Zinc Prediction for Monday, 3 August 2026: MCX Zinc August futures Levels to Watch

The zinc prediction for monday, 3 August 2026, centres on MCX Zinc August futures, which closed Friday at Rs 382.8 per kg, up 2.0 points or 0.53% from Thursday's close of Rs 380.8. Zinc extended its gains for a second session as smelter supply concerns in top producing regions kept the base metals complex well bid.

Univest analysts Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director, have built this zinc prediction for monday using Friday's MCX closing data and the broader macro calendar heading into next week. Ankit Jaiswal covers the technical structure while Kunal Singla layers in the demand and positioning context.

Zinc Closing Overview for the Prediction for Monday

• MCX Zinc August futures closed at Rs 382.8 per kg on Friday, +0.53% versus Thursday's Rs 380.8 close.
• Zinc extended its gains for a second session as smelter supply concerns in top producing regions kept the base metals complex well bid.
• The contract expires on 31 August, a date traders following this zinc prediction for monday should track for rollover related volatility.

Zinc Technical Analysis for the Prediction for Monday

Metric	Level
Friday Close	Rs 382.8 (+0.53%)
Support	Rs 380 / Rs 376
Resistance	Rs 385 / Rs 390
Contract Expiry	31 August

Ankit Jaiswal builds this zinc prediction for monday around Rs 380 as the near term pivot; a hold above it keeps the setup constructive, while a break would open a path toward Rs 376. On the upside, a close above Rs 385 would put Rs 390 back in focus for this zinc prediction for monday.

F&O Calendar for the Zinc Prediction for Monday

MCX Zinc August futures expires on 31 August, and Kunal Singla flags that positioning typically builds through the first half of the expiry week before rollover activity picks up. Traders following this zinc prediction for monday should watch open interest changes around the RBI policy verdict, since rate and currency moves often spill into MCX pricing.

RBI Policy Week and Global Cues for the Zinc Prediction for Monday

The RBI Monetary Policy Committee meets from Monday, 3 August, to Wednesday, 5 August, with the repo rate decision due on the final day. The repo rate has held at 5.25 percent through three consecutive reviews, and most economists expect another hold.

Wall Street staged a sharp Thursday rebound, with the Nasdaq up 2.78 percent and the S&P 500 up 1.66 percent on Microsoft-led strength, a day after a Fed driven selloff. Brent crude eased to 89.03 dollars a barrel after an earlier spike above 93 dollars on Iran related strikes, and Gift Nifty August futures were trading near 24,422 on Friday morning.

Zinc Prediction for Monday: Trading Strategy

• Use Rs 380 as the near term pivot for this zinc prediction for monday; a sustained hold above it keeps the setup constructive.
• A close above Rs 385 would be the trigger for a fresh long bias toward Rs 390.
• Keep position sizes measured ahead of Wednesday's RBI verdict, since currency moves around the decision can spill into commodity pricing.
• Respect stop losses below Rs 376 rather than averaging into a losing position into the 31 August expiry.

Risks to the Zinc Prediction for Monday

• A stronger dollar following a hawkish RBI or Fed commentary could pressure this zinc prediction for monday, particularly for gold and silver.
• Any fresh escalation in the Iran-US standoff could move crude oil and, by extension, the broader commodity complex sharply.
• Increased volatility is typical into the 31 August expiry as positions roll to the next month's contract.
• A reversal in Thursday's Wall Street rally when US markets trade Friday night could shift risk appetite across commodities before Monday's MCX open.

Conclusion

This zinc prediction for monday, 3 August 2026, points to MCX Zinc August futures holding a range between Rs 380 support and Rs 385 resistance as the RBI policy week begins. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla both flag the RBI verdict on Wednesday and ongoing Iran-US tensions as the dominant swing factors for the week. A close above Rs 385 would strengthen this zinc prediction for monday, while a break below Rs 380 would call for caution.

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What is the zinc prediction for monday, 3 August 2026?

Ans. The zinc prediction for monday, 3 August 2026, points to MCX Zinc August futures holding between Rs 380 support and Rs 385 resistance, after closing Friday at Rs 382.8 per kg.

What is MCX Zinc August futures's support and resistance for Monday?

Ans. Support is at Rs 380 and then Rs 376. Resistance is at Rs 385 and then Rs 390, based on Friday's close of Rs 382.8.

When does MCX Zinc August futures expire?

Ans. MCX Zinc August futures expires on 31 August. Traders following this zinc prediction for monday should watch for rollover related volatility as that date approaches.

How will the RBI MPC meeting affect this prediction for Monday?

Ans. The RBI Monetary Policy Committee meets from 3 to 5 August, with the rate decision due Wednesday. Currency moves around the verdict can spill into MCX commodity pricing, particularly for gold and silver.

What do Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla say in this zinc prediction for monday?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal expects MCX Zinc August futures to hold its recent range given Friday's +0.53% move, while Kunal Singla flags the RBI verdict and global crude oil trends as the key triggers for the week.

Why did zinc move higher on Friday?

Ans. Zinc extended its gains for a second session as smelter supply concerns in top producing regions kept the base metals complex well bid.

What are the key global cues for commodity markets next week?

Ans. Brent crude eased to 89.03 dollars a barrel on Thursday after an earlier spike above 93 dollars on Iran related strikes, and the RBI policy verdict on Wednesday is the dominant domestic trigger for the week.

Should traders take fresh positions in zinc ahead of the RBI decision?

Ans. Univest analysts suggest keeping position sizes measured ahead of Wednesday's verdict and recommend consulting a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.