
Transrail Lighting Share Price Prediction 2027: Scenario Targets, Valuation and Technical Outlook
CMP Rs 464.65 (9 Oct 2026). 52W range Rs 400.65 to Rs 764.90. PE 15.64. 2027 base Rs 558, bull Rs 668.
Updated: 9 Oct 2026 • 4:15 pm
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Quick Answer
The Transrail Lighting share price forecast for 2027 centres on a conservative case of Rs 534, a base case of Rs 558 and a bull case of Rs 668, against a current price of Rs 464.65. These targets scale today's price by reported EPS growth at a constant PE multiple, so they rest on earnings the company has already delivered, not on broker forecasts. The base case implies 20.1% upside from today's price. The daily technical setup reads bullish.
Transrail Lighting share price prediction 2027 comes down to earnings growth and the multiple investors pay for it, and the reported numbers give a measured answer. The stock trades at Rs 464.65 on NSE as of 9 October 2026, 39.3% below its 52-week high of Rs 764.90, after the company reported net profit of Rs 403.59 crore for FY26.
This Transrail Lighting stock forecast 2027 builds conservative, base and bull scenarios from exchange-reported financials, shareholding data and daily price indicators, with every assumption shown.
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Transrail Lighting Share Price Today and Key Data
The Transrail Lighting share price today is Rs 464.65 on NSE, down 1.59% on the day. The market capitalisation stands at Rs 6,334 crore. Over the past year the price has fallen 38.8% from Rs 759.05. Every Transrail Lighting stock forecast figure below starts from this price.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | Transrail Lighting (TRANSRAILL) |
| Current Price | Rs 464.65 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 764.90 (10 October 2025) |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 400.65 (16 September 2026) |
| Market Cap | Rs 6,334 crore |
| PE Ratio | 15.64 |
| Industry PE | 23.12 |
| PB Ratio | 2.78 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 30.17 |
| Return on Equity | 17.69% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.30 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.42% |
| Book Value per Share | Rs 169.60 |
What Is the Transrail Lighting Share Price Prediction for 2027?
The Transrail Lighting share price prediction for 2027 is a conservative case of Rs 534, a base case of Rs 558 and a bull case of Rs 668. Against Rs 464.65, these imply 14.9% upside, 20.1% upside and 43.8% upside. They are model scenarios built from reported EPS growth, not broker targets.
| Scenario | EPS Growth Basis | EPS Estimate | PE Multiple | Implied Value | Upside vs Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Case | Lower of FY26 growth (16.3%) and 4-year CAGR (51.2%) (capped at 15%) | Rs 34.70 (+15.0%) | Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) | Rs 534 | +14.9% |
| Base Case | Average of the two (capped at 20%) | Rs 36.20 (+20.0%) | Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) | Rs 558 | +20.1% |
| Bull Case | Higher of the two (capped at 25%) | Rs 37.71 (+25.0%) | Re-rated 15.0% toward industry PE of 23.12 (still at or below it) | Rs 668 | +43.8% |
Each target takes today's price of Rs 464.65 and scales it by the EPS growth assumed for that case, which is the same as holding the PE multiple constant. The conservative case uses the lower of the FY26 EPS growth and the 4-year EPS CAGR, the base case uses their average and the bull case uses the higher figure. The bull case also re-rates the PE multiple toward the industry level, because the stock trades below it. Together they form the Transrail Lighting target price range for the FY27 outlook over the next 12 months, and the range is not a point estimate.
Transrail Lighting Share Price Forecast: What Has to Go Right by 2027
Each Transrail Lighting target price below depends on a specific EPS outcome, and the text states that outcome next to the number.
Conservative Case for the Transrail Lighting Share Price Target: Rs 534
Reaching Rs 534 needs EPS to rise 15.0% to Rs 34.70 while the stock keeps its current PE multiple. That follows the slower 4-year EPS CAGR of 51.2%.
Base Case for the Transrail Lighting Share Price Target: Rs 558
Reaching Rs 558 needs EPS to rise 20.0% to Rs 36.20, the average of the FY26 growth rate and the 4-year CAGR. Net profit growth of 1.9% in Q1 FY27 is below that pace, so earnings need to speed up to reach this level.
Bull Case for the Transrail Lighting Share Price Target: Rs 668
Reaching Rs 668 needs EPS to rise 25.0% to Rs 37.71 and the PE multiple to re-rate 15.0% toward the industry PE. That sits inside the 52-week range of Rs 400.65 to Rs 764.90. A daily close above the nearest resistance level of Rs 512.33 (200-day EMA) would be the first technical confirmation.
Transrail Lighting Financial Performance: Revenue, Profit and Margins
Transrail Lighting earned net profit of Rs 403.59 crore on revenue of Rs 6,928.83 crore in FY26, with profit up 22.8% and revenue up 29.4% compared with FY25. Diluted EPS was Rs 29.90 against Rs 25.72 a year earlier, and that earnings base anchors the Transrail Lighting share price forecast. Earlier-year EPS in the table below is restated for the company's share split or bonus issue, so every year sits on the current share count.
| Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Operating Margin | Net Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 2,357.21 | 65.20 | 5.73 | 11.40% | 2.77% |
| FY23 | 3,172.03 | 107.57 | 9.45 | 12.15% | 3.39% |
| FY24 | 4,130.00 | 233.20 | 19.59 | 15.08% | 5.65% |
| FY25 | 5,353.20 | 328.68 | 25.72 | 15.52% | 6.14% |
| FY26 | 6,928.83 | 403.59 | 29.90 | 14.13% | 5.82% |
In the latest reported quarter, Q1 FY27 (quarter ended June 2026), revenue was Rs 1,752.66 crore against Rs 1,671.24 crore a year earlier (+4.9%), and the bottom line was a net profit of Rs 107.88 crore against a net profit of Rs 105.82 crore (+1.9%). Operating margin was 12.88% versus 12.89% in the year-ago quarter. Cash flow from operations was Rs 642.92 crore in FY26 against Rs 287.31 crore in FY25. Together these figures set the earnings base for the Transrail Lighting share price prediction.
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Is Transrail Lighting Overvalued or Undervalued Right Now?
Transrail Lighting trades at a PE of 15.64 against an industry PE of 23.12, which places the stock at a 32.4% discount to the industry average. The price-to-book ratio is 2.78 on a book value of Rs 169.60 per share. Return on equity of 17.69% means the company earns Rs 17.69 of profit for every Rs 100 of shareholder equity.
Debt to equity is 0.30, so borrowings equal about 30% of shareholder equity. The company declared a dividend of Rs 2.00 per share for FY26, a yield of 0.42% at the current price. This valuation context frames the Transrail Lighting stock price prediction for 2027 without relying on any outside forecast.
Transrail Lighting Stock Analysis: Technical Outlook
Transrail Lighting stock trades above its 50-day SMA of Rs 456.68 and below its 200-day EMA of Rs 512.33, and the combined daily indicators read bullish. The 52-week high of Rs 764.90 was set on 10 October 2025, while the 52-week low of Rs 400.65 came on 16 September 2026.
| Indicator | Reading | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.56 | Positive momentum |
| MACD (12,26,9) | 7.41 vs signal 4.25 | Bullish |
| ADX (14) | 45.28 | Established trend |
| Supertrend (10,3) | Price above Rs 425.40 | Bullish |
| 50-day SMA | Rs 456.68 | Price above |
| 200-day EMA | Rs 512.33 | Price below |
The nearest support level sits at Rs 456.68 (50-day SMA) and Rs 425.40 (Supertrend). The nearest resistance level sits at Rs 512.33 (200-day EMA) and Rs 764.90 (52-week high). A sustained move above the nearest resistance would support the Transrail Lighting share price prediction 2027 base case, and this Transrail Lighting stock analysis uses daily candles only. Chart signals add context to the Transrail Lighting share price target without changing the earnings maths.
Transrail Lighting Shareholding Pattern
Promoters hold 71.12% of Transrail Lighting as of Jun 2026, unchanged across the last 5 quarters. FII holding is 2.49% (up from 1.43% in Jun 2025) and DII holding is 6.52% (down from 12.44% in Jun 2025), which puts combined institutional holding at 9.01%. Public shareholders own 19.88%. Shareholding data is one input for any Transrail Lighting stock forecast.
Key Risks to the Transrail Lighting Share Price Target for 2027
Earnings and Margin Risk
Operating margin has ranged from 11.40% to 15.52% between FY22 and FY26, so a slip toward the lower end would trim the EPS estimate behind the Transrail Lighting stock forecast. Revenue was up 29.4% in FY26, and slower revenue growth would weigh on the profit path.
Size and Liquidity Risk
Market capitalisation stands at Rs 6,334 crore. Investors should check daily traded volumes and order book depth on NSE before sizing a position, because price moves can be sharper when volumes thin out. Liquidity is a practical constraint on any Transrail Lighting stock price target.
Balance Sheet Risk
Debt to equity of 0.30 means borrowings stand at about 30% of shareholder equity. A rise in borrowing costs or a jump in debt would weigh on profit and on the multiple behind the Transrail Lighting share price forecast.
Conclusion
This Transrail Lighting stock analysis puts the share price target range for 2027 at Rs 534 to Rs 668, with a base case of Rs 558 against Rs 464.65 today. The inputs are a PE of 15.64 that sits at a 32.4% discount to the industry average, EPS growth of 16.3% in FY26 and a daily technical setup that reads bullish. The next quarterly result will show which scenario is gaining ground. This analysis is educational, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting on it.
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Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
Frequently Asked Questions on Transrail Lighting Share Price Prediction 2027
What is the Transrail Lighting share price target for 2027?
Ans. The Transrail Lighting share price forecast for 2027 has a conservative case of Rs 534, a base case of Rs 558 and a bull case of Rs 668. These are model scenarios based on reported EPS growth, and they are not guaranteed outcomes.
What is the Transrail Lighting share price today?
Ans. Transrail Lighting trades at Rs 464.65 on NSE as of 9 October 2026, down 1.59% on the day. The 52-week range is Rs 400.65 to Rs 764.90.
Is Transrail Lighting a good stock to buy for 2027?
Ans. The data points in different directions: the PE of 15.64 is at a 32.4% discount to the industry average, EPS grew 16.3% in FY26 and the daily technical setup reads bullish. This article does not constitute investment advice, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before deciding.
Can Transrail Lighting stock reach Rs 668 in 2027?
Ans. Reaching Rs 668 needs EPS to rise 25.0% from Rs 30.17 and the PE multiple to re-rate toward the industry PE of 23.12, plus a daily close above Rs 512.33 (200-day EMA). This is a scenario, not a guarantee.
What are the support and resistance levels for Transrail Lighting?
Ans. The nearest support levels are Rs 456.68 (50-day SMA) and Rs 425.40 (Supertrend), and the nearest resistance levels are Rs 512.33 (200-day EMA) and Rs 764.90 (52-week high).
What are the main risks for Transrail Lighting stock in 2027?
Ans. The main risks to the Transrail Lighting share price forecast are a fall in operating margin from the 11.40% to 15.52% range seen since FY22, slower revenue growth after FY26 revenue was up 29.4%, and thin trading volumes. Debt to equity of 0.30 adds balance sheet sensitivity.
How is the Transrail Lighting target price for 2027 calculated?
Ans. Each target scales the current price by assumed EPS growth at a constant PE multiple. The conservative case uses 15.0% growth, the base case 20.0% and the bull case 25.0%, all drawn from the company's reported FY26 and 4-year EPS growth.
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