Natural Gas Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

September 25, 2026
Posted by: Kunal Singla
Category: Uncategorized

Natural Gas closed at Rs 312.30 per mmBtu on Friday, down 4.0 percent. Nifty 50 rose 0.34% to 23,140.50. Markets shut Saturday and Sunday.

Quick Answer

This natural gas prediction for monday leans soft into Monday’s session, as the contract fell even more sharply than crude oil today, both reversing Thursday’s spike together as broader energy complex sentiment cooled. Since Indian markets are shut Saturday and Sunday, Friday’s close carries through to Monday. Traders should treat the levels below as a working framework rather than a fixed call.

As with any natural gas prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday’s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

This natural gas prediction for monday follows a Friday, 25 September 2026 session in which broader equity markets extended their recovery, with Nifty 50 gaining 0.34 percent to 23,140.50 as India VIX eased 4.18 percent to a calmer 12.16, its second straight session of easing after Thursday’s sharp spike, with Nifty Auto leading equity gains even as crude oil and natural gas both reversed sharply lower.

This natural gas prediction for monday is built from Friday’s verified closing data, since markets are shut over the weekend.

Univest’s research desk, led by Ankit Jaiswal and Kunal Singla, is tracking global cues closely here, since commodity prices on MCX often move in step with international benchmarks and the US Dollar Index.

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Nothing in this natural gas prediction for monday should be treated as a guarantee, only a working framework for Monday’s session.

Also read – Stock Market Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

Table of Contents

Friday’s Recap

Natural Gas closed at Rs 312.30 per mmBtu, down 4.0 percent on the 27 October 2026 futures.
Nifty 50 gained 0.34 percent, extending its recovery from Thursday’s sharp sell-off.
India VIX eased to a calmer level, its second straight session of easing.

This natural gas prediction for monday should be read alongside the support and resistance levels detailed above.

Natural Gas Prediction for Monday: Key Levels

Univest’s desk is watching whether natural gas can extend its soft tone into 28 September 2026. A sustained move in crude oil prices and the US Dollar Index over the weekend will be the main swing factor, since both influence MCX pricing directly.

Key Drivers for Monday

Crude oil fell sharply, down 2.79 percent on mcx, reversing thursday’s spike as the risk premium tied to earlier geopolitical tensions unwound.
India vix eased 4.18 percent to a calmer 12.16, its second straight session of easing after thursday’s sharp spike, with nifty auto leading equity gains even as crude oil and natural gas both reversed sharply lower.
Movement in the US Dollar Index, which typically has an inverse relationship with metal and bullion prices on MCX.

Univest’s desk will revisit this natural gas prediction for monday once Monday’s opening trade confirms direction.

Stocks to Watch Alongside This Commodity

Natural gas price moves have a more limited direct read-through to listed Indian equities compared with crude oil, though city gas distribution names can see sentiment shifts.

Why This Uses Friday’s Data

Indian markets are closed Saturday and Sunday, so Friday’s closing prices remain the last available data until trading resumes on Monday, 28 September 2026. Treat this prediction as a weekend briefing rather than a live call.

Traders relying on this natural gas prediction for monday should still size positions to their own risk appetite.

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Risks to This Prediction

A sharp reversal in crude oil prices over the weekend could change the direction implied here.
Any unexpected US Federal Reserve commentary could move the US Dollar Index and, in turn, MCX prices.
Thin volumes early Monday can exaggerate short-term moves.

As with any natural gas prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday’s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

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Conclusion

This natural gas prediction for monday leans soft into 28 September 2026, with crude oil prices and global cues as the key variables to track. Traders should size positions carefully given the current volatility backdrop.

This natural gas prediction for monday is built from Friday’s verified closing data, since markets are shut over the weekend.

Also read – Nifty 50 Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural gas prediction for monday?

Ans. It points to a soft tone on 28 September 2026, after Natural Gas closed at Rs 312.30 per mmBtu on Friday, down 4.0 percent.

Why is this a prediction for Monday and not tomorrow?

Ans. Because Indian markets don’t trade Saturday or Sunday, Friday’s close is the last available data until trading resumes Monday, 28 September 2026.

Why did Natural Gas move lower today?

Ans. Natural Gas moved lower today mainly because the contract fell even more sharply than crude oil today, both reversing Thursday’s spike together as broader energy complex sentiment cooled.

What is the natural gas price on MCX right now?

Ans. Natural Gas was trading at Rs 312.30 per mmBtu on the 27 October 2026 futures as of Friday’s close.

Why did natural gas fall even more sharply than crude oil today?

Ans. Natural gas fell 4.00 percent today, even more sharply than crude oil’s 2.79 percent decline, both reversing Thursday’s spike together as broader energy sentiment cooled.

Is now a good time to trade based on this outlook?

Ans. Whether to trade on this outlook depends on individual risk appetite. Univest’s analysts suggest tracking crude oil prices and the US Dollar Index before taking a position for Monday’s session.

MCX Natural Gas

Author: Kunal Singla

Kunal Singla is the Associate Director - Research at Univest, leading quantitative equity research, intraday trading setups, and derivatives strategy. With 4+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he combines rigorous quantitative methods with classical technical analysis to build high-conviction research frameworks for retail and advisory clients. He holds an MSc from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi — one of India's most selective institutions — and has completed the Certificate in Quantitative Finance (CQF), a globally recognised programme covering derivatives pricing, risk modelling, machine learning for finance, and advanced portfolio theory. This combination places him in a small group of Indian analysts with both deep academic training in quantitative methods and SEBI-recognised research credentials. Kunal holds seven SEBI-recognised NISM certifications spanning research, derivatives, portfolio management, and securities operations: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-XXI-A (Portfolio Managers), Series-XVI (Commodity Derivatives), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors), and Series-I (Currency Derivatives). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Kunal leads research inputs for Pro Lite, Pro Super, Pro Gold, and Pro Commodity advisory services, alongside publishing intraday stock picks on Univest Blogs.