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Why Bajaj Finance Share Price Fell 3% After Q2 Results 2026: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold? What Experts Suggest to Investors

  • October 21, 2026
  • Posted by: Kunal Singla
  • Category: News
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Why Bajaj Finance Share Price Fell 3% After Q2 Results 2026: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold? What Experts Suggest to Investors

The Bajaj Finance share price traded at Rs 923.70 on NSE at 12:01 PM IST on 21 Oct 2026, down 3.5% from Rs 957.35, after a low of Rs 923.30. Q2 FY27 net profit rose 29% to Rs 6,367 crore and gross NPA improved to 1.06%, but the stock was already down 2.5% on 19 Oct, so it has fallen about 5.9% over two sessions (my calculation). Jefferies kept a Buy rating, and I could not retrieve any target price from the sources I read.

Quick Answer

The Bajaj Finance share price fell 3.5% to Rs 923.70 by 12:01 PM IST on 21 Oct 2026 even though Q2 FY27 net profit rose 29% to Rs 6,367 crore and gross NPA improved to 1.06%. The shares were already down 2.5% on 19 Oct, before the results were declared after market hours, so the stock is down about 5.9% over two sessions (my calculation). Jefferies kept a Buy rating but trimmed FY28 and FY29 earnings estimates by 1% to 2%, citing higher interest rates, lower bancassurance fees and flexi-loan terms, while DAM Capital called Q2 the strongest quarter in three years. Whether to buy, sell or hold depends on your view of gold loan stress, margin moderation and the planned Rs 17,500 crore capital raise, so the data below sets out each factor.

The Bajaj Finance share price opened at Rs 963.70 on 21 Oct, the first session after the Q2 results, and slid through the morning to touch Rs 923.30. At 9:17 AM it was down 2.4% at Rs 935 while the Nifty 50 was up 0.71%, so the fall deepened as the session went on and the headline of 3% is now out of date.

This guide to the Bajaj Finance share price covers the live snapshot, the Q2 FY27 numbers, asset quality, what Jefferies and DAM Capital said, the capital raise, valuation and a buy, sell or hold framework. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any share.

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Table of Contents

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  • Bajaj Finance Share Price Today: Live Snapshot
  • Q2 FY27 Results Behind the Bajaj Finance Share Price
  • Asset Quality and Gold Loans: The Worry Behind the Bajaj Finance Share Price
  • What Jefferies and DAM Capital Said About the Bajaj Finance Share Price
  • Capital Raise: A Possible Overhang on the Bajaj Finance Share Price
  • Valuation: Is the Bajaj Finance Share Price Still Expensive?
  • Buy, Sell or Hold: What to Weigh on the Bajaj Finance Share Price
  • What to Watch Next for the Bajaj Finance Share Price
  • Conclusion
  • Frequently Asked Questions
    • Why did the Bajaj Finance share price fall after Q2 results?
    • What were Bajaj Finance’s Q2 FY27 results?
    • What did Jefferies say about the Bajaj Finance share price?
    • What did DAM Capital say about Bajaj Finance?
    • What are the brokerage target prices for the Bajaj Finance share price?
    • Should I buy, sell or hold the Bajaj Finance share price?
    • Is the Bajaj Finance share price expensive?
    • Is this article investment advice?

Bajaj Finance Share Price Today: Live Snapshot

Item Reading on 21 Oct 2026 (12:01 PM IST)
Previous close of the Bajaj Finance share price Rs 957.35
Open and day low of the Bajaj Finance share price Rs 963.70 and Rs 923.30
Last traded Bajaj Finance share price Rs 923.70, down 3.5% (NSE)
Volume in the Bajaj Finance share price About 1.2 crore shares, with the day still running
52-week range of the Bajaj Finance share price Rs 787.90 to Rs 1,176.40
Below the 52-week high About 21.5% (my calculation)
50-day average for the Bajaj Finance share price Rs 1,027.38, so the price is about 10% below it (my calculation)
14-day RSI 37.7
Price to earnings 28.86 against an industry figure of 17.28
Market capitalisation at the 19 Oct close About Rs 5.96 lakh crore

Volume so far is about 1.6 times the average of 9 Oct to 16 Oct (my calculation), which shows real selling and not a quiet drift. The Bajaj Finance share price is now below its 50-day average, and an RSI of 37.7 is near the weak end of its range but not below the 30 level that is usually read as oversold.

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Q2 FY27 Results Behind the Bajaj Finance Share Price

Metric Q2 FY27 Q2 FY26 Change
Consolidated net profit Rs 6,366.57 crore Rs 4,947.76 crore Up 28.7%
Profit before tax Rs 8,537 crore Not stated Up 29%
Net interest income Rs 13,335 crore Rs 10,785 crore Up 24%
Net total income Rs 15,974 crore Rs 12,982 crore Up 23%
Assets under management Rs 5,84,624 crore Rs 4,62,261 crore Up about 26%
New loans booked 13.45 million 12.17 million Up 11%

Assets under management rose by Rs 37,680 crore in the quarter, and the company added 4.42 million customers to reach a franchise of 128.85 million. The company said the 11% rise in new loans is not like-for-like because the festive season started earlier last year. Results were declared after market hours on 19 Oct, so the Bajaj Finance share price reacted for the first time on 21 Oct. FY27 guidance is 60 to 62 million new loans and 18 to 20 million new customers.

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Asset Quality and Gold Loans: The Worry Behind the Bajaj Finance Share Price

Metric Q2 FY27 Q2 FY26
Gross NPA ratio 1.06% 1.24%
Net NPA ratio 0.42% 0.60%
Loan losses and provisions Rs 2,166 crore Rs 2,080 crore
Of which management and macro overlay Rs 337 crore Not stated
Provisions excluding the overlay Rs 1,829 crore, down 12% Rs 2,080 crore

Both brokerages that reviewed the Q2 results point to gold loans. Jefferies says stressed loans rose slightly because of gold loans, and management sees a negligible effect on profit. DAM Capital says the rise came mainly from shorter-term gold loans and is likely to be temporary, and that asset quality improved from the previous quarter when they are excluded. Since gold loans are a small and fast-growing part of the book, the Bajaj Finance share price may be reacting to any hint of stress there even when the headline ratios improve, which is my reading and not a point made by either broker.

What Jefferies and DAM Capital Said About the Bajaj Finance Share Price

Brokerage Rating Key points
Jefferies Maintain Buy, a top pick Profit growth of 29% was in line; FY28 and FY29 earnings cut by 1% to 2% on higher interest rates, lower bancassurance fees and tighter terms on flexi loans; expects profit to grow about 25% a year over FY26 to FY29
DAM Capital Not stated Q2 was the strongest quarter in three years; growth guidance edged up to 26% to 27%; slight upgrade to FY27 estimates and none to FY28; margin moderation may be slightly higher than expected but lower operating costs should offset it

The headline says brokerages lowered some target prices, but the report carrying those numbers could not be opened, so I do not quote any target. What the two notes do show is that the earnings estimates barely moved, with Jefferies cutting FY28 and FY29 by only 1% to 2%. That is a much smaller change than the 5.9% two-session fall in the Bajaj Finance share price (my calculation).

Capital Raise: A Possible Overhang on the Bajaj Finance Share Price

Item Detail
Board approval 1 Oct 2026
Qualified institutional placement Up to Rs 11,700 crore
Convertible warrants to Bajaj Finserv Up to Rs 5,800 crore
Total Up to Rs 17,500 crore, about 2.9% of the 19 Oct market capitalisation (my calculation)
Condition Shareholder approval is needed for both

A raise of this size dilutes existing holders and can weigh on the Bajaj Finance share price until it is completed, though none of the sources I read says it caused the fall. Treat this as a factor to watch and not as the explanation. Fresh capital also supports growth of 26% to 27% a year, which needs funding.

Valuation: Is the Bajaj Finance Share Price Still Expensive?

Measure Value
Price to earnings 28.86 against an industry figure of 17.28
Trailing earnings per share Rs 33.16
Price to book 5.23, with a book value of Rs 183.10
Return on equity 17.61%
Debt to equity 4.08, which is normal for a lender
Dividend yield 0.63%

The Bajaj Finance share price still trades at about 67% above the industry price to earnings (my calculation), which reflects its growth and returns. A premium like this leaves less room for disappointment, so a small change in gold loan stress or margin can move the stock more than it would a lower-priced lender.

Buy, Sell or Hold: What to Weigh on the Bajaj Finance Share Price

Supports the stock Worries investors
Net profit up 29% and assets under management up 26% Two-session fall of about 5.9% and a price below the 50-day average
Gross NPA 1.06% and net NPA 0.42%, both better than a year ago Stressed gold loans and a Rs 337 crore overlay
Jefferies keeps Buy and sees 25% profit growth a year Margin moderation and earnings cuts of 1% to 2%
Growth guidance edged up to 26% to 27% Possible dilution from the Rs 17,500 crore raise

This table is a map of the arguments and not a verdict. A long-term holder may focus on earnings and asset quality, while a short-term trader may focus on the trend and the 50-day average. Your own time horizon and loss limit matter more than any headline.

Risk: Rising gold loan stress, lower margins, higher interest rates, regulatory changes and dilution can all weigh on the Bajaj Finance share price, and a high earnings multiple magnifies each of them.

What to Watch Next for the Bajaj Finance Share Price

  1. Whether the Bajaj Finance share price holds above its 52-week low zone or recovers toward its 50-day average of Rs 1,027
  2. Management commentary on gold loan stress and margins
  3. Shareholder approval and pricing of the Rs 17,500 crore capital raise
  4. Brokerage notes with target prices after the results
  5. Festive season loan growth against the guidance of 60 to 62 million new loans

Conclusion

The Bajaj Finance share price has fallen about 5.9% in two sessions even though the Q2 results showed profit up 29% and asset quality improved, with gold loan stress, margins and a capital raise the likely worries. Read the filing, compare the brokerage views and match any decision to your own limits.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the Bajaj Finance share price fall after Q2 results?

Ans. The stock fell 3.5% to Rs 923.70 by 12:01 PM IST on 21 Oct 2026 despite a 29% profit rise. Brokerages point to gold loan stress, margin moderation and earnings trims, and the planned Rs 17,500 crore capital raise is another factor to watch, though no source links it directly to the fall.

What were Bajaj Finance’s Q2 FY27 results?

Ans. Consolidated net profit rose 28.7% to Rs 6,366.57 crore and net interest income rose 24% to Rs 13,335 crore. Assets under management grew about 26% to Rs 5,84,624 crore, gross NPA was 1.06% and net NPA was 0.42%.

What did Jefferies say about the Bajaj Finance share price?

Ans. Jefferies maintained a Buy rating and calls the stock a top pick, with profit growth in line with estimates. It cut FY28 and FY29 earnings by 1% to 2% on higher interest rates, lower bancassurance fees and flexi-loan impact, and expects profit to grow about 25% a year over FY26 to FY29.

What did DAM Capital say about Bajaj Finance?

Ans. DAM Capital called Q2 the strongest quarter in three years and said growth guidance edged up to 26% to 27%. It sees the rise in stressed assets as mostly short-term gold loans and likely temporary, with a slight upgrade to FY27 estimates.

What are the brokerage target prices for the Bajaj Finance share price?

Ans. The headline says some targets were lowered, but I could not open the report with the numbers, so I do not quote any. Check the brokerage notes directly before you rely on a target.

Should I buy, sell or hold the Bajaj Finance share price?

Ans. This article cannot say, because it depends on your time horizon and risk limit. The profit and asset quality data support the business, while the fall, gold loan stress, margin pressure and possible dilution are reasons for caution.

Is the Bajaj Finance share price expensive?

Ans. The price to earnings is 28.86 against an industry figure of 17.28 and price to book is 5.23, so it carries a premium. The premium reflects growth and a return on equity of 17.61%, but it also leaves less room for disappointment.

Is this article investment advice?

Ans. No. It is educational and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please check the figures against company filings and your own risk profile before you act on anything you read here.



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Author: Kunal Singla
Kunal Singla is the Associate Director - Research at Univest, leading quantitative equity research, intraday trading setups, and derivatives strategy. With 4+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he combines rigorous quantitative methods with classical technical analysis to build high-conviction research frameworks for retail and advisory clients. He holds an MSc from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi — one of India's most selective institutions — and has completed the Certificate in Quantitative Finance (CQF), a globally recognised programme covering derivatives pricing, risk modelling, machine learning for finance, and advanced portfolio theory. This combination places him in a small group of Indian analysts with both deep academic training in quantitative methods and SEBI-recognised research credentials. Kunal holds seven SEBI-recognised NISM certifications spanning research, derivatives, portfolio management, and securities operations: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-XXI-A (Portfolio Managers), Series-XVI (Commodity Derivatives), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors), and Series-I (Currency Derivatives). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Kunal leads research inputs for Pro Lite, Pro Super, Pro Gold, and Pro Commodity advisory services, alongside publishing intraday stock picks on Univest Blogs.

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