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Small and Mid Sized Private Banks Could Lead Financial Sector Recovery, Says Emkay; Mahindra Finance Enters Model Portfolio

  • July 8, 2026
  • Posted by: Kunal Singla
  • Category: News
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Small and Mid Sized Private Banks

Emkay sees small and mid sized private banks leading financial sector recovery. Large lenders face structural challenges. Mahindra Finance replaces Shriram Housing Finance in model portfolio.

Small and mid sized private banks could lead the next leg of the financial sector recovery, brokerage Emkay Global has said, arguing that large lenders face structural challenges that may cap their earnings momentum. The view marks a shift in preference within the banking pack, where smaller franchises with cleaner balance sheets and room for margin expansion are seen better placed.

Among non banking financial companies, Emkay has replaced Shriram Housing Finance with Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services in its model portfolio. The brokerage cited stronger rerating potential for the vehicle financier, linked to an expected recovery in the automobile financing cycle.

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Table of Contents

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  • Why Emkay Prefers Small and Mid Sized Private Banks
  • Mahindra Finance Replaces Shriram Housing Finance in the Model Portfolio
  • What the Emkay View Means for Bank Investors
  • Conclusion
  • Frequently Asked Questions FAQs
    • What did Emkay say about small and mid sized private banks?
    • Which NBFC did Emkay add to its model portfolio?
    • Why are large private banks facing structural challenges?
    • What is the Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services share price today?
    • Why could small and mid sized private banks outperform in a recovery?
    • Should investors buy smaller private bank stocks now?

Why Emkay Prefers Small and Mid Sized Private Banks

According to the brokerage, large private lenders are grappling with structural challenges, including intense competition for deposits, pressure on net interest margins and a high base that makes incremental growth harder. Smaller private banks, in contrast, operate from a lower base and can gain market share as credit demand revives.

A recovery in the broader financial sector typically favours lenders that can grow advances faster than the system while keeping credit costs contained. Emkay believes select smaller private banks fit this profile better at current valuations.

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Mahindra Finance Replaces Shriram Housing Finance in the Model Portfolio

In the NBFC space, Emkay swapped Shriram Housing Finance for Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services in its model portfolio. The brokerage flagged stronger rerating potential for the company as the automobile financing cycle recovers, supported by demand for utility vehicles, tractors and pre owned vehicles in rural and semi urban India.

Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services shares were trading at Rs 327.85 on the NSE on Wednesday morning, down 1.31 percent, as the broader market opened weak on global cues.

What the Emkay View Means for Bank Investors

Brokerage model portfolio changes signal where institutional preference is moving, but they are not a substitute for individual research. Investors tracking these smaller lenders should focus on deposit growth, asset quality trends and Q1 FY27 results before adding exposure, and should size positions carefully given the higher volatility in smaller banking names.

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Conclusion

Emkay expects small and mid sized private banks to lead the financial sector recovery while large lenders work through structural challenges. The addition of Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services to its model portfolio, in place of Shriram Housing Finance, reflects confidence in the auto financing cycle. Investors should verify fundamentals and consult a SEBI registered advisor before acting.

Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).

Frequently Asked Questions FAQs

What did Emkay say about small and mid sized private banks?

Ans. Emkay Global said small and mid sized private banks could lead the financial sector recovery, as large lenders face structural challenges such as deposit competition and margin pressure.

Which NBFC did Emkay add to its model portfolio?

Ans. Emkay replaced Shriram Housing Finance with Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services in its model portfolio, citing stronger rerating potential linked to a recovery in the automobile financing cycle.

Why are large private banks facing structural challenges?

Ans. Large private lenders face intense competition for deposits, pressure on net interest margins and a high base effect that makes incremental growth harder, according to the brokerage view.

What is the Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services share price today?

Ans. Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services shares were trading at Rs 327.85 on the NSE on the morning of 8 July 2026, down 1.31 percent.

Why could small and mid sized private banks outperform in a recovery?

Ans. These banks operate from a lower base, can grow advances faster than the system and have room for margin expansion, which typically supports earnings in a financial sector recovery.

Should investors buy smaller private bank stocks now?

Ans. Model portfolio changes indicate institutional preference but are not personal advice. Investors should review deposit growth, asset quality and Q1 FY27 results, and consult a SEBI registered investment advisor before investing.



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Author: Kunal Singla
Kunal Singla is the Associate Director - Research at Univest, leading quantitative equity research, intraday trading setups, and derivatives strategy. With 4+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he combines rigorous quantitative methods with classical technical analysis to build high-conviction research frameworks for retail and advisory clients. He holds an MSc from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi — one of India's most selective institutions — and has completed the Certificate in Quantitative Finance (CQF), a globally recognised programme covering derivatives pricing, risk modelling, machine learning for finance, and advanced portfolio theory. This combination places him in a small group of Indian analysts with both deep academic training in quantitative methods and SEBI-recognised research credentials. Kunal holds seven SEBI-recognised NISM certifications spanning research, derivatives, portfolio management, and securities operations: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-XXI-A (Portfolio Managers), Series-XVI (Commodity Derivatives), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors), and Series-I (Currency Derivatives). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Kunal leads research inputs for Pro Lite, Pro Super, Pro Gold, and Pro Commodity advisory services, alongside publishing intraday stock picks on Univest Blogs.

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