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Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow: MCX Levels and Outlook for 19 August 2026

  • August 18, 2026
  • Posted by: Kunal Singla
  • Category: Predictions
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MCX Commodity Market at Rs Mixed/MCX (Mixed) on 18 Aug 2026. High: Rs Crude +1.19%. Low: Rs Silver -1.06%. Support: Rs See individual. Resistance: Rs See individual.

Quick Answer

The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 19 August 2026, is mixed across MCX segments. Crude Oil was the standout gainer (+1.19%), Natural Gas recovered modestly (+0.39%), while Gold (-0.34%), Silver (-1.06%), Copper (-0.68%), and Zinc (-0.79%) all declined on 18 August. Ankit Jaiswal notes the commodity market prediction for tomorrow favours Crude Oil (roll to Sep) and a Natural Gas bounce, while Kunal Singla advises caution on metals.

The commodity market prediction for tomorrow reflects an 18 August MCX session where energy commodities outperformed while metals faced selling. MCX Crude Oil surged +1.19% to Rs 8,157/bbl on Iran supply fears. Natural Gas recovered +0.39% to Rs 258.90/mmBtu from oversold levels. Meanwhile Gold fell -0.34%, Silver -1.06%, Copper -0.68%, and Zinc -0.79%. Ankit Jaiswal, Research Analyst at Univest, notes the commodity market prediction for tomorrow requires commodity-specific positioning given this divergence.

Kunal Singla, Research Analyst at Univest, observes that the commodity market prediction for tomorrow is shaped by two themes running simultaneously: (1) geopolitical risk (Iran-Hormuz) supporting energy, and (2) broad risk-off sentiment weighing on metals. The key operational event in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow is the MCX Crude Oil August contract expiry on 19 August — rollover to September is mandatory. India VIX at 11.38 signals measured rather than panicked conditions across all commodities in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

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Table of Contents

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  • Today’s Market Recap: Commodity Market on 18 August 2026
  • Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow: Technical Analysis
  • Global Cues for Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow
  • Key Events for 19 August 2026
  • Stocks Linked to Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow
  • Trading Strategy for Commodity Market on 19 August 2026
  • What Does Sentiment Indicate for Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow?
  • Risks to Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow
  • Conclusion
  • Frequently Asked Questions
    • What is the tomorrow’s MCX commodity outlook, 19 August 2026?
    • What is the biggest opportunity in the the 19 August MCX outlook?
    • What are the risks in the the commodity outlook for 19 August?
    • Which commodity was worst on 18 August in the the 19 August MCX outlook?
    • What is the commodity strategy for 19 August 2026?

Today’s Market Recap: Commodity Market on 18 August 2026

  • Energy: Crude +1.19% to Rs 8,157 (Aug contract expires today — roll to Sep at Rs 8,097), Nat Gas +0.39% to Rs 258.90. Energy leads in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
  • Precious Metals: Gold -0.34% to Rs 1,54,040/10g, Silver -1.06% to Rs 2,36,727/kg. Mild selling in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.
  • Base Metals: Copper -0.68% to Rs 1,373.80/kg (corrective), Zinc -0.79% to Rs 397.70/kg (broke Rs 400). Base metals are the weakest segment in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow: Technical Analysis

The commodity market prediction for tomorrow has different setups: Crude (Sep) support Rs 8,050, resistance Rs 8,200. Gold support Rs 1,53,600, resistance Rs 1,54,250. Copper support Rs 1,368, resistance Rs 1,384.45. Zinc broke Rs 400 with support Rs 397 and resistance at Rs 400 to 401 in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

Ankit Jaiswal notes the commodity market prediction for tomorrow gives the clearest opportunity in Crude Oil (roll to Sep), followed by Natural Gas bounce. Kunal Singla advises confirming China demand before fresh metal longs in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow.

Trend for 19 August 2026: Mixed: Bullish on Crude, Corrective on Metals
Support: See individual | articles
Resistance: See individual | articles

Global Cues for Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow

  • US Markets (14 Aug close): Dow Jones at 53,732 (-0.20%), S&P 500 at 7,785 (-0.20%), Nasdaq at 26,729 (-0.30%). Weak retail sales data (-0.6% in July) and subdued University of Michigan consumer sentiment (51, below forecast 55) signal caution.
  • Asian Markets: Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 2.1% to 66,970 on Monday, providing a partially positive cue for Asian risk assets.
  • Institutional Flows (14 Aug): FII were net buyers of Rs 508 Cr and DII were net buyers of Rs 356 Cr in the cash segment, reflecting continued institutional support for Indian equities.

Key Events for 19 August 2026

  • MCX Aug crude expires 19 Aug — rollover to Sep mandatory for crude traders
  • MCX commodity options expiry 24 Aug adds near-term volatility
  • US EIA natural gas storage report (weekly) will be key for natural gas prices
  • Q1 FY27 results continue; company updates may affect commodity-linked equity stocks

Stocks Linked to Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow

Name CMP (Rs) Day Change Key Level for Tomorrow
Reliance Industries 1,321.30 +0.40% Support: 1,311 | Resistance: 1,330
ONGC 238.49 ~+0.88% Support: 236 | Resistance: 241
Hindustan Copper ~560 Profit-taking Support: 545 | Resistance: 575
Hindustan Zinc ~565 ~-0.50% Support: 555 | Resistance: 575
Titan Company ~4,080 ~-0.20% Support: 4,050 | Resistance: 4,130

Explore Commodity Market-Linked Stocks on Univest Screener

Trading Strategy for Commodity Market on 19 August 2026

  • Roll MCX Crude to September immediately; buy Sep crude dips toward Rs 8,050 for the bullish crude leg in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
  • Natural Gas dip-buyers can look for stability above Rs 257 before entering long positions in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
  • For Gold, buy near Rs 1,53,600 with stop below Rs 1,52,800 in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
  • For Copper and Zinc, wait for confirmed bounces above Rs 1,385 and Rs 401 before fresh longs in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

What Does Sentiment Indicate for Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow?

Sentiment in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow is energy-positive and metals-cautious. The Iran-Strait of Hormuz situation drives bullish energy sentiment, while the 0.50% Nifty decline and Nifty Metal’s -0.61% fall weigh on metals. Ankit Jaiswal notes the commodity market prediction for tomorrow requires sector-specific positioning rather than broad commodity exposure.

Kunal Singla observes that India VIX at 11.38 supports a measured market environment, typically helping bounce attempts in oversold commodities (Natural Gas RSI 38 to 40). The commodity market prediction for tomorrow calls for selective longs in Crude Oil (Sep) and cautious bounce trades in Natural Gas, while treating metal corrections as dip-buying setups at key levels.

Risks to Commodity Market Price Prediction for Tomorrow

  • A US-Iran Strait of Hormuz deal overnight would sharply reverse the Crude Oil component of the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
  • Weak Chinese PMI data would worsen the metals component of the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
  • MCX August crude expiry (19 Aug) creates rollover volatility in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow
  • A stronger US dollar overnight would compress all MCX commodity prices in the commodity market prediction for tomorrow

Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track live MCX prices across all commodities and get expert commodity market predictions.

Conclusion

The commodity market prediction for tomorrow, 19 August 2026, is energy-bullish and metals-cautious. Crude Oil surged +1.19% on Iran tensions while Gold, Silver, Copper, and Zinc declined. Ankit Jaiswal’s commodity market prediction for tomorrow favours Crude Oil (Sep) and a Natural Gas bounce, while Kunal Singla recommends dip-buying metals at defined support levels.

Traders should approach the commodity market prediction for tomorrow with commodity-specific strategies. Download the Univest app for live MCX prices and expert research across all segments.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest Research Analyst Registration No. INH000013776.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the tomorrow’s MCX commodity outlook, 19 August 2026?

Ans. The the commodity outlook for 19 August is mixed. Crude Oil (+1.19%) and Natural Gas (+0.39%) outperformed, while Gold (-0.34%), Silver (-1.06%), Copper (-0.68%), and Zinc (-0.79%) declined. The Wednesday’s commodity forecast requires sector-specific positioning.

What is the biggest opportunity in the the 19 August MCX outlook?

Ans. Crude Oil (Sep contract after August expiry today) offers the clearest bullish setup in the tomorrow’s MCX commodity outlook. Ankit Jaiswal notes traders must roll to the September contract (Rs 8,097) for the crude oil opportunity.

What are the risks in the the commodity outlook for 19 August?

Ans. Key risks include: (1) Iran deal reversing crude gains, (2) weak China PMI worsening base metals, (3) MCX August crude expiry volatility today, and (4) US dollar strength compressing all MCX prices. Kunal Singla notes the Wednesday’s commodity forecast is sensitive to overnight developments.

Which commodity was worst on 18 August in the the 19 August MCX outlook?

Ans. Silver was the worst performer at -1.06%, followed by Zinc (-0.79%) in the 18 August session that shapes the tomorrow’s MCX commodity outlook. Crude Oil (+1.19%) and Natural Gas (+0.39%) were the strongest.

What is the commodity strategy for 19 August 2026?

Ans. The the commodity outlook for 19 August strategy: (1) Long Crude Sep above Rs 8,050, (2) Cautious long Natural Gas above Rs 257, (3) Dip-buy Gold near Rs 1,53,600, (4) Dip-buy Copper near Rs 1,368, (5) Caution on Zinc below Rs 401. Ankit Jaiswal recommends selective positioning.



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Author: Kunal Singla
Kunal Singla is the Associate Director - Research at Univest, leading quantitative equity research, intraday trading setups, and derivatives strategy. With 4+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he combines rigorous quantitative methods with classical technical analysis to build high-conviction research frameworks for retail and advisory clients. He holds an MSc from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi — one of India's most selective institutions — and has completed the Certificate in Quantitative Finance (CQF), a globally recognised programme covering derivatives pricing, risk modelling, machine learning for finance, and advanced portfolio theory. This combination places him in a small group of Indian analysts with both deep academic training in quantitative methods and SEBI-recognised research credentials. Kunal holds seven SEBI-recognised NISM certifications spanning research, derivatives, portfolio management, and securities operations: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-XXI-A (Portfolio Managers), Series-XVI (Commodity Derivatives), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors), and Series-I (Currency Derivatives). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Kunal leads research inputs for Pro Lite, Pro Super, Pro Gold, and Pro Commodity advisory services, alongside publishing intraday stock picks on Univest Blogs.

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