Tamilnadu Petroproducts Share Price Target 2027: What Earnings Say About Rs 141 and Rs 168
- November 6, 2026
- Posted by: Kunal Singla
- Category: Market
Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price Rs 113.73 (6 November 2026). Base target Rs 141, bull Rs 168, downside risk Rs 93.7. PE 6.09. 52W range Rs 78.67 to Rs 146.99.
Quick Answer
The Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target for 2027 is Rs 141, about 24.0% above the current price of Rs 113.73. The bull case is Rs 168, and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 93.7. The base case assumes earnings per share grow 20.0% a year, a cap applied because the FY24 to FY26 pace was 39.6%, with the stock holding its PE of 6.09. These are model-based estimates built from reported financials, not guaranteed outcomes.
Investors weighing a Tamilnadu Petroproducts target price for 2027 should start with where the stock sits today. At Rs 113.73 on 6 November 2026, it is 22.6% below its 52-week high of Rs 146.99 and 44.6% above its 52-week low of Rs 78.67. That range spans 87% from low to high, so the entry point matters as much as the Tamilnadu Petroproducts price forecast itself.
This article builds the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target from reported numbers only: five years of annual results, the last five quarters, the latest shareholding pattern and current valuation ratios from company filings and exchange data. Each scenario states its assumptions, so you can trace how the base case, the bull case and the downside risk level were reached and test them against your own view.
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Tamilnadu Petroproducts Stock Analysis: Company Overview and Key Stats
Tamilnadu Petroproducts (NSE: TNPETRO) has a market capitalisation of Rs 1,054 crore. In FY26 it reported revenue of Rs 1,499 crore and net profit of Rs 97.45 crore. The table collects the figures the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target is built on.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | Tamilnadu Petroproducts |
| NSE Ticker | TNPETRO |
| CMP (6 November 2026) | Rs 113.73 |
| 52-Week High | Rs 146.99 |
| 52-Week Low | Rs 78.67 |
| Market Cap | Rs 1,054 crore |
| PE Ratio (TTM) | 6.09 |
| Industry PE | 11.27 |
| Price to Book | 0.92 |
| Return on Equity | 15.05% |
| Debt to Equity | 0.21 |
| EPS (TTM) | Rs 19.24 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.28% |
| 12-Month Base Target | Rs 141 |
| Bull Case | Rs 168 |
| Downside Risk Level (not a target) | Rs 93.7 |
Why Is Tamilnadu Petroproducts Share Price Target Set at Rs 141 for 2027?
The arithmetic is short. Trailing EPS of Rs 19.24 grown for one year gives a forward EPS estimate of Rs 23.09, and multiplying it by the unchanged PE of 6.09 gives the Rs 141 base-case Tamilnadu Petroproducts stock target. The bull case adds faster earnings growth and a higher multiple, while the downside risk level assumes flat earnings and a lower multiple.
Earnings Growth Behind the Tamilnadu Petroproducts Target Price: Five Years of Results
Tamilnadu Petroproducts grew revenue from Rs 1,824 crore in FY22 to Rs 1,499 crore in FY26, a compound annual growth rate of -4.8%. Net profit grew more slowly, from Rs 175.37 crore to Rs 97.45 crore (-13.7% a year), which points to margin pressure alongside the sales growth.
| Financial Year | Revenue (Rs Cr) | Net Profit (Rs Cr) | EPS (Rs) | Dividend per Share (Rs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | 1,823.64 | 175.37 | 19.49 | 3.00 |
| FY23 | 2,175.11 | 94.18 | 10.47 | 1.50 |
| FY24 | 1,705.21 | 50.06 | 5.56 | 1.20 |
| FY25 | 1,854.93 | 58.35 | 6.49 | 1.20 |
| FY26 | 1,498.98 | 97.45 | 10.83 | 1.50 |
FY26 revenue growth was -19.2%, slower than the four-year average of -4.8%, and net profit moved up 67.0%. EPS rose from Rs 5.56 in FY24 to Rs 10.83 in FY26. The FY27 outlook depends on whether that EPS estimate keeps compounding.
Margins and the Latest Quarter
Tamilnadu Petroproducts converted 6.5% of FY26 revenue into net profit, against 3.1% in FY25, within a five-year range of 2.9% to 9.6%. EBITDA margin was 11.4% in FY26 versus 5.9% in FY25.
In the September 2026 quarter, revenue was Rs 944.52 crore, up 100.6% from the same quarter a year earlier, while net profit of Rs 65.03 crore was up 89.9%. EBITDA came in at Rs 112.35 crore, up 105.1% year on year. The next quarterly result is the first test of whether the earnings assumption holds.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Debt to equity stands at 0.21, and shareholders’ equity grew from Rs 748.17 crore in FY22 to Rs 1,018 crore in FY26. Operating cash flow in FY26 was negative at Rs 100.05 crore against capital expenditure of Rs 257.06 crore, leaving negative free cash flow of Rs 357.11 crore. In FY25 free cash flow was negative at Rs 180.27 crore.
Valuation Check for the Tamilnadu Petroproducts Stock Target: PE, Price to Book and ROE
At a PE of 6.09 against an industry PE of 11.27, Tamilnadu Petroproducts trades at a discount to its industry. Price to book is 0.92 on a book value of Rs 127.87 per share, and return on equity is 15.05%. A PE of 6.09 equals an earnings yield of 16.4%, and the FY26 dividend of Rs 1.50 per share gives a yield of 1.28%.
Shareholding Pattern and Institutional Holding
Promoters held 34.54% of Tamilnadu Petroproducts in September 2026, and promoter holding has stayed near 34.54% since September 2025. Foreign institutional investors (FII) held 11.02% and domestic institutions (DII) held 0.00%, which puts total institutional holding at 11.02%. FII holding rose from 8.76% in September 2025 to 11.02% in September 2026. Public shareholders own the remaining 54.43%.
Tamilnadu Petroproducts Share Price Targets for the Short Term and 12 Months
Short Term Tamilnadu Petroproducts Stock Target Levels: Technical Setup
At Rs 113.73 on 6 November 2026, Tamilnadu Petroproducts trades below its 50-day simple moving average of Rs 123.19 and above its 200-day exponential moving average of Rs 106.31. The 14-day RSI reads 39.1, which is neutral territory, and the MACD line sits above its signal line. The nearest resistance level is Rs 123.19 (50-day simple moving average) and the nearest support is Rs 106.31 (200-day exponential moving average). A sustained move above Rs 123.19 would improve the short-term setup, while a close below Rs 106.31 would shift attention to the next support.
12 Month Tamilnadu Petroproducts Target Price for 2027
The 12-month target of Rs 141 means a move of 24.0% up from Rs 113.73 over the next 12 months. It would still leave the stock 4.1% below its 52-week high of Rs 146.99. Anyone checking the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target against their own view should focus on two inputs: the EPS estimate and the PE multiple.
How EPS Growth and PE Multiple Change the Tamilnadu Petroproducts Target Price
| EPS Growth | PE 4.87 | PE 6.09 | PE 7.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (EPS Rs 19.24) | Rs 93.7 | Rs 117 | Rs 135 |
| 20.0% (EPS Rs 23.09) | Rs 112 | Rs 141 | Rs 162 |
| 25.0% (EPS Rs 24.05) | Rs 117 | Rs 146 | Rs 168 |
Each cell multiplies the forward EPS estimate by the PE shown. Reading across a row shows what a de-rating or re-rating does to the Tamilnadu Petroproducts price forecast, and reading down a column shows what earnings growth is worth at a fixed multiple.
Bull Case and Downside Risk for Tamilnadu Petroproducts Stock Target in 2027
Bull Case Rs 168
The bull case Tamilnadu Petroproducts price target needs EPS growth of 25.0%, which lifts forward EPS to Rs 24.05, and a PE multiple that rises 15% to 7.00. That gives Rs 168, 47.7% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 146.99, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high.
Downside Risk Level Rs 93.7
The downside risk level is not a target. It assumes EPS stays flat at Rs 19.24 and the PE falls 20% to 4.87. That gives Rs 93.7, 17.6% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 78.67.
| Scenario | EPS Growth | PE Multiple | Price (Rs) | Change vs CMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Case | 25.0% | 7.00 | Rs 168 | +47.7% |
| Base Case | 20.0% | 6.09 | Rs 141 | +24.0% |
| Downside Risk | 0.0% | 4.87 | Rs 93.7 | -17.6% |
Key Risks to the Tamilnadu Petroproducts Target Price for 2027
Growth Slowdown Risk for the Tamilnadu Petroproducts Price Target
Revenue in the September 2026 quarter was up 100.6% year on year, and FY26 revenue growth was -19.2%. If growth slows from here, the EPS estimate behind the Tamilnadu Petroproducts stock target will need revising.
Liquidity and Size Risk
Tamilnadu Petroproducts has a market capitalisation of Rs 1,054 crore. Institutional holding is 11.02%, and promoters hold 34.54%. Stocks of this size can move sharply on small volumes, and exits can take longer than entries.
Valuation and Margin Risk
Net margin was 6.5% in FY26, so a small slip in costs moves profit noticeably. At a PE of 6.09 versus an industry PE of 11.27, a de-rating toward the downside-risk PE of 4.87 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
Market and Technical Risk
Technical indicators add short-term risk: the 14-day RSI is 39.1 and the MACD sits above its signal line. A broad fall in the Nifty 50 or the Sensex can override company fundamentals for weeks at a time.
How to Invest in Tamilnadu Petroproducts
Start with the live price and volume. Any Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target is only as current as the data behind it, and the data here is as of 6 November 2026, so refresh the Rs 113.73 price before acting on any level.
Next, review the fundamentals yourself. The Univest Screener lets you check Tamilnadu Petroproducts’ PE, ROE, debt and shareholding in one place.
Check Tamilnadu Petroproducts fundamentals on the Univest Screener
Then compare the three Tamilnadu Petroproducts target price scenarios with your own view. If you expect EPS growth below 20.0%, the base case is too optimistic for you; if you expect more, the bull case deserves weight.
Decide your position size and exit levels before you buy. The support and resistance levels above can serve as reference points, but they are not recommendations.
Finally, place the order through a SEBI-registered broker or the Univest app, and review the position after each quarterly result. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor if you are unsure.
Download the Univest iOS App or Univest Android App to track Tamilnadu Petroproducts live price and get daily stock recommendations.
Conclusion
The Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target for 2027 is Rs 141 in the base case, with Rs 168 as the bull case. The support for that view is arithmetic you can check: EPS grew 39.6% a year over FY24 to FY26, and the stock trades at a PE of 6.09. The risks are equally concrete, including a net margin of just 6.5% that leaves profit sensitive to costs and a downside scenario that cuts the price 18% if earnings stall. Use these numbers as a framework, check them against the latest filings, and size any position to your own risk appetite.
Disclaimer: Data and figures in this article are sourced from publicly available information. These may or may not be accurate. Please verify all data with the official NSE (nseindia.com) and BSE (bseindia.com) websites before making any investment decision. Investments in securities are subject to market risk. This content is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice by Univest (SEBI RA INH000013776).
FAQs on Tamilnadu Petroproducts Share Price Target 2027
What is the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target for 2027?
Ans. The base-case Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target for 2027 is Rs 141, which is 24.0% above the price of Rs 113.73 on 6 November 2026. The bull case is Rs 168 and the downside risk level, which is not a target, is Rs 93.7. All three come from one method: forward EPS multiplied by a PE multiple, using only reported results. They are model estimates and not guaranteed outcomes, and the next quarterly result is the first check on the EPS assumption.
What is the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price today?
Ans. As of 6 November 2026, 9:57 AM IST, Tamilnadu Petroproducts (NSE: TNPETRO) trades at Rs 113.73, down 2.52% on the day. That is 22.6% below the 52-week high of Rs 146.99 and 44.6% above the 52-week low of Rs 78.67. The market capitalisation of Rs 1,054 crore places it among small-cap stocks. Prices change through the trading session, so check the live quote before acting on any level in this article.
Is Tamilnadu Petroproducts a buy or sell at the current price?
Ans. The data points both ways. On the positive side, EPS has grown 39.6% a year over FY24 to FY26 and the base case implies 24.0% upside; on the cautious side, the net margin is a thin 6.5%, and the downside risk level of Rs 93.7 is 18% below the current price. Whether Tamilnadu Petroproducts fits your portfolio depends on your time horizon, position size and risk appetite. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing, as this article is not investment advice.
What are the bull case target and downside risk level for Tamilnadu Petroproducts shares?
Ans. The bull case in the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target for 2027 is Rs 168, which assumes 25.0% EPS growth and a PE of 7.00, a 15% re-rating from today’s multiple. That is 47.7% above the current price and above the 52-week high of Rs 146.99, so the stock would have to set a fresh 52-week high. The downside risk level is Rs 93.7, which assumes flat EPS and a PE of 4.87, 20% lower than today. It sits 17.6% below the current price and above the 52-week low of Rs 78.67, and it marks a risk to watch, not a target.
What are the main risks to the Tamilnadu Petroproducts price target?
Ans. Four risks matter most for the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target: slower revenue or profit growth, a PE de-rating, thin liquidity or size risk, and weakness in the broader market. With a market capitalisation of Rs 1,054 crore, the stock can move sharply on small volumes, and exits can take longer than entries. A fall to the downside-risk PE of 4.87 would cut the price even if earnings hold.
What is the PE ratio of Tamilnadu Petroproducts and how does it compare with the industry?
Ans. The PE ratio of Tamilnadu Petroproducts is 6.09, against an industry PE of 11.27, which is a discount to the industry. Price to book is 0.92 and return on equity is 15.05%, and the PE equals an earnings yield of 16.4%. The base case holds the PE unchanged, so the Tamilnadu Petroproducts share price target moves only with earnings, while the bull and downside scenarios change the multiple by +15% and -20%.
Who owns Tamilnadu Petroproducts, and what is the promoter holding?
Ans. Promoters held 34.54% of Tamilnadu Petroproducts in September 2026. FII held 11.02%, DII held 0.00% and the public held 54.43%. Together the two institutional groups hold 11.02%. Shareholding is filed every quarter, so it is worth rechecking after each result.
What were Tamilnadu Petroproducts’ latest quarterly results?
Ans. In the September 2026 quarter, Tamilnadu Petroproducts reported revenue of Rs 944.52 crore (up 100.6% year on year) and net profit of Rs 65.03 crore (up 89.9%). For comparison, FY26 full-year revenue growth was -19.2% and net profit moved up 67.0%. Each new quarter either supports or weakens the EPS growth of 20.0% assumed in the base case.
