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Tata Capital Share Price Prediction 2027: Scenario Targets, Valuation and Technical Outlook

CMP Rs 317.55 (9 Oct 2026). 52W range Rs 296.00 to Rs 390.20. PE 24.41. 2027 base Rs 381, bull Rs 397.


9 Oct 2026 • 1:49 pm

Tata Capital Share Price Prediction 2027: Scenario Targets, Valuation and Technical Outlook

Quick Answer

The Tata Capital share price forecast for 2027 centres on a conservative case of Rs 365, a base case of Rs 381 and a bull case of Rs 397, against a current price of Rs 317.55. These targets scale today's price by reported EPS growth at a constant PE multiple, so they rest on earnings the company has already delivered, not on broker forecasts. The base case implies 20.0% upside from today's price. The daily technical setup reads bearish.

Tata Capital share price prediction 2027 comes down to earnings growth and the multiple investors pay for it, and the reported numbers give a measured answer. The stock trades at Rs 317.55 on NSE as of 9 October 2026, 18.6% below its 52-week high of Rs 390.20, after the company reported net profit of Rs 4,890.91 crore for FY26.

This Tata Capital stock forecast 2027 builds conservative, base and bull scenarios from exchange-reported financials, shareholding data and daily price indicators, with every assumption shown.

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Tata Capital Share Price Today and Key Data

The Tata Capital share price today is Rs 317.55 on NSE, up 0.84% on the day. The market capitalisation stands at Rs 1,33,756 crore. Every Tata Capital stock forecast figure below starts from this price.

Metric Value
Company Tata Capital (TATACAP)
Current Price Rs 317.55
52-Week High Rs 390.20 (6 August 2026)
52-Week Low Rs 296.00 (2 June 2026)
Market Cap Rs 1,33,756 crore
PE Ratio 24.41
Industry PE 17.72
PB Ratio 2.99
EPS (TTM) Rs 12.91
Return on Equity 10.57%
Debt to Equity 5.15
Dividend Yield 0.18%
Book Value per Share Rs 105.27

What Is the Tata Capital Share Price Prediction for 2027?

The Tata Capital share price prediction for 2027 is a conservative case of Rs 365, a base case of Rs 381 and a bull case of Rs 397. Against Rs 317.55, these imply 14.9% upside, 20.0% upside and 25.0% upside. They are model scenarios built from reported EPS growth, not broker targets.

Scenario EPS Growth Basis EPS Estimate PE Multiple Implied Value Upside vs Current Price
Conservative Case Lower of FY26 growth (26.2%) and 4-year CAGR (25.8%) (capped at 15%) Rs 14.85 (+15.0%) Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) Rs 365 +14.9%
Base Case Average of the two (capped at 20%) Rs 15.49 (+20.0%) Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) Rs 381 +20.0%
Bull Case Higher of the two (capped at 25%) Rs 16.14 (+25.0%) Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) Rs 397 +25.0%

Each target takes today's price of Rs 317.55 and scales it by the EPS growth assumed for that case, which is the same as holding the PE multiple constant. The conservative case uses the lower of the FY26 EPS growth and the 4-year EPS CAGR, the base case uses their average and the bull case uses the higher figure. Together they form the Tata Capital target price range for the FY27 outlook over the next 12 months, and the range is not a point estimate.

Tata Capital Share Price Forecast: What Has to Go Right by 2027

Each Tata Capital target price below depends on a specific EPS outcome, and the text states that outcome next to the number.

Conservative Case for the Tata Capital Share Price Target: Rs 365

Reaching Rs 365 needs EPS to rise 15.0% to Rs 14.85 while the stock keeps its current PE multiple. That follows the slower 4-year EPS CAGR of 25.8%.

Base Case for the Tata Capital Share Price Target: Rs 381

Reaching Rs 381 needs EPS to rise 20.0% to Rs 15.49, the average of the FY26 growth rate and the 4-year CAGR. Net profit growth of 56.4% in Q1 FY27 is at or above that pace, which supports the target.

Bull Case for the Tata Capital Share Price Target: Rs 397

Reaching Rs 397 needs EPS to rise 25.0% to Rs 16.14 with the PE multiple held at today's level. That is above the 52-week high of Rs 390.20, so it would need a fresh breakout. A daily close above the nearest resistance level of Rs 341.44 (200-day EMA) would be the first technical confirmation.

Tata Capital Financial Performance: Revenue, Profit and Margins

Tata Capital earned net profit of Rs 4,890.91 crore on revenue of Rs 31,582.62 crore in FY26, with profit up 33.8% and revenue up 11.3% compared with FY25. Diluted EPS was Rs 11.76 against Rs 9.32 a year earlier, and that earnings base anchors the Tata Capital share price forecast.

Year Revenue (Rs Cr) Net Profit (Rs Cr) EPS (Rs) Operating Margin Net Margin
FY22 10,311.41 1,800.81 4.69 72.09% 17.46%
FY23 13,637.49 2,945.77 8.44 78.08% 21.60%
FY24 18,198.38 3,326.96 8.60 78.29% 18.28%
FY25 28,369.87 3,655.02 9.32 71.69% 12.88%
FY26 31,582.62 4,890.91 11.76 73.08% 15.49%

In the latest reported quarter, Q1 FY27 (quarter ended June 2026), revenue was Rs 8,825.38 crore against Rs 7,691.65 crore a year earlier (+14.7%), and the bottom line was a net profit of Rs 1,628.18 crore against a net profit of Rs 1,040.93 crore (+56.4%). Operating margin was 75.76% versus 72.62% in the year-ago quarter. Cash flow from operations was Rs -37,964.94 crore in FY26 against Rs -30,087.90 crore in FY25. Together these figures set the earnings base for the Tata Capital share price prediction.

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Is Tata Capital Overvalued or Undervalued Right Now?

Tata Capital trades at a PE of 24.41 against an industry PE of 17.72, which places the stock at a 37.8% premium to the industry average. The price-to-book ratio is 2.99 on a book value of Rs 105.27 per share. Return on equity of 10.57% means the company earns Rs 10.57 of profit for every Rs 100 of shareholder equity.

Debt to equity is 5.15, so borrowings equal about 515% of shareholder equity. The company declared a dividend of Rs 0.57 per share for FY26, a yield of 0.18% at the current price. This valuation context frames the Tata Capital stock price prediction for 2027 without relying on any outside forecast.

Tata Capital Stock Analysis: Technical Outlook

Tata Capital stock trades below its 50-day SMA of Rs 355.06 and below its 200-day EMA of Rs 341.44, and the combined daily indicators read bearish. The 52-week high of Rs 390.20 was set on 6 August 2026, while the 52-week low of Rs 296.00 came on 2 June 2026.

Indicator Reading Signal
RSI (14) 29.05 Oversold
MACD (12,26,9) -11.42 vs signal -9.74 Bearish
ADX (14) 50.72 Established trend
Supertrend (10,3) Price below Rs 342.05 Bearish
50-day SMA Rs 355.06 Price below
200-day EMA Rs 341.44 Price below

The nearest support level sits at Rs 296.00 (52-week low). The nearest resistance level sits at Rs 341.44 (200-day EMA) and Rs 342.05 (Supertrend). A sustained move above the nearest resistance would support the Tata Capital share price prediction 2027 base case, and this Tata Capital stock analysis uses daily candles only. Chart signals add context to the Tata Capital share price target without changing the earnings maths.

Tata Capital Shareholding Pattern

Promoters hold 85.41% of Tata Capital as of Jun 2026, down from 95.56% in Sep 2025 across the last 5 quarters. FII holding is 5.18% (up from 0.00% in Sep 2025) and DII holding is 3.56% (up from 0.00% in Sep 2025), which puts combined institutional holding at 8.74%. Public shareholders own 5.85%. Shareholding data is one input for any Tata Capital stock forecast.

Key Risks to the Tata Capital Share Price Target for 2027

Earnings and Margin Risk

Operating margin has ranged from 71.69% to 78.29% between FY22 and FY26, so a slip toward the lower end would trim the EPS estimate behind the Tata Capital stock forecast. Revenue was up 11.3% in FY26, and slower revenue growth would weigh on the profit path.

Valuation Risk

The PE of 24.41 is 37.8% above the industry PE of 17.72. Every target here holds the multiple constant, so a narrowing of that premium would leave returns below these targets even if earnings grow as assumed.

Size and Liquidity Risk

Market capitalisation stands at Rs 1,33,756 crore. Investors should check daily traded volumes and order book depth on NSE before sizing a position, because price moves can be sharper when volumes thin out. Liquidity is a practical constraint on any Tata Capital stock price target.

Balance Sheet Risk

Debt to equity of 5.15 means borrowings stand at about 515% of shareholder equity. A rise in borrowing costs or a jump in debt would weigh on profit and on the multiple behind the Tata Capital share price forecast.

Technical Risk

The daily indicators read bearish, so the targets above may need a technical turn before the price follows earnings. A daily close below Rs 296.00 (52-week low) would weaken the setup further.

Conclusion

This Tata Capital stock analysis puts the share price target range for 2027 at Rs 365 to Rs 397, with a base case of Rs 381 against Rs 317.55 today. The inputs are a PE of 24.41 that sits at a 37.8% premium to the industry average, EPS growth of 26.2% in FY26 and a daily technical setup that reads bearish. The next quarterly result will show which scenario is gaining ground. This analysis is educational, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting on it.

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Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Frequently Asked Questions on Tata Capital Share Price Prediction 2027

What is the Tata Capital share price target for 2027?

Ans. The Tata Capital share price forecast for 2027 has a conservative case of Rs 365, a base case of Rs 381 and a bull case of Rs 397. These are model scenarios based on reported EPS growth, and they are not guaranteed outcomes.

What is the Tata Capital share price today?

Ans. Tata Capital trades at Rs 317.55 on NSE as of 9 October 2026, up 0.84% on the day. The 52-week range is Rs 296.00 to Rs 390.20.

Is Tata Capital a good stock to buy for 2027?

Ans. The data points in different directions: the PE of 24.41 is at a 37.8% premium to the industry average, EPS grew 26.2% in FY26 and the daily technical setup reads bearish. This article does not constitute investment advice, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before deciding.

Can Tata Capital stock reach Rs 397 in 2027?

Ans. Reaching Rs 397 needs EPS to rise 25.0% from Rs 12.91 with the PE multiple held at today's level, plus a daily close above Rs 341.44 (200-day EMA). This is a scenario, not a guarantee.

What are the support and resistance levels for Tata Capital?

Ans. The nearest support levels are Rs 296.00 (52-week low), and the nearest resistance levels are Rs 341.44 (200-day EMA) and Rs 342.05 (Supertrend).

What are the main risks for Tata Capital stock in 2027?

Ans. The main risks to the Tata Capital share price forecast are a fall in operating margin from the 71.69% to 78.29% range seen since FY22, slower revenue growth after FY26 revenue was up 11.3%, and thin trading volumes. Debt to equity of 5.15 adds balance sheet sensitivity.

How is the Tata Capital target price for 2027 calculated?

Ans. Each target scales the current price by assumed EPS growth at a constant PE multiple. The conservative case uses 15.0% growth, the base case 20.0% and the bull case 25.0%, all drawn from the company's reported FY26 and 4-year EPS growth.

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