Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow, 21 July 2026: Nifty Expiry, Bank Results Fallout and Top Stocks to Watch

The stock market prediction for tomorrow, 21 July 2026, points to a volatile, headline driven session after Indian equities pared a chunk of their morning losses to close only modestly lower. The Nifty 50 settled near 24,241, down 0.38 percent, recovering well off its intraday low of 24,135.85. The Sensex closed 0.57 percent lower at 77,708.52, also well above its worst level of the day. The session opened sharply lower after HDFC Bank and Axis Bank both fell more than 5 percent on weaker than expected net interest margins in their weekend results, while Brent crude crossed 90 dollars a barrel on escalating Iran-US tensions.

This stock market prediction for tomorrow is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest. Both analysts combine index technicals, institutional flows, and global cues to build a complete tomorrow market prediction for traders and investors, with tomorrow’s Nifty weekly expiry adding an extra layer of complexity to this session.

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Today’s Market Recap Before the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

Any reliable stock market prediction for tomorrow starts with what happened today:

• Nifty and Sensex claw back a chunk of the morning fall: Nifty 50 closed near 24,241, down 0.38 percent, well off its intraday low of 24,135.85. Sensex ended 0.57 percent lower at 77,708.52, after falling as much as 706 points earlier in the session.
• Banking results split the sector sharply: Bank Nifty closed down 0.94 percent, an improvement from its steeper midday fall, as Nifty PSU Bank surged 2.74 percent even as Nifty Private Bank stayed down 2.2 percent, dragged by HDFC Bank and Axis Bank, both closing over 5 percent lower on weaker net interest margins.
• Defensives hold their gains: Nifty Pharma closed up 1.37 percent, moderating slightly from its midday high but still the day’s strongest major sector alongside PSU banks.

Nifty View in the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

Trend: Cautious but stabilising. Support levels: 24,135, 24,000, 23,900. Resistance levels: 24,266, 24,367, 24,479.

The Nifty side of the stock market prediction for tomorrow looks somewhat steadier after today’s recovery off the lows. The index closed above its 50 day moving average of 23,830 and SuperTrend support of 23,768, with the daily RSI actually improving to 59.4 by the close despite the negative day. In his stock market prediction for tomorrow, Ankit Jaiswal notes that today’s bounce off 24,135.85 is an encouraging sign heading into tomorrow’s expiry, though a clean reclaim of Friday’s high at 24,367 is still needed to confirm the breakout is fully intact.

Bank Nifty in the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

Trend: Recovering, but private banks still under pressure. Support levels: 57,533, 56,750. Resistance levels: 58,111, 58,600.

Bank Nifty closed down 0.94 percent, an improvement from its sharper midday decline of nearly 1.5 percent. In his stock market prediction for tomorrow, Kunal Singla observes that the daily RSI recovered to 53.3 by the close and the MACD histogram, while still negative at minus 80.6, improved through the session. He flags that today’s divergence, PSU banks surging while HDFC Bank and Axis Bank stayed weak, is likely to continue shaping stock specific moves tomorrow rather than resolving into a single sector direction.

Global and Domestic Cues Affecting the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

Several major factors are shaping the stock market prediction for tomorrow:

• Crude oil above 90 dollars a barrel: Brent crude’s jump today on escalating Iran-US tensions remains a live risk in the stock market prediction for tomorrow, even as India VIX eased slightly to 12.90 by the close.
• Bank results still being digested: HDFC Bank’s record low net interest margin and Axis Bank’s weaker numbers, both reported over the weekend, continued to weigh on private banks through the session.
• Nifty’s own weekly expiry: Tomorrow is confirmed as the Nifty 50 weekly options expiry day, typically bringing heavier volume and sharper intraday swings, especially after today’s already elevated volatility.
• FII and DII flows: FIIs sold Rs 739 crore on 14 July while DIIs bought Rs 2,927 crore, continuing the broader pattern of domestic buying cushioning the market during volatile stretches.

Key Events and Triggers in the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

• Expiry day volatility: With Nifty’s weekly expiry falling tomorrow, the stock market prediction for tomorrow expects the final hour of trade to see amplified swings as options positions unwind.
• Further Iran-US developments: Any additional escalation could push crude oil even higher and weigh on the stock market prediction for tomorrow, while a cooling of tensions could ease pressure quickly.
• More Q1 FY27 earnings: The results season continues this week, and this stock market prediction for tomorrow expects fresh reactions to drive stock specific volatility alongside the macro headlines.

Sectors to Watch in Tomorrow Market Prediction

• Banking, but selectively: With PSU banks surging and private banks split by results, the stock market prediction for tomorrow favours a stock specific approach over a broad Bank Nifty view.
• Pharma: Today’s rotation into defensives held up through the close and could continue if crude oil driven volatility persists.
• Oil and Gas: Rising crude oil prices are a double edged sword, benefiting upstream producers while pressuring the broader import bill.

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Stocks to Watch in the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow: 3 Researched Picks

Based on today’s results driven divergence and technical setups, here are the top stocks to watch in the stock market prediction for tomorrow. These are observational trading setups, not buy recommendations.

ICICI Bank: Extending Its Lead Through the Session

ICICI Bank closed up 1.1 percent at Rs 1,460.20, extending its gains through the day after posting 13.9 percent year on year profit growth with improving margins. Ankit Jaiswal notes the stock’s RSI has pushed into overbought territory and the price remains well above its 50 day average of Rs 1,324, making it the standout name in the stock market prediction for tomorrow. Targets sit at Rs 1,490 and Rs 1,515, with a stop loss at Rs 1,420 given the elevated RSI.

TCS: Still the Technically Strongest IT Name

TCS closed down 0.79 percent at Rs 2,251.10, a mild pause after Friday’s sharp rally rather than a trend change. Kunal Singla observes the stock’s momentum indicators remain firmly bullish, keeping TCS a core pillar of the stock market prediction for tomorrow. Targets are Rs 2,295 and Rs 2,330, with a stop loss at Rs 2,185.

Sun Pharma: The Defensive Beneficiary

Sun Pharma closed up 1.23 percent at Rs 1,956.40, holding its gains from the broader move into pharma through the session. Ankit Jaiswal notes the stock trades well above its 50 day average, making it a key defensive name in the stock market prediction for tomorrow if volatility persists. Targets are Rs 1,990 and Rs 2,020, with a stop loss at Rs 1,910.

Stock Market Prediction Strategy for Traders

• Respect today’s recovery off the lows: Nifty’s bounce from 24,135.85 is an encouraging sign in the stock market prediction for tomorrow, though it still needs confirmation above Friday’s high.
• Go stock specific in banking: With results splitting the sector, favour confirmed winners like ICICI Bank and PSU banks over the still-weak HDFC Bank and Axis Bank.
• Size positions for expiry volatility: Tomorrow’s Nifty weekly expiry can add sharp swings in the final hour, so keep position sizing disciplined.
• Track crude oil closely: With Brent above 90 dollars a barrel, further escalation is the single biggest risk to the stock market prediction for tomorrow.

What Does Market Sentiment Indicate for the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow?

Market sentiment stabilised somewhat as today’s session progressed. Ankit Jaiswal notes that the recovery off the morning lows, aided by PSU bank buying and continued defensive demand in pharma, suggests today’s fall was more of a stock specific and event driven reaction than a broad loss of confidence. This is why the stock market prediction for tomorrow treats today’s close as a mildly encouraging signal, even with elevated crude oil prices still in the background.

Kunal Singla points to the sharp divergence within banking, ICICI Bank and PSU names rising while HDFC Bank and Axis Bank stayed down over 5 percent, as evidence that this remains a stock specific results reaction rather than a sector wide breakdown. He flags that tomorrow’s Nifty expiry, layered on top of an already volatile day, means the stock market prediction for tomorrow should account for a wider than usual trading range.

Technically, Nifty closing above its 50 day average and SuperTrend support, with RSI actually improving through the session, keeps the broader structure intact heading into tomorrow’s expiry.

Risks to the Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

• Further crude oil escalation: A move well beyond 90 dollars a barrel would deepen concerns about India’s import bill and inflation, a serious risk to the stock market prediction for tomorrow.
• Continued banking sector weakness: If more banks reveal margin pressure in coming results, today’s HDFC Bank and Axis Bank selloff could extend into other names, a risk this stock market prediction for tomorrow flags directly.
• Expiry day whipsaws: Heavy options unwinding into tomorrow’s settlement window can cause sharp last-hour reversals.
• A retest of today’s low: A slip back below 24,135 would call today’s recovery into question.

Conclusion

The stock market prediction for tomorrow, 21 July 2026, calls for a cautious, volatile session on Nifty’s weekly expiry day, with support at 24,135 and resistance at 24,367, after today’s partial recovery from a sharp fall driven by disappointing bank results and crude oil crossing 90 dollars a barrel. Ankit Jaiswal expects ICICI Bank and defensive names to stay favoured while HDFC Bank and Axis Bank work through their results reaction, and Kunal Singla flags the expiry as a reason for disciplined position sizing. ICICI Bank, TCS, and Sun Pharma are the top stocks to watch in the stock market prediction for tomorrow. Trade with strict stop losses and stay alert to crude oil headlines.

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FAQs on Stock Market Prediction for Tomorrow

What is the stock market prediction for tomorrow, 21 July 2026?

Ans. The stock market prediction for tomorrow points to a volatile, expiry driven session after today’s partial recovery from a sharp morning fall. As per this stock market prediction for tomorrow, Nifty support sits near 24,135 and resistance at 24,367, with tomorrow’s Nifty weekly expiry adding to the uncertainty.

Why did the market recover through the day, and what does it mean for the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The market opened sharply lower on disappointing HDFC Bank and Axis Bank results and Brent crude crossing 90 dollars a barrel, but recovered through the session as PSU banks and defensives like pharma attracted buying. This partial stabilisation is a mildly encouraging sign for the stock market prediction for tomorrow, though private banking stress has not fully resolved.

Which analysts have shared the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The stock market prediction for tomorrow in this article is based on observations from Ankit Jaiswal, Senior Research Analyst at Univest, and Kunal Singla, Associate Director at Univest. Both analysts track index technicals, institutional flows, and global cues to frame the stock market prediction for tomorrow every trading day.

What are the key Nifty levels in the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. The stock market prediction for tomorrow places Nifty support at 24,135, then 24,000 and 23,900. Resistance sits at 24,266, then Friday’s high of 24,367, with the 200 day EMA near 24,479 the bigger hurdle if the market stabilises further.

Which stocks should traders watch as per the stock market prediction for tomorrow?

Ans. Based on the stock market prediction for tomorrow, ICICI Bank, TCS, and Sun Pharma are the top stocks to watch. ICICI Bank extended its gains through the day after a strong results beat, TCS remains technically the strongest large cap IT name despite a mild pullback, and Sun Pharma benefited from a rotation into defensives.

Is tomorrow, 21 July 2026, an important day for index expiry?

Ans. Yes, tomorrow is confirmed as the Nifty 50 weekly options expiry day. Combined with today’s partial recovery from the bank results fallout and elevated crude oil prices, the stock market prediction for tomorrow expects wider than usual intraday swings.