Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Share Price Target 2027: 18.1% Upside to Rs 121
- November 5, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price Rs 102.49 (5 November 2026). Base target Rs 121, bull Rs 144, downside risk Rs 80.4. PE 12.43. 52W range Rs 93.11 to Rs 157.20.
Quick Answer
The Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target for 2027 is Rs 121, about 18.1% above the current price of Rs 102.49. The bull case is Rs 144, and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 80.4. The base case assumes earnings per share grow 20.0% a year, a cap applied because the FY24 to FY26 pace was 37.8%, with the stock holding its PE of 12.43. These are model-based estimates built from reported financials, not guaranteed outcomes.
Investors weighing a Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers target price for 2027 should start with where the stock sits today. At Rs 102.49 on 5 November 2026, it is 34.8% below its 52-week high of Rs 157.20 and 10.1% above its 52-week low of Rs 93.11. That range spans 69% from low to high, so the entry point matters as much as the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers price forecast itself.
This article builds the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target from reported numbers only: five years of annual results, the last five quarters, the latest shareholding pattern and current valuation ratios from company filings and exchange data. Each scenario states its assumptions, so you can trace how the base case, the bull case and the downside risk level were reached and test them against your own view.
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Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Stock Analysis: Company Overview and Key Stats
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (NSE: RCF) has a market capitalisation of Rs 5,549 crore. In FY26 it reported revenue of Rs 18,691 crore and net profit of Rs 427.45 crore. The table collects the figures the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target is built on.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers |
| NSE Ticker | RCF |
| CMP (5 November 2026) | Rs 102.49 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 157.20 |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 93.11 |
| Market Cap | Rs 5,549 crore |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 12.43 |
| Industry PE | 22.41 |
| Price to Book | 1.08 |
| Return on Equity | 8.35% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.81 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 8.09 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.33% |
| 12-Month Base Target | Rs 121 |
| Bull Case | Rs 144 |
| Downside Risk Level (not a target) | Rs 80.4 |
Why Is Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Share Price Target Set at Rs 121 for 2027?
The arithmetic is short. Trailing EPS of Rs 8.09 grown for one year gives a forward EPS estimate of Rs 9.71, and multiplying it by the unchanged PE of 12.43 gives the Rs 121 base-case Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers stock target. The bull case adds faster earnings growth and a higher multiple, while the downside risk level assumes flat earnings and a lower multiple.
Earnings Growth Behind the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Target Price: Five Years of Results
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers grew revenue from Rs 12,949 crore in FY22 to Rs 18,691 crore in FY26, a compound annual growth rate of 9.6%. Net profit grew more slowly, from Rs 702.39 crore to Rs 427.45 crore (-11.7% a year), which points to margin pressure alongside the sales growth.
| Financial Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Dividend per Share (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 12,948.62 | 702.39 | 12.73 | 3.85 |
| FY23 | 21,594.84 | 966.31 | 17.52 | 5.30 |
| FY24 | 17,146.74 | 225.28 | 4.08 | 1.24 |
| FY25 | 17,098.46 | 242.45 | 4.39 | 1.32 |
| FY26 | 18,690.90 | 427.45 | 7.75 | 2.34 |
FY26 revenue growth was 9.3%, close to the four-year average of 9.6%, and net profit moved up 76.3%. EPS rose from Rs 4.08 in FY24 to Rs 7.75 in FY26. The FY27 outlook depends on whether that EPS estimate keeps compounding.
Margins and the Latest Quarter
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers converted 2.3% of FY26 revenue into net profit, against 1.4% in FY25, within a five-year range of 1.3% to 5.4%. EBITDA margin was 6.4% in FY26 versus 4.9% in FY25.
In the June 2026 quarter, revenue was Rs 3,621 crore, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year earlier, while net profit of Rs 73.53 crore was up 35.1%. EBITDA came in at Rs 255.39 crore, up 29.8% year on year. The next quarterly result is the first test of whether the earnings assumption holds.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Debt to equity stands at 0.81, and shareholders’ equity grew from Rs 3,882 crore in FY22 to Rs 5,121 crore in FY26. Operating cash flow in FY26 was negative at Rs 471.22 crore against capital expenditure of Rs 1,076 crore, leaving negative free cash flow of Rs 1,547 crore. In FY25 free cash flow was Rs 1,536 crore, so cash generation has not been steady year to year.
Valuation Check for the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Stock Target: PE, Price to Book and ROE
At a PE of 12.43 against an industry PE of 22.41, Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers trades at a discount to its industry. Price to book is 1.08 on a book value of Rs 92.83 per share, and return on equity is 8.35%. A PE of 12.43 equals an earnings yield of 8.0%, and the FY26 dividend of Rs 2.34 per share gives a yield of 2.33%.
Shareholding Pattern and Institutional Holding
Promoters held 75.00% of Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers in September 2026, and promoter holding has stayed near 75.00% since September 2025. Foreign institutional investors (FII) held 1.40% and domestic institutions (DII) held 0.32%, which puts total institutional holding at 1.72%. FII holding fell from 2.31% in September 2025 to 1.40% in September 2026. Public shareholders own the remaining 23.28%. Institutional holding this low means the stock sees limited professional coverage, and price moves can be sharper when trading volumes are thin.
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Share Price Targets for the Short Term and 12 Months
Short Term Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Stock Target Levels: Technical Setup
At Rs 102.49 on 5 November 2026, Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers trades below its 50-day simple moving average of Rs 107.27 and below its 200-day exponential moving average of Rs 121.72. The 14-day RSI reads 45.9, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line sits above its signal line. The nearest resistance level is Rs 107.27 (50-day simple moving average) and the nearest support is Rs 93.11 (52-week low). A sustained move above Rs 107.27 would improve the short-term setup, while a close below Rs 93.11 would shift attention to the next support.
12 Month Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Target Price for 2027
The 12-month target of Rs 121 means a move of 18.1% up from Rs 102.49 over the next 12 months. It would still leave the stock 23.0% below its 52-week high of Rs 157.20. Anyone checking the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target against their own view should focus on two inputs: the EPS estimate and the PE multiple.
How EPS Growth and PE Multiple Change the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Target Price
| EPS Growth | PE 9.94 | PE 12.43 | PE 14.29 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (EPS Rs 8.09) | Rs 80.4 | Rs 101 | Rs 116 |
| 20.0% (EPS Rs 9.71) | Rs 96.5 | Rs 121 | Rs 139 |
| 25.0% (EPS Rs 10.11) | Rs 100 | Rs 126 | Rs 144 |
Each cell multiplies the forward EPS estimate by the PE shown. Reading across a row shows what a de-rating or re-rating does to the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers price forecast, and reading down a column shows what earnings growth is worth at a fixed multiple.
Bull Case and Downside Risk for Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Stock Target in 2027
Bull Case Rs 144
The bull case Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers price target needs EPS growth of 25.0%, which lifts forward EPS to Rs 10.11, and a PE multiple that rises 15% to 14.29. That gives Rs 144, 40.5% above the current price and below the 52-week high of Rs 157.20.
Downside Risk Level Rs 80.4
The downside risk level is not a target. It assumes EPS stays flat at Rs 8.09 and the PE falls 20% to 9.94. That gives Rs 80.4, 21.6% below the current price and below the 52-week low of Rs 93.11.
| Scenario | EPS Growth | PE Multiple | Price (Rs) | Change vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | 25.0% | 14.29 | Rs 144 | +40.5% |
| Base Case | 20.0% | 12.43 | Rs 121 | +18.1% |
| Downside Risk | 0.0% | 9.94 | Rs 80.4 | -21.6% |
Key Risks to the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Target Price for 2027
Growth Slowdown Risk for the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Price Target
Revenue in the June 2026 quarter was up 6.2% year on year, and FY26 revenue growth was 9.3%. If growth slows from here, the EPS estimate behind the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers stock target will need revising.
Liquidity and Size Risk
Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers has a market capitalisation of Rs 5,549 crore. Institutional holding is 1.72%, and promoters hold 75.00%. Stocks of this size can move sharply on small volumes, and exits can take longer than entries.
Valuation and Margin Risk
Net margin was 2.3% in FY26, so a small slip in costs moves profit noticeably. At a PE of 12.43 versus an industry PE of 22.41, a de-rating toward the downside-risk PE of 9.94 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
Market and Technical Risk
Technical indicators add short-term risk: the 14-day RSI is 45.9 and the MACD sits above its signal line. A broad fall in the Nifty 50 or the Sensex can override company fundamentals for weeks at a time. That applies to any Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers stock target, however carefully it is built.
How to Invest in Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers
Start with the live price and volume. Any Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target is only as current as the data behind it, and the data here is as of 5 November 2026, so refresh the Rs 102.49 price before acting on any level.
Next, review the fundamentals yourself. The Univest Screener lets you check Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers’ PE, ROE, debt and shareholding in one place.
Check Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers fundamentals on the Univest Screener
Then compare the three Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers target price scenarios with your own view. If you expect EPS growth below 20.0%, the base case is too optimistic for you; if you expect more, the bull case deserves weight.
Decide your position size and exit levels before you buy. The support and resistance levels above can serve as reference points, but they are not recommendations.
Finally, place the order through a SEBI-registered broker or the Univest app, and review the position after each quarterly result. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor if you are unsure.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Conclusion
The Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target for 2027 is Rs 121 in the base case, with Rs 144 as the bull case. The support for that view is arithmetic you can check: EPS grew 37.8% a year over FY24 to FY26, and the stock trades at a PE of 12.43. The risks are equally concrete, including institutional holding of only 1.72% and a downside scenario that cuts the price 22% if earnings stall. Use these numbers as a framework, check them against the latest filings, and size any position to your own risk appetite.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Share Price Target 2027
What is the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target for 2027?
Ans. The base-case Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target for 2027 is Rs 121, which is 18.1% above the price of Rs 102.49 on 5 November 2026. The bull case is Rs 144 and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 80.4. All three come from one method: forward EPS multiplied by a PE multiple, using only reported results. They are model estimates and not guaranteed outcomes, and the next quarterly result is the first check on the EPS assumption.
What is the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price today?
Ans. As of 5 November 2026, 11:37 AM IST, Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (NSE: RCF) trades at Rs 102.49, up 1.87% on the day. That is 34.8% below the 52-week high of Rs 157.20 and 10.1% above the 52-week low of Rs 93.11. The market capitalisation of Rs 5,549 crore places it among small-cap stocks. Prices change through the trading session, so check the live quote before acting on any level in this article.
Is Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers a buy or sell at the current price?
Ans. The data points both ways. On the positive side, EPS has grown 37.8% a year over FY24 to FY26 and the base case implies 18.1% upside; on the cautious side, institutional holding is only 1.72%, and the downside risk level of Rs 80.4 is 22% below the current price. Whether Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers fits your portfolio depends on your time horizon, position size and risk appetite. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing, as this article is not investment advice.
What are the bull case target and downside risk level for Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers shares?
Ans. The bull case in the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target for 2027 is Rs 144, which assumes 25.0% EPS growth and a PE of 14.29, a 15% re-rating from today’s multiple. That is 40.5% above the current price and below the 52-week high of Rs 157.20. The downside risk level is Rs 80.4, which assumes flat EPS and a PE of 9.94, 20% lower than today. It sits 21.6% below the current price and below the 52-week low of Rs 93.11, and it marks a risk to watch, not a target.
What are the main risks to the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers price target?
Ans. Four risks matter most for the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target: slower revenue or profit growth, a PE de-rating, thin liquidity or size risk, and weakness in the broader market. With a market capitalisation of Rs 5,549 crore, the stock can move sharply on small volumes, and exits can take longer than entries. Institutional holding is only 1.72%, which can make price moves sharper. A fall to the downside-risk PE of 9.94 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
What is the PE ratio of Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers and how does it compare with the industry?
Ans. The PE ratio of Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers is 12.43, against an industry PE of 22.41, which is a discount to the industry. Price to book is 1.08 and return on equity is 8.35%, and the PE equals an earnings yield of 8.0%. The base case holds the PE unchanged, so the Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers share price target moves only with earnings, while the bull and downside scenarios change the multiple by +15% and -20%.
Who owns Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers, and what is the promoter holding?
Ans. Promoters held 75.00% of Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers in September 2026. FII held 1.40%, DII held 0.32% and the public held 23.28%. Together the two institutional groups hold 1.72%. Shareholding is filed every quarter, so it is worth rechecking after each result.
What were Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers’ latest quarterly results?
Ans. In the June 2026 quarter, Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers reported revenue of Rs 3,621 crore (up 6.2% year on year) and net profit of Rs 73.53 crore (up 35.1%). For comparison, FY26 full-year revenue growth was 9.3% and net profit moved up 76.3%. Each new quarter either supports or weakens the EPS growth of 20.0% assumed in the base case.
