Stock Market Prediction for Monday, 26 Oct 2026: Sensex and Nifty Levels, Top Stocks to Watch and Will the Bulls Dance Again?

Stock market prediction for Monday is a hard call after a four-session fall in which the Nifty gave back most of its earlier gains. The more useful question is what must happen for the bulls to return, and which signals would tell you that the bears are still in charge.

This article builds the stock market prediction for Monday from last week's price action, key levels, three scenarios and the stocks in focus. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

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Stock Market Prediction for Monday: What Last Week Showed

Stock market prediction for Monday: session	Nifty open	Nifty high	Nifty low	Nifty close
Fri 16 Oct	23,065.10	23,149.85	22,913.80	23,146.15
Mon 19 Oct	23,150.85	23,175.25	22,845.00	22,888.95
Wed 21 Oct	23,016.00	23,120.90	22,649.90	22,811.35
Thu 22 Oct	22,687.75	22,785.00	22,554.85	22,687.65
Fri 23 Oct	22,742.20	22,787.25	22,372.00	22,600.00
Mon 26 Oct (about 10:13 AM)	22,524.40	22,705.85	22,387.45	22,686.50

For the stock market prediction for Monday, note that the Nifty fell from 23,146.15 on 16 Oct to 22,600.00 on 23 Oct, a loss of 2.36% (my calculation), in four sessions because the market was closed on 20 Oct. Bajaj Broking's Pabitro Mukherjee notes that the index has retraced about 80% of its previous six-session rally and formed a bearish candle with a long lower shadow on Friday. Stock market prediction for Monday therefore begins with a market that is oversold but not yet turned. Nifty levels today and Sensex levels today both sit in the lower half of last week's range.

In this stock market prediction for Monday, Friday's low of 22,372 matters. The market bounced from it, and Monday's low of 22,387.45 came within 15 points of that level (my calculation), so buyers defended the same zone twice.

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Nifty Levels Today in the Stock Market Prediction for Monday

Stock market prediction for Monday: Nifty level	Source and meaning
22,850 to 22,900	Resistance at the 20 or 21-day average (Master Capital Services, Bajaj Broking)
23,175	Previous week's high, a major hurdle (Bajaj Broking)
22,372 to 22,400	Support; Friday's low and Monday's low held here
22,300	Immediate support (Master Capital Services)
22,180	The current month's low
22,000	Psychological level if support breaks

For the stock market prediction for Monday, on the data provider's daily indicators, the Nifty's 14-day RSI is about 52.6 and its MACD line is at minus 161 against a signal line at minus 210, so momentum has stopped falling but has not turned. The SuperTrend support is near 22,103. These readings fit a stock market prediction for Monday that sits between a bounce and a breakdown.

Sensex Levels Today

Stock market prediction for Monday: BSE Sensex measure	Level
Friday close	73,123.83
Monday open	72,990.04
Monday low	72,514.57
Latest (about 10:13 AM)	73,426.51
20-day average (data provider)	About 73,486
200-day average (data provider)	About 77,453

The Sensex is trading just under its 20-day average and far below its 200-day average. A close above 73,500 would move it back above the short-term average, while a fall below 72,514.57 would put Friday's and Monday's lows at risk. These Sensex levels today follow the Nifty closely, so one chart can confirm the other in the stock market prediction for Monday.

Three Scenarios for the Stock Market Prediction for Monday

Stock market prediction for Monday: scenario	Trigger	Nifty path
Bulls dance again	Close above 22,850 with falling crude and foreign buying	Towards 22,900 and 23,175
Range day	Oil and the Fed keep traders waiting	22,372 to 22,850
Bears return	Close below 22,372, higher Brent or a hawkish Fed tone	22,300, then 22,180 and 22,000

The base case in the stock market prediction for Monday is the range, because the Fed meets on 27 and 28 Oct and crude oil is near $115. The bull case needs help from outside: Brent below $110, a steady rupee and consecutive days of foreign buying. The India VIX at about 17.56 says traders expect swings in both directions.

In the stock market prediction for Monday, analysts quoted by the Economic Times network describe the technical structure as weak, with selling in all sectors except IT last week. That is why the bear case remains live even after a morning bounce.

Top Stocks to Watch in the Stock Market Prediction for Monday

Stock market prediction for Monday: stock	News	Price about 10:06 AM
Infosys	Q2 profit Rs 7,823 crore, up 6.23%; FY27 revenue guidance cut to 1% to 2% from 1.5% to 3%	Rs 1,142.75, down 0.96%
Kotak Mahindra Bank	Q2 profit up 26% to Rs 5,645 crore; closed Friday at Rs 430.10, down 1.70%	Rs 440.00, up 2.21%
Reliance Industries	Jio Platforms issue closed with strong demand; allotment likely on Monday	Rs 1,193.00, up 0.25%
Coforge	Q2 profit up 56.5%; FY27 margin guidance raised to 16%	Rs 1,912.60, up 0.64%
BPCL	Q2 profit Rs 4,993 crore, down 22.5% year on year	Rs 286.85, up 1.74%

Among the top stocks to watch, Infosys opened near Rs 1,115, about 3.4% below Friday's close, and recovered much of the loss. Kotak Mahindra Bank has bounced after its results, and the data provider shows a trailing price to earnings of 21.08 against an industry level of 11.47, so the market is paying a premium. For Reliance, the Jio Platforms allotment and the 28 Oct listing are the events to watch.

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Mid and Small Caps in the Stock Market Prediction for Monday

Stock market prediction for Monday: segment	Move
Nifty Midcap Select on Friday	Down nearly 2.20%
Nifty Smallcap 100 on Friday	Down 2.94%
Nifty Midcap index last week	Down about 5.6%, a six-month low
Nifty Smallcap index last week	Down about 7.3%, the worst week in 20 months
Nifty India Defence index last week	Down over 7%

The stock market prediction for Monday cannot ignore the broader market. Mid and small caps fell far more than the Nifty last week, and every sectoral index closed lower on Friday. If the large-cap range holds but mid caps keep falling, many portfolios will still feel losses. The top stocks to watch on a day like this are those with results or clear news, and not just the index heavyweights.

Nifty levels today and Sensex levels today give the broad frame, but stock-specific levels matter more for mid and small caps, where a 5% move in a day is common. Position size is the main tool when volatility is high.

Support and Resistance Checklist for the Stock Market Prediction for Monday

1. Note the zone, not a single number. Support and resistance are bands, such as 22,372 to 22,400, and the 200-week average sits inside that band.
2. Wait for a close. An intraday break above 22,850 that fails by the close is a trap, not a trend change.
3. Respect the calendar. The Fed on 28 Oct can reverse any intraday view.
4. Read volumes. A move on rising volume carries more weight than a drift.

What Must Happen for the Bulls to Dance Again

1. Brent below $110. That would ease inflation and import bill worries.
2. No hawkish surprise from the Fed on 28 Oct. A poll expects no hike now and one in December.
3. Foreign buying for several sessions. Friday's purchase of about Rs 8.9 billion was a start.
4. A close above 22,850. That would put the Nifty back over its short-term average.
5. Better earnings tone. Banks have been mixed and Infosys has cut guidance.

Conclusion

Stock market prediction for Monday is a range with a cautious bias: support at 22,372 to 22,300 and resistance at 22,850 to 22,900 on the Nifty. The bulls can dance again only with a close above that resistance, helped by lower crude, a calm Fed and foreign buying. Use the levels, read the results and invest according to your own plan.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the stock market prediction for Monday, 26 Oct 2026?

Ans. The stock market prediction for Monday is a range with a cautious bias. The Nifty has support at 22,372 to 22,300 and resistance at 22,850 to 22,900, and it traded at about 22,686.50 near 10:13 AM. A close above 22,850 would improve the outlook, while a close below 22,372 would open the month's low of 22,180.

How much did the Nifty and Sensex fall last week?

Ans. The Nifty fell about 2.36% in four sessions, from 23,146.15 to 22,600.00, by my calculation from data provider figures. Some reports give 2.4%. The Sensex fell about 2.15% to 73,123.83. The Nifty is down about 13.56% in 2026, on track for its weakest year in over a decade.

What are the key Nifty levels today?

Ans. Key supports are 22,372 to 22,400, 22,300 and 22,180, and key resistances are 22,850 to 22,900 and 23,175. These come from analysts at Master Capital Services and Bajaj Broking. Levels can change quickly, so please check them during the session.

Which stocks are in focus on Monday?

Ans. Infosys after its guidance cut, Kotak Mahindra Bank after a 26% profit rise, Reliance Industries with the Jio Platforms allotment, Coforge, BPCL and Paytm are among the names in focus. Companies reporting Q2 results include Tata Consumer Products, Mankind Pharma, ITC Hotels and REC.

What would make the market rally?

Ans. A fall in Brent crude below $110, a calm Fed meeting on 28 Oct, steady foreign buying and a close above 22,850 on the Nifty would all help. No single factor is enough on its own, so watch them together.

Why is the India VIX important?

Ans. The India VIX measures expected volatility. It rose 4.15% to 17.56 on Monday morning, which says traders still expect large moves. A rising VIX with a falling market often shows fear, while a falling VIX during a rally shows confidence.

Is this stock market prediction for Monday investment advice?

Ans. No. The stock market prediction for Monday is educational and based on analyst levels and data provider figures. Please check the facts and your own risk profile before you trade or invest.

Is this article investment advice?

Ans. No. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please check the figures against company filings and your own risk profile before you act on anything you read here.