Lodha Developers Share Price Target 2027: Base and Bull Targets Built on FY26 Earnings
- October 9, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: Market
Lodha Developers share price Rs 1,068.00 (9 October 2026). Base target Rs 1,281, bull Rs 1,535, downside risk Rs 854. PE 25.85. 52W range Rs 650.80 to Rs 1,344.95.
Quick Answer
The Lodha Developers share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,281, about 19.9% above the current price of Rs 1,068.00. The bull case is Rs 1,535, and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 854. The base case assumes earnings per share grow 20.0% a year, a cap applied because the FY24 to FY26 pace was 46.4%, with the stock holding its PE of 25.85. These are model-based estimates built from reported financials, not guaranteed outcomes.
Investors weighing a Lodha Developers target price for 2027 should start with where the stock sits today. At Rs 1,068.00 on 9 October 2026, it is 20.6% below its 52-week high of Rs 1,344.95 and 64.1% above its 52-week low of Rs 650.80. That range spans 107% from low to high, so the entry point matters as much as the Lodha Developers price forecast itself.
This article builds the Lodha Developers share price target from reported numbers only: five years of annual results, the last five quarters, the latest shareholding pattern and current valuation ratios from company filings and exchange data. Each scenario shows its assumptions, so you can see exactly how the Rs 1,281 base case and the Rs 1,535 bull case were reached, along with a downside risk level of Rs 854.
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Lodha Developers Stock Analysis: Company Overview and Key Stats
Lodha Developers (NSE: LODHA) has a market capitalisation of Rs 1,06,712 crore. In FY26 it reported revenue of Rs 17,120 crore and net profit of Rs 3,431 crore. The table collects the figures the Lodha Developers share price target is built on.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | Lodha Developers |
| NSE Ticker | LODHA |
| CMP (9 October 2026) | Rs 1,068.00 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 1,344.95 |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 650.80 |
| Market Cap | Rs 1,06,712 crore |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 25.85 |
| Industry PE | 32.08 |
| Price to Book | 4.67 |
| Return on Equity | 14.72% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.42 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 41.31 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.40% |
| 12-Month Base Target | Rs 1,281 |
| Bull Case | Rs 1,535 |
| Downside Risk Level (not a target) | Rs 854 |
Why Is Lodha Developers Share Price Target Set at Rs 1,281 for 2027?
The base-case Lodha Developers stock target of Rs 1,281 applies a PE multiple of 25.85 to a forward EPS estimate of Rs 49.57. That EPS assumes 20.0% yearly growth, the pace from FY24 to FY26, and puts the target 19.9% above the current price. The bull case adds faster earnings growth and a higher multiple, while the downside risk level assumes flat earnings and a lower multiple.
Earnings Growth Behind the Lodha Developers Target Price: Five Years of Results
Lodha Developers grew revenue from Rs 9,525 crore in FY22 to Rs 17,120 crore in FY26, a compound annual growth rate of 15.8%. Net profit grew faster, from Rs 1,208 crore to Rs 3,431 crore (29.8% a year), which shows margin gains did part of the work and not just higher sales.
| Financial Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Dividend per Share (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 9,525.30 | 1,208.50 | 26.25 | 0.00 |
| FY23 | 9,611.20 | 489.50 | 5.05 | 2.00 |
| FY24 | 10,469.50 | 1,554.20 | 15.99 | 2.25 |
| FY25 | 14,169.80 | 2,766.60 | 27.67 | 4.25 |
| FY26 | 17,119.50 | 3,430.70 | 34.25 | 4.25 |
FY26 revenue growth was 20.8%, faster than the four-year average of 15.8%, and net profit moved up 24.0%. EPS rose from Rs 15.99 in FY24 to Rs 34.25 in FY26. The FY27 outlook depends on whether that EPS estimate keeps compounding.
Margins and the Latest Quarter
Lodha Developers converted 20.0% of FY26 revenue into net profit, against 19.5% in FY25, within a five-year range of 5.1% to 20.0%. EBITDA margin was 31.4% in FY26 versus 30.9% in FY25.
In the June 2026 quarter, revenue was Rs 5,097 crore, up 40.6% from the same quarter a year earlier, while net profit of Rs 1,373 crore was up 103.4%. EBITDA came in at Rs 2,022 crore, up 81.0% year on year. The next quarterly result is the first test of whether the earnings assumption holds.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Debt to equity stands at 0.42, and shareholders’ equity grew from Rs 12,162 crore in FY22 to Rs 23,429 crore in FY26. Operating cash flow in FY26 was Rs 959.30 crore against capital expenditure of Rs 250.20 crore, leaving free cash flow of Rs 709.10 crore, or 0.7% of the current market capitalisation. In FY25 free cash flow was Rs 1,091 crore.
Valuation Check for the Lodha Developers Stock Target: PE, Price to Book and ROE
At a PE of 25.85 against an industry PE of 32.08, Lodha Developers trades at a discount to its industry. Price to book is 4.67 on a book value of Rs 228.56 per share, and return on equity is 14.72%. A PE of 25.85 equals an earnings yield of 3.9%, and the FY26 dividend of Rs 4.25 per share gives a yield of 0.40%.
Shareholding Pattern and Institutional Holding
Promoters held 70.31% of Lodha Developers in June 2026, and promoter holding fell from 71.90% in June 2025 to 70.31% in June 2026. Foreign institutional investors (FII) held 23.65% and domestic institutions (DII) held 3.57%, which puts total institutional holding at 27.22%. FII holding fell from 24.89% in June 2025 to 23.65% in June 2026. Public shareholders own the remaining 2.47%. A meaningful institutional holding adds a layer of research coverage and trading depth.
Lodha Developers Share Price Targets for the Short Term and 12 Months
Short Term Lodha Developers Stock Target Levels: Technical Setup
At Rs 1,068.00 on 9 October 2026, Lodha Developers trades below its 50-day simple moving average of Rs 1,186.61 and below its 200-day exponential moving average of Rs 1,089.91. The 14-day RSI reads 34.6, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line sits below its signal line. The nearest resistance level is Rs 1,089.91 (200-day exponential moving average) and the nearest support is Rs 650.80 (52-week low). A sustained move above Rs 1,089.91 would improve the short-term setup, while a close below Rs 650.80 would shift attention to the next support.
12 Month Lodha Developers Target Price for 2027
The 12-month target for Lodha Developers is Rs 1,281: forward EPS of Rs 49.57 at a PE of 25.85. That is 19.9% above Rs 1,068.00. It would still leave the stock 4.8% below its 52-week high of Rs 1,344.95.
How EPS Growth and PE Multiple Change the Lodha Developers Target Price
| EPS Growth | PE 20.68 | PE 25.85 | PE 29.73 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (EPS Rs 41.31) | Rs 854 | Rs 1,068 | Rs 1,228 |
| 20.0% (EPS Rs 49.57) | Rs 1,025 | Rs 1,281 | Rs 1,474 |
| 25.0% (EPS Rs 51.64) | Rs 1,068 | Rs 1,335 | Rs 1,535 |
Each cell multiplies the forward EPS estimate by the PE shown. Reading across a row shows what a de-rating or re-rating does to the Lodha Developers price forecast, and reading down a column shows what earnings growth is worth at a fixed multiple.
Bull Case and Downside Risk for Lodha Developers Stock Target in 2027
Bull Case Rs 1,535
The bull case Lodha Developers price target needs EPS growth of 25.0%, which lifts forward EPS to Rs 51.64, and a PE multiple that rises 15% to 29.73. That gives Rs 1,535, 43.7% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 1,344.95, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high.
Downside Risk Level Rs 854
The downside risk level is not a target. It assumes EPS stays flat at Rs 41.31 and the PE falls 20% to 20.68. That gives Rs 854, 20.0% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 650.80.
| Scenario | EPS Growth | PE Multiple | Price (Rs) | Change vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | 25.0% | 29.73 | Rs 1,535 | +43.7% |
| Base Case | 20.0% | 25.85 | Rs 1,281 | +19.9% |
| Downside Risk | 0.0% | 20.68 | Rs 854 | -20.0% |
Key Risks to the Lodha Developers Target Price for 2027
Growth Slowdown Risk for the Lodha Developers Price Target
Revenue in the June 2026 quarter was up 40.6% year on year, and FY26 revenue growth was 20.8%. If growth slows from here, the EPS estimate behind the Lodha Developers stock target will need revising.
Liquidity and Size Risk
Lodha Developers has a market capitalisation of Rs 1,06,712 crore. Institutional holding is 27.22%, and promoters hold 70.31%. A company of this size trades with deep liquidity, so entry and exit are rarely a problem, and the larger risk is paying too much for slow earnings growth.
Valuation and Margin Risk
Net margin was 20.0% in FY26, and a squeeze from higher costs or weaker pricing would hit earnings first. At a PE of 25.85 versus an industry PE of 32.08, a de-rating toward the downside-risk PE of 20.68 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
Market and Technical Risk
The stock trades 20.6% below its 52-week high, with an RSI of 34.6 and a MACD reading below its signal line. Broader market weakness can override company fundamentals in the short term.
How to Invest in Lodha Developers
Start with the live price and volume. Any Lodha Developers share price target is only as current as the data behind it, and the data here is as of 9 October 2026, so refresh the Rs 1,068.00 price before acting on any level.
Next, review the fundamentals yourself. The Univest Screener lets you check Lodha Developers’ PE, ROE, debt and shareholding in one place.
Check Lodha Developers fundamentals on the Univest Screener
Then compare the three Lodha Developers target price scenarios with your own view. If you expect EPS growth below 20.0%, the base case is too optimistic for you; if you expect more, the bull case deserves weight.
Decide your position size and exit levels before you buy. The support and resistance levels above can serve as reference points, but they are not recommendations.
Finally, place the order through a SEBI-registered broker or the Univest app, and review the position after each quarterly result. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor if you are unsure.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Lodha Developers live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Conclusion
The Lodha Developers share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,281 in the base case, with Rs 1,535 as the bull case. The support for that view is arithmetic you can check: EPS grew 46.4% a year over FY24 to FY26, and the stock trades at a PE of 25.85. The risks are equally concrete, including a stock that sits 20.6% below its 52-week high and a downside scenario that cuts the price 20% if earnings stall. Use these numbers as a framework, check them against the latest filings, and size any position to your own risk appetite.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Lodha Developers Share Price Target 2027
What is the Lodha Developers share price target for 2027?
Ans. The base-case Lodha Developers share price target for 2027 is Rs 1,281, with Rs 1,535 as the bull case. The downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 854. These are model estimates from reported earnings and the current PE, not guaranteed outcomes.
What is the Lodha Developers share price today?
Ans. As of 9 October 2026, 3:29 PM IST, Lodha Developers trades at Rs 1,068.00, up 0.23% on the day. The 52-week range is Rs 650.80 to Rs 1,344.95.
Is Lodha Developers a buy or sell at the current price?
Ans. The data is mixed rather than one-sided: EPS has grown 46.4% a year over FY24 to FY26, but the stock is 20.6% below its 52-week high. Whether Lodha Developers fits your portfolio depends on your time horizon and risk appetite, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing. This article is not investment advice.
What are the bull case target and downside risk level for Lodha Developers shares?
Ans. The bull case target is Rs 1,535, which assumes 25.0% EPS growth and a PE of 29.73. The downside risk level is Rs 854, which assumes flat EPS and a PE of 20.68. It marks a risk, not a target.
What are the main risks to the Lodha Developers price target?
Ans. The main risks are slower revenue growth, a small market capitalisation of Rs 1,06,712 crore, a PE de-rating and short-term weakness in the broader market. Each is covered in the risk section above.
What is the PE ratio of Lodha Developers and how does it compare with the industry?
Ans. The PE ratio of Lodha Developers is 25.85 against an industry PE of 32.08. Price to book is 4.67 and return on equity is 14.72%. The base case in the Lodha Developers price target holds this PE constant.
Who owns Lodha Developers, and what is the promoter holding?
Ans. Promoters held 70.31% of Lodha Developers in June 2026. FII held 23.65%, DII held 3.57% and the public held 2.47%.
What were Lodha Developers’ latest quarterly results?
Ans. In the June 2026 quarter, Lodha Developers reported revenue of Rs 5,097 crore (up 40.6% year on year) and net profit of Rs 1,373 crore (up 103.4%).
