Gold Prediction for Monday, 16 November 2026

This gold prediction for Monday follows a Friday, 13 November 2026 session in which gold futures on MCX rose 0.49 percent to Rs 136,891.00 per 10 grams on the 4 December contract, against a previous settlement of 136,225.00, inside a range of 1,132.00 rupees.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, are tracking global cues and currency moves ahead of Monday's session, the next regular trading day after Friday's close.

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What Friday Told Us

• Gold rose 0.49 percent to Rs 136,891.00 per 10 grams on the 4 December 2026 futures contract, with a high of 137,587.00 and a low of 136,455.00.
• Nifty 50 fell 0.61 percent to 25,144.30.
• India VIX fell 5.05 percent to 15.78.
• Most active among the stocks Univest tracked: Zee Entertainment (about 47.5 million shares), HDFC Bank (about 23.4 million) and Reliance Industries (about 13.8 million).

Gold Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Gold (4 December 2026 futures) traded between 136,455.00 and 137,587.00 on Friday, opened at 136,502.00, against a previous settlement of 136,225.00, and was at 136,891.00 when the data was pulled. On the downside, 136,502.00, 136,455.00 and 136,225.00 are the first reference levels to watch if the day's move is tested. On the upside, 137,587.00 marks the nearest resistance. Univest's analysts treat these as reference points drawn from Friday's trading range, not as targets.

Trend	Support	Resistance
Positive	136,502.00, 136,455.00, 136,225.00	137,587.00

MCX contracts keep trading into the evening, so the live price can differ from these figures. The levels here use the 4 December 2026 futures contract and its previous settlement of 136,225.00.

For traders, the gold prediction for Monday is a framework for planning risk, with position size and stop levels left to the individual.

Key Drivers for Monday

• Gold rose 0.49 percent from a previous settlement of 136,225.00 and traded above its open of 136,502.00.
• Silver fell 0.19 percent on the same day, so gold and silver moved in opposite directions.
• The US Dollar Index and global bond yields remain the usual external drivers for MCX prices.

Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla flag the first half hour of Monday's trade as the point to revisit this gold prediction for Monday.

Anyone following the gold prediction for Monday should keep the opening range in view before reading too much into early moves.

Nothing in this gold prediction for Monday is a promise of returns, and every level quoted can fail.

What to Watch Alongside Gold

Silver fell 0.19 percent to Rs 178,393.00 per kg, so gold gained while silver slipped. Domestic jewellery demand after the festive period is another factor traders follow, though its effect on futures prices is hard to isolate.

In short, the gold prediction for Monday rests on Friday's verified prices and the overnight risks listed below.

These are educational views, not buy calls, and each should be checked against your own risk plan before acting.

How Friday's Broader Session Unfolded

The Sensex closed at 81,592.45, down 0.39 percent, while the Bank Nifty closed at 61,034.10, down 0.79 percent, after opening at its high of 61,300.55. Nifty Auto fell 1.07 percent and Nifty Metal fell 0.98 percent, while Nifty FMCG was almost flat, down 0.01 percent, and Nifty PSU Bank fell 0.51 percent. The Nifty 50 closed at 25,144.30 on Friday, down 0.61 percent from Thursday's close of 25,299.35. It opened at 25,209.85, touched a high of 25,246.35, fell to 25,054.40 and finished about 90 points above the low. India VIX, the market's fear gauge, fell 5.05 percent to 15.78 from 16.62, after trading between 15.30 and 16.88 during the day. Nifty Next 50 fell 0.83 percent and the Nifty 500 fell 0.55 percent, while Nifty Midcap 50 was almost flat, down 0.04 percent, so mid-caps held up better than the large-cap benchmark. In the options market, the Nifty put-call ratio was approximately 0.83, with call open interest highest at the 25,500 strike and put open interest highest at 25,000, for the 17 November expiry. The trigger for Friday's moves was not independently confirmed.

Placed against that backdrop, the gold prediction for Monday reads Friday's move in the context of a broader market that closed lower.

Analyst View for Monday

Kunal Singla suggests that gold can hold above 136,225.00, the previous settlement, with 137,587.00 the first resistance.

Ankit Jaiswal flags that a move below 136,455, the low, would weaken the gain, while 137,587, the high, is the level to clear

Both analysts stress that the gold prediction for Monday is a view built on levels and data, not a forecast of returns.

A fair reading of this gold prediction for Monday is that Friday's data sets the context, while Monday's first hour decides how much of it carries forward.

Why This Is Written for Monday

This gold prediction for Monday is written on Friday, 13 November 2026, after the close, using today's closing data, for the next regular trading session on Monday, 16 November 2026. NSE and BSE traded as normal today, Saturday and Sunday are non-trading days, and Monday is a regular session with no exchange holiday.

Because the equity market is shut for the day, the gold prediction for Monday relies on Friday's close rather than any live price.

MCX contracts were still trading when the data was pulled at 3:39 PM IST and keep trading into the evening, so prices at the time you read this can differ from the figures above. The levels use the 4 December 2026 futures contract.

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Risks to This Prediction

• A fall back below the previous settlement of 136,225.00 would erase the gain.
• A firmer US Dollar Index could pull gold back toward the open of 136,502.
• Moves overseas over the weekend can open MCX trade on Monday with a gap and exaggerate early moves.

Readers comparing views should note that this gold prediction for Monday draws only on Friday's closing numbers and the factors listed here.

As with any gold prediction for Monday, the opening minutes of Monday's trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

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Conclusion

The gold prediction for Monday leans mildly constructive into 16 November 2026, with the US Dollar Index and global bond yields as the key variables to track. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla will revisit this view once Monday's opening trade confirms direction.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the gold prediction for Monday?

Ans. It is mildly constructive for 16 November 2026, after Gold rose 0.49 percent to Rs 136,891.00 per 10 grams on Friday.

Why is this a prediction for Monday, 16 November 2026?

Ans. Because this note is published on Friday, 13 November 2026, after the close, and the next regular trading session is Monday, 16 November 2026. Saturday and Sunday are non-trading days, and there is no exchange holiday on Monday.

Why did gold rose on Friday?

Ans. Gold rose 0.49 percent to Rs 136,891.00 per 10 grams. The specific reason was not independently confirmed.

What levels matter for gold on Monday?

Ans. Support sits near 136,502.00, 136,455.00 and 136,225.00. Resistance sits near 137,587.00.

Is this a buy or sell call?

Ans. No. This is an educational outlook from Univest's research team, not a buy or sell call. Traders should check any view against their own risk plan before acting.