Radico Khaitan Share Price Target 2027: Is Rs 5,251 Realistic? Bull Case Points to Rs 6,289
- November 5, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
Radico Khaitan share price Rs 4,465.30 (5 November 2026). Base target Rs 5,251, bull Rs 6,289, downside risk Rs 3,500. PE 73.62. 52W range Rs 2,500.00 to Rs 4,747.00.
Quick Answer
The Radico Khaitan share price target for 2027 is Rs 5,251, about 17.6% above the current price of Rs 4,465.30. The bull case is Rs 6,289, and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 3,500. The base case assumes earnings per share grow 20.0% a year, a cap applied because the FY24 to FY26 pace was 51.7%, with the stock holding its PE of 73.62. These are model-based estimates built from reported financials, not guaranteed outcomes.
Investors weighing a Radico Khaitan target price for 2027 should start with where the stock sits today. At Rs 4,465.30 on 5 November 2026, it is 5.9% below its 52-week high of Rs 4,747.00 and 78.6% above its 52-week low of Rs 2,500.00. That range spans 90% from low to high, so the entry point matters as much as the Radico Khaitan price forecast itself.
This article builds the Radico Khaitan share price target from reported numbers only: five years of annual results, the last five quarters, the latest shareholding pattern and current valuation ratios from company filings and exchange data. Each scenario states its assumptions, so you can trace how the base case, the bull case and the downside risk level were reached and test them against your own view.
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Radico Khaitan Stock Analysis: Company Overview and Key Stats
Radico Khaitan (NSE: RADICO) has a market capitalisation of Rs 58,620 crore. In FY26 it reported revenue of Rs 6,062 crore and net profit of Rs 604.48 crore. The table collects the figures the Radico Khaitan share price target is built on.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | Radico Khaitan |
| NSE Ticker | RADICO |
| CMP (5 November 2026) | Rs 4,465.30 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 4,747.00 |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 2,500.00 |
| Market Cap | Rs 58,620 crore |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 73.62 |
| Industry PE | 51.94 |
| Price to Book | 15.97 |
| Return on Equity | 21.70% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.11 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 59.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.21% |
| 12-Month Base Target | Rs 5,251 |
| Bull Case | Rs 6,289 |
| Downside Risk Level (not a target) | Rs 3,500 |
Why Is Radico Khaitan Share Price Target Set at Rs 5,251 for 2027?
The arithmetic is short. Trailing EPS of Rs 59.43 grown for one year gives a forward EPS estimate of Rs 71.32, and multiplying it by the unchanged PE of 73.62 gives the Rs 5,251 base-case Radico Khaitan stock target. The bull case adds faster earnings growth and a higher multiple, while the downside risk level assumes flat earnings and a lower multiple.
Earnings Growth Behind the Radico Khaitan Target Price: Five Years of Results
Radico Khaitan grew revenue from Rs 2,875 crore in FY22 to Rs 6,062 crore in FY26, a compound annual growth rate of 20.5%. Net profit grew faster, from Rs 248.54 crore to Rs 604.48 crore (24.9% a year), which shows margin gains did part of the work and not just higher sales.
| Financial Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Dividend per Share (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 2,875.41 | 248.54 | 19.70 | 3.00 |
| FY23 | 3,152.22 | 220.35 | 16.48 | 3.00 |
| FY24 | 4,127.39 | 262.17 | 19.61 | 3.00 |
| FY25 | 4,856.00 | 345.61 | 25.82 | 4.00 |
| FY26 | 6,062.27 | 604.48 | 45.12 | 9.00 |
FY26 revenue growth was 24.8%, faster than the four-year average of 20.5%, and net profit moved up 74.9%. EPS rose from Rs 19.61 in FY24 to Rs 45.12 in FY26. The FY27 outlook depends on whether that EPS estimate keeps compounding.
Margins and the Latest Quarter
Radico Khaitan converted 10.0% of FY26 revenue into net profit, against 7.1% in FY25, within a five-year range of 6.4% to 10.0%. EBITDA margin was 16.9% in FY26 versus 14.0% in FY25.
In the September 2026 quarter, revenue was Rs 5,588 crore, up 10.4% from the same quarter a year earlier, while net profit of Rs 232.35 crore was up 66.5%. EBITDA came in at Rs 362.32 crore, up 51.0% year on year. The next quarterly result is the first test of whether the earnings assumption holds.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Debt to equity stands at 0.11, and shareholders’ equity grew from Rs 2,027 crore in FY22 to Rs 3,316 crore in FY26. Operating cash flow in FY26 was Rs 742.64 crore against capital expenditure of Rs 244.59 crore, leaving free cash flow of Rs 498.05 crore, or 0.8% of the current market capitalisation. In FY25 free cash flow was Rs 181.91 crore.
Valuation Check for the Radico Khaitan Stock Target: PE, Price to Book and ROE
At a PE of 73.62 against an industry PE of 51.94, Radico Khaitan trades at a premium to its industry. Price to book is 15.97 on a book value of Rs 273.90 per share, and return on equity is 21.70%. A PE of 73.62 equals an earnings yield of 1.4%, and the FY26 dividend of Rs 9.00 per share gives a yield of 0.21%.
Shareholding Pattern and Institutional Holding
Promoters held 40.17% of Radico Khaitan in September 2026, and promoter holding has stayed near 40.17% since September 2025. Foreign institutional investors (FII) held 19.43% and domestic institutions (DII) held 27.17%, which puts total institutional holding at 46.60%. FII holding rose from 18.00% in September 2025 to 19.43% in September 2026. Public shareholders own the remaining 13.23%. A meaningful institutional holding adds a layer of research coverage and trading depth.
Radico Khaitan Share Price Targets for the Short Term and 12 Months
Short Term Radico Khaitan Stock Target Levels: Technical Setup
At Rs 4,465.30 on 5 November 2026, Radico Khaitan trades above its 50-day simple moving average of Rs 4,419.20 and above its 200-day exponential moving average of Rs 3,858.49. The 14-day RSI reads 50.6, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line sits above its signal line. The nearest resistance level is Rs 4,747.00 (52-week high) and the nearest support is Rs 4,419.20 (50-day simple moving average). A sustained move above Rs 4,747.00 would improve the short-term setup, while a close below Rs 4,419.20 would shift attention to the next support.
12 Month Radico Khaitan Target Price for 2027
The 12-month target of Rs 5,251 means a move of 17.6% up from Rs 4,465.30 over the next 12 months. It would also push the stock above its 52-week high of Rs 4,747.00. Anyone checking the Radico Khaitan share price target against their own view should focus on two inputs: the EPS estimate and the PE multiple.
How EPS Growth and PE Multiple Change the Radico Khaitan Target Price
| EPS Growth | PE 58.90 | PE 73.62 | PE 84.66 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (EPS Rs 59.43) | Rs 3,500 | Rs 4,375 | Rs 5,031 |
| 20.0% (EPS Rs 71.32) | Rs 4,201 | Rs 5,251 | Rs 6,038 |
| 25.0% (EPS Rs 74.29) | Rs 4,376 | Rs 5,469 | Rs 6,289 |
Each cell multiplies the forward EPS estimate by the PE shown. Reading across a row shows what a de-rating or re-rating does to the Radico Khaitan price forecast, and reading down a column shows what earnings growth is worth at a fixed multiple.
Bull Case and Downside Risk for Radico Khaitan Stock Target in 2027
Bull Case Rs 6,289
The bull case Radico Khaitan price target needs EPS growth of 25.0%, which lifts forward EPS to Rs 74.29, and a PE multiple that rises 15% to 84.66. That gives Rs 6,289, 40.8% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 4,747.00, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high.
Downside Risk Level Rs 3,500
The downside risk level is not a target. It assumes EPS stays flat at Rs 59.43 and the PE falls 20% to 58.90. That gives Rs 3,500, 21.6% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 2,500.00.
| Scenario | EPS Growth | PE Multiple | Price (Rs) | Change vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | 25.0% | 84.66 | Rs 6,289 | +40.8% |
| Base Case | 20.0% | 73.62 | Rs 5,251 | +17.6% |
| Downside Risk | 0.0% | 58.90 | Rs 3,500 | -21.6% |
Key Risks to the Radico Khaitan Target Price for 2027
Growth Slowdown Risk for the Radico Khaitan Price Target
Revenue in the September 2026 quarter was up 10.4% year on year, and FY26 revenue growth was 24.8%. If growth slows from here, the EPS estimate behind the Radico Khaitan stock target will need revising.
Liquidity and Size Risk
Radico Khaitan has a market capitalisation of Rs 58,620 crore. Institutional holding is 46.60%, and promoters hold 40.17%. A company of this size trades with deep liquidity, so entry and exit are rarely a problem, and the larger risk is paying too much for slow earnings growth.
Valuation and Margin Risk
Net margin was 10.0% in FY26, so a small slip in costs moves profit noticeably. At a PE of 73.62 versus an industry PE of 51.94, a de-rating toward the downside-risk PE of 58.90 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
Market and Technical Risk
Technical indicators add short-term risk: the 14-day RSI is 50.6 and the MACD sits above its signal line. A broad fall in the Nifty 50 or the Sensex can override company fundamentals for weeks at a time.
How to Invest in Radico Khaitan
Start with the live price and volume. Any Radico Khaitan share price target is only as current as the data behind it, and the data here is as of 5 November 2026, so refresh the Rs 4,465.30 price before acting on any level.
Next, review the fundamentals yourself. The Univest Screener lets you check Radico Khaitan’s PE, ROE, debt and shareholding in one place.
Check Radico Khaitan fundamentals on the Univest Screener
Then compare the three Radico Khaitan target price scenarios with your own view. If you expect EPS growth below 20.0%, the base case is too optimistic for you; if you expect more, the bull case deserves weight.
Decide your position size and exit levels before you buy. The support and resistance levels above can serve as reference points, but they are not recommendations.
Finally, place the order through a SEBI-registered broker or the Univest app, and review the position after each quarterly result. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor if you are unsure.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Radico Khaitan live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Conclusion
The Radico Khaitan share price target for 2027 is Rs 5,251 in the base case, with Rs 6,289 as the bull case. The support for that view is arithmetic you can check: EPS grew 51.7% a year over FY24 to FY26, and the stock trades at a PE of 73.62. The risks are equally concrete, including a PE of 73.62 that sits above the industry PE of 51.94 and a downside scenario that cuts the price 22% if earnings stall. Use these numbers as a framework, check them against the latest filings, and size any position to your own risk appetite.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Radico Khaitan Share Price Target 2027
What is the Radico Khaitan share price target for 2027?
Ans. The base-case Radico Khaitan share price target for 2027 is Rs 5,251, which is 17.6% above the price of Rs 4,465.30 on 5 November 2026. The bull case is Rs 6,289 and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 3,500. All three come from one method: forward EPS multiplied by a PE multiple, using only reported results. They are model estimates and not guaranteed outcomes, and the next quarterly result is the first check on the EPS assumption.
What is the Radico Khaitan share price today?
Ans. As of 5 November 2026, 11:30 AM IST, Radico Khaitan (NSE: RADICO) trades at Rs 4,465.30, up 1.56% on the day. That is 5.9% below the 52-week high of Rs 4,747.00 and 78.6% above the 52-week low of Rs 2,500.00. The market capitalisation of Rs 58,620 crore places it among large-cap stocks. Prices change through the trading session, so check the live quote before acting on any level in this article.
Is Radico Khaitan a buy or sell at the current price?
Ans. The data points both ways. On the positive side, EPS has grown 51.7% a year over FY24 to FY26 and the base case implies 17.6% upside; on the cautious side, the PE of 73.62 is above the industry PE of 51.94, and the downside risk level of Rs 3,500 is 22% below the current price. Whether Radico Khaitan fits your portfolio depends on your time horizon, position size and risk appetite. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing, as this article is not investment advice.
What are the bull case target and downside risk level for Radico Khaitan shares?
Ans. The bull case in the Radico Khaitan share price target for 2027 is Rs 6,289, which assumes 25.0% EPS growth and a PE of 84.66, a 15% re-rating from today’s multiple. That is 40.8% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 4,747.00, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high. The downside risk level is Rs 3,500, which assumes flat EPS and a PE of 58.90, 20% lower than today. It sits 21.6% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 2,500.00, and it marks a risk to watch, not a target.
What are the main risks to the Radico Khaitan price target?
Ans. Four risks matter most for the Radico Khaitan share price target: slower revenue or profit growth, a PE de-rating, thin liquidity or size risk, and weakness in the broader market. The market capitalisation of Rs 58,620 crore means liquidity is deep, so the bigger risk is paying a full price for slow earnings growth. A fall to the downside-risk PE of 58.90 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
What is the PE ratio of Radico Khaitan and how does it compare with the industry?
Ans. The PE ratio of Radico Khaitan is 73.62, against an industry PE of 51.94, which is a premium to the industry. Price to book is 15.97 and return on equity is 21.70%, and the PE equals an earnings yield of 1.4%. The base case holds the PE unchanged, so the Radico Khaitan share price target moves only with earnings, while the bull and downside scenarios change the multiple by +15% and -20%.
Who owns Radico Khaitan, and what is the promoter holding?
Ans. Promoters held 40.17% of Radico Khaitan in September 2026. FII held 19.43%, DII held 27.17% and the public held 13.23%. Together the two institutional groups hold 46.60%. Shareholding is filed every quarter, so it is worth rechecking after each result.
What were Radico Khaitan’s latest quarterly results?
Ans. In the September 2026 quarter, Radico Khaitan reported revenue of Rs 5,588 crore (up 10.4% year on year) and net profit of Rs 232.35 crore (up 66.5%). For comparison, FY26 full-year revenue growth was 24.8% and net profit moved up 74.9%. Each new quarter either supports or weakens the EPS growth of 20.0% assumed in the base case.