Sensex Prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026

September 25, 2026
Posted by: Ankit Jaiswal
Category: Uncategorized

Sensex closed at 73,895.74 on Friday, up 0.43%. Day range 73,478-73,968. India VIX eased 4.18% to 12.16. Markets shut Saturday and Sunday.

Quick Answer

This Sensex prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026, leans cautiously constructive after the index gained 315.20 points on Friday, extending a relief rally from Thursday’s sharp sell-off. India VIX eased 4.18 percent to 12.16, its second straight session of calming. Since Indian markets are shut Saturday and Sunday, Friday’s close carries through to Monday. Support sits at 73,500-73,600, with resistance at 74,100-74,200.

Univest’s desk will revisit this sensex prediction for monday once Monday’s opening trade confirms direction.

This Sensex prediction for Monday follows a Friday, 25 September 2026 session in which the 30-share index rose 315.20 points or 0.43 percent to close at 73,895.74. It opened at 73,525.92 and touched an intraday high of 73,968.05, extending the recovery from Thursday’s sharp fall as India VIX eased for a second straight session.

Ankit Jaiswal, equity research analyst at Univest, observes that the Sensex prediction for Monday hinges on whether Friday’s recovery broadens or stays confined to a handful of stocks. Kunal Singla, market analyst at Univest, notes that HDFC Bank’s strong rebound, even as ICICI Bank lagged, is the key divergence to track heading into next week.

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Table of Contents

Friday’s Sensex Recap

Index close: Sensex at 73,895.74, up 0.43 percent, with Friday’s range 73,478-73,968.
Sectoral performance: Auto led gains, up 0.89 percent, while IT and pharma were both roughly flat.
VIX and flows: India VIX eased to 12.16 (-4.18%), its second straight session of calming after Thursday’s sharp spike.

Traders relying on this sensex prediction for monday should still size positions to their own risk appetite.

Sensex Support and Resistance for Monday

Trend: Cautiously constructive | Support: 73,500-73,600 and 73,100-73,200 | Resistance: 74,100-74,200 and 74,500-74,700

The index needs to hold above 73,500 to confirm Friday’s recovery is extending rather than fading. A confirmed close past 74,100 would be the clearer signal that Thursday’s sell-off is fully behind the market.

Top Sensex Movers on Friday

Stock	CMP (Rs)	25 Sep Change
HDFC Bank	735.60	+0.92%
Reliance Industries	1,226.00	+0.56%
Tata Consultancy Services	2,082.00	-0.24%
ICICI Bank	1,326.80	-0.58%
Bharti Airtel	1,785.40	-0.58%

Stocks to Watch for Sensex Monday

HDFC Bank was Friday’s standout performer among Sensex constituents, up 0.92 percent, and is worth watching for whether that strength extends into Monday. ICICI Bank and Bharti Airtel, both down 0.58 percent, are the two stocks most in need of stabilisation for the broader index to build on Friday’s gains.

Discover Sensex Stock Ideas on Univest Screener before Monday’s session

As with any sensex prediction for monday, the opening minutes of Monday’s trade will confirm or challenge the levels discussed here.

Why This Uses Friday’s Data

Indian markets are closed Saturday and Sunday, so Friday’s closing prices remain the last available data until trading resumes on Monday, 28 September 2026. Treat this Sensex prediction for Monday as a weekend briefing rather than a live call.

What Does Market Sentiment Indicate for the Sensex Prediction for Monday?

India VIX easing to 12.16 for a second straight session is the clearest signal embedded in this Sensex prediction for Monday. Two consecutive sessions of calming volatility suggests the market has meaningfully worked through Thursday’s shock.

Ankit Jaiswal notes that Friday’s gains were broad-based across most sectors rather than concentrated in one or two stocks, a healthier signal than a narrow rally. Kunal Singla points out that FII flow data from Friday’s close will offer an early read on whether institutional buying supported the recovery.

Risks to Monday’s Sensex Prediction

A weekend escalation in US bond yields or crude oil prices could unsettle Monday’s open.
If HDFC Bank’s rebound proves to be a single-session event, Friday’s strength could unwind quickly.
A reversal in India VIX back toward Thursday’s spike level would argue against reading too much into the recent calm.

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This sensex prediction for monday is built from Friday’s verified closing data, since markets are shut over the weekend.

Conclusion

The Sensex prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026, points to a cautiously constructive session after the index gained 0.43 percent on Friday. Support sits at 73,500 with resistance at 74,100, and HDFC Bank’s rebound remains the standout positive heading into next week.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risk. Read all related documents carefully before investing. The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Univest is a SEBI-registered investment adviser (Registration No. INH000013776). Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sensex prediction for Monday, 28 September 2026?

Ans. The Sensex prediction for Monday leans cautiously constructive after the index closed at 73,895.74 on Friday, up 0.43 percent. Support is at 73,500-73,600, resistance at 74,100-74,200.

Why does this Sensex prediction cover Monday and not tomorrow?

Ans. Because Indian exchanges don’t trade Saturday or Sunday, Friday’s close carries through to Monday, 28 September 2026, the next actual trading session.

Why did the Sensex recover on Friday?

Ans. The Sensex recovered on Friday as India VIX eased 4.18 percent to 12.16, its second straight session of calming after Thursday’s sharp spike, with broad-based gains across most sectors.

What are the key Sensex support and resistance levels for Monday?

Ans. Support sits at 73,500-73,600 and 73,100-73,200, with resistance at 74,100-74,200 and 74,500-74,700, based on Friday’s close and technical structure.

Which Sensex stocks moved the most on Friday?

Ans. HDFC Bank gained 0.92 percent, the session’s standout mover, while ICICI Bank and Bharti Airtel both eased 0.58 percent.

India VIX Sensex

Author: Ankit Jaiswal

Ankit Jaiswal is the Senior Research Analyst at Univest, leading the platform's in-house equity research desk and serving as the editorial reviewer for all research and blog content published at univest.in. With 11+ years of experience in Indian equity markets, he oversees stock recommendations, earnings analysis, sector coverage, and ensures every published article meets SEBI Research Analyst Regulations. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce (B.Com) from St. Xavier's College, Kolkata — one of India's most prestigious commerce institutions — and has cleared CMT Level 2 from the CMT Association, a globally recognised certification in technical analysis and market research. His research methodology combines fundamental analysis (earnings quality, balance sheet strength, management commentary) with advanced technical analysis (chart patterns, momentum indicators, market structure) — giving Univest's retail investors a dual-lens approach that most Indian research platforms lack. Ankit is among the most comprehensively certified analysts in Indian financial media, holding five NISM certifications: Series-XV (Research Analyst), Series-VIII (Equity Derivatives), Series-VII (SORM), Series-VI (Depository Operations), and Series-V-A (Mutual Fund Distributors). At Univest — India's SEBI-registered research and advisory platform — Ankit's responsibilities include leading the research team, finalising stock recommendations published across Pro Lite, Pro Super, and Pro Gold advisory services, and maintaining editorial oversight of all YMYL financial content published on the blog.