis (earnings quality, balance sheet strength, management commentary) with advanced technical analysis (chart patterns, momentum indicators, market structure) — giving Univest's retail investors a dual-lens approach that most Indian research platforms lack. Ankit is among the most comprehensively certified analysts in Indian financial media, holding five NISM certifications: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-VI (Depository Operations), and Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Ankit's responsibilities include leading the research team, finalising stock recommendations published across Pro Lite, Pro Super, and Pro Gold advisory services, and maintaining editorial oversight of all YMYL financial content published on the blog.