Natural Gas Prediction for Monday, 26 October 2026

This natural gas prediction for monday follows a Friday, 23 October 2026 session in which natural gas futures on MCX fell 1.44 percent on the 24 November contract, while the nearer 27 October contract fell 2.50 percent to 261.40.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, are tracking natural gas and global cues through the weekend, with the next trading session on Monday, 26 October 2026.

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What Friday Told Us

• Natural Gas traded at Rs 300.60 per mmBtu, down 1.44 percent on the 24 November 2026 futures, with a high of 302.60 and a low of 297.40.
• Nifty 50 fell 0.39 percent.
• India VIX rose 6.98 percent to 16.86.

Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Natural Gas (24 November 2026 futures) traded between 297.40 and 302.60 on Friday, against a previous close of 305.00, and settled at 300.60. On the downside, 297.40 is the first reference level to watch if the day's move is tested. On the upside, 302.60 and 305.00 mark the nearest resistance. Univest's analysts treat these as reference points drawn from Friday's trading range, not as targets.

Trend	Support	Resistance
Negative	297.40	302.60, 305.00

MCX contracts keep trading into the evening, so the last traded price can differ from the figures above by the time you read this. The levels here use the 24 November 2026 contract.

For traders, this natural gas prediction for monday is a framework for planning risk, with position size and stop levels left to the individual.

Key Drivers for Monday

• Natural gas fell 1.44 percent on the MCX 24 November contract, with a high of 302.60 and a low of 297.40.
• The 27 October contract fell 2.50 percent to 261.40, so the nearest and next contracts are trading far apart.
• Weather forecasts and global LNG signals drive short-term moves in gas prices.

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla suggest revisiting this natural gas prediction for monday after the first thirty minutes of Monday's trade.

Anyone following this natural gas prediction for monday should keep the next session's opening range in view before reading too much into early moves.

Nothing in this natural gas prediction for monday is a promise of returns, and every level quoted can fail.

What to Watch Alongside Natural Gas

Gujarat State Petronet, Indraprastha Gas and other gas-linked stocks can react when gas prices move sharply, though Univest is not tracking a specific stock move today. Oil and Natural Gas Corporation also has gas production exposure and rose 1.11 percent.

How Friday's Broader Session Unfolded

The Nifty 50 closed at 22,600.00, down 0.39 percent, with a high of 22,787.25 and a low of 22,372.00. The Sensex closed at 73,123.83, down 0.17 percent, and the Bank Nifty closed at 54,287.35, down 1.16 percent. India VIX, the market's fear gauge, rose 6.98 percent to 16.86, which points to higher expected swings in the near term. The Nifty 50 has fallen about 2.4 percent over the holiday-shortened week from last Friday's close of 23,146.15. The Nifty Midcap 50 fell 2.10 percent and the Nifty Next 50 fell 2.26 percent, so selling was heavier outside the Nifty 50. Nifty Metal fell 2.71 percent and Nifty PSU Bank fell 2.26 percent, while Nifty IT fell 0.27 percent. The trigger for the broad fall was not independently confirmed.

Univest's analysts suggest treating this natural gas prediction for monday as a preparation note for Monday, 26 October 2026, rather than a signal that changes over the weekend.

Analyst View for Monday

Kunal Singla suggests that natural gas needs to reclaim 305.00, the previous close, to improve the tone, and a break below 297.40 would open fresh lows.

Ankit Jaiswal flags that natural gas is among the most volatile contracts, so traders should keep position sizes small and stay alert to gaps on Monday.

This natural gas prediction for monday will be most useful when read alongside the support and resistance table above.

Why This Is Written for Monday

This natural gas prediction for monday is written after the close on Friday, 23 October 2026, using Friday's closing data, for the next regular trading session on Monday, 26 October 2026. Indian equity markets are closed on Saturday, 24 October, and Sunday, 25 October, so Friday's closing prices remain the last cash-market data until trading resumes on Monday. Treat it as a briefing to prepare for that session, not a live call that updates over the weekend.

MCX futures trade late into Friday night and then pause for the weekend, so global moves after Friday's close can open Monday with a gap.

A fair reading of this natural gas prediction for monday is that Friday's data sets the context, while Monday's first hour decides how much of it carries forward.

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Risks to This Prediction

• A cold-weather forecast or supply disruption over the weekend could lift gas prices sharply at Monday's open.
• Natural gas is among the most volatile contracts on MCX, so a bounce can be as sharp as the fall.
• The 27 October contract expires within days, so its price can behave differently from later contracts.

Readers comparing views should note that this natural gas prediction for monday draws only on Friday's closing numbers and the factors listed here.

As with any natural gas prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday's trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

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The natural gas prediction for monday also depends on India VIX, so a fresh rise in volatility would weaken the case made here.

Conclusion

The natural gas prediction for monday leans mildly cautious into 26 October 2026, with global cues and the US Dollar Index as the key variables to track. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla will revisit this view once Monday's opening trade confirms direction.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural gas prediction for monday?

Ans. It is mildly cautious for 26 October 2026, after Natural Gas traded at Rs 300.60 per mmBtu on Friday, down 1.44 percent.

Why is this a prediction for Monday, 26 October 2026?

Ans. Because Indian equity markets are closed on Saturday and Sunday, so the next regular trading session after Friday, 23 October 2026, is Monday, 26 October 2026.

Why did natural gas fall on Friday?

Ans. Natural gas fell 1.44 percent on the MCX 24 November contract. The specific trigger was not independently confirmed.

What are the key levels for natural gas on Monday?

Ans. Friday's low of 297.40 is the nearest support below the price. Friday's high of 302.60 and the previous close of 305.00 are the nearest resistance.

Is this a buy or sell call?

Ans. No. This is an educational outlook from Univest's research team, not a buy or sell call. Traders should check any view against their own risk plan before acting.