EPL Share Price Target 2026: Stock Analysis, Share Price Today, Bull Case and Bear Case After Q1 FY27
- July 2, 2026
- Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
- Category: News
EPL Rs 234.35 (5 Oct 2026). 52-week range Rs 176.40 to Rs 274.03. Q1 FY27 revenue Rs 1,388 cr, up 25.3%. P/E 19.0x.
Quick Answer
The EPL share price target for 2026 is Rs 255 to Rs 300, which is 9 to 28 percent above the latest price of Rs 234.35, with bull and bear cases of Rs 323 to Rs 357 and Rs 175 to Rs 200. EPL reported record Q1 FY27 revenue growth of 25.3 percent to Rs 1,388 crore and EBITDA up 15.2 percent to Rs 261 crore at a margin of 18.8 percent, while profit fell 1.4 percent to Rs 98.6 crore on a higher tax rate. Management raised its revenue growth outlook to the high-teens and kept its 20 percent underlying EBITDA margin target, and the stock trades at 19.0 times earnings against an industry average of 23.1 times. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 5 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario.
The EPL share price target for 2026 is Rs 255 to Rs 300 in the Univest base case, with the stock at Rs 234.35 as of about 2:42 PM IST on 5 October 2026. That is 14.5 percent below its 52-week high of Rs 274.03 and 32.9 percent above its 52-week low of Rs 176.40, and the stock moved up 7.7 percent over the past year. EPL, formerly Essel Propack, is a global maker of laminated plastic tubes for oral care, beauty and pharma, with return on capital employed of 18.5 percent. Net debt is only 0.58 times EBITDA.
Three things changed since the last update: Q1 FY27 results on 11 August showed record revenue growth, the stock jumped to Rs 274 in the week of 17 August, and a very heavy volume of 16.6 crore shares traded in the week of 31 August. This EPL stock analysis covers the EPL share price today, the EPL share price target for 2026, 2027 and 2030, the Q1 FY27 numbers, catalysts and risks, key price levels and a EPL buy or sell view.
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What Is the EPL Share Price Target for 2026?
The 2026 target for EPL shares is Rs 255 to Rs 300 in the Univest base case, which is +8.8% to +28.0% against the latest price. The bull case is Rs 323 to Rs 357 and the bear case is Rs 175 to Rs 200. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 5 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario. Analyst consensus is used as a cross-check, not as the base.
EPL Share Price Target Scenarios: Bull Case, Base Case and Bear Case
| Scenario | FY28E EPS | Target Multiple | Price Target (Rs) | Move vs Rs 234.35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | Rs 17 | 19x to 21x | 323 to 357 | +37.8% to +52.3% |
| Base Case | Rs 15 | 17x to 20x | 255 to 300 | +8.8% to +28.0% |
| Bear Case | Rs 12.50 | 14x to 16x | 175 to 200 | -25.3% to -14.7% |
FY28 EPS of Rs 15 in the base case is above trailing EPS of Rs 12.25 and the Q1 FY27 annualised figure of about Rs 12.3, assuming double-digit profit growth as management guides and a normal tax rate. The bull case needs revenue growth in the high teens with a 20 percent underlying margin, and the bear case assumes raw material costs squeeze margin. The PE multiple used for each case is shown in the table, and the EPS estimate is a Univest assumption, not company guidance. Those assumptions set the EPL share price target range around the current price.
EPL Company Overview and Share Price Today as of 5 October 2026
EPL share price today is Rs 234.35 on the NSE at about 2:42 PM IST on 5 October 2026, and it changes through the session. The market capitalisation is Rs 7,462 crore, and the stock trades at 19.0 times earnings against an industry average of 23.1 times. The Univest base case EPL share price target of Rs 255 to Rs 300 is +8.8% to +28.0% from here. The table below sets out the key numbers behind the EPL share price target.
| Parameter | Value | Context |
|---|---|---|
| NSE Ticker | EPL | BSE code 500135 |
| Sector | Specialty packaging | Per Univest sector classification |
| Latest Price (NSE) | Rs 234.35 | 5 Oct 2026, 2:42 PM IST |
| 52-Week High | Rs 274.03 | CMP is 14.5% below |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 176.40 | CMP is 32.9% above |
| 1-Year Return | About +8% | Weekly close Rs 217.49 on 3 Oct 2025 to Rs 234.14 |
| Market Capitalisation | Rs 7,462 crore | Small cap packaging company |
| Trailing P/E | About 19.0x | Industry P/E about 23.1x |
| P/B Ratio | About 2.61x | Book value Rs 89.07 per share |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 12.25 | Trailing twelve months |
| Return on Equity | About 13.6% | Debt to equity 0.34 |
| Dividend Yield | About 1.07% | Dividend paid yearly |
| 12-Month Target (Base Case) | Rs 255 to Rs 300 | Univest base case |
| Bull Case | Rs 323 to Rs 357 | +37.8% to +52.3% |
| Bear Case | Rs 175 to Rs 200 | -25.3% to -14.7% |
Track live price, fundamentals and results for EPL on the Univest Screener.
How Did EPL Perform in Q1 FY27?
EPL reported Q1 FY27 revenue from operations of Rs 1,387.9 crore, up 25.3 percent, EBITDA of Rs 261.2 crore, up 15.2 percent, and net profit of Rs 98.6 crore, down 1.4 percent. Profit before tax rose 10 percent, and EPS was Rs 3.08. Together these Q1 FY27 numbers anchor the EPL share price target.
| Metric | Q1 FY27 | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue from Operations | Rs 1,387.9 crore | Up 25.3%; underlying up 20% |
| EBITDA | Rs 261.2 crore | Up 15.2%; margin 18.8% |
| Net Profit | Rs 98.6 crore | Down 1.4%; PBT up 10% |
| Underlying EBITDA Margin | 19.6% | Target 20% |
| India Revenue | Up 19.9% | Americas up 29.4%, Europe up 20.2% |
| Net Debt to EBITDA | 0.58x | Net debt Rs 580.6 crore |
Oral care revenue grew 23.9 percent and beauty and cosmetics 23.6 percent, and part of the revenue gain was a pass-through of higher raw material prices. Management said full-year profit growth stays on track for double digits and raised the revenue outlook to the high-teens. The FY27 outlook from management is the main input for these estimates. These numbers sit behind every range in the scenario table above, so they anchor the EPL share price target.
Why Did EPL Share Price Jump After Its Q1 FY27 Results?
EPL shares jumped about 9 percent in the week of 10 August and 9 percent more in the week of 17 August to Rs 274.03 because revenue growth hit a record 25.3 percent and management raised its outlook. Volume in those weeks was 2.1 crore and 1.9 crore shares.
A very heavy 16.6 crore shares traded in the week of 31 August, and the sources we checked do not tie it to a single cause. The stock has since eased about 14 percent from the high to Rs 234.35. The EPL share price target scenarios below account for that move.
Key Catalysts for the EPL Share Price Target in 2026
4 catalysts matter most for the EPL share price target, and sector tailwinds in Specialty packaging are part of the case. Together they decide whether the base case is reached.
1. Revenue Growth Outlook
Management raised full-year revenue growth to the high-teens after 25.3 percent in Q1. Faster growth lifts profit. If it plays out, the EPL share price target moves toward the top of the base range.
2. Personal Care Mix
Personal care and beyond is 54 percent of revenue and grew 25.1 percent. Beauty and oral care carry steadier demand. Strength here would support the upper end of the EPL share price target.
3. Geographic Breadth
India grew 19.9 percent, Americas 29.4 percent and East Asia Pacific 34.3 percent. Broad growth reduces dependence on one market. Delivery on this point keeps the EPL share price target on track.
4. Margin Target
Management keeps a 20 percent underlying EBITDA margin target against 19.6 percent in Q1. Reaching it supports EPS of Rs 15. Better news here would lift the EPL share price target toward the bull case.
What Are the Key Risks to the EPL Share Price Target?
The main risks are raw material costs, a higher tax rate, a rising debt level and global volatility. Each can pull the EPL share price target lower.
Raw Material Costs
Resin prices rose with the Middle East crisis, and reported margin fell to 18.8 percent from 20.5 percent. Further increases would hit profit. If it materialises, the EPL share price target would slip toward the bear case.
Higher Tax Rate
Profit fell 1.4 percent although profit before tax rose 10 percent. A high tax rate would keep EPS growth low. This is the main downside risk to the EPL share price target.
Rising Debt Level
Net debt rose to Rs 580.6 crore on capex and working capital. Higher debt would raise interest costs. A worsening here would cut the EPL share price target toward the low end of the range.
Global Volatility
The company operates in many countries and cited global volatility and commodity swings. A downturn abroad would hit growth. Watch it closely, because it can pull the EPL share price target lower quickly.
EPL Stock Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels for the Share Price Target
EPL stock analysis on weekly charts shows a range of Rs 227 to Rs 243 since mid-September, with the stock near the middle.
The first support level is Rs 227 to Rs 230, the low of the week of 28 September and today’s low. Below that, Rs 224 to Rs 228 marks the August and September lows, and a weekly close under Rs 227 would weaken the base.
The first resistance level is Rs 241 to Rs 243, the highs of the weeks of 28 and 21 September. Above that, Rs 252 to Rs 256 marks the late-August levels, and Rs 265 to Rs 274 the August high. These levels come from weekly price action, are not trade recommendations, and frame the near-term EPL share price target.
EPL Share Price Target 2026, 2027 and 2030: Short, Medium and Long Term
Short-Term EPL Share Price Target (3 to 6 Months)
In the near term the stock is likely to trade between Rs 227 and Rs 243, from the late-September low to the weekly high. A close above Rs 243 would put Rs 256 in play, while a break under Rs 227 would put Rs 222 in play. The Q2 FY27 results are the main trigger. This range anchors the near-term EPL share price target.
12-Month and 2027 EPL Share Price Target
The 12-month target price is Rs 255 to Rs 300, valued on 17 to 20 times FY28 EPS of Rs 15. The range across scenarios runs from Rs 175 in the bear case to Rs 357 in the bull case.
Long-Term EPL Share Price Target for FY29 to 2030
For FY29 to 2030 the Univest scenario range is Rs 323 to Rs 440. This assumes EPS of Rs 19 in FY29 and Rs 22 in FY30 and a multiple of 17 to 20 times. It needs high-teens revenue growth and a 20 percent margin. This is the long-term EPL share price target in the Univest scenarios.
Bull Case and Bear Case for EPL Share Price Target
Bull Case Rs 323 to Rs 357
The bull case of Rs 323 to Rs 357 for the EPL share price target needs EPS of Rs 17 and the market to pay 19 to 21 times for it. It is +37.8% to +52.3% from the latest price.
Bear Case Rs 175 to Rs 200
The bear case of Rs 175 to Rs 200 for the EPL share price target equals 14 to 16 times FY28 EPS of Rs 12.50 and sits close to the Rs 176 low. It is -25.3% to -14.7% from the latest price.
Is EPL a Good Buy at Rs 234? EPL Buy or Sell View
Whether EPL is a buy at Rs 234.35 depends on horizon and risk appetite. The base case implies 9 to 28 percent from here, the stock trades at 19 times earnings against an industry average of 23, and the open question is the tax rate and margin. The EPL share price target range is the starting point for that decision.
Long-term holders may focus on revenue growth, the margin target and 18.5 percent return on capital, and treat Rs 227 as the level to watch. Short-term traders may prefer to wait for a close above Rs 243. Check institutional holding in the September quarter filing for signs of accumulation or selling. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting, since this EPL buy or sell view is educational.
How to Invest in EPL Shares
Step 1: Check the live price, valuation and the latest EPL share price target range on the Univest Screener.
Step 2: Open a demat and trading account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest before acting on any EPL share price target.
Step 3: Search for EPL on the NSE or 500135 on the BSE in your trading app.
Step 4: Place a limit order near your planned entry and size the position so a fall to Rs 175 is bearable.
Step 5: Track revenue growth, margin and Q2 FY27 results and set price alerts on the Univest App to follow any change in the EPL share price target.
Conclusion
EPL closed at Rs 234.35 against a Univest base case share price target of Rs 255 to Rs 300, a bull case of Rs 323 to Rs 357 and a bear case of Rs 175 to Rs 200. Q1 FY27 delivered record revenue growth of 25.3 percent and EBITDA up 15.2 percent, while profit fell 1.4 percent on tax. The main risks are raw material costs, tax and debt.
The stock is 14.5 percent below its 52-week high, so the base case implies roughly 9 to 28 percent from here. The triggers to watch are margin, the Q2 FY27 results and the Rs 227 and Rs 243 levels. Re-check the EPL share price target after each quarterly result. Investors with a long horizon and tolerance for volatility can track these triggers, while others may prefer to size positions carefully.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track EPL live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on EPL Share Price Target 2026
What is the EPL share price target for 2026?
Ans. The EPL share price target for 2026 is Rs 255 to Rs 300 in the Univest base case, with a bull case of Rs 323 to Rs 357 and a bear case of Rs 175 to Rs 200. No brokerage price target was available on the sources we track as of 5 October 2026, so every range below is a Univest research scenario. These are estimates and can change after the Q2 FY27 results.
What is the EPL share price target for 2027?
Ans. The EPL share price target for 2027 is Rs 255 to Rs 300 in the base case, valued on 17 to 20 times FY28 EPS of Rs 15. The scenario range runs from Rs 175 to Rs 357.
Is EPL a good buy at Rs 234.35?
Ans. Whether EPL is a good buy at Rs 234.35 depends on your horizon, risk appetite and how you read the EPL share price target. Revenue growth is a record and the stock trades at about 19 times earnings, but Q1 profit fell 1.4 percent and margin is under pressure. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
What are the key risks to the EPL share price target?
Ans. The key risks to the EPL share price target are raw material costs, higher tax rate, rising debt level and global volatility. Resin prices rose with the Middle East crisis, and reported margin fell to 18.8 percent from 20.5 percent. Further increases would hit profit.
What are the key catalysts for the EPL share price target?
Ans. The key catalysts for the EPL share price target are revenue growth outlook, personal care mix, geographic breadth and margin target. Management raised full-year revenue growth to the high-teens after 25.3 percent in Q1. Faster growth lifts profit.
Where can I track EPL share price today and EPL share price target updates?
Ans. You can track the live EPL share price, results and any change to the EPL share price target on the Univest Screener and the Univest App. Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App for research from SEBI-registered analysts.
What are EPL’s 52-week high and low?
Ans. EPL’s 52-week high is Rs 274.03 and its 52-week low is Rs 176.40, based on weekly NSE data. At Rs 234.35 the stock is 14.5 percent below the high and 32.9 percent above the low. Both levels frame the EPL share price target.
How to buy EPL shares?
Ans. Open a demat account with a SEBI-registered broker such as Univest, search for EPL on the NSE or 500135 on the BSE, and place a limit order near your entry price, using the EPL share price target range as a guide. Size the position so a fall to Rs 175 is bearable, and check the live price on the Univest Screener first.