National Aluminium Company Share Price Prediction 2027: Scenario Targets, Valuation and Technical Outlook
- October 9, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: Market
CMP Rs 316.00 (9 Oct 2026). 52W range Rs 221.37 to Rs 445.15. PE 8.52. 2027 base Rs 361, bull Rs 430.
Quick Answer
The National Aluminium Company share price forecast for 2027 centres on a conservative case of Rs 348, a base case of Rs 361 and a bull case of Rs 430, against a current price of Rs 316.00. These targets scale today’s price by reported EPS growth at a constant PE multiple, so they rest on earnings the company has already delivered, not on broker forecasts. The base case implies 14.2% upside from today’s price. The daily technical setup reads bearish.
National Aluminium Company share price prediction 2027 comes down to earnings growth and the multiple investors pay for it, and the reported numbers give a measured answer. The stock trades at Rs 316.00 on NSE as of 9 October 2026, 29.0% below its 52-week high of Rs 445.15, after the company reported net profit of Rs 5,797.01 crore for FY26.
This National Aluminium Company stock forecast 2027 builds conservative, base and bull scenarios from exchange-reported financials, shareholding data and daily price indicators, with every assumption shown.
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National Aluminium Company Share Price Today and Key Data
The National Aluminium Company share price today is Rs 316.00 on NSE, up 0.93% on the day. The market capitalisation stands at Rs 57,542 crore. Over the past year the price has risen 37.7% from Rs 229.55. Every National Aluminium Company stock forecast figure below starts from this price.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | National Aluminium Company (NATIONALUM) |
| Current Price | Rs 316.00 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 445.15 (27 April 2026) |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 221.37 (13 October 2025) |
| Market Cap | Rs 57,542 crore |
| PE Ratio | 8.52 |
| Industry PE | 12.69 |
| PB Ratio | 2.66 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 36.76 |
| Return on Equity | 26.83% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.00 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
| Book Value per Share | Rs 117.63 |
What Is the National Aluminium Company Share Price Prediction for 2027?
The National Aluminium Company share price prediction for 2027 is a conservative case of Rs 348, a base case of Rs 361 and a bull case of Rs 430. Against Rs 316.00, these imply 10.1% upside, 14.2% upside and 36.1% upside. They are model scenarios built from reported EPS growth, not broker targets.
| Scenario | EPS Growth Basis | EPS Estimate | PE Multiple | Implied Value | Upside vs Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Case | Lower of FY26 growth (10.0%) and 4-year CAGR (18.4%) | Rs 40.45 (+10.0%) | Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) | Rs 348 | +10.1% |
| Base Case | Average of the two | Rs 41.98 (+14.2%) | Unchanged from today (price to EPS ratio kept constant) | Rs 361 | +14.2% |
| Bull Case | Higher of the two | Rs 43.52 (+18.4%) | Re-rated 15.0% toward industry PE of 12.69 (still at or below it) | Rs 430 | +36.1% |
Each target takes today’s price of Rs 316.00 and scales it by the EPS growth assumed for that case, which is the same as holding the PE multiple constant. The conservative case uses the lower of the FY26 EPS growth and the 4-year EPS CAGR, the base case uses their average and the bull case uses the higher figure. The bull case also re-rates the PE multiple toward the industry level, because the stock trades below it. Together they form the National Aluminium Company target price range for the FY27 outlook over the next 12 months, and the range is not a point estimate.
National Aluminium Company Share Price Forecast: What Has to Go Right by 2027
Each National Aluminium Company target price below depends on a specific EPS outcome, and the text states that outcome next to the number.
Conservative Case for the National Aluminium Company Share Price Target: Rs 348
Reaching Rs 348 needs EPS to rise 10.0% to Rs 40.45 while the stock keeps its current PE multiple. That matches the FY26 EPS growth of 10.0%.
Base Case for the National Aluminium Company Share Price Target: Rs 361
Reaching Rs 361 needs EPS to rise 14.2% to Rs 41.98, the average of the FY26 growth rate and the 4-year CAGR. Net profit growth of 90.9% in Q1 FY27 is at or above that pace, which supports the target.
Bull Case for the National Aluminium Company Share Price Target: Rs 430
Reaching Rs 430 needs EPS to rise 18.4% to Rs 43.52 and the PE multiple to re-rate 15.0% toward the industry PE. That sits inside the 52-week range of Rs 221.37 to Rs 445.15. A daily close above the nearest resistance level of Rs 346.29 (Supertrend) would be the first technical confirmation.
National Aluminium Company Financial Performance: Revenue, Profit and Margins
National Aluminium Company earned net profit of Rs 5,797.01 crore on revenue of Rs 18,508.88 crore in FY26, with profit up 10.0% and revenue up 8.0% compared with FY25. Diluted EPS was Rs 31.56 against Rs 28.68 a year earlier, and that earnings base anchors the National Aluminium Company share price forecast.
| Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Operating Margin | Net Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 14,478.23 | 2,951.41 | 16.07 | 33.95% | 20.39% |
| FY23 | 14,490.49 | 1,434.66 | 7.81 | 18.05% | 9.90% |
| FY24 | 13,399.86 | 1,988.46 | 10.83 | 23.21% | 14.84% |
| FY25 | 17,144.64 | 5,267.94 | 28.68 | 46.85% | 30.73% |
| FY26 | 18,508.88 | 5,797.01 | 31.56 | 48.16% | 31.32% |
In the latest reported quarter, Q1 FY27 (quarter ended June 2026), revenue was Rs 5,475.68 crore against Rs 3,930.45 crore a year earlier (+39.3%), and the bottom line was a net profit of Rs 2,003.14 crore against a net profit of Rs 1,049.48 crore (+90.9%). Operating margin was 54.34% versus 42.06% in the year-ago quarter. Cash flow from operations was Rs 6,437.97 crore in FY26 against Rs 5,806.11 crore in FY25. Together these figures set the earnings base for the National Aluminium Company share price prediction.
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Is National Aluminium Company Overvalued or Undervalued Right Now?
National Aluminium Company trades at a PE of 8.52 against an industry PE of 12.69, which places the stock at a 32.9% discount to the industry average. The price-to-book ratio is 2.66 on a book value of Rs 117.63 per share. Return on equity of 26.83% means the company earns Rs 26.83 of profit for every Rs 100 of shareholder equity.
Debt to equity is 0.00, so borrowings equal about 0% of shareholder equity. The company declared a dividend of Rs 11.50 per share for FY26, a yield of 3.67% at the current price. This valuation context frames the National Aluminium Company stock price prediction for 2027 without relying on any outside forecast.
National Aluminium Company Stock Analysis: Technical Outlook
National Aluminium Company stock trades below its 50-day SMA of Rs 367.97 and below its 200-day EMA of Rs 349.81, and the combined daily indicators read bearish. The 52-week high of Rs 445.15 was set on 27 April 2026, while the 52-week low of Rs 221.37 came on 13 October 2025.
| Indicator | Reading | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 27.72 | Oversold |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -13.18 vs signal -9.75 | Bearish |
| ADX (14) | 31.24 | Established trend |
| Supertrend (10,3) | Price below Rs 346.29 | Bearish |
| 50-day SMA | Rs 367.97 | Price below |
| 200-day EMA | Rs 349.81 | Price below |
The nearest support level sits at Rs 221.37 (52-week low). The nearest resistance level sits at Rs 346.29 (Supertrend) and Rs 349.81 (200-day EMA). A sustained move above the nearest resistance would support the National Aluminium Company share price prediction 2027 base case, and this National Aluminium Company stock analysis uses daily candles only. Chart signals add context to the National Aluminium Company share price target without changing the earnings maths.
National Aluminium Company Shareholding Pattern
Promoters hold 51.28% of National Aluminium Company as of Jun 2026, unchanged across the last 5 quarters. FII holding is 21.99% (up from 15.06% in Jun 2025) and DII holding is 11.22% (down from 15.76% in Jun 2025), which puts combined institutional holding at 33.21%. Public shareholders own 15.51%. Shareholding data is one input for any National Aluminium Company stock forecast.
Key Risks to the National Aluminium Company Share Price Target for 2027
Earnings and Margin Risk
Operating margin has ranged from 18.05% to 48.16% between FY22 and FY26, so a slip toward the lower end would trim the EPS estimate behind the National Aluminium Company stock forecast. Revenue was up 8.0% in FY26, and slower revenue growth would weigh on the profit path.
Size and Liquidity Risk
Market capitalisation stands at Rs 57,542 crore. Investors should check daily traded volumes and order book depth on NSE before sizing a position, because price moves can be sharper when volumes thin out. Liquidity is a practical constraint on any National Aluminium Company stock price target.
Balance Sheet Risk
Debt to equity of 0.00 means borrowings stand at about 0% of shareholder equity. A rise in borrowing costs or a jump in debt would weigh on profit and on the multiple behind the National Aluminium Company share price forecast.
Technical Risk
The daily indicators read bearish, so the targets above may need a technical turn before the price follows earnings. A daily close below Rs 221.37 (52-week low) would weaken the setup further.
Conclusion
This National Aluminium Company stock analysis puts the share price target range for 2027 at Rs 348 to Rs 430, with a base case of Rs 361 against Rs 316.00 today. The inputs are a PE of 8.52 that sits at a 32.9% discount to the industry average, EPS growth of 10.0% in FY26 and a daily technical setup that reads bearish. The next quarterly result will show which scenario is gaining ground. This analysis is educational, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting on it.
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Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
Frequently Asked Questions on National Aluminium Company Share Price Prediction 2027
What is the National Aluminium Company share price target for 2027?
Ans. The National Aluminium Company share price forecast for 2027 has a conservative case of Rs 348, a base case of Rs 361 and a bull case of Rs 430. These are model scenarios based on reported EPS growth, and they are not guaranteed outcomes.
What is the National Aluminium Company share price today?
Ans. National Aluminium Company trades at Rs 316.00 on NSE as of 9 October 2026, up 0.93% on the day. The 52-week range is Rs 221.37 to Rs 445.15.
Is National Aluminium Company a good stock to buy for 2027?
Ans. The data points in different directions: the PE of 8.52 is at a 32.9% discount to the industry average, EPS grew 10.0% in FY26 and the daily technical setup reads bearish. This article does not constitute investment advice, so consult a SEBI-registered advisor before deciding.
Can National Aluminium Company stock reach Rs 430 in 2027?
Ans. Reaching Rs 430 needs EPS to rise 18.4% from Rs 36.76 and the PE multiple to re-rate toward the industry PE of 12.69, plus a daily close above Rs 346.29 (Supertrend). This is a scenario, not a guarantee.
What are the support and resistance levels for National Aluminium Company?
Ans. The nearest support levels are Rs 221.37 (52-week low), and the nearest resistance levels are Rs 346.29 (Supertrend) and Rs 349.81 (200-day EMA).
What are the main risks for National Aluminium Company stock in 2027?
Ans. The main risks to the National Aluminium Company share price forecast are a fall in operating margin from the 18.05% to 48.16% range seen since FY22, slower revenue growth after FY26 revenue was up 8.0%, and thin trading volumes. Debt to equity of 0.00 adds balance sheet sensitivity.
How is the National Aluminium Company target price for 2027 calculated?
Ans. Each target scales the current price by assumed EPS growth at a constant PE multiple. The conservative case uses 10.0% growth, the base case 14.2% and the bull case 18.4%, all drawn from the company’s reported FY26 and 4-year EPS growth.
