Gold Prediction for Monday, 12 October 2026

This gold prediction for monday follows a Friday, 9 October 2026 session in which gold futures on MCX rose 1.02 percent while Indian equities also rebounded, so the metal and the stock market rose together.

Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, are tracking gold and global cues over the weekend, with the next trading session on Monday, 12 October 2026.

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What Friday Told Us

• Gold traded at Rs 151,132.00 per 10 grams, up 1.02 percent on the 4 December 2026 futures, with a high of 151,700.00 and a low of 150,654.00.
• Nifty 50 rose 1.30 percent, so equities and commodities did not move in a single direction.
• India VIX fell 5.76 percent to 14.40, a calmer reading than Thursday.

Gold Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Gold (4 December 2026 futures) traded between 150,654.00 and 151,700.00 on Friday, against a previous close of 149,610.00, and settled at 151,132.00. On the downside, 150,654.00 and 149,610.00 are the first reference levels to watch if the Friday gains are tested. On the upside, 151,700.00 marks the nearest resistance. Univest's analysts treat these as reference points drawn from Friday's trading range, not as targets.

Trend	Support	Resistance
Positive	150,654.00, 149,610.00	151,700.00

MCX contracts keep trading into the evening, so the last traded price can differ from the figures above by the time you read this. The levels here use the 4 December 2026 contract.

For traders, this gold prediction for monday is a framework for planning risk, with position size and stop levels left to the individual.

Key Drivers for Monday

• Gold rose 1.02 percent on the MCX 4 December contract, settling within a range of 150,654 to 151,700.
• Crude oil eased 1.00 percent on MCX, which removes one inflation worry for bullion.
• Movement in the US Dollar Index, which usually has an inverse relationship with bullion prices on MCX.

Anyone following this gold prediction for monday should keep the next session's opening range in view before reading too much into early moves.

What to Watch Alongside Gold

Titan Company and other jewellery retailers tend to see near-term demand shift when gold prices move sharply, though Univest is not tracking a specific jewellery stock move today. Gold also sits alongside silver, which rose faster on Friday.

How Friday's Broader Session Unfolded

The Nifty 50 closed at 22,520.45, up 1.30 percent, with a high of 22,580.75 and a low of 22,294.75. The Sensex closed at 72,472.33, up 1.23 percent, and the Bank Nifty closed at 55,256.65, up 1.36 percent. India VIX, the market's fear gauge, fell 5.76 percent to 14.40, which usually points to calmer expectations for near-term swings. The Friday gains followed a sell-off in the previous session, so part of the move may be a rebound rather than a fresh trend. The trigger for the broad gain was not independently confirmed.

Univest's analysts suggest treating this gold prediction for monday as a preparation note for Monday, 12 October 2026, rather than a signal that changes over the weekend.

Analyst View for Monday

Kunal Singla suggests that gold can hold above Friday's low near 150,654 if the dollar stays calm, with 151,700 the level to watch on the upside.

Ankit Jaiswal flags that a reversal in the US Dollar Index or bond yields is the main threat to the firm tone, since bullion tends to react quickly to both.

This gold prediction for monday will be most useful when read alongside the support and resistance table above.

Why This Is Written for Monday

Indian equity markets are closed on Saturday and Sunday, so Friday's closing prices remain the last cash-market data until trading resumes on Monday, 12 October 2026. Treat this gold prediction for monday as a briefing to prepare for that session, not a live call that updates over the weekend.

MCX futures trade into Friday night, so global moves late on Friday can shift Monday's opening price.

A fair reading of this gold prediction for monday is that Friday's data sets the context, while Monday's first hour decides how much of it carries forward.

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Risks to This Prediction

• A firmer US Dollar Index over the weekend could pull gold back below Friday's range.
• Any shift in global interest-rate expectations could reverse bullion's gains quickly.
• Thin volumes early Monday can exaggerate short-term moves.

Readers comparing views should note that this gold prediction for monday draws only on Friday's closing numbers and the factors listed here.

As with any gold prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday's trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

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The gold prediction for monday also depends on India VIX, so a fresh rise in volatility would weaken the case made here.

Conclusion

The gold prediction for monday leans firm into 12 October 2026, with global cues and the US Dollar Index as the key variables to track. Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla will revisit this view once Monday's opening trade confirms direction.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the gold prediction for monday?

Ans. It is firm for 12 October 2026, after Gold traded at Rs 151,132.00 per 10 grams on Friday, up 1.02 percent.

Why is this a prediction for Monday and not for Saturday or Sunday?

Ans. Because Indian markets are closed on Saturday and Sunday, so the next regular trading session is Monday, 12 October 2026.

Why did gold rise on Friday?

Ans. Gold rose 1.02 percent on the MCX 4 December contract. The specific trigger was not independently confirmed, and it moved in the same direction as equities rather than against them.

What levels matter for gold on Monday?

Ans. Friday's low of 150,654.00 and the previous close of 149,610.00 sit below the price as support, while Friday's high of 151,700.00 is the nearest resistance.

Is this a buy or sell call?

Ans. No. This is an educational outlook from Univest's research team, not a buy or sell call. Traders should check any view against their own risk plan before acting.