Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow, Tuesday 4 August 2026: Index Closes at 78,759 Above 50 DMA as Iran Peace Optimism Lifts All Sectors

Sensex Monday close: 78,759.40, up 664 pts (+0.85%). 50 DMA: ~77,400. RSI: ~61. VIX: 11.55. Day range: 78,155-78,870. Support 78,300. Resistance 79,000.

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Tuesday 4 August 2026, is bullish after the Sensex closed at 78,759.40 on Monday, gaining 664 points or 0.85 percent, its sharpest daily gain in weeks. The 30-share index settled near its session high of 78,870, above its 50-day moving average of approximately 77,400 and well clear of its 200-day moving average at around 75,200. The daily RSI has advanced to approximately 61 and the MACD is in positive crossover territory with a widening histogram, giving the Sensex prediction for tomorrow one of the cleanest bullish technical setups of the year. The trigger was US President Donald Trump’s confirmation of Iran-US peace negotiations, which sent Brent crude crashing over 6 percent to around $82 a barrel and lifted PSU banks, FMCG, auto, and aviation stocks simultaneously. With Bharti Airtel and ONGC Q1 FY27 results due on Tuesday and the RBI MPC meeting continuing through to Wednesday’s policy announcement, Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, present the complete Sensex prediction for tomorrow covering levels, constituents to watch, and the macro triggers that will determine whether 79,000 is breached on Tuesday.

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Monday’s Sensex Session: Data Behind the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Of the 30 Sensex constituents, 24 closed in the green on Monday. PSU banks were the standout outperformers alongside FMCG and aviation. Nifty FMCG gained on lower crude input cost expectations. Ankit Jaiswal notes that closing 24 out of 30 Sensex stocks in the green is one of the broadest breadth readings the 30-stock index has seen this year, and broad breadth within the Sensex has historically led to sustained follow-through sessions, directly supporting the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: Technical Levels

Trend: Bullish. Above 20 DMA, 50 DMA and 200 DMA. Candle closed near session high.

Ankit Jaiswal observes that the Sensex prediction for tomorrow is technically upgraded relative to the prior week’s view. Monday’s close at 78,759 is above the 20 DMA at 78,050 for the third consecutive session, confirming that the short-term trend has turned positive. More importantly, he notes that the Sensex closed near its Monday high of 78,870, indicating no meaningful intraday selling into the close, a bullish quality signal for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. The 79,000 level is the immediate psychological and chart resistance for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, representing the April 2026 swing high that has capped multiple intraday pushes over the past three months. A daily close above 79,000 on Tuesday would signal completion of a major base formation in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow and project a move toward 79,500 and 80,000. On the downside, Ankit Jaiswal flags 78,300 as the first cushion and the 20 DMA at 78,050 as the key moving average support for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, adding that a dip to 78,050 should be treated as a buying opportunity by investors tracking this Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Sensex 30 Constituents Driving the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Ankit Jaiswal breaks down the key constituent dynamics shaping the Sensex prediction for tomorrow by sector weight.

Financials (heaviest sector in Sensex): HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Axis Bank all closed in the green on Monday, with HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank leading private sector banking gains. PSU bank representatives SBI closed up over 2.1 percent, the biggest point contributor to the Sensex among financials on Monday. Kunal Singla notes that broad-based financial sector gains across both PSU and private banking, as seen on Monday, are the strongest possible backdrop for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, since financials carry approximately 38 percent of Sensex weight.

Technology: TCS and Infosys traded mixed during Monday’s session as Nifty IT underperformed the broader indices. Ankit Jaiswal notes that IT sector non-participation does not negate the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s bullish case but does limit the ceiling. A recovery in TCS or Infosys on Tuesday would meaningfully broaden the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s upside toward 79,000 and beyond.

Energy: Reliance Industries gained 0.7 percent on Monday. ONGC’s direction on Tuesday after Q1 FY27 results will drive the energy sector contribution to the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, with falling crude creating a mixed read for the sector.

Global Cues and Macro Context for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

• Crude Oil and Iran Talks: Brent crude at approximately $82 per barrel is the primary macro driver behind the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Lower crude directly benefits the Sensex’s FMCG, aviation and banking constituents through lower input costs, better margins, and reduced NPA risks in commodity-linked corporate books. Ankit Jaiswal considers sustained crude below $85 the critical macro condition that makes the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s 79,000 target achievable in the near term.
• US Markets: The S&P 500 near 7,524, supported by Amazon’s strong cloud results and Alphabet’s rebound on July 31, provides positive global risk-on context for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Stable US futures on Tuesday morning would confirm the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s constructive setup at Tuesday’s open.
• Rupee and FII Flows: USD/INR closed at 95.59 with the dollar easing. A stable or stronger rupee reduces FII hedging costs, and Monday’s provisional FII buying of Rs 918 crore was the first meaningful day of net foreign buying in several weeks. Kunal Singla views continued FII buying on Tuesday as the variable most likely to push the Sensex toward the 79,000 resistance in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Key Events for the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

• Bharti Airtel Q1 FY27 Results: Bharti Airtel reports Tuesday. A strong ARPU and subscriber growth print would lift Airtel’s Sensex contribution and support the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s upper range.
• ONGC Q1 FY27 Results: ONGC reports Tuesday. Given crude’s fall, any realization guidance cut would weigh on ONGC within the Sensex and modestly cap the Sensex prediction for tomorrow near 79,000.
• RBI MPC Day 2: No decision is due Tuesday; Governor Sanjay Malhotra announces on Wednesday. The MPC is a tail risk for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, not a primary driver, but traders will stay cautious about large overnight exposures.
• Manufacturing PMI (July 2026): Final data releases Tuesday. A reading above 55 reinforces the domestic growth picture and provides additional support for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow in consumer and industrial stocks.

Stocks to Watch in the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

Univest analysts have flagged three Sensex constituent stocks based on Monday’s close. These are observation levels for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

1. TCS: TCS closed Monday near Rs 3,848, with IT underperforming the broader Sensex. As the second largest Sensex constituent by weight, TCS recovery on Tuesday would be the most impactful single stock contribution to the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Ankit Jaiswal flags an observation zone of Rs 3,825 to Rs 3,848, a target of Rs 3,930 and a stop at Rs 3,798 in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

2. Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance closed Monday near Rs 934, gaining 1.8 percent as NBFC stocks tracked banking sector strength. Kunal Singla highlights an observation zone of Rs 924 to Rs 934, a target of Rs 965 and a stop at Rs 912 in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, noting that Bajaj Finance’s strong price action is consistent with the broader financial services tailwind.

3. SBI: SBI closed Monday near Rs 855, up 2.1 percent as the PSU bank sector led Monday’s Sensex advance. Ankit Jaiswal suggests an observation zone of Rs 848 to Rs 855, a target of Rs 882 and a stop at Rs 835 as a key watch stock in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, adding that any continuation of PSU bank momentum on Tuesday would push SBI meaningfully higher and contribute the most Sensex points of any single stock.

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Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow: What Traders Should Watch

1. GIFT Nifty before 9 AM: The GIFT Nifty level at 9:00 AM IST Tuesday is the first signal for whether the Sensex opens near 78,800 or gaps down. Ankit Jaiswal recommends this as the first check for aligning with the Sensex prediction for tomorrow before any position is initiated.
2. 78,300 as the pivot: Kunal Singla recommends treating 78,300 as the line between continuation and reassessment in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Long exposure is valid above 78,300; a sustained break below it would indicate that Monday’s gains are not holding and the Sensex prediction for tomorrow has turned neutral.
3. Watch 79,000 for the breakout: In the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, 79,000 is both a psychological level and a chart resistance cluster. Ankit Jaiswal advises treating a 15-minute candle close above 79,000 with above-average volume on Tuesday as the signal to add upside exposure in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, targeting 79,500.
4. Reduce overnight exposure before Tuesday’s close: With RBI’s Wednesday announcement, Kunal Singla advises booking at least half of Sensex-related overnight positions before 3:30 PM Tuesday in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

Risks to the Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

• Iran reversal: Crude back above $90 overnight would gap the Sensex down through 78,300 and challenge 78,050 support in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.
• Earnings miss from Airtel or ONGC: Combined index-weight disappointment would trim 200 to 400 Sensex points from the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s opening move and delay the 79,000 breakout.
• IT sector continued weakness: TCS and Infosys non-participation combined with a 38 percent financial sector weight would limit Sensex gains to the 78,800 to 79,000 range in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow without expanding the upside.
• Pre-RBI profit booking: Intraday selling into the 79,000 zone before Wednesday’s MPC decision could cap the Sensex prediction for tomorrow and create an intraday reversal from resistance.

Conclusion

The Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Tuesday 4 August 2026, is bullish. The index closed at 78,759.40 on Monday, gaining 664 points with 24 out of 30 constituents in the green, above the 50 DMA at 77,400, with RSI at 61 and India VIX at 11.55. Ankit Jaiswal of Univest notes that the quality of Monday’s close, near the session high with broad constituent participation, is among the most constructive he has seen in recent months and upgrades the probability of the Sensex prediction for tomorrow extending toward 79,000 on Tuesday. Kunal Singla adds that FII provisional net buying of Rs 918 crore alongside DII buying of Rs 1,747 crore gives the Sensex prediction for tomorrow a dual institutional support structure that has historically been associated with sustained rally phases. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow hinges on whether the 79,000 level is cleared on a closing basis Tuesday: a close above it signals a three-month base breakout and targets 79,500 to 80,000. Watch GIFT Nifty at 9 AM IST and Bharti Airtel and ONGC first-hour prices as the earliest real-time reads on the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

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FAQs on Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow

What is the Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Tuesday 4 August 2026?

Ans. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow, Tuesday 4 August 2026, is bullish. The Sensex closed Monday at 78,759.40, up 664 points or 0.85 percent, near the session high of 78,870, with RSI at 61 and 24 of 30 constituents closing in the green. The Sensex prediction for tomorrow places the trading range at 78,300 to 79,200, with 79,000 as the key psychological resistance and 78,300 as the immediate support.

Which analysts prepared the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest, prepared the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Ankit Jaiswal covers the Sensex chart structure, constituent breadth and moving average signals while Kunal Singla provides FII flow analysis and the macro framework for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.

What is the Sensex’s 50 DMA in the prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The Sensex’s 50-day moving average is approximately 77,400 in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow. Monday’s close at 78,759 is 1,359 points above this level, a comfortable bullish buffer. A fall to the 50 DMA would require a decline of over 1,300 points and is not the base case in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow under the current Iran peace optimism and institutional flow environment.

What is the key resistance in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The immediate resistance in the Sensex prediction for tomorrow is 79,000, which represents the April 2026 swing high and the psychological round number that has capped multiple intraday pushes over the past three months. A daily close above 79,000 in Tuesday’s session would confirm the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s breakout scenario and project a target of 79,500 to 80,000 in subsequent sessions.

How does Iran-US peace impact the Sensex prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The Iran-US negotiation announcement on Monday sent Brent crude below $82, directly benefiting the Sensex through lower input costs for FMCG constituents, reduced NPA risks for banking constituents, and improved aviation margins. Sustained crude below $85 is the macro condition Ankit Jaiswal considers essential for the Sensex prediction for tomorrow’s 79,000 target. Any overnight breakdown in talks that pushes crude back above $90 would be the primary risk to the Sensex prediction for tomorrow.