Nifty Oil and Gas Prediction for Monday: Sensex Monthly Expiry Outlook for 29 June 2026
- June 25, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
Nifty Oil and Gas closed 11,129 on 25 June 2026 (-112.60, -1.00%). Prev 11,241.60. Nifty 24,056.00. VIX 13.05. Sensex monthly expiry 29 June 2026. S1:11,050. R1:11,250.
The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is shaped by today’s close at 11,129 (-112.60, -1.00%) as the Nifty 50 settled at 24,056.00 (+0.14%) and the Sensex closed its weekly options expiry at 77,100.47, above 77,000 max pain. India VIX fell to 13.05, a multi-week low. Nifty Oil and Gas fell as ONGC’s -2.88% collapse from crude oil weakness outweighed the OMC margin benefit, creating a broadly negative sector session. A critical context for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day, which creates wider-than-normal intraday volatility in Sensex-linked names between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM. Additionally, Monday is June month-end, adding institutional rebalancing flows to the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday complexity.
Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Associate Director Kunal Singla have reviewed today’s Nifty Oil and Gas price action, Sensex monthly expiry setup, and global cues to present the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday. The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday for Monday is also shaped by the Iran-US weekend outcome from Switzerland talks.
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Nifty Oil and Gas Prediction for Monday: Today’s Close Summary
- Close and Change: Nifty Oil and Gas settled at 11,129 (-112.60, -1.00%) on 25 June 2026 from 11,241.60. Nifty Oil and Gas fell approximately -1.0% as ONGC collapsed -2.88% on crude oil weakness, with downstream OMCs’ margin benefit unable to offset upstream E&P revenue pressure from falling crude.
- Weekly Context: This week saw three index expiries: Nifty 50 (Tuesday), Bank Nifty (Wednesday), and Sensex weekly (today). The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday starts Monday from a post-expiry-cycle clean slate with VIX at 13.05.
- Monday Events: 29 June 2026 is the Sensex monthly expiry AND June month-end. Both events create institutional flows that will influence the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday throughout Monday. No direct Nifty Oil and Gas F&O expiry on Monday. Sensex monthly expiry on Monday affects Reliance Industries, the index’s largest component and a key Sensex stock, creating Monday afternoon volatility in the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday.
Nifty Oil and Gas Prediction for Monday: Key Levels
Trend: Cautiously Bearish | Support 11,050 | Resistance 11,250
| Level | Nifty Oil and Gas |
|---|---|
| Support 1 | 11,050 |
| Support 2 | 10,950 |
| Resistance 1 | 11,250 |
| Resistance 2 | 11,400 |
The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday from Ankit Jaiswal places 11,050 as the immediate floor for Monday. A sustained move below 11,050 extends the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday bearish trend toward 10,950. Jaiswal emphasises that the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday for Monday carries weekend gap risk: the Iran-US Switzerland talks outcome over the weekend will determine the Monday opening direction and may gap the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday beyond these pre-weekend technical levels.
Nifty Oil and Gas F&O and Sensex Monthly Expiry for 29 June 2026
- Sensex Monthly Expiry Monday: 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry. This adds cross-index volatility between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM that influences the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday through shared Sensex constituents and broad market sentiment. Reduce Nifty Oil and Gas positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.
- July Series Opening: The Nifty Oil and Gas F&O July series begins building fresh OI from Monday. Initial July Put OI concentration near 10,950 in the new series would confirm the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday bullish floor for the coming weeks.
- June Month-End Institutional Flows: Monday is the last trading day of June for most institutional portfolios. June-end rebalancing creates additional sector-specific flows in the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday that may not reflect the underlying technical trend.
Global and Macro Cues for Nifty Oil and Gas Prediction for Monday
- Iran-US Weekend Outcome: Switzerland negotiations (Day 5 on Friday) may produce a confirmed deal or breakdown over the weekend. This is the primary macro swing factor for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday on Monday. Check Saturday-Sunday news before placing Nifty Oil and Gas positions at the Monday open.
- GIFT Nifty Monday Morning: Check GIFT Nifty between 7:00 and 9:15 AM on 29 June 2026. GIFT Nifty above 24,100 supports the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday positive opening; below 23,900 signals weekend risk-off that challenges the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday support levels.
- VIX at 13.05: Multi-week low VIX entering the weekend provides a stable baseline for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday assuming no major weekend macro shock. Low VIX limits the probability of extreme Nifty Oil and Gas intraday moves on Monday.
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Trading Strategy: Nifty Oil and Gas Prediction for Monday
- Check GIFT Nifty 7:00 to 9:15 AM: The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday Monday direction starts with GIFT Nifty. Confirm the opening bias before entering Nifty Oil and Gas positions at the Monday 9:15 AM open.
- 11,050 as Monday Pivot: The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday is constructive above 11,050 and cautious below. Use this as the entry confirmation level for Monday directional trades in Nifty Oil and Gas after the opening range settles at 9:30 AM.
- Reduce Before Sensex Monthly Expiry: Between 2:00 PM and 3:30 PM, Sensex monthly expiry creates cross-index volatility. Reduce Nifty Oil and Gas leveraged positions before 2:00 PM on Monday for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday.
- July Series Signal Watch: Monitor July Nifty Oil and Gas F&O Put OI build on Monday. Strong Put OI at 10,950 or below in the new series confirms the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday bullish floor for the coming month.
What Data Indicates for nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday
The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday is supported by VIX at 13.05 entering the week and Sensex weekly expiry settling at 77,100.47 above 77,000 max pain. Ankit Jaiswal notes that low VIX and clean expiry resolution historically support range-bound to positive outcomes for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday in the following session. The primary risk factor for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday on Monday is the Iran-US weekend binary event.
Kunal Singla observes that DII buying of Rs 66,215 crore MTD in June provides structural support for all sector indices including Nifty Oil and Gas. June month-end DII portfolio positioning on the last Monday may add buying pressure that supports the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday above 11,050 even if FIIs sell on month-end redemptions.
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Risks to Nifty Oil and Gas Prediction for Monday
- Iran Weekend Collapse: A breakdown in Switzerland would create a Monday gap-down risk that challenges the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday’s 11,050 support on open.
- Iran Deal Confirmation: A confirmed Iran deal over the weekend would further depress upstream E&P stocks (ONGC, Oil India) and push the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday below 11,050, though downstream OMCs might benefit partially.
- Sensex Monthly Expiry Cascade: A sharp Sensex monthly expiry move on Monday afternoon could create sympathy volatility in Nifty Oil and Gas that temporarily breaks the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday support level between 2:00 and 3:30 PM.
- FII June-End Redemptions: Month-end FII selling on the last Monday of June could pressure the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday below 11,050 even if global cues are positive.
Stocks to Watch on Monday, 29 June 2026
Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla of Univest flag three stocks for Monday 29 June 2026. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry day and June month-end, adding specific volatility to Sensex heavyweights in the 2:00 to 3:30 PM expiry window.
| Stock | CMP (25 June 2026) | Entry Zone | Target | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICICI Bank | Rs 1,387.50 | Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 | Rs 1,412 to Rs 1,420 | Rs 1,368 |
| HDFC Bank | Rs 796.30 | Rs 793 to Rs 799 | Rs 812 to Rs 818 | Rs 783 |
| Reliance Industries | Rs 1,318.10 | Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320 | Rs 1,338 to Rs 1,345 | Rs 1,300 |
ICICI Bank at Rs 1,387.50 (+1.01% on 25 June 2026) leads momentum into Monday. Jaiswal flags entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392 targeting Rs 1,412. As a top Sensex constituent, ICICI Bank will see direct Sensex monthly expiry positioning on Monday. HDFC Bank at Rs 796.30 is the largest Sensex weight and the primary Sensex monthly expiry anchor for Monday. Singla flags entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812, stop Rs 783. Reliance Industries at Rs 1,318.10 benefits from continued crude weakness reducing downstream costs. Entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338, stop Rs 1,300.
Conclusion
The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday for 29 June 2026 is cautiously bearish with support at 11,050 and resistance at 11,250. Ankit Jaiswal notes that VIX at 13.05 and the clean Sensex weekly expiry at 77,100.47 provide a stable base for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday. Sensex monthly expiry and June month-end on Monday are the primary intraday complexities. Check GIFT Nifty before 9:15 AM and Iran-US weekend news before placing Nifty Oil and Gas positions on Monday.
Disclaimer: Data and figures are sourced from publicly available information. Please verify with NSE (nseindia.com), BSE (bseindia.com) and MCX (mcxindia.com) before investing. Investments are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs
What is the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday, 29 June 2026?
Ans. The nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday is cautiously bearish for 29 June 2026 with support at 11,050 and resistance at 11,250. Nifty Oil and Gas closed at 11,129 (-1.00%) on 25 June 2026. Sensex monthly expiry on Monday and Iran-US weekend outcome are the primary swing factors.
How does Sensex monthly expiry affect nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday on Monday?
Ans. BSE Sensex monthly expiry on 29 June 2026 creates cross-index volatility between 2:00 and 3:30 PM that can temporarily breach the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday support and resistance levels. Reduce Nifty Oil and Gas positions before the Sensex monthly expiry window.
What is Nifty Oil and Gas support for Monday 29 June 2026?
Ans. Support at 11,050 and 10,950 for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday on Monday. Resistance at 11,250 and 11,400. Iran-US weekend outcome may gap the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday opening beyond these pre-weekend technical levels.
Is 29 June 2026 a special expiry day?
Ans. Yes. 29 June 2026 is the BSE Sensex monthly options expiry AND June month-end, making it one of the more complex sessions for the nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday. Expect wider intraday swings in all indices including Nifty Oil and Gas on Monday.
What stocks to watch alongside nifty oil and gas prediction for Monday on Monday?
Ans. ICICI Bank (entry Rs 1,382 to Rs 1,392, target Rs 1,412), HDFC Bank (Sensex monthly expiry anchor, entry Rs 793 to Rs 799, target Rs 812), and Reliance (entry Rs 1,314 to Rs 1,320, target Rs 1,338) are the Monday stock picks.
