GAIL India Share Price Target 2026: Stock Analysis, Share Price Today, Bull Case and Bear Case After Q1 FY27
- June 11, 2026
- Posted by: Neeraj Pandey
- Category: News
GAIL India Rs 167.50 (5 Oct 2026 close). 52-week range Rs 134.36 to Rs 186.87. Q1 FY27 profit Rs 4,670 cr, up 96%. Yield 3.3%.
Quick Answer
The GAIL India share price target for 2026 is Rs 165 to Rs 198, which is between 2 percent below and 18 percent above the last close of Rs 167.50, with bull and bear cases of Rs 220 to Rs 260 and Rs 106 to Rs 125. GAIL India reported Q1 FY27 consolidated profit up 96 percent to about Rs 4,670 crore on total income up 16 percent to Rs 41,482 crore, helped by higher LPG and crude prices, better marketing margins and gas transmission volume of 122.36 mmscmd. Management raised FY27 transmission guidance to about 123 mmscmd, expects petrochemical and LPG earnings to moderate, and the stock trades at 11.2 times earnings against an industry average of 14.5. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 5 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario.
The GAIL India share price target for 2026 is Rs 165 to Rs 198 in the Univest base case, with the stock at Rs 167.50 at the 5 October 2026 close. That is 10.4 percent below its 52-week high of Rs 186.87 and 24.7 percent above its 52-week low of Rs 134.36, and the stock moved down 6.5 percent over the past year. GAIL India is India’s largest natural gas transmission and marketing company, with petrochemical and LPG businesses. Debt to equity is 0.28 and the dividend yield is about 3.3 percent.
Three things changed since the last update: Q1 FY27 results on 31 July beat estimates and sent the stock to an eight-month high, the 1,707 km Mumbai to Jharsuguda pipeline became fully operational, and a listing of subsidiary GAIL Gas has been proposed. This GAIL India stock analysis covers the GAIL India share price today, the GAIL India share price target for 2026, 2027 and 2030, the Q1 FY27 numbers, catalysts and risks, key price levels and a GAIL India buy or sell view.
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What Is the GAIL India Share Price Target for 2026?
The 2026 target for GAIL India shares is Rs 165 to Rs 198 in the Univest base case, which is -1.5% to +18.2% against the last close. The bull case is Rs 220 to Rs 260 and the bear case is Rs 106 to Rs 125. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 5 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario. Analyst consensus is used as a cross-check, not as the base.
GAIL India Share Price Target Scenarios: Bull Case, Base Case and Bear Case
| Scenario | FY28E EPS | Target Multiple | Price Target (Rs) | Move vs Rs 167.50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | Rs 20 | 11x to 13x | 220 to 260 | +31.3% to +55.2% |
| Base Case | Rs 16.50 | 10x to 12x | 165 to 198 | -1.5% to +18.2% |
| Bear Case | Rs 12.50 | 8.5x to 10x | 106 to 125 | -36.7% to -25.4% |
FY28 EPS of Rs 16.50 in the base case is above trailing EPS of Rs 15.01 but far below the Q1 FY27 annualised figure of about Rs 28, because Q1 included a windfall from LPG and crude prices that management expects to moderate. The bull case needs petrochemicals to break even and marketing margins to hold, and the bear case assumes the windfall fades completely. The PE multiple used for each case is shown in the table, and the EPS estimate is a Univest assumption, not company guidance. Those assumptions set the GAIL India share price target range around the current price.
GAIL India Company Overview and Share Price Today as of 5 October 2026
GAIL India share price today is Rs 167.50 on the NSE at the 5 October 2026 close, before the market opened on 6 October. The market capitalisation is Rs 1,10,133 crore, and the stock trades at 11.2 times earnings against an industry average of 14.5 times. The Univest base case GAIL India share price target of Rs 165 to Rs 198 is -1.5% to +18.2% from here. The table below sets out the key numbers behind the GAIL India share price target.
| Parameter | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| NSE Ticker | GAIL | BSE code 532155 |
| Sector | Natural gas transmission and marketing | Per Univest sector classification |
| Last Close (NSE) | Rs 167.50 | 5 Oct 2026 close |
| 52-Week High | Rs 186.87 | CMP is 10.4% below |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 134.36 | CMP is 24.7% above |
| 1-Year Return | About -6% | Weekly close Rs 179.21 on 3 Oct 2025 to Rs 167.50 |
| Market Capitalisation | Rs 1,10,133 crore | Large cap PSU gas utility |
| Trailing P/E | About 11.2x | Industry P/E about 14.5x |
| P/B Ratio | About 1.24x | Book value Rs 135.43 per share |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 15.01 | Trailing twelve months |
| Return on Equity | About 8.5% | Debt to equity 0.28 |
| Dividend Yield | About 3.28% | Rs 5 dividend went ex in February 2026 |
| 12-Month Target (Base Case) | Rs 165 to Rs 198 | Univest base case |
| Bull Case | Rs 220 to Rs 260 | +31.3% to +55.2% |
| Bear Case | Rs 106 to Rs 125 | -36.7% to -25.4% |
Track live price, fundamentals and results for GAIL India on the Univest Screener.
How Did GAIL India Perform in Q1 FY27?
GAIL India reported Q1 FY27 consolidated net profit of about Rs 4,670 crore, up 96 percent from Rs 2,382 crore, and total income of Rs 41,482 crore, up 16 percent. Standalone profit was Rs 4,292 crore against Rs 1,262 crore in Q4 FY26. Together these Q1 FY27 numbers anchor the GAIL India share price target.
| Metric | Q1 FY27 | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Consolidated Net Profit | About Rs 4,670 crore | Up 96% year on year |
| Total Income | Rs 41,482 crore | Up 16% |
| Standalone Profit Before Tax | Rs 5,773 crore | Against Rs 1,577 crore in Q4 FY26 |
| Gas Transmission Volume | 122.36 mmscmd | FY27 guidance raised to about 123 |
| Gas Marketing Volume | 93.82 mmscmd | Down from 101.88 in Q4 |
| Polymer Segment Loss | Rs 130 crore | Petchem breakeven expected in FY27 |
Profit was lifted by elevated crude and LPG prices during the West Asia disruption, and management expects petrochemical and LPG earnings to moderate. The petrochemical complex at Pata is running at full utilisation. The FY27 outlook from management is the main input for these estimates. These numbers sit behind every range in the scenario table above, so they anchor the GAIL India share price target.
Why Did GAIL India Share Price Hit an Eight-Month High After Q1 FY27?
GAIL India shares gained nearly 4 percent to an eight-month high after the Q1 FY27 results because profit nearly doubled and beat estimates. The week of 27 July rose 6.7 percent to Rs 181.44 on volume of 8.0 crore shares.
The stock has since eased to Rs 167.50 as the market weighs the windfall nature of the profit. It is down about 6 percent in a year and 10 percent below its November 2025 high of Rs 186.87. The GAIL India share price target scenarios below account for that move.
Key Catalysts for the GAIL India Share Price Target in 2026
4 catalysts matter most for the GAIL India share price target, and sector tailwinds in Natural gas transmission and marketing are part of the case. Together they decide whether the base case is reached.
1. Transmission Volume
Volume was 122.36 mmscmd and FY27 guidance was raised to about 123 mmscmd after the Mumbai to Jharsuguda pipeline opened. Transmission is the stable earnings core. If it plays out, the GAIL India share price target moves toward the top of the base range.
2. Petrochemical Breakeven
The Pata complex runs at full utilisation and petchem is expected to break even in FY27. Removing the Rs 130 crore quarterly loss would lift profit. Strength here would support the upper end of the GAIL India share price target.
3. Pipeline Expansion
The 1,707 km pipeline is fully operational and capex was Rs 6,176 crore in the quarter. New capacity adds volume for years. Delivery on this point keeps the GAIL India share price target on track.
4. GAIL Gas Listing
A listing of subsidiary GAIL Gas has been proposed and may reveal value. A successful listing would lift the parent’s valuation. Better news here would lift the GAIL India share price target toward the bull case.
What Are the Key Risks to the GAIL India Share Price Target?
The main risks are fading LPG gains, gas supply disruptions, regulated tariffs and petrochemical losses. Each can pull the GAIL India share price target lower.
Fading LPG Gains
Q1 benefited from elevated crude and LPG prices that management expects to moderate. Lower prices would pull EPS toward the bear case. If it materialises, the GAIL India share price target would slip toward the bear case.
Gas Supply Disruption
The West Asia crisis forced eight spot cargo purchases and cut marketing volume. A longer disruption would hit margins. This is the main downside risk to the GAIL India share price target.
Tariff Regulation
Transmission tariffs are set by the regulator. A cut would lower the stable core profit. A worsening here would cut the GAIL India share price target toward the low end of the range.
Petrochemical Losses
The polymer segment lost Rs 130 crore in Q1. A delay in breakeven would weigh on profit. Watch it closely, because it can pull the GAIL India share price target lower quickly.
GAIL India Stock Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels for the Share Price Target
GAIL India stock analysis on weekly charts shows a range of Rs 166 to Rs 175 since mid-June, with the stock near the lower end.
The first support level is Rs 166.4 to Rs 168.4, the lows of the weeks of 5 October and 28 September. Below that, Rs 160 to Rs 163 marks the May and January lows, and a weekly close under Rs 166 would weaken the base.
The first resistance level is Rs 173 to Rs 175, the highs of the weeks of 14, 21 and 28 September. Above that, Rs 177.5 to Rs 182 marks the early-September and late-July highs. These levels come from weekly price action, are not trade recommendations, and frame the near-term GAIL India share price target.
GAIL India Share Price Target 2026, 2027 and 2030: Short, Medium and Long Term
Short-Term GAIL India Share Price Target (3 to 6 Months)
In the near term the stock is likely to trade between Rs 166 and Rs 175, the range of the past three months. A close above Rs 175 would put Rs 182 in play, while a weekly close under Rs 166 would put Rs 160 in play. The Q2 FY27 results are the main trigger. This range anchors the near-term GAIL India share price target.
12-Month and 2027 GAIL India Share Price Target
The 12-month target price is Rs 165 to Rs 198, valued on 10 to 12 times FY28 EPS of Rs 16.50. The range across scenarios runs from Rs 106 in the bear case to Rs 260 in the bull case.
Long-Term GAIL India Share Price Target for FY29 to 2030
For FY29 to 2030 the Univest scenario range is Rs 200 to Rs 300. This assumes EPS of Rs 20 in FY29 and Rs 25 in FY30 and a multiple of 10 to 12 times. It needs transmission growth and petchem profit to offset lower LPG gains. This is the long-term GAIL India share price target in the Univest scenarios.
Bull Case and Bear Case for GAIL India Share Price Target
Bull Case Rs 220 to Rs 260
The bull case of Rs 220 to Rs 260 for the GAIL India share price target needs EPS of Rs 20 and the market to pay 11 to 13 times for it. It is +31.3% to +55.2% from the last close.
Bear Case Rs 106 to Rs 125
The bear case of Rs 106 to Rs 125 for the GAIL India share price target equals 8.5 to 10 times FY28 EPS of Rs 12.50 and sits below the Rs 134.36 low. It is -36.7% to -25.4% from the last close.
Is GAIL India a Good Buy at Rs 168? GAIL India Buy or Sell View
Whether GAIL India is a buy at Rs 167.50 depends on horizon and risk appetite. The base case implies -2 to 18 percent from here, the stock yields about 3.3 percent, and the open question is how much of Q1 repeats. The GAIL India share price target range is the starting point for that decision.
Long-term holders may focus on transmission volume, petchem breakeven and the dividend, and treat Rs 166 as the level to watch. Short-term traders may prefer to wait for a close above Rs 175. Check institutional holding in the September quarter filing for signs of accumulation or selling. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting, since this GAIL India buy or sell view is educational.
How to Invest in GAIL India Shares
Step 1: Check the live price, valuation and the latest GAIL India share price target range on the Univest Screener.
Step 2: Open a demat and trading account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest before acting on any GAIL India share price target.
Step 3: Search for GAIL on the NSE or 532155 on the BSE in your trading app.
Step 4: Place a limit order near your planned entry and size the position so a fall to Rs 106 is bearable.
Step 5: Track transmission volume, LPG prices and Q2 FY27 results and set price alerts on the Univest App to follow any change in the GAIL India share price target.
Conclusion
GAIL India closed at Rs 167.50 against a Univest base case share price target of Rs 165 to Rs 198, a bull case of Rs 220 to Rs 260 and a bear case of Rs 106 to Rs 125. Q1 FY27 delivered a 96 percent profit rise to about Rs 4,670 crore, with transmission volume at 122.36 mmscmd and FY27 guidance raised. The main risks are fading LPG gains, supply disruption and tariffs.
The stock is 10.4 percent below its 52-week high, so the base case implies roughly -2 to 18 percent from here. The triggers to watch are LPG prices, the Q2 FY27 results and the Rs 166 and Rs 175 levels. Re-check the GAIL India share price target after each quarterly result. Investors with a long horizon and tolerance for volatility can track these triggers, while others may prefer to size positions carefully.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track GAIL India live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on GAIL India Share Price Target 2026
What is the GAIL India share price target for 2026?
Ans. The GAIL India share price target for 2026 is Rs 165 to Rs 198 in the Univest base case, with a bull case of Rs 220 to Rs 260 and a bear case of Rs 106 to Rs 125. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 5 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario. These are estimates and can change after the Q2 FY27 results.
What is the GAIL India share price target for 2027?
Ans. The GAIL India share price target for 2027 is Rs 165 to Rs 198 in the base case, valued on 10 to 12 times FY28 EPS of Rs 16.50. The scenario range runs from Rs 106 to Rs 260.
Is GAIL India a good buy at Rs 167.50?
Ans. Whether GAIL India is a good buy at Rs 167.50 depends on your horizon, risk appetite and how you read the GAIL India share price target. Profit nearly doubled and the stock trades at about 11 times earnings with a 3.3 percent yield, but part of the Q1 gain came from LPG and crude prices. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
What are the key risks to the GAIL India share price target?
Ans. The key risks to the GAIL India share price target are fading lpg gains, gas supply disruption, tariff regulation and petrochemical losses. Q1 benefited from elevated crude and LPG prices that management expects to moderate. Lower prices would pull EPS toward the bear case.
What are the key catalysts for the GAIL India share price target?
Ans. The key catalysts for the GAIL India share price target are transmission volume, petrochemical breakeven, pipeline expansion and gail gas listing. Volume was 122.36 mmscmd and FY27 guidance was raised to about 123 mmscmd after the Mumbai to Jharsuguda pipeline opened. Transmission is the stable earnings core.
Where can I track GAIL India share price today and GAIL India share price target updates?
Ans. You can track the live GAIL India share price, results and any change to the GAIL India share price target on the Univest Screener and the Univest App. Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App for research from SEBI-registered analysts.
What are GAIL India’s 52-week high and low?
Ans. GAIL India’s 52-week high is Rs 186.87 and its 52-week low is Rs 134.36, based on weekly NSE data. At Rs 167.50 the stock is 10.4 percent below the high and 24.7 percent above the low. Both levels frame the GAIL India share price target.
How to buy GAIL India shares?
Ans. Open a demat account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest, search for GAIL on the NSE or 532155 on the BSE, and place a limit order near your entry price, using the GAIL India share price target range as a guide. Size the position so a fall to Rs 106 is bearable, and check the live price on the Univest Screener first.
