
Aditya Birla Real Estate Share Price Target of Rs 1,345: Anand Rathi Initiates Buy, What the NAV and Pre-Sales Outlook Show
Anand Rathi: Buy, target Rs 1,345 (about 34% upside from Rs 1,004), NAV Rs 150.2 bn. Stock about Rs 1,058.40 on 4 Nov and down 38% in 2026. Emkay Rs 1,750, Jefferies Rs 1,880.
Updated: 4 Nov 2026 • 11:26 am
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Quick Answer
Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target: Anand Rathi initiated coverage on 2 Nov 2026 with Buy and Rs 1,345, about 34% upside from Rs 1,004. Its NAV is Rs 150.2 bn. The stock is down 38% in 2026 and traded near Rs 1,058 on 4 Nov.
The Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target of Rs 1,345 from Anand Rathi has drawn attention to a stock that has fallen sharply this year. The brokerage initiated coverage with a Buy rating and about 34% upside. This guide explains how it reached the target, what other brokerages say and what could go wrong.
Details are from the Anand Rathi initiation of 2 November 2026 as reported, and prices are from NSE and BSE on 4 November 2026. Aditya Birla Real Estate is abbreviated ABREL here. This is an educational summary, not a recommendation.
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Anand Rathi's Call at a Glance
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Rating | Buy (initiation of coverage) |
| Target price | Rs 1,345 |
| Reference price | Rs 1,004 |
| Implied upside | About 34% |
| Price on 4 Nov 2026 | About Rs 1,058.40 (+2.14%) |
| Share price change in 2026 | Down about 38% |
How the Target Was Built: Net Asset Value
The Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target rests on valuation: the brokerage values ABREL on net asset value. It estimates NAV at Rs 150.2 billion, made up of residential projects at Rs 113.5 billion and commercial at Rs 39.5 billion, less net debt of Rs 2.8 billion. A NAV approach values the pipeline of projects on expected cash flows, which suits a developer whose reported profits are lumpy.
| NAV component | Rs billion |
|---|---|
| Residential | 113.5 |
| Commercial | 39.5 |
| Net debt | (2.8) |
| Total NAV | 150.2 |
Operating Outlook
Behind the Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target, Anand Rathi expects FY27 pre-sales to consolidate and recovery from FY28, with management targeting Rs 150 billion of pre-sales by FY29. A tower at the Niyaara project is deferred to FY28. Business development has added about Rs 60 billion of projects year to date, against a pipeline of Rs 600 billion.
| Revenue (Rs billion) | Figure |
|---|---|
| FY26 | 4.1 |
| FY27E | 11.9 |
| FY28E | 16.8 |
| FY29E | 57.6 |
Revenue is estimated to rise sharply by FY29 as projects reach completion, which is typical for a developer that recognises revenue on handover. These are brokerage estimates and depend on launch timing and sales.
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Other Brokerage Views
| Brokerage | View |
|---|---|
| Anand Rathi | Buy, target Rs 1,345 |
| Emkay | Target Rs 1,750 |
| Jefferies | Target Rs 1,880 |
| Motilal Oswal | Buy (August 2026) |
Other Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target views are higher than Anand Rathi's, which suggests a wide range of opinion about how fast the company can scale. The stock's 52-week high was Rs 1,965.30, and the stock now trades below the 52-week low of Rs 1,080.10 reported in September.
Key Risks
| Risk | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Pre-sales recovery | Targets rely on a pickup from FY28 |
| Project delays | Deferral of a tower shows timing risk |
| Real estate cycle | Rate changes and demand affect launches |
| Execution | Rapid scale-up to Rs 150 billion pre-sales is ambitious |
| Estimate risk | Revenue estimates rise more than tenfold by FY29 |
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Conclusion
The Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target of Rs 1,345 reflects NAV-based value and a bet on recovery from FY28. The stock has fallen 38% in 2026 and brokerages disagree on value. Judge the call on execution evidence, not the target alone.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
Frequently Asked Questions on Aditya Birla Real Estate Share Price Target
What is the Aditya Birla Real Estate share price target?
Ans. Anand Rathi initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a target of Rs 1,345, about 34% above its reference price of Rs 1,004. Other brokerages have higher targets, such as Rs 1,750 from Emkay and Rs 1,880 from Jefferies, so views vary.
How did Anand Rathi arrive at Rs 1,345?
Ans. The brokerage used net asset value. It estimated NAV at Rs 150.2 billion, with residential at Rs 113.5 billion, commercial at Rs 39.5 billion and net debt of Rs 2.8 billion subtracted. Per-share NAV and target follow from this.
Why has the Aditya Birla Real Estate share fallen 38% in 2026?
Ans. The sources we checked did not give a single reason. Reports point to expectations of consolidating pre-sales in FY27, delays at one tower and a weak real estate mood. Check company filings and results for the latest explanation.
What is the current Aditya Birla Real Estate share price?
Ans. ABREL traded near Rs 1,058.40, up about 2.1%, on the morning of 4 November 2026 (NSE). Anand Rathi's reference price was Rs 1,004, so the stock has risen about 5% since.
What is the pre-sales target for ABREL?
Ans. Management has targeted pre-sales of Rs 150 billion by FY29. Anand Rathi expects FY27 pre-sales to consolidate and recovery from FY28, and it notes about Rs 60 billion of business development additions so far this year.
What are the 52-week high and low?
Ans. The 52-week high was Rs 1,965.30 and the low was Rs 1,080.10 as of September 2026, according to the data we found. The stock has traded below that older low since, so the low has probably been reset. Check live data for current figures.
What are the risks in Aditya Birla Real Estate stock?
Ans. Risks include delays in project completion, uncertain pre-sales recovery, real estate cycle swings and the large jump in estimated revenue by FY29. A miss on any of these could pull the share price lower.
Is Aditya Birla Real Estate a buy at this price?
Ans. This article cannot say. One brokerage rates it Buy with 34% upside, but the stock has fallen sharply and estimates rely on a recovery. Consider your time horizon and risk tolerance, and consult a SEBI-registered advisor.
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